Iran, Crude Oil, NFP PLUS: 4th of July Trading Hours, Futures 102, Options 303 – Short Straddle, September Midwest Wheat Spread, CannonEdge Snapshot, Levels, Reports; What YOU Need to Know Before Trading Futures the Week of June 29th, 2026

7cfe5b36 db9f 4933 824a 7f264613e7fe

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1296

  • The Week Ahead – Earnings, NFP, Iran + Crude Oil

  • 4th of July Trading Hours

  • Futures 102 – The Daily Briefing – What the Pros Know Before Trading

  • Options 303: Short Straddle

  • Chicago Wheat/ KC Wheat Spread Chart & Outlook

  • Cannon Edge – Your Futures trading Map for the week ahead!

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At A Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Aug (#GC)

3951.73 4018.77 4065.13 4132.17 4178.53

Silver (SI)

— July. (#SI)

54.60 56.94 58.47 60.81 62.34

Crude Oil (CL)

— Aug (#CL)

66.64 68.02 69.94 71.32 73.24

 Sept. Bonds (ZB)

— Sept. (#ZB)

113 10/32 113 22/32 114 114 12/32 114 22/32

What Futures Traders Should Watch This Week

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

oil

The Week Ahead

The key futures market news for next week’s shorten trading week focuses on US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report released ahead of the holiday (Thursday a.m.). Note: Non-farm payrolls are expected to rise by 90,000, with the unemployment rate projected at 4.5%., Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks Wednesday. Friday early closings in observance of Independence Day please check the attached calendar for your favorite market operating times.

Is the smoke clearing in the Mid-East and the markets have a renewed sense of confidence?

The energy and metals are swirling in the uncertainty of a lack of resolution in the attempted unwinding of the Iranian nuclear program.

Don’t let your guard down just yet, the fog continues, tune into the Sunday evening markets to witness reactions to the weekend news streams, manufactured or true.

Plan your trade and trade your plan!

Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. AeroVironment

·        Tue. Nike, Constellation Brands

·        Wed. General Mills

·        Thu. Unifirst, National Beverage

·        Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tues. Quiet

·        Wed. 8:00 am Fed Chair Kevin Warsh

·        Thu.  Quiet

·        Fri.   Quiet

Econ Data:

·        Mon. Dallas Fed,,   

·        Tue.  Redbook,  Case/Shiller, Chicago PMI, JOLTS, Consumer confidence, Quarterly Grain Stocks

·              API Crude Stock Change

·        Wed. ADP, EIA Crude stock Change, S&P PMI, ISM numbers,

·        Thu. NFP, Initial Jobless claims, Factory orders  EIA Nat Gas Stocks, Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

·        Fri. 4th of July Markets on this 3rd of July no U.S. Data releases.

Get a daily market edge—support & resistance levels plus key market-moving insights.

4th of July Modified trading Schedule

As we approach Independence Day, we’re reminded of the remarkable history and spirit that define the United States.

This year is especially meaningful as the nation celebrates its 250th anniversary—marking two and a half centuries of resilience, innovation, and freedom since the signing of the Declaration of Independence.

It’s a moment to reflect on that legacy while enjoying time with family, friends, and community. In observance of the holiday, please see our updated hours below.

MODIFIED HOURS

ddd2f39b 234e 4cb6 afe2 151919d7db54
In previous Newsletters, we provided you with definitions and examples of Long Option Straddles, and short option straddles. Today I want to show you the Short Option straddle with an always in the market futures position, this is a technique we use in a relatively new trading program we are offering called “AIM” Always In the Market.

The option strategy compliments futures contracts in Micro Crude oil, Micro E-mini Nasdaq, Micro E-mini S&P 500 and the U.S. 30 yr bond contract using a swing trading protocol for the futures and a short option straddle placed weekly.

Please contact your broker Please contact your broker, if you are a current client or call us to learn more about this opportunity.

Options Workshop 303:

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A short option straddle combined with an open futures position is basically a way to collect option premium while modifying the risk profile of your futures trade. The exact effect depends on whether your futures position is long or short.

A short straddle means you:

  • Sell a call option
  • Sell a put option
  • Same futures contract (underlying), same strike price, same expiration

You receive premium upfront, but you take on the obligation:

  • If futures rise a lot → the short call loses
  • If futures fall a lot → the short put loses
  • You benefit if futures stay near the strike

Example: You are already long futures

Suppose:

  • Long 1 crude oil futures at $75
  • Sell a $75 call for $2
  • Sell a $75 put for $2

You collect $4 premium.

Your position is now:

Long futures + short straddle

If crude goes to $75 at expiration:

  • Futures: $0 gain/loss
  • Call expires worthless: +$2
  • Put expires worthless: +$2

Total: +$4

This is the ideal outcome: the market stays flat.

If crude goes to $85:

  • Futures: +$10
  • Short call: -$10
  • Short put: $0
  • Premium: +$4

Net:

+$4

The short call caps some of your upside, because your long futures gain offsets the call loss.

If crude goes to $65:

  • Futures: -$10
  • Short put: -$10
  • Short call: $0
  • Premium: +$4

Net:

-$16

This is the danger: the short put adds downside exposure on top of your losing futures position.

So:

Long futures + short straddle = you are basically betting the market will stay stable, but you have extra downside risk.

If you are short futures

Now reverse it:

  • Short futures
  • Sell call
  • Sell put

Example:

Short crude at $75, collect $4 premium.

At expiration:

Market at $75

  • Futures: 0
  • Options: +$4
  • = +$4

Market at $65

  • Futures: +$10
  • Short put: -$10
  • = +$4

Market at $85

  • Futures: -$10
  • Short call: -$10
  • = -$16

So:

Short futures + short straddle = downside is somewhat protected by the short futures, but a big rally hurts badly.

Why would someone do this?

Common reasons:

  1. Income generation

  • Collect option premium
  • Works if volatility collapses and futures stay range-bound
  1. Turn a directional futures position into a range trade

  • Long futures alone = bullish
  • Long futures + short straddle = “bullish but expecting little movement”
  1. Hedge existing futures exposure

  • But it is not a traditional hedge because you are adding short option risk

The key risk

A short straddle has unlimited risk:

  • Short call → unlimited loss if futures explode higher
  • Short put → large loss if futures crash

The futures position can offset one side, but it usually makes the other side worse.

A useful way to think about it:

  • Long futures + short straddle = short volatility + long price bias
  • Short futures + short straddle = short volatility + short price bias

The trade is mostly a bet that futures will not move much before expiration.

Where “reverse the futures” comes in

A trader may manage this by saying:

“If the market moves strongly against me, I will reverse the futures position.”

Example:

Start:

  • Long futures
  • Short straddle

Market drops through 4,900.

You decide the move is real, so you:

  • Sell your long futures
  • Go short futures

Now you have:

  • Short futures
  • Short put
  • Short call

Your delta has flipped.

If the market keeps falling:

Short futures gains may offset the short put losses.

Example:

Market continues from 4,900 → 4,700.

Short futures:

+200

Short put:

-300

Net:

-100

Instead of the original -300 futures loss + -300 put loss.

Why traders do this

This strategy is sometimes called:

  • short straddle with futures adjustment
  • delta hedging
  • gamma scalping (if actively managed)
  • short volatility trading

The idea:

  • Sell expensive implied volatility
  • Collect premium decay (theta)
  • Adjust futures exposure as the market moves

You are betting:

“The market will not make a large move faster than I can adjust.”

The major risk

Short straddles have negative gamma:

  • Small moves are manageable
  • Big moves accelerate losses

The futures reversal helps, but timing matters. If the market gaps overnight, moves violently, or liquidity disappears, the adjustment may come too late.

A useful way to think about the position:

Market behavior

Result

Stays flat

Best outcome

Slowly trends

Manageable with futures adjustments

Violent move

Dangerous

Gap move

Highest risk

So, the futures position is not a “hedge” in the traditional sense — it is a dynamic directional adjustment tool that changes the straddle’s exposure as the market moves.

Cannon has a product that trades this strategy called AIM “Always in the Market” call us to learn more.

 

Futures 102: The Daily Briefing by Cannon

Every morning, the world’s biggest banks and macro strategists publish where markets are headed. The rest of the world waits for the headline.

That intelligence stays locked inside trading desks, institutional terminals, and private client portals — accessible only to the few who pay for the privilege, and even they only get what they pay for.

This briefing changes that (100% FREE on Cannon’s website!!). Every morning we scour the open web and aggregate everything that matters — pulling from publicly available sources so you never have to — and distill it into one clear, readable edition you can get through before your first coffee is finished.

No terminals. No subscriptions. No private portals. Just everything the market is saying, gathered in one place, every morning before the bell.

Read the Latest Briefing HERE and make sure to Bookmark this page!

September KC – Chicago Wheat Spread

 

The September KC – Chicago Wheat Spread is threatening to break down and resume its slide. New sustained lows would project a possible move to the second downside PriceCount objective to the 15.5 area.

Some professional futures traders prefer trading spreads—both intraday and swing—because spreads can reduce outright market risk while still offering opportunities for consistent returns. By trading the price relationship between two related contracts rather than a single direction, traders can benefit from relative value inefficiencies, seasonal patterns, and supply-demand imbalances. Intraday spread trading often provides smoother price action and tighter risk control, while swing trading spreads can capitalize on longer-term structural trends with lower volatility compared to outright positions. Additionally, spreads typically require lower margin and can be less sensitive to macro shocks, making them an appealing strategy for disciplined risk management and more stable performance.

 

That being said – spread trading is risky just like futures trading and past performance is not indicative of future results.

 

In today’s chart review, you will see an idea/ outlook of a swing trade between the Chicago Wheat and Kansas City wheat.

 

Some INTRA day traders will day trade gold vs silver, MNQ versus MES, ten years vs the 30 years and more….

 

Curious?

 

Learn more here or even better schedule a one on one consultation with a licensed series 3 broker HERE

 

undefined

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

FREE TRIAL TO QT MARKET Center – Access to analysis, tools, news & Much more!

Highly recommended for HEDGERS!

1ab82322 3fe6 467c 8a06 58a08d52f845

Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Insight for the Next Trading Day! Cannon Edge for June 29th 2026

8fb9046d d655 423c b200 54798d401cc2

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change
  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows
  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals
  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQG.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of Automated trading systems ?

Daily Levels for June 29th, 2026

a09a5a03 b081 484a 93a8 6385c0469730

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

ea71630e c045 40ff abcf 8afc0e332b4a

Find us on Trustpilot

4ad8134c aa57 4adb a428 7cc476773107

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact