Win the Inside Game! July Crude Oil, June Strawberry; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 11th, 2025

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Win the Inside Game!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Win the Inside Game, Crude Oil

June’s Strawberry Moon (full) will not appear this low again until 2043

CPI and insight from a long-distance running coach.

I recently listened to a podcast where a long-distance running coach was interviewed, He has written a book “Win the Inside Game”, his name is Steve Magness and he writes about the psychology of winning and losing, training the mind to overcome your physiological responses to self-doubt, losing and overcoming your own mental short comings.

They certainly apply to our sport, trading.

There are many parallels between trading and competing in a sport, in fact, when I was on the exchange floors, many members were retired professional athletes.

What stuck out to me about the similarities between, sport and craft was we all respond to EXTERNAL triggers. Mr. Magness writes (I am paraphrasing)

“in Fight or Flight responses, for athletes, cortisol is a hormone your adrenal glands release when he or she loses an event, game, championship, or simply when they can’t reach a training goal. When the same athlete, wins a contest or reaches goals, testosterone is released.

“Men and Women have plenty of both and these hormones and when they are released, change your thinking therefore, your decision making. Unfortunately, the body can also overreact to stressors that are not life-threatening, such as traffic jams, work pressure, losing trades.”

The take away for me is after each trade, allow your body to return to a level of equanimity before you take your next trade. Keep your emotions in check.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Prepare for shocks, on inflation soft and hard data, Tomorrow we have a big number Consumer Price Index CPI pre cash market opening.

The Stock market will continue to reveal the battle between Push-Pull inflation with Tariff uncertainty through price action.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:   CPI

FED Speak: BlackOut Period

Earnings: Quiet

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July Crude Oil

July crude oil made its low in April after it completed its fourth downside PriceCount objective. The low was tested and held; leading to the recent sideways range of trade. Now, the chart has broken out to the topside and activated upside counts with a first objective that projects a potential run to the $71 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 11th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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