VIX, 12-Day War, Sept. Coffee; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 25th, 2025

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Take a Look at the VIX

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

vix

12-Day War; Volatility and THE VIX

The Fragile state of the 12-day war will create more angst in our markets if the ceasefire does not hold. President Trumps impact reaches beyond the tariff wars as more negotiations will be revealed as western leaders meet in the Netherlands the next few days. And as Europe’s NATO leaders gather in The Hague to agree on a historic defense spending target of 5 percent, the answer may come as a surprise.

Rather than doing a market recap today; below is a brief I put together regarding The Volatility Index or simply “The Vix Index”. This instrument is a futures contract traded at the Chicago Board Options Exchange which is the pre-eminent American Stock Option Exchange.

Call your Cannon Broker if you think you would benefit from live or even delayed VIX data on your trading platform.

The VIX Index is a calculation designed to produce a measure of constant, 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, derived from real-time, mid-quote prices of S&P 500® Index (SPX℠) call and put options. On a global basis, it is one of the most recognized measures of volatility — widely reported by financial media and closely followed by a variety of market participants as a daily market indicator.

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future with its ebbs and flows.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Today’s market swings were largely back to normal (pre tariff talk normal)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Building Permits, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Chair Powell Congressional Testimony (Senate) 9:00 am

Earnings: Micron, General Mills

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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The VIX Index is a calculation designed to produce a measure of constant, 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, derived from real-time, mid-quote prices of S&P 500® Index (SPX℠) call and put options. On a global basis, it is one of the most recognized measures of volatility — widely reported by financial media and closely followed by a variety of market participants as a daily market indicator.

The inverse can easily be represented by looking at the Daily S&P chart

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Sept. Coffee

September coffee satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective and is consolidating its trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible slide to the 282 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 25th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Crude Oil Volatility, CannonX Futures Trading Platform Time Charts – Your 2 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on May 16th, 2025

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What to Know Before Trading Futures on May 16th

crude oil

 Crude Oil Volatility Continues!

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On a different note, here are some tips on creating a custom time chart interface using our FREE CannonX platform! (free demo)

How to create a custom Time on the charts?

Click on the arrow next to the current time interval

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Click on the custom option and type in the number of minutes or days you would like to see.
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Click ok and your new chart with custom time is available! In this example i selected 13 minutes.
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Daily Levels for May 16th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Zero-Day Options: 6 Strong Advantages Over Traditional Day Trading

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0DTE Options

Options 3

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Options

Zero-day options are normal options — puts and calls — that expire in less than one day, hence the “0DTE” nickname (short for “zero days to expiration”).

In the current high-volatility environment we’re experiencing – one very likely to last awhile – one of the better alternatives to day trading, particularly in stock index futures like the E-mini S&P 500, E-mini Nasdaq, etc., is buying short-term call and put options.

With expirations every day of the week, stock index futures options can be purchased with minimal overall time value and give you a maximum risk coupled with a limitless upside potential.

Especially with markets seemingly hair-triggered to make large daily moves, but with erratic action intraday, the purchase of a limited-risk option provides staying power that no amount of rapid in-and-out trading trying to catch a large move can outperform.

Daily Levels for April 11th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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In times of Volatility, Avoid These 7 Costly Mistakes During 3000+ Point Dow Jones Days

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Extreme Volatility + CPI Tomorrow

volatile

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Dow Jones & other indices

Dow Jones

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts have experienced single-day range moves not seen in years and after being down, finished up:

→ E-mini Dow Jones: UP +3044 points / 8.4%

→ E-mini S&P 500: UP +480 points / 9.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: UP +2038 points / 11.71%

→ Crude Oil: UP +320 points / 5.2%

Volatility is skyrocketing.

This is a completely different environment of extreme trading volatility than what we were trading in 3-4 weeks ago. Markets are evolving and you must adapt your trading to changing market conditions.

This is where you find out what kind of risk taker you are; brash, overbold, unheeding, or prudent, attentive, discriminating. Everyone possesses these traits – and they influence our decision-making differently in different situations.

In trading, if the historical price moves you’re seeing bring out the daredevil in you, plan to watch your trade results all over the place: up and down more than your everyday swings with the odds increasing your account will hit a wall.

Instead, incorporate patience and prudence. Start your trading by setting daily profit targets and daily loss limits and stick to them. Do that for each trade. These days, be aware of LIMIT moves and understand what happens when the market halts at limit levels.

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

June Dollar Index

The June dollar has had a short term correction after extending its break to the third downside PriceCount objective. IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, it would have the contract low to contend with before a possible run to the low percentage fourth count to the 98.85 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 10th, 2025
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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Massive Volatility Moves: 3 Futures Contracts Post Record One-Day Volatility

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E-Mini Extreme Volatility!

 

The last few weeks and especially the last few trading sessions we saw tremendous volatility across many markets.

Volatility

 

What we witnessed last night and during today’s session reminded me of the markets when COVID first broke out and we saw limit moves across the board.

Temporarily: Most of our platforms now require 50% margins even for day trading!

tomorrow we have FOMC minutes!!

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts have experienced single-day volatility moves not seen in years. Below you will see the range between high and lows made today for E-Mini stock index contracts:

→ E-mini Dow Jones: 2,173 points

→ E-mini S&P 500: 364 points

→ E-mini Nasdaq: 1,384 points

With tomorrow FOMC minutes and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war,

expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

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May Feeder Cattle

May feeder cattle accelerated lower and satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective. The chart is trying to correct but if it can resume the slide into new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible run to the 256.38 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 9th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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High-Volatility Markets! 5 Smart Moves for Confident Trading, May Soybean

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Extreme Volatility!

Volatility!

volatile

The last few weeks and especially the last few trading sessions we saw tremendous volatility across many markets.

What we witnessed last night and during today’s session reminded me of the markets when COVID first broke out and we saw limit moves across the board.

Temporarily: Due to volatility, most of our platforms now require 100% margins; even for day trading!

Here are some ideas to explore during times of volatility like these:

1.      You don’t have a crystal ball. To think you can buy an ES contract in this volatility and use a 2 point stop in hopes of making 20 points profit is a very low probability event…you would need to buy it at the PEREFECT time for this to happen. Point is, with higher volatility you need to use WIDER stops to give yourself a chance. That may mean using SMALLER trade size.

2.      If you are able to, share your read with another trader, it may provide you with a better perspective just by sharing.

3.      If you think there is room for a big move or what we call a “runner” – be prepared to for the pullbacks. Use multiple time frames to gain a better perspective and hang in there for the big move, if this is what you think can happen.

4.      If you have enough risk capital, try to use multiple contracts, example buying 2 rather than 1. Taking profit on the first part of the position will help you relax and look at what the market is really telling you rather than what you would like it to say. It helps reduce both the fear and the greed.

5.    “Plan your trade, trade your plan”

Again, these are just some short pointers, written quickly after today’s session in hopes of helping you when you face a similar situation of extreme volatility.

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May Soybeans

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May soybeans satisfied a third downside PriceCount objective on the Friday flush. It is normal for the chart to react in the form of a near term consolidation or corrective trade, at leaset. IF we can resume the break the contract low stands out as a significant support level to contend with while the low percentage fourth count remains open to the $9.16 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.
It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 8th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

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Index Futures

index futures 2

+

Extreme Volatility

+

Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

non farm payroll

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

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May Meal

soybean 2

May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Gold Surges to All-Time Record High of $3040 – 5 Key Signals, 7 Volatility Triggers Before the FOMC Decision

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Movers & Shakers – GOLD

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

gold nugg

 

Movers and Shakers:  FOMC Meeting Tomorrow @ 1:00PM CDT

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely. Prepare for shocks on the tomorrow FOMC Rate decision but, more importantly, expect a roller coaster during the Chairman’s statement and Q and A 30 minutes to follow.

How gold is your portfolio? 

All time highs in Gold today. 3040.00 per troy ounce of Gold. We have all contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces of Gold.

Today was a subdued trading day for almost all of the high-volume products we trade compared to the past 30 days or so.

Waiting for FOMC rate decision?

GOLD

Here were today’s top headlines.

Updated: March 18, 2025 7:32 am

US Housing Starts and Building Permits Headline Recap

**US February Housing Starts: +11.2% to 1.501 mln units annualized rate; expected +1.0% to 1.38 mln

**US February Building Permits: -1.2% to 1.456 mln unit annualized rate; expected -2.2% to 1.45 mln

Updated: March 18, 2025 8:17 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

**Federal Reserve February US Industrial Production: +0.7%; expected +0.3%

**Federal Reserve February US Capacity Utilization: +0.5% to 78.2; expected 77.8%

**Federal Reserve January US Industrial Production revised: +0.3%; prior +0.5%

  • **Federal Reserve January US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.7%; prior 77.8%

Daily Levels for March 19th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Volatility Warning: 3 Crucial Adjustments to Avoid Devastating Losses in High Volatility!

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Volatility Expands

volatility 2

Volatility is high!!

Volatility alert: The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

Daily Levels for March 14th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Shocking Surge: 3 Powerful Ways to Survive Expanding Volatility in Trading

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Volatility Expands

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See below NQ 15 minute chart for an illustration of the expanded volatility, speed, size of moves etc.

The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

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Daily Levels for March 11th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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