4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

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Index Futures

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Extreme Volatility

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Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

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By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

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May Meal

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May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Confident Outlook for First Notice & Last Trading Days: 2 Strategic Exit Dates and a Bullish Setup for Treasury Traders

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First Notice & Last Trading Day

first notice

Below are the contracts which are entering

First Notice / Last Trading

 For April.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

First Notice & Last Trading Day

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform! 

FREE DEMO HERE

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That’s all for

First Notice & Last Trading

Days

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 3rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Trading Crude Oil Futures

7 Powerful Reasons Crude Oil Futures Remain a Top Trading Opportunity

Crude oil plays a pivotal role in the global economy. It fuels transportation, powers industries, and supports the manufacture of countless products, from plastics to chemicals. Given its strategic importance, it’s no surprise that crude oil is one of the most actively traded commodities in the world. Trading crude oil futures has become an essential activity for hedgers, speculators, and institutional investors alike. This research paper delves into why crude oil futures are among the most coveted contracts in the futures market, their historical origins, evolution, risk assessments, and the benefits of using a reputable brokerage like Cannon Trading Company to engage in oil futures trading.

Origins of the Crude Oil Futures Contract

The crude oil futures contract as we know it today traces its origins back to the 1980s. Before this, crude oil was primarily traded via long-term physical contracts between producers and consumers. However, market volatility and geopolitical tensions in the 1970s, notably the oil embargo of 1973 and the Iranian Revolution of 1979, exposed the need for a more flexible pricing mechanism.

In response to these events, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) introduced the first crude oil futures contract in 1983. This innovation provided market participants with a standardized, regulated mechanism to hedge against price volatility or speculate on price movements. The introduction of this oil futures contract was a watershed moment in the history of commodity trading, laying the groundwork for the sophisticated oil futures trading systems we see today.

Why Crude Oil Futures Are Highly Coveted

Several factors contribute to the popularity of crude oil futures contracts:

  • Liquidity and Volume: Crude oil futures are among the most liquid commodities traded. The high trading volume ensures tight bid-ask spreads and minimal slippage, making them ideal for both institutional and retail traders.
  • Global Relevance: Oil is a universally consumed commodity, and geopolitical events affecting oil-producing regions can cause significant price fluctuations. This global relevance ensures that oil futures trading remains dynamic and closely watched.
  • Volatility and Opportunity: While volatility can pose risks, it also creates opportunities for substantial profits. Traders who understand the market dynamics can capitalize on rapid price movements.
  • Accessibility and Leverage: Trading crude oil futures allows traders to control large contract sizes with relatively small margins, increasing their potential returns.
  • Hedging Mechanism: For oil producers, refineries, and large-scale consumers, crude oil futures provide a means to lock in prices and mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.

The Rise of Speculation in Oil Futures Trading

Initially, the crude oil futures market was dominated by commercial players seeking to hedge their exposure. However, the landscape began to change in the late 1990s and early 2000s with the influx of hedge funds, institutional investors, and retail traders. Several factors contributed to this shift:

  • Financialization of Commodities: Commodities, including crude oil, were increasingly viewed as investment assets. The launch of commodity index funds and ETFs made it easier for investors to gain exposure to oil futures.
  • Technological Advancements: Online trading platforms and real-time data enabled more participants to engage in oil futures trading with greater ease and speed.
  • Macro-economic Events: Events like the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent quantitative easing measures by central banks led investors to seek alternative assets. Crude oil, being a tangible asset with intrinsic value, attracted speculative interest.
  • Price Swings and Media Coverage: High-profile price swings, such as oil reaching $147 per barrel in 2008 and the historic dip into negative prices in April 2020, generated significant media attention and drew in speculative traders.

As a result, speculators now account for a significant portion of the open interest in crude oil futures markets, adding to both the liquidity and volatility of these contracts.

Key Events That Shaped the Oil Futures Market

  • 1973 Oil Embargo: Highlighted the vulnerability of oil supply chains and the need for risk management tools.
  • 1983 Launch of NYMEX Oil Futures: Marked the formal beginning of exchange-traded oil futures.
  • 2008 Oil Price Spike: Drew attention to the potential profits in trading crude oil futures.
  • 2014 Oil Price Crash: Demonstrated the impact of oversupply and changing global demand.
  • 2020 COVID-19 and Negative Oil Prices: A historic moment where crude oil futures briefly traded below zero due to storage issues, underscoring the complexity and risk of these contracts.

Each of these events has contributed to the continued popularity of trading crude oil futures by highlighting both the risks and rewards inherent in the market.

Risk Assessment and Profit Potential

Trading crude oil futures involves significant risk, but it also offers considerable profit potential. Here is a breakdown of both:

Risks:

  • Price Volatility: Crude oil prices can fluctuate wildly due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, OPEC decisions, and economic indicators.
  • Leverage Risk: While leverage can amplify gains, it can also magnify losses. A small adverse movement can result in significant financial loss.
  • Market Sentiment and Speculation: The market is often driven by sentiment and news, which can lead to unpredictable price swings.
  • Liquidity Risk: While crude oil futures are generally liquid, during periods of extreme volatility, liquidity can dry up, resulting in wider spreads.

Profit Potential:

  • Strategic Speculation: Traders who accurately predict price movements can realize substantial gains.
  • Arbitrage Opportunities: Differences between spot and futures prices, or between different delivery months, can be exploited.
  • Hedging and Risk Transfer: Commercial players can lock in prices, reducing uncertainty and improving financial planning.

Over the years, risk management tools such as stop-loss orders, advanced charting, algorithmic trading, and diversified portfolios have evolved, helping traders navigate the complexities of oil futures trading more effectively.

How to Trade Oil Futures

Trading crude oil futures involves several key steps:

  • Choosing a Broker: A reliable and experienced broker is essential. They provide the platform, market data, and support needed for successful trading.
  • Understanding the Contract Specifications: Most crude oil futures contracts are standardized (e.g., NYMEX WTI contracts represent 1,000 barrels of crude).
  • Analyzing the Market: Traders use technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis to make informed decisions.
  • Managing Risk: This includes setting stop-loss levels, using appropriate position sizing, and monitoring market exposure.
  • Executing and Monitoring Trades: Once trades are placed, they need to be monitored, and exit strategies should be in place.

The key to success in trading crude oil futures lies in education, discipline, and access to the right tools and information.

Why Cannon Trading Company Is Ideal for Oil Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company stands out as a premier brokerage for trading crude oil futures for several compelling reasons:

  • Free Trading Platforms: Cannon Trading offers a wide selection of top-performing, professional-grade trading platforms at no cost. These platforms include advanced charting tools, real-time data, and intuitive interfaces that are perfect for both beginners and seasoned traders engaging in oil futures trading.
  • Highly Rated Customer Service: With countless 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for reliability, transparency, and client satisfaction. Their team is known for being the first to pick up the phone, ensuring that traders receive timely support during critical trading hours.
  • Experienced Brokers: The company’s onsite brokers bring decades of hands-on experience in trading crude oil futures. Their deep market knowledge and personalized support can be invaluable, especially during volatile market conditions.
  • Strong Regulatory Record: Cannon Trading has an exemplary compliance history with industry regulators, providing clients with confidence in the firm’s integrity and operational security.
  • Educational Resources: Cannon Trading is also committed to trader education, offering webinars, articles, and real-time market insights to help clients understand how to trade oil futures effectively.

These factors make Cannon Trading an excellent partner for anyone looking to explore or expand their oil futures trading activities. Whether you’re a novice wanting to learn how to trade oil futures or a seasoned investor seeking a better platform, Cannon Trading delivers on all fronts.

Trading crude oil futures has evolved into one of the most dynamic and potentially lucrative areas of the financial markets. From its origins in the 1980s to the speculative booms of the 21st century, the oil futures contract has proven its resilience and relevance. Despite inherent risks, the contract’s liquidity, volatility, and global importance continue to attract traders and investors from around the world.

Choosing the right broker can significantly enhance one’s oil futures trading experience. Cannon Trading Company, with its cutting-edge free trading platforms, exceptional customer service, and seasoned brokers, provides an optimal environment for trading crude oil futures successfully.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Significant Surge? 113^26 Target Looms as Treasury Notes Eye Bullish Breakout, Micro Grains

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Trump Speaks Tomorrow

During Market Hours!

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Treasury Notes, Micro Grains

treasury notes

 

Tomorrow should be another volatile day!

With Trump speaking, Fed speaker, ADP weekly claims and crude oil inventories – we suspect the current volatility will continue.

On a different note – MICRO GRAINS are available

MICRO GRAINS

micro grains 3

After the first three weeks of trading, we are approaching just under a half million Micro Grains contracts traded for Micro Corn, Micro Soybean, Micro Soybean Oil, Micro Soybean Meal, and Micro Wheat, as well as some other quick hits below.

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform!

FREE DEMO HERE

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 2nd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Class 3 Milk Futures

7 Shocking Pitfalls of Ignoring Class 3 Milk Futures in Your Trading Strategy

In the dynamic and multifaceted world of commodities trading, class 3 milk futures stand out as a unique and critical financial instrument. Designed primarily for dairy producers, processors, and traders, these futures contracts are integral to hedging against price volatility in the dairy market. As the global dairy industry evolves with increasing complexity, understanding the nuances of class 3 milk futures becomes imperative for traders, commodity brokers, and institutional investors. This paper explores the foundational aspects of class 3 milk futures, distinguishes them from other dairy-related futures, provides projections for the next three trimesters of 2025, and examines why Cannon Trading Company and its state-of-the-art platform, CannonX, are leading choices for futures trading.

What are Class 3 Milk Futures?

Class 3 milk futures are standardized financial contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) that represent 200,000 pounds of milk, priced per hundredweight (cwt). These contracts are primarily utilized to hedge and speculate on the price movements of milk used in the production of cheese, which is why they are directly influenced by the supply and demand for cheese in the United States.

Milk is categorized into different classes based on its end-use. Class 3 milk pertains specifically to milk used in the manufacturing of hard cheeses such as cheddar. The price of class 3 milk is influenced by several factors including cheese prices, butterfat content, and protein values. Traders engaging in class 3 milk futures are essentially betting on the fluctuations of these key components within the dairy market.

The Relevance of “Class 3” in Futures Contracts

The term “class 3” in futures contracts denotes the categorization established by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) under the Federal Milk Marketing Orders (FMMO). Milk is classified into four main categories:

  • Class 1: Milk used for fluid consumption.
  • Class 2: Milk used for soft products like yogurt and cottage cheese.
  • Class 3: Milk used for hard cheeses.
  • Class 4: Milk used for butter and dry milk products.

Class 3 milk is particularly volatile due to the fluctuating demand and supply conditions in the cheese market. The futures contracts based on this class enable participants to manage risk associated with such volatility effectively.

Differentiation from Other Dairy Futures Contracts

Class 3 milk futures differ from other dairy futures contracts such as class 4 milk futures, nonfat dry milk futures, and butter futures in several key ways:

  • Underlying Commodity: Class 3 futures are based on milk used specifically for cheese production, whereas class 4 milk futures pertain to butter and nonfat dry milk.
  • Volatility: Due to the perishable nature of cheese and its demand dynamics, class 3 milk futures are generally more volatile, attracting speculators looking for short-term gains as well as hedgers needing robust risk management.
  • Pricing Mechanism: Class 3 milk prices are calculated using the cheese, dry whey, and butterfat prices published by the USDA. This differs from the pricing mechanisms used in class 4 and other dairy futures.
  • Market Participants: Class 3 milk futures attract a unique set of market players, including cheese manufacturers, large-scale dairy farms, institutional commodity brokers, and even speculative traders focusing on agriculture.

Historical Trends in Class 3 Milk Futures

Historically, class 3 milk futures have demonstrated notable price swings tied closely to macroeconomic indicators and agricultural policies. Over the past decade, prices have fluctuated between lows of around $12/cwt to highs exceeding $24/cwt. This variability often correlates with shifts in feed costs, weather patterns, and international dairy demand.

The COVID-19 pandemic further exposed the volatility inherent in dairy markets. Disruptions in supply chains, changes in consumer behavior, and export inconsistencies led to sharp price adjustments. These historical lessons underscore the critical role class 3 milk futures play in providing price certainty and risk mitigation in commodities trading.

Global Influence on Class 3 Milk Futures

The global market exerts considerable influence on class 3 milk futures. Key international developments—such as EU dairy subsidies, New Zealand milk production, and Chinese import policies—can ripple through U.S. markets.

  • Export Demand: Nations such as Mexico, China, and South Korea are among the largest importers of U.S. dairy. Rising global cheese consumption can increase demand for class 3 milk, pushing futures prices upward.
  • Geopolitical Events: Trade agreements and sanctions impact dairy exports and influence price dynamics. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) continues to affect milk futures through tariff structures and import quotas.
  • Climate Change: Extreme weather events across the globe affect feed availability and animal health, influencing production costs and, consequently, class 3 milk futures prices.

Risk Management with Class 3 Milk Futures

Managing risk is essential in futures trading, and class 3 milk futures offer an efficient tool for this purpose. Dairy producers use these contracts to lock in prices, securing future revenue and planning capital expenditures more accurately. Processors and distributors also hedge to stabilize their input costs.

Strategies commonly employed include:

  • Hedging through Direct Contracts: Locking in sales or purchase prices for future milk deliveries.
  • Options on Futures: These provide flexibility and are used to protect against downside risk while preserving upside potential.
  • Spread Trading: Traders take advantage of price differences between months or related commodities to mitigate risk.

These strategies allow participants to insulate themselves from adverse price movements, turning volatility into opportunity.

Forecasting Class 3 Milk Futures for 2025

First Trimester (January to April 2025)

Seasonal trends suggest an increase in class 3 milk futures prices during the early months of the year due to winter production slowdowns and elevated holiday cheese demand. Weather conditions affecting feed quality may also contribute to reduced milk output, tightening supply.

Second Trimester (May to August 2025)

Spring flush traditionally brings increased milk production, which could result in lower class 3 prices. However, if export demand for cheese rises, it may mitigate some downward pressure. Futures traders should monitor USDA reports and global cheese market dynamics during this period.

Third Trimester (September to December 2025)

The lead-up to the holiday season often sees increased cheese demand, leading to higher class 3 milk prices. In 2025, with anticipated growth in foodservice and retail sectors, this trend may be more pronounced, presenting a bullish outlook for class 3 milk futures contracts.

Cannon Trading Company and CannonX: Leaders in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has cemented its reputation as a premier commodity broker through decades of exemplary service, advanced technology, and a client-first approach. Particularly for those involved in trading futures like class 3 milk futures, CannonX—the firm’s proprietary platform—offers unmatched capabilities.

  • Experienced Brokers: One of the most distinguishing features of Cannon Trading is the accessibility of seasoned brokers with decades of experience. Clients speak directly to knowledgeable professionals—there is no automated answering service acting as a barrier. This personalized touch ensures informed decision-making in real time.
  • Top-Rated Service: With numerous 5 out of 5-star TrustPilot rankings, Cannon Trading Company has proven its commitment to customer satisfaction. Clients consistently praise its transparency, educational resources, and trading support.
  • Best Trading Platform Futures: CannonX ranks among the best trading platform futures options on the market. With its intuitive interface, real-time analytics, and broad asset class integration, it supports all kinds of futures contracts, including class 3 milk futures.
  • Free Top-Performing Platforms: Traders gain access to a wide selection of FREE, top-performing trading platforms tailored to various strategies and preferences. Whether you’re interested in mobile trading, algorithmic strategies, or manual order entry, Cannon has a solution.
  • Industry Trust and Compliance: Cannon Trading Company maintains an exemplary reputation with industry regulators, underscoring its integrity and commitment to ethical commodity trading practices.
  • Commodities Trading Education: Cannon provides a rich library of resources—from webinars to tutorials—that equip clients with the tools needed for successful commodities trading. These materials cover everything from class 3 milk futures to broader futures trading methodologies.
  • Scalable Solutions for All Traders: Whether you’re a retail trader new to trading futures or a seasoned commodity broker managing institutional accounts, Cannon Trading Company offers flexible solutions that scale with your needs.

As the commodities trading landscape continues to evolve, class 3 milk futures remain a vital tool for hedging and speculation in the dairy sector. Understanding their unique attributes, market dynamics, and forecasted trends for 2025 is crucial for effective trading. Cannon Trading Company, with its robust platform CannonX, emerges as a superior choice for both novice and seasoned traders. From expert brokers just a call away to unparalleled customer satisfaction and regulatory trust, Cannon sets the benchmark in futures trading.

In an increasingly complex market, success in commodities trading depends not only on knowledge and timing but also on the right platform and support system. For anyone looking to succeed in class 3 milk futures, Cannon Trading Company offers not just a trading platform, but a strategic partnership.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading(Instagram) 

@cannontrading(X)

Cannon Trading on Facebook

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3 Explosive, Novel Opportunities in Bitcoin & Cocoa Futures You Can’t Miss

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1235

May Cocoa, Bitcoin Futures

cocoa 2

  • The Week Ahead – Inflation Data, Earnings & Housing
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Bitcoin Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Cocoa

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini SP500 intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First week of Spring!

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Where will volatility come from next week?

 

Highlights next week will include more Housing data and plenty of “Soft Data” about consumer confidence and hard data about inflation. Earnings are in the bottom of the Ninth inning, I have included below the largest cap stocks reporting next week, you will agree: these should not have much of an impact on the price of any of the indices.

Finally, the FED Speakers are back! 9 separate speeches, the times are below.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. McCormick Spice co
  • Tue. Gamestop
  • Wed. Cintas, Paychex,inc, Dollartree
  • Thu. Lululemon
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Bostic 12:45 CDT, Barr 2:10 CDT,
  • Tues.     Kugler 7:40 CDT, Williams 8:05 CDT ,
  • Wed.     Kashkari 9:00 CDT, Musalem 9:10 CDT
  • Thu.      Barkin 3:30 CDT
  • Fri.       Barr 11:15 CDT, Bostic 2:30 CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Chicago Fed Nat’ l activity index, S&P Global composite PMI
  • Tue. Redbook, Case Schiller Home Price index, Consumer confidence, New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg. Index,
  • Wed. Durable Goods, EIA Crude Stocks
  • Thur. GDP Final (consensus 2.3 % ann growth rate) , Core PCE (consensus 2.7%) Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, EIA Nat Gas.
  • Fri. Core PCE M o M, Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Futures 102: Introduction to Cryptocurrency futures

Course overview

Cryptocurrency futures, available at CME Group, provide market participants with multiple products for cryptocurrency risk management or market expression. Expand your understanding of the cryptocurrency markets, products, and underlying reference rates. This course covers:

 

  • Bitcoin

  • Ether
  • Micro Bitcoin

  • Micro Ether
  • Options on Bitcoin futures

  • BTIC on Cryptocurrency futures

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May Cocoa

May cocoa completed its first downside PriceCount objective early this month and spent time trading sideways in a consolidation trade. Now, the chart is threatening to break down again where new sustained lows would project a possible slide to the second count in the 7130 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Momentum Trading System

System Description

Market Sector: Stock Indexes

Markets Traded:  ES ,

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Tradevaries

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $19,500

System Description: 

An ES day trading system currently traded by the developer who has 15+ years’ experience. The system seeks to catch significant intra-day moves (long or short) on days when market movement is expected to be above average.

Short positions trade one contract but long positions trade two contracts to reflect a lower risk/reward profile. Correlation to the S&P500 index is very low and the system is designed to perform in both bull and bear markets. The system is robust with simple logic and averages 5-6 trades a month without the risk of overnight positions.

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$20,000

COST

Developer Fee per contract: $145.00 Monthly Subscription

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Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 24th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Triple Witching Friday; Powerful Market Shift! 3 Crucial Facts About Triple Witching Friday

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Triple Witching!

triple witching

Triple Witching tomorrow!

Stock Index March contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, March 21st (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any March futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

Triple Witching!

FRONT MONTH IS NOW JUNE, the symbol is M25, example for MICRO mini SP is MESM25

Things to know about Triple Witching

A “triple witching,” is NOT without risk for holders of futures and futures option contracts.

A triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of stock options, index futures, and index futures options that occurs four times a year.

The first triple witching of 2025 will take place this Friday. Futures Stock indices and futures Options cease to allow trading at the opening bell of the Cash Stock market and settle, NOT to the final traded price at that time but, at a fixed settlement price based on where all the stocks making up the index have opened, this becomes the cash settled price for those contracts not offset prior to the trading halt.

Triple Witching!

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Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 21st, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC: Shocking Decision Just Sent Gold Soaring: 3 Big Reasons Why

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Market Highlights

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

The Day After FOMC

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FOMC Meeting Update  

The FOMC left interest rates unchanged today.  In language newly added to its policy statement, “Uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased.”  Surveys of consumers and businesses, corporate earnings, and financial markets, albeit “soft data,” have suggested that the economic ground may be shifting beneath our feet.  Last Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary survey of consumer sentiment for March sank for the third straight month, showing sharply lower expectations for the future – regardless of respondents’ party affiliations.  Warnings have percolated from airlines and retailers, i.e. Dollar General and Walmart, about underwhelming consumer demand.  Outplacement firm Challenger Gray & Christmas announced layoffs reached their highest levels since the summer of 2020, when the pandemic was in full force — and the highest level for the month of February since 2009. That’s all for the FOMC for now.

Metals:

Gold prices edged higher to hover near all-time highs on the heels of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s post announcement press conference.

Daily Levels for March 20th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Future Trading Brokers

Futures trading is a complex and dynamic sector of the financial markets, requiring traders to navigate volatility, leverage, and strategic execution. While many traders master the basics, advanced futures traders often encounter unexpected challenges. In this article, we explore ten uncommon problems in trading futures and provide detailed, risk-assessed solutions. We will also examine why futures trading has been a cornerstone of global financial markets and how Cannon Trading Company, a legacy commodity brokerage firm based in Los Angeles since 1988, has successfully weathered decades of market innovation.

  1. Latency Arbitrage Risks in High-Frequency Trading

  2. Problem: Even sophisticated futures traders underestimate how milliseconds of latency can impact execution in high-frequency trading (HFT). Certain firms exploit minor discrepancies in price feeds, engaging in latency arbitrage against slower participants.

    Solution: Traders should utilize direct market access (DMA) with co-located servers near exchanges to reduce execution time.

    Risk Assessment: While co-location fees can be high, the alternative—being consistently front-run by faster traders—can lead to significantly larger financial losses over time.

    Why This Solution? Compared to conventional retail brokerage solutions, DMA provides superior execution speeds and minimizes the risk of adversarial HFT strategies exploiting slower market orders.

  1. Over-Optimization in Algorithmic Trading

  2. Problem: Traders using algorithmic strategies often curve-fit their models to historical data, leading to poor real-world performance.

    Solution: Implement walk-forward analysis and Monte Carlo simulations to test robustness against unseen market conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Over-reliance on historical data increases drawdown risk. Diversifying strategy inputs can mitigate failures in live markets.

    Why This Solution? Unlike standard backtesting, walk-forward analysis accounts for evolving market structures, reducing reliance on outdated data patterns.

  1. Misinterpreting Order Flow in Thin Markets

  2. Problem: Many futures traders misjudge liquidity in thinly traded contracts, leading to unexpected price slippage.

    Solution: Use iceberg orders and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) algorithms to execute large positions more efficiently.

    Risk Assessment: While VWAP orders can prevent market impact, improper execution timing can still lead to adverse selection.

    Why This Solution? Compared to manual execution, VWAP minimizes slippage in illiquid futures markets, ensuring better entry and exit efficiency.

  1. Neglecting Cross-Exchange Settlement Risks

  2. Problem: Traders using multiple futures trading brokers across exchanges sometimes fail to account for cross-exchange margin calls.

    Solution: Consolidate accounts with a prime futures broker that offers centralized risk assessment.

    Risk Assessment: Single brokerage consolidation increases counterparty risk, but decentralized positions create exposure to conflicting margin policies.

    Why This Solution? Prime brokerage mitigates liquidity fragmentation, reducing inefficiencies associated with collateral management.

  1. Hidden Costs in E-Mini Futures Trading

  2. Problem: Advanced traders often overlook exchange fees, data costs, and hidden liquidity provider markups when trading e-mini futures.

    Solution: Utilize a cost-analysis dashboard from a futures trading broker that provides transparency on fees.

    Risk Assessment: A trader might reduce cost-per-trade but risk losing access to critical order execution tools from premium platforms.

    Why This Solution? Full cost visibility allows better strategy refinement, optimizing profitability over time.

  1. The Fallacy of Static Hedging Strategies

  2. Problem: Many futures traders assume static hedging (e.g., long S&P 500 futures against short crude oil futures) will always perform consistently.

    Solution: Utilize dynamic delta hedging to adjust exposure as volatility fluctuates.

    Risk Assessment: Dynamic hedging requires frequent adjustments, increasing transaction costs.

    Why This Solution? Unlike static hedging, dynamic approaches account for changing market correlations, preventing unexpected losses.

  1. Unexpected Margin Call Liquidity Gaps

  2. Problem: Traders sometimes find themselves liquidated at extreme prices due to margin calls during low-liquidity periods.

    Solution: Implement preemptive margin buffer strategies and monitor overnight funding conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Holding excess capital reduces leverage efficiency but prevents forced liquidation at unfavorable prices.

    Why This Solution? Unlike reactive capital injections, preemptive margin buffers safeguard against adverse execution.

  1. Algorithmic Spoofing and Market Manipulation Risks

  2. Problem: Spoofing—placing fake orders to manipulate prices—can create deceptive liquidity illusions.

    Solution: Use proprietary spoof-detection indicators and confirm trades with time-and-sales analysis.

    Risk Assessment: False positives can lead to over-cautious trading, reducing profit opportunities.

    Why This Solution? Unlike conventional volume analysis, spoof-detection tools actively filter out manipulative activity.

  1. Execution Disruptions from Exchange Halts

  2. Problem: Circuit breakers and exchange halts can trap traders in highly leveraged positions.

    Solution: Diversify execution venues and employ hedge orders in correlated markets.

    Risk Assessment: Spreading orders across exchanges increases counterparty exposure, requiring careful counterparty risk management.

    Why This Solution? A multi-venue approach ensures continued execution flexibility, reducing exposure to exchange-specific disruptions.

  1. The Illusion of Automated Trading Autonomy

  2. Problem: Traders often assume once an algorithm is deployed, it requires little oversight.

    Solution: Employ real-time risk monitoring with automated trade kill-switch mechanisms.

    Risk Assessment: Kill-switches may occasionally halt profitable trades, but they prevent catastrophic automation failures.

    Why This Solution? Unlike passive oversight, active monitoring ensures rogue algorithms don’t cause unchecked losses.

Why Futures Trading Has Thrived for Centuries

Futures trading has been a fundamental part of global financial markets because it provides essential functions—price discovery, hedging, and liquidity. From the early rice futures exchanges in 18th-century Japan to modern electronic markets, futures have enabled risk transfer between producers, speculators, and hedgers. Despite technological advances, the core principles of futures trading remain intact: efficient risk management and speculative opportunities.

Cannon Trading Company: A Legacy Futures Brokerage

Established in 1988, Cannon Trading Company has endured decades of market evolution through innovation and deep market expertise. As one of the longest-standing futures trading brokers in Los Angeles, Cannon Trading provides advanced trading tools, superior risk management solutions, and comprehensive brokerage services. By adapting to technological advancements while maintaining a strong client focus, Cannon Trading has remained a reliable partner for professional traders navigating the ever-changing landscape of futures trading.

Understanding and mitigating uncommon trading challenges can significantly enhance a futures trader’s success. By implementing advanced solutions tailored to each issue, traders can optimize performance and reduce risk. As evidenced by firms like Cannon Trading Company, longevity in the futures trading industry is achieved through adaptability, transparency, and an unwavering commitment to innovation.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

 

Standard and Poor 500’s Brutal 10% Drop: Is a Rebound or a Bigger Crash Coming?

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Markets Highlights

by

Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Standard and Poor 500 Futures: Market Next Move?

standard and poor 500

It was only three weeks ago that the March E-mini Standard and Poor 500 futures contract hit an all-time high.  Markets have been dealt a blow by growth and recession fears, the unpredictability of trade policy, and risks to sector-wide investment and spending.

Whether it’s a good buying opportunity or another growl towards a bear market is still up for debate, the Standard and Poor 500 index futures contract fell into correction territory yesterday, registering a decline of 10% in the span of less than a month.  While the Standard and Poor 500 futures contract trimmed some of the losses, big questions are still swirling over what lies ahead. The Trump administration is attempting to engineer a long-term structural change to the U.S. economy.  The reality of that goal is hotly debated, but it is no doubt taking a toll on the short-term animal spirits that enveloped the market since November.

Here’s a 10-point checklist that will determine the market’s future trajectory:

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Daily Levels for March 13th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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