Commodities and Tariffs, Crude Oil, AG & Energies, September KC Wheat; Your 6 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 8th, 2025

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Commodities Face Pivotal Tariff Week Post 4th of July

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Commodities, Tariffs on the AG & Energy Markets

Description: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the post-holiday movements in the AG & Energy markets. This week’s key drivers include:

  • Crude oil volatility following OPEC’s surprise output announcement.
  • Heavy losses in corn, soybeans, and wheat tied to favorable U.S. weather.
  • Tariff countdown: U.S. trade negotiations with 18 countries near critical deadlines.
  • China’s geopolitical squeeze and strained EU-China relations.
  • Potential impact of new trade frameworks with the EU & Vietnam.

This week is shaping up to be pivotal. Will new trade deals support the commodities? Or will weather and global politics keep pressure on the markets? Don’t forget to Like, Subscribe, and turn on notifications to stay updated on key market insights.

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Sept. Kansas City Wheat

September KC wheat is testing the contract lows established in May. If this support level doesn’t hold, new sustained lows would project a slide to the second downside PriceCount objective to the $5.02 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 8th, 2025

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Non-Farm Payrolls, Tariffs, Earnings; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures The Week of June 2nd, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1244

  • The Week Ahead – Non-Farm Payrolls, Earnings, Tariffs

  • LIVE, FREE Demo for Futures & Options

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Non-Farm Payrolls

non-farm payrolls

A full week ahead and as nearly always, the 1st Friday of the month brings an impactful data set to the markets. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP).This week will also feature the last week of Fed speakers until after the FOMC Rate announcement 8 business days following this upcoming weekend, known as the blackout period. Light earnings, only 149 reporting as we are in the 9th inning of this game.

Tariffs

tariffs

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals. Therefore, increased volatility expectations with periodic choppiness as the administration Vs the Courts seem to be in the middle innings of their tariff battle.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Credo
  • Tue. HP, Dollar General, Crowdstrike
  • Wed. Dollar Tree
  • Thu. Broadcom, LuLuLemon
  • Fri. ABM industries

FED SPEECHES: (all time CDT)

  • Mon.     Logan 9:15 am CT, Goolsbee 11:45 am CT
  • Tues.     Goolsbee 11:45 am CT, Logan 2:30 pm CT
  • Wed.     Bostic 7:30 am CT
  • Thu.      Harker 12:30 pm CT,
  • Fri.       None

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. ISM mfg. PMI
  • Tue. RedBook, JOLTS, Factory Orders,RCM/TIPP Econ Optimism Index,
  • Wed. ADP, PMI Final, ISM Services, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige Book,
  • Thur. Challenger Job Cuts, Continuing claims, EIA Nat Gas storage
  • Fri. Non-Farm Payrolls, Used Car prices.

Free Demo: Live Data, Streaming Charts

Introducing the newest trading platform to our already prominent selection: CannonX

  • Cloud-based and compatible with Windows and MacOS
  • Top-of-the-line tradable charts with abundant indicators and drawing tools
  • Option quotes display for all expirations and including all “Greeks.”
  • Quote programmability for straight futures and options as well as futures and option spreads, including multi-leg/complex options spreads.
  • Depth-of-market display at your fingertips for any of the position types listed aboveFull, easy-to-read account information display

START YOUR DEMO NOW

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for June 2nd, 2025

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Before Your next Trade, learn to recognize charts and patterns!

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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