A naturally found substance, crude oil is also one of the most traded commodities. It is crude oil that is further refined so as to make petroleum products. Just like with every other commodity, crude oil too has its specific ticker symbol, contract value and margin.
The margin is variable as it keeps changing as per the volatility in the market as well as according to the current value of the contract. If you are interested in crude oil trading or are already trading in this commodity, it is important for you to know that over the past 50 years the price of this commodity has been denominated in U.S. Dollars.
At Cannon Trading we help you trade crude oil at some of the best day trading margin rates. Our brokers will do their best to keep you aware of the market happenings to help you exercise call and put options carefully. In order to get more information on crude oil and commodities, read this category archive blog. Please feel free to share this information.
Trading Resource of the Week – Live Breaking News Audio Service
Hot Market of the Week – July/November Beans Spread
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – WTI Futures Trading Challenge
WTI Futures Trading Challenge
March 26-31, 2023
The global benchmark for crude oil is fabulous at 40
Take part in our special Trading Challenge to honor the 40th anniversary of WTI Crude Oil futures. Practice trading in a simulated environment with the most liquid crude oil futures benchmark in the world. Use our established, time-tested market with around-the-clock liquidity and global participation as you get to know our suite of WTI contracts in a risk-free environment that mimics live markets.
Learn why WTI has amassed worldwide interest
Have a gas as you explore WTI futures and simulate trading with the world’s most liquid oil contract. Receive daily education lessons from CME Group’s Owain Johnson, Managing Director of Research and Product Development. Gain valuable experience in a simulated environment while competing for a top spot.
Prizes for eligible participants
The top three finishers for this challenge will earn cash prizes. The top 40 finishers will also receive a complimentary copy of the recent book written by Owain Johnson, titled 40 Classic Crude Oil Trades.
This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
July/Nov Beans Spread: The July November been spread has resumed its rally in a new high. If sustained this move would project a run to the third PriceCount objective to the $1.87 area
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Count ‘em: nine in a row. That’s how many meetings the Federal Reserve has increased its key interest rate. As of today’s .25-point increase, the federal funds rate target range stands at 4.75%-5.00%, the highest level since September 2007. The vote by all 11 members of the Federal Open Market Committee was unanimous. Clearly, the bank runs that toppled Silicon Vally Bank and roiled the banking industry have been front and center in the financial world the last two weeks, but the situation fazed Fed officials little if at all. “The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient,” said the prepared policy statement released at 1:00 P.M., Central Time today. Fighting inflation, it seems, remains the Central Bank’s focus.
Metals
On Monday, gold futures (basis April) pierced through $2,000 per ounce intraday for the first time in a year as the U.S. banking crisis spread to Europe with Credit Suisse, a preeminent name in global investment banking, sought help from Switzerland’s central bank and then put itself up for sale. This marked a ±$18,000 per 100-oz. futures contract move in just eight trading sessions from March 9.
Grains
Wheat continued its ±8-month slide from its multi-year spike high above $13/bushel on the heels of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to lows not seen since July ’21 as traders see improvement in U.S. winter wheat crop conditions and a lack of significant weather issues across key northern hemisphere wheat producers. The front month May contract closed today at it’s life-of-contract low of $6.22 ¾ per bushel.
Energy
Crude oil continued its almost 9-month decline in prices from over $120 per barrel last June to trade below $65 per barrel (basis May) on Monday, including a ±$15 / $15,000 per contract fall from March 7, scarcely two weeks.
Natural gas basis its May futures contract tested 32-month lows yesterday, threatening to punch through $2.00 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). With the North American winter heating season approaching its end, residential, commercial, and industrial gas demand has been on the decline.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The global benchmark for crude oil is fabulous at 40
Take part in our special Trading Challenge to honor the 40th anniversary of WTI Crude Oil futures. Practice trading in a simulated environment with the most liquid crude oil futures benchmark in the world. Use our established, time-tested market with around-the-clock liquidity and global participation as you get to know our suite of WTI contracts in a risk-free environment that mimics live markets.
Learn why WTI has amassed worldwide interest
Have a gas as you explore WTI futures and simulate trading with the world’s most liquid oil contract. Receive daily education lessons from CME Group’s Owain Johnson, Managing Director of Research and Product Development. Gain valuable experience in a simulated environment while competing for a top spot.
Prizes for eligible participants
The top three finishers for this challenge will earn cash prizes. The top 40 finishers will also receive a complimentary copy of the recent book written by Owain Johnson, titled 40 Classic Crude Oil Trades.
This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
April Gold: April gold corrected after completing the first upside PriceCount objective in January now the chart is threatening to resume its rally where a sustained high would project a run to the second count in the 2052 area
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
While yesterday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index showed inflation continues to slow from its readings in 2022, CPI readings, the pace of declined slowed and a wide array prices stayed elevated, including food, clothes (women’s apparel dropped slightly), rent and hotel rooms. Once again, a key economic report has shown that the road back to 2.0% inflation, on which the Federal Reserve is committed to following, is going to be lengthy and rugged. It certainly leaves Fed in a hawkish posture.
Be alert: the release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index is on deck for tomorrow. The report comes out at 7:30 A.M., Central Time.
Markets:
Metals:
Gold (April) has declined ±$130 (a ±$13,000 move) since its Feb. 1 intraday high of $1,970.80 / oz. Today’s $1839.30 intraday low sets it back to prices not seen since the first of the for the calendar year.
For most of the last few months, U.S. corn prices have justifiably focused on crop conditions, including obviously yield and quality, in Argentina and Brazil, which have continually come in far from ideal. As a result, the markets have priced in current and further crop damage coming into the South America harvest. That’s about to shift with the start of the crop year here in the U.S. Forecasts for planted acreage, demand, ending stocks, stocks/usage ratio – all tracked by the USDA and sized up by traders – are about to take center stage. As crops from the southern hemisphere are “made,” if little or no further surprises hit, look for CBOT corn prices to settle in for news of this year’s U.S. crop, starting with Prospective Plantings late next month.
Despite the uneven decline of crude oil prices over the last 8 months from their ±$105 per barrel highs of last June (basis March) down to a few recent forays to the low 70’s per barrel, crude oil looks to still be focused on growing Chinese demand. As we approach the traditional U.S. driving season in May, look for recent lows as meaningful signs of support.
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Grains / Soy complex: For Soybeans and corn interests, many eyes are on South America, where because their crop year runs counter to here in the U.S., large producers like Argentina and Brazil are approaching harvest. Brazil is set for a bumper soybean crop. Argentina is experiencing drought conditions which are more adversely affecting their corn crop than their soybeans. Traders believe the soybean crop can recover more significantly from the heat and drought as compared with the corn crop.
Gold & Silver: precious metals analysts often look to ETF holdings for guidance on gold and silver futures prices, eyeing inflows and outflows for developing patterns. To wit, both gold and silver ETF holdings are sitting above their levels at the start of the year
Energy:Crude oil traded to a 4-day low this A.M. The likely catalyst could be Chinese energy demand, which seems to be linked to COVID infection rates in that country, whish show little signs of peaking yet. Support at $80.00 per barrel (March contract) looks vulnerable unless we see some confirmation of improving conditions inside China.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
General: Even in the face of solid COVID uncertainty for China, a persistent fear that the Fed will overtighten and that a recession is looming here in the U.S., there are some green shoots (thank you to former U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont for coining that term back in ‘91) to indicate signs of improvement for the economy, including growing sentiment that the beginning of the end for rising interest rates – and inflation – is on the horizon.
Take commodity prices for example.
Several that are in tight supply are now responding by tracking higher as a result of modest improvements in demand for their manufactured products. Copper prices – historically viewed as a leading indicator – are up over 30% in the last six months, including a ±14% increase this month so far. Silver is up ±25% since Sept. to year-ago prices around $24/oz. Crude oil has pressed upwards above ±$80/barrel, ±$10 higher this month and on par with prices from last Feb.
At the same time, these higher prices for industrial products have helped keep inflation readings – CPI, PPI notably – stubbornly high with only slight signs of downward movement in the last few releases. This is almost certainly narrowing the runway on which the “Fed Pivot” will eventually use to try landing the economy as softly as possible this year.
Energies: Heads up! As opposed to most weeks when they’re released on Wednesday and Thursday, this week’s Energy Information Agency reports on natural gas storage and crude oil supplies will be released on the same day: tomorrow at 9:30 A.M. and 10:00 A.M., Central Time, respectively. That’s natural gas storage first, followed by crude oil supplies. The Martin Luther King Day holiday effected this schedule change.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
After starting the year near $72 per barrel, by June, West Texas crude oil (Jan. ’23 futures contract) climbed to its highs above $108 per barrel. Today, Jan. crude oil traded to an intraday low of $71.75, a ±$36 per barrel (±$36,000) leap and fall.
Not to be out don’t, after breaching $10.00 per million British thermal units in early August, natural gas traded below $5.34 intraday yesterday, a whopping ±46% cut in the asset’s value and a ±$46,000 move for a single futures contract (Jan. ’23 futures contract).
Metals:
Albeit experiencing a slight correction this week so far, gold (Feb. ’23 futures contract) managed to hold nearly all of its ±$170 rally through $1,800 per ounce off its multi-year lows of early November near $1,635 per ounce – a ±$17,000 move in one month.
Announcements:
Keep an eye on the calendar for important U.S. government reports this Friday, starting with the Labor Department’s release of its Producer Price Index showing the cost of wholesale goods and services. The reading reflects what companies pay for supplies such as grains, fuel, metals, lumber, packaging and so forth. This is a key inflation gauge in the midst of four-decade high wholesale prices. Release time: 7:30 A.M., Central Time.
Also on Friday, the USDA will release its Crop Production Report along with its World Supply/Demand report (likely the more critical). It’s delivered at 11:00 A.M., Central Time.
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 12-08-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Feb. Gold #GC_F March Silver #SI_F Jan. Crude Oil #CL-F March Bonds #ZB_F March 10 yr #ZN_F March Corn #ZC_F March Wheat #ZW_F March Beans #ZS_F March SoyMeal #ZM_F Jan. Nat Gas #NG_F March Coffee #KC_F March Cocoa #CC_F March Sugar #SB_F March Cotton #CT_F March Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Busy Wednesday tomorrow as traders will listen closely and try to analyze the FOMC minutes of the last FOMC meeting. Before that retail sales numbers will be watched closely as well.
9:30 AM Central time we will have crude oil numbers in a volatile energy sector.
Did you know that the MICRO crude Oil contract is trading with good volume?
At times when volatility is high, it is not a bad idea to consider the smaller, 1/10th the size micro CRUDE Oil contract.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Crude Oil Trading Updates, Opportunities and Risks:
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
Have you had an opportunity to trade the financially settled Micro WTI Crude oil contract? I have and this contract is just what the doctor ordered. When you are faced with the high price and volatility we have seen over the past few years you won’t have to make a decision to either be out or be in the WTI Crude oil contract where we have seen $10,000.00 daily price swings.
With the Micro, which is one tenth the size of the 1000 barrel WTI Crude contract or 100 barrels only, each dollar move per contract in the price of Crude oil is $100.00 rather than $1000.00. What this allows you to do is adjust the amount of leverage you want and not expose yourself to the volatility of the larger CL contract.
The symbol is MCL U22 for the current September contract.
According to the CMEGroup, 33,000 unique traders have come to the CME to trade this contract since it was listed a year ago. The CME Group declares traders from over 145 countries trade the Micro crude oil contract and traders from over 33 countries have traded the new Options contracts on the Micro Crude contract.
Transaction Costs are inexpensive for this contract as exchange fees are .50 per contract.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
08-01-2022
Weekly Levels
Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.