A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls, FND/LTD for July, September 10-Year Treasury Notes; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 2nd, 2025

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New Quarter!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls a day early.

quarter

Day one of Quarter number 3 in the U.S. is behind us. What trends continue and which ones appear to be reversing? Below is a list of contracts whose trends continued for at least the past 2 weeks.

Markets heading Lower, still! Corn, Hogs, Feeder and Live Cattle, Natural Gas, U.S. Dollar, Sugar, Coffee, Soymeal.

Markets going Sideways, still! Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Unleaded Gasoline, Gold, Silver, Canadian Dollar.

Markets going Higher, still! S&P, Dow 30, Nasdaq 100, U.S 30yr Bonds, 10yr Notes, Palladium, Platinum, Copper, Euro, Assie $, B. Pound, S. Franc

Markets Reversing, Rough Rice lower, Oats higher.

This week we have abbreviated trading sessions on both Thursday and Friday. Subdued Volatility, for the moment, conflicts and trade deals have relaxed for the near term.

Although Friday is the 4th of July holiday you may be as surprised as we were when we saw the trading schedule for this upcoming week. In addition to market hour changes we also have the All-important Non-Farm Payrolls report, ordinarily released on the first Friday of the month, the release will occur on Thursday this month @ 7:30 am CDT. If you are an index trader, the markets will have abbreviated hours on Both Thursday and Friday.

Regular hours on Thursday for all other futures contracts with many of the AG’s closed until Monday morning; Metals, Energies, Interest Rates, Currencies and indices will have early closings on the 4th itself.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  ADP Employment Change, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Quiet the rest of the week

Earnings: Unifirst Corporation

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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FND/LTD:

Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for July.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day

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Sept. 10 Year Treasury Notes

The September 10 year treasury notes completed a second upside PriceCount objective this spring and after a correction lower, spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 115^27 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 2nd, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Significant Surge? 113^26 Target Looms as Treasury Notes Eye Bullish Breakout, Micro Grains

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Trump Speaks Tomorrow

During Market Hours!

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Treasury Notes, Micro Grains

treasury notes

 

Tomorrow should be another volatile day!

With Trump speaking, Fed speaker, ADP weekly claims and crude oil inventories – we suspect the current volatility will continue.

On a different note – MICRO GRAINS are available

MICRO GRAINS

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After the first three weeks of trading, we are approaching just under a half million Micro Grains contracts traded for Micro Corn, Micro Soybean, Micro Soybean Oil, Micro Soybean Meal, and Micro Wheat, as well as some other quick hits below.

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform!

FREE DEMO HERE

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 2nd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Treasury Bonds & Notes make Bold Moves!

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Treasury Bonds Notes
Treasury Bonds

 

Treasury Bonds, Notes

Treasury Bonds & Notes – Different market, different trading environments

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES (mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities, then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

There are more than a few markets I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30-year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30-year bonds and ZN for 10-year notes.

Product Symbol

ZB

Treasury Bonds

Contract Size

The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof

Price Quotation

Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Product Symbol

ZN

Underlying Unit

One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000 < Treasury Bond.

Price Quote

Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Tick Size

(minimum fluctuation)

One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).

Contract Months

The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day (might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 1,300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another advantage for these markets is that the exchange fees per trade are LOWER than the ones on the stock index futures.

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May Sugar Chart for your review below!

May sugar is completing its second upside PriceCount objective to the 19.96 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, if the chart can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the 21.57 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall highs.

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Daily Levels for February 25th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Earnings Season Started & Economic Reports 07.10.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday July 10, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

 

Earnings season has started. Make sure you are aware of when major market movers are reporting.

The calendar can be found at: http://www.morningstar.com/earnings/earnings-calendar.aspx

Today I want to refresh our blog readers with what I call “there is life after mini SP for day-traders….” One of my favorite markets for day-trading is the 30 year bonds.

Too many of our clients trade the mini SP 500 and that’s it. I think that if one has the capital/ time/ knowledge, one should be looking to trade more than one market for purposes of diversification.

Each market has a different personality and behavior is dependent on the time of day when it’s most active.. If you are finding that the ES ( mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in the demo / simulated mode.

 

There are more than a few markets that I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, their personality and the most active trading hours.

 

Interest Rates, 10 year and 30 year.

 

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30 year bonds and ZN for 10 year notes. The current front month is September which is U. So ZBU4 for example.

Product Symbol ZB
Contract Size The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof
Price Quotation Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.
Product Symbol ZN

 

Underlying Unit One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000.
Deliverable Grades U.S. Treasury notes with a remaining term to maturity of at least six and a half years, but not more than 10 years, from the first day of the delivery month. The invoice price equals the futures settlement price times a conversion factor, plus accrued interest. The conversion factor is the price of the delivered note ($1 par value) to yield 6 percent.
Price Quote Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.
Tick Size
(minimum fluctuation)
One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).
Contract Months The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day

(might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

 

 

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