What to Know Before Trading Futures on May 22nd; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Equity Indexes, Financials, Crypto

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What to Know Before Trading Futures on May 22nd

Key Points for Tomorrow

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

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Equity Indexes / Interest Rates:

Stock index futures turned lower this afternoon after a disappointing Treasury bond auction accelerated a selloff in the debt market.

The June E-mini Dow Jones futures contract dropped over 800 points, more than 2.0%, leading the E-mini S&P 500 and E-mini Nasdaq indexes lower in afternoon trading.

Financials:

U.S. 30-yr. T-bond and 10-yr. T-note futures also sold off and correspondingly debt yields spiked, with the 10-yr. rate climbing toward 4.6% and the 30-yr. rate eclipsing 5.0%

Yields extended gains in the afternoon after a $16 billion auction of 20-year Treasury bonds attracted relatively soft demand from investors, selling at a higher yield than traders had anticipated.

The selloff in stocks followed earnings reports from retailers Target, Lowe’s and TJX. Target cut its annual outlook.

Crypto:

Bitcoin futures climbed to a new all-time high for the first time since January. The current front-month May futures contract traded intraday up to 110,745 before paring its gains. Bitcoin futures total open interest surged to a record $75 billion, signaling heightened leveraged exposure as traders are eyeing a breakout above a key $108,000 resistance level. The CME Group / Chicago Mercantile Exchange leads with $17.43 billion in open interest. Within the highly leveraged environment, the potential for liquidations of short positions becomes a powerful force that could propel Bitcoin futures to new highs.

 

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Daily Levels for May 22nd 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Powerful Market Shift: Standard and Poors GSCI’s 12% Energy Drop Signals Growing Recession Fears

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Standard and Poors GSCI (formerly the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index)

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

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General:

Stay alert tomorrow for Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Economic Club of Chicago, when he will share his outlook for the U.S. economy. 12:30 P.M., Central Time.

Standard and Poors GSCI

The S&P GSCI (formerly the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) tracks global commodities across the energy, metals and agriculture sectors and serves as a benchmark for the commodity markets as a measure of commodity performance over time.

Standard and Poors

The index currently comprises 24 commodities from all commodity sectors. The diversity of the index’s component commodities along with their weighting allows the index to respond in a stable way to world economic growth and contraction.

The index is tradable on Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Each point equals $250.

It shows that prices have declined over 8% since April 2, when U.S. President Donald Trump announced a raft of “reciprocal” tariffs – even after a slight recovery in prices after the White House leader announced a tariff about face last Wednesday.

Of all the commodities in the basket, energy fell the most since April 2, declining around 12%,

Industrial metals posted the second steepest loss of around 9%, followed by soft commodities, which fell roughly 5.2%.

Expectations of further declines in commodities prices are feeding a growing chorus of U.S. recession calls. JPMorgan expects U.S. gross domestic product to contract 0.3% this year.\

Standard and Poors

GSCI Components and Dollar Weights:

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Daily Levels for April 16th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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