Future S&P 500

Trading futures, particularly the future S&P 500 contracts, offers substantial opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. However, beyond common concerns like leverage and margin requirements, advanced traders may face complex and lesser-known issues that can significantly impact their strategies. Understanding these uncommon problems is crucial for futures traders, and finding effective solutions requires experience, insight, and risk management expertise. This article outlines ten uncommon challenges in trading futures, ranking multiple solutions for each in terms of effectiveness and risk mitigation.

10 Uncommon Problems Advanced Traders May Not Know About in Trading S&P 500 Futures

  1. Hidden Liquidity Gaps in After-Hours Trading

  2. While the E-mini futures and other S&P 500 derivatives appear liquid during regular market hours, unexpected liquidity gaps occur in after-hours trading, leading to severe slippage.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Limit Orders – The best way to mitigate this risk is to strictly use limit orders, ensuring that trades execute at predetermined prices. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Market Depth with DOM (Depth of Market) Tools – This allows traders to see actual liquidity and adjust strategies accordingly. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Only During High Liquidity Periods – If possible, stick to high-liquidity windows (e.g., overlap between European and U.S. sessions). (Moderate risk)
    4. Utilize Market Makers or Algorithmic Trading Strategies – Some market makers provide liquidity in off-hours, but it requires algorithmic expertise. (High risk)
    1. Sudden Margin Requirement Changes

    Futures brokers and clearinghouses can change margin requirements unexpectedly, affecting capital allocation.

    Solutions:

    1. Keep Excess Margin in Reserve – The safest way to combat this is to maintain excess margin in accounts to withstand unexpected changes. (Low risk)
    2. Use Brokers with Predictable Margin Policies – Some futures trading brokers offer transparency in advance about margin shifts. (Moderate risk)
    3. Hedge Positions with Options – Using options to hedge S&P 500 futures can minimize exposure to margin increases. (High risk due to premium costs)
    1. Volatility-Induced Stop Hunting

    Some traders notice that during high volatility, stop orders are frequently triggered just before the price reverses.

    Solutions:

    1. Place Stops Beyond Key Levels – Understanding market psychology allows traders to place stops beyond resistance/support levels. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Time-Based Exits Instead of Stop Orders – This prevents premature exits but requires discipline. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade with Larger Capital to Avoid Stops Altogether – High capital can weather swings but is capital-intensive. (High risk)
    1. Decoupling of S&P 500 Futures from the Index

    At times, futures prices diverge significantly from the underlying index.

    Solutions:

    1. Arbitrage with ETFs (SPY) or Other Instruments – Professional traders arbitrage these discrepancies for profit. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Premium/Discount Metrics on Bloomberg – Awareness of fair value premium can guide better entries. (Moderate risk)
    3. Avoid Trading During Key Economic Announcements – Futures prices often decouple during major news events. (High risk if mismanaged)
    1. Technical Failure of Trading Platforms

    Even with the best futures trading brokers, platform failures can occur during crucial moments.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Redundant Trading Accounts – Keeping accounts with multiple brokers mitigates risk. (Low risk)
    2. Automate Emergency Phone Orders with Broker Support – Calling a broker to execute trades manually during downtime can save losses. (Moderate risk)
    3. Use Cloud-Based Trading Over Locally Installed Software – Some traders rely on cloud platforms, but they still face latency issues. (High risk)
    1. Execution Delays During Flash Crashes

    High-frequency traders (HFTs) dominate the market, sometimes causing delays in execution.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Marketable Limit Orders – These ensure fast execution while controlling price slippage. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Order Flow Through Level II Data – Helps gauge when to enter/exit trades. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Away from Peak HFT Periods – Some traders avoid key HFT periods, but it limits trading opportunities. (High risk)
    1. Exchange Circuit Breaker Halts

    Trading halts due to extreme movements can trap traders in positions.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Hedging Strategies with Inverse ETFs – This helps mitigate loss during trading halts. (Low risk)
    2. Keep Cash Reserves for Post-Halt Trading – Allows capitalizing on post-halt movements. (Moderate risk)
    3. Preemptively Close Positions Before Expected Volatility – Difficult to time accurately. (High risk)
    1. Frontrunning by Large Institutions

    Institutional traders often place massive orders before retail traders, shifting the market.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Iceberg Orders – Hides trade size from the market. (Low risk)
    2. Trade During Off-Peak Hours – Reduces exposure to large players. (Moderate risk)
    3. Follow Institutional Order Flow Analysis – Helps mimic large orders but is difficult. (High risk)
    1. Tax Complexity in Futures Trading

    Futures taxation (60/40 rule) can be confusing and impact net returns.

    Solutions:

    1. Work with a Tax Professional Specializing in Futures – Ensures correct tax handling. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Tax-Efficient Trading Structures – Certain entities reduce tax burdens. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Through Tax-Advantaged Accounts – Limited accessibility for all traders. (High risk)
    1. Broker Insolvency Risk

    Not all futures trading brokers are financially stable, leading to potential fund losses.

    Solutions:

    1. Trade with Well-Capitalized Brokers like Cannon Trading – Choosing established brokers minimizes risks. (Low risk)
    2. Use Segregated Accounts for Funds – Reduces risk in case of broker collapse. (Moderate risk)
    3. Split Trading Capital Among Multiple Brokers – Adds complexity but mitigates single-point failures. (High risk)

The Legacy of Futures Trading and Cannon Trading Company

Futures trading has been an integral part of financial markets for centuries due to its role in hedging, speculation, and price discovery. The commodity brokerage sector has evolved, but firms like Cannon Trading Company, a premier futures broker since 1988, have consistently adapted to industry innovations. By prioritizing trader support, transparent execution, and compliance with NFA regulations, Cannon Trading remains a trusted name in futures trading. The firm’s resilience through market shifts, technological advances, and regulatory changes underscores why trading futures continues to be a cornerstone of global financial markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures (commonly referred to as S&P 500 Futures Contracts) are among the most heavily traded derivatives in global markets. As a vital tool for hedging, speculation, and portfolio diversification, these contracts allow traders to take positions on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures before market opening and even when traditional stock exchanges are closed.

Traders and financial news consumers know the basics of futures on S&P 500, but there are many obscure facts, forgotten trading techniques, and historical trades that can enrich one’s understanding. Below, we delve into ten lesser-known facts about SPX Index Futures, examine real-world case studies, discuss risk potential, and explain why Cannon Trading Company is an exceptional brokerage for futures traders of all experience levels.

10 Obscure Facts About Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures

  1. The First S&P 500 Futures Contract Had a Different Underlying
    The S&P 500 Future was first launched on April 21, 1982, by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). However, the early contracts were not directly based on the S&P 500 Index but instead on a related basket of stocks. Over time, adjustments were made to better reflect the actual futures on S&P 500.
  2. The Notorious 1987 Crash and Circuit Breakers
    On October 19, 1987—Black Monday—the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures played a pivotal role in accelerating the crash. The market saw a 22.6% drop in one day, leading to the introduction of circuit breakers—automatic halts in futures trading e-mini futures to prevent catastrophic sell-offs.
  3. Trading Pit Hand Signals Still Exist
    While most of the trading today happens electronically, remnants of the old commodity brokerage system remain. Some veteran traders in Chicago and New York still use outdated hand signals to communicate, despite trading via electronic platforms.
  4. The “Fair Value” Calculation is a Game Changer
    SPX Index Futures prices do not always align with the underlying index due to interest rates, dividends, and arbitrage opportunities. Institutional traders monitor the fair value of the futures on S&P 500 to make strategic moves before market openings.
  5. Micro E-mini Futures Changed the Game
    The introduction of micros futures in 2019 made it easier for retail traders to enter the futures trading e-mini futures market. With contracts one-tenth the size of standard S&P 500 Futures Contracts, these new instruments opened up risk-managed access to one of the most liquid markets in the world.
  6. Hedging with Futures Prevented a 2008 Collapse
    During the 2008 financial crisis, firms that effectively used futures on S&P 500 for hedging avoided catastrophic losses. Goldman Sachs, for example, managed to mitigate stock losses by shorting S&P 500 Futures Contracts, preserving billions in value.
  7. The Dark Side of Market Manipulation
    In 2010, the Flash Crash occurred due to high-frequency trading and manipulation of SPX Index Futures. A single trader, Navinder Singh Sarao, used a technique called “spoofing” to move markets with fake orders, temporarily crashing major indices.
  8. The Expiration of Futures Contracts Can Cause Mini Flash Crashes
    S&P 500 Futures Contracts expire quarterly, leading to heightened volatility known as “quadruple witching” when options and futures on indices and stocks all expire simultaneously.
  9. The Role of the VIX in Trading Futures SP500
    The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), also known as the “fear gauge,” directly influences futures on S&P 500. Traders use the VIX to predict upcoming market swings and hedge against downside risks.
  10. Historical Anomalies Can Repeat
    Market behavior during futures trading e-mini futures often follows historical patterns. Studying past crashes and recoveries in SPX Index Futures can provide traders with predictive insights, such as the dramatic rebounds after the COVID-19 crash in 2020.

Risk Potential in Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

While trading futures can be highly rewarding, it is also fraught with risk. Below are some of the key dangers:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures trading involves substantial leverage, meaning that small price movements can result in massive gains or catastrophic losses.
  • Liquidity Risk: Although S&P 500 Futures Contracts are highly liquid, unexpected geopolitical events can cause slippage, making execution difficult.
  • Overnight Exposure: Unlike stocks, SPX Index Futures trade 24/5, making traders susceptible to overnight movements and global events.
  • Margin Calls: Traders using excessive margin in futures trading e-mini futures can face unexpected liquidation.
  • Psychological Pressure: Trading S&P 500 Futures Contracts requires discipline, as impulsive decisions in volatile conditions can wipe out accounts.

Why Cannon Trading Company is a Great Brokerage for S&P 500 Future Trading

With decades of expertise in commodity brokerage, Cannon Trading Company is a premier destination for traders seeking top-tier platforms and support. Here’s why:

  • Unparalleled Trading Platforms: Cannon Trading offers a selection of the industry’s best platforms for trading futures, including NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and MultiCharts.
  • Regulatory Excellence: The firm has an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies such as the National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: With consistent top ratings, traders trust Cannon Trading for its reliability and customer service.
  • Education for All Levels: Whether you’re a novice learning what is futures trading or a professional seeking futures broker support, Cannon provides extensive training materials.
  • Micro Futures Accessibility: With micro futures trading e-mini futures, traders can enter the market at lower capital thresholds while maintaining strong risk management.

Understanding Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures requires more than just technical knowledge. Traders who grasp the market’s historical anomalies, obscure trading techniques, and risk factors can navigate volatility with confidence.

By trading with a top-tier futures broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders gain access to elite platforms, regulatory protection, and expert guidance. Whether you’re trading standard S&P 500 Futures Contracts or experimenting with micros futures, Cannon Trading ensures that traders of all levels are equipped for success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Copper Prices Surge $6,500 per Contract After Trump’s 25% Tariff Bombshell!

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Markets Highlights on Copper

Copper

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The big one! It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

Ahead of that, today the ADP National Employment Report showed payrolls increased by 77,000 jobs in February, the smallest gain since July 2024, after rising 186,000 in January. Economists had forecast private employment advancing 140,000.

The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, likely exaggerates the labor market slowdown and has no correlation with the government’s employment report.

 Softs:

Arabica coffee futures rose sharply today with the market heading back up towards recent record highs. May ICE coffee rose almost 5% to $4.1855 per lb. intraday. Traders indicated the market showing signs of resuming its upward trend after suffering a sharp setback which took prices from a record high of $4.2995 on Feb. 11 to a low of $3.6630 a week ago – a ±$23,900 per contract correction! The market was keeping a close watch on the weather in top grower Brazil with hot, dry conditions raising some concerns about the upcoming crop.

Energy:

Crude oil futures settled down for the fourth consecutive session today after U.S. crude oil stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected build, adding a further headwind as investors worried about OPEC+ plans to increase output in April and U.S. tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. April West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) settled down $1.95, or 2.86%, to $66.31 a barrel, its lowest since November ’24. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, decided on Monday to proceed with a planned April oil output increase of 138,000 barrels per day, its first since 2022.

Metals:

Copper

CME/COMEX copper futures soared today following President Donald Trump’s announced 25% tariffs on copper imports during his Tuesday night speech to Congress. May copper rose ±26 cents/lb. (±5.7% as of this blog post – a $6,500 per contract move – to a $4.825/lb. intraday high.

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April Crude Oil

April crude oil is completing its second downside PriceCount objective to the 66.53 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible slide to a new contract low around 62.78. A trade below the October reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Gold

Gold has long been a symbol of wealth and a cornerstone of financial systems worldwide. In the realm of futures trading, gold futures contracts offer traders a unique opportunity to speculate on the future price movements of this precious metal. This comprehensive exploration delves into the nuances of gold futures, shedding light on lesser-known facts, trading techniques, and the inherent risks involved. Additionally, we’ll examine why Cannon Trading Company stands out as a premier choice for traders navigating the futures markets.

Gold Futures Contracts

A gold futures contract is a standardized agreement to buy or sell a specific quantity of gold at a predetermined price on a set future date. These contracts are traded on exchanges like the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), providing a platform for hedgers and speculators to manage their exposure to gold price fluctuations.

Ten Obscure Facts About Gold Futures Contracts

  1. The “Backwardation” Phenomenon: While commodities typically exhibit “contango,” where futures prices are higher than spot prices due to storage and financing costs, gold occasionally experiences “backwardation.” In this scenario, the spot price exceeds the futures price, often indicating strong immediate demand or supply constraints.
  2. “EFP” Transactions: Exchange for Physical (EFP) is a mechanism allowing traders to swap a futures position for the underlying physical commodity. In gold trading, this enables the conversion of paper contracts into actual bullion, facilitating physical delivery outside the exchange.
  3. “Tick” Size and Value: In gold futures trading, a “tick” represents the minimum price movement of the contract. For COMEX gold futures, the tick size is $0.10 per troy ounce, equating to a $10 movement per contract, given the standard contract size of 100 troy ounces.
  4. “Initial” and “Maintenance” Margins: Traders are required to deposit an initial margin to open a position in gold futures. To keep the position open, a maintenance margin must be maintained. If the account balance falls below this level due to adverse price movements, a margin call is issued, requiring additional funds.
  5. “Volume” vs. “Open Interest”: Volume refers to the number of contracts traded within a specific period, while open interest denotes the total number of outstanding contracts at the end of that period. Analyzing both metrics provides insights into market liquidity and potential price trends.
  6. “Spread Trading” Strategies: Traders employ spread trading by simultaneously buying and selling gold futures contracts with different delivery months or against other commodities. This approach aims to profit from the price differential between the two positions, reducing exposure to outright price movements.
  7. “Delivery” Process Nuances: While many traders close their positions before expiration, those holding contracts into the delivery month must be aware of the delivery process. On COMEX, gold delivery involves the transfer of warehouse receipts, representing specific bars stored in approved facilities, rather than the physical movement of gold.
  8. “Position Limits” and Accountability: Exchanges impose position limits to prevent market manipulation and excessive speculation. Traders exceeding certain thresholds may face increased scrutiny and are required to provide justification for their large positions.
  9. “Circuit Breakers” in Gold Futures: To curb extreme volatility, exchanges implement circuit breakers that temporarily halt trading if prices move beyond predefined thresholds within a session. This mechanism allows traders to assess information and make informed decisions during turbulent market conditions.
  10. “E-Mini” Gold Futures: Beyond the standard 100 troy ounce contract, traders can access E-Mini gold futures, which represent 50 troy ounces. These smaller contracts offer flexibility for those seeking exposure to gold with reduced capital requirements.

Real-Life Case Studies in Gold Futures Trading

Case Study 1: The 2011 Gold Price Surge

In 2011, gold prices reached an all-time high, driven by economic uncertainty and currency devaluation fears. Savvy traders who anticipated this uptrend entered long positions in gold futures early in the year. For instance, a trader buying a gold futures contract at $1,400 per ounce in January and selling at the peak of $1,900 in August would have realized a profit of $50,000 per contract (a $500 increase per ounce over 100 ounces).

Case Study 2: The 2020 Pandemic-Induced Volatility

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to unprecedented volatility across financial markets, including gold. Initially, gold prices dropped as investors liquidated assets for cash. However, as central banks implemented expansive monetary policies, gold rebounded, reaching new highs. Traders employing spread strategies, such as long gold and short equities, capitalized on the divergent performance between asset classes during this period.

Risks Associated with Gold Futures Trading

While gold futures offer lucrative opportunities, they also come with inherent risks:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures trading involves significant leverage, amplifying both gains and losses. A small adverse price movement can lead to substantial losses, potentially exceeding the initial investment.
  • Market Risk: Gold prices are influenced by various factors, including geopolitical events, currency fluctuations, and macroeconomic indicators. Unexpected developments can lead to sharp price movements.
  • Liquidity Risk: During periods of low trading volume, entering or exiting positions at desired prices may be challenging, leading to slippage and unfavorable fills.
  • Margin Calls: Adverse price movements can erode account equity, triggering margin calls. Failure to meet these calls can result in forced liquidation of positions at unfavorable prices.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Gold Futures Trading?

Selecting the right futures broker is crucial for successful trading. Cannon Trading Company distinguishes itself through several key attributes:

  • Diverse Trading Platforms: Cannon offers a wide selection of top-performing trading platforms, catering to the varied needs of futures traders. Whether you’re a novice or an experienced trader, you’ll find a platform that aligns with your trading style and preferences.
  • Stellar Reputation: With decades of experience in the futures markets, Cannon has earned a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot. This reflects consistent client satisfaction and trust in their services.
  • Regulatory Excellence: Cannon Trading maintains an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance and fostering a secure trading environment.
  • Educational Resources: Understanding that informed traders are successful traders, Cannon provides a wealth of educational materials, including webinars, articles, and personalized consultations.
  • Dedicated Support: Clients have access to a team of experienced brokers and support staff, ready to assist with technical issues, market insights, and strategic guidance.

Gold futures trading presents a dynamic avenue for traders to engage with one of the world’s most valued commodities. By understanding the intricate aspects of gold futures contracts, including obscure facts and specialized trading techniques, traders can navigate this market with greater proficiency. However, it’s imperative to recognize and manage the associated risks diligently.

Partnering with a reputable and experienced futures broker, such as Cannon Trading Company, can significantly enhance the trading experience. Their comprehensive offerings, regulatory integrity, and commitment to client success make them an excellent choice for traders at all levels.

 

April Unleaded Gasoline & New Micro Futures – Grains, Oilseeds: Market Insights for Tomorrow

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unleaded gasoline

April Unleaded Gasoline takes the spotlight!

Different Markets for Day Trading

April Unleaded Gasoline.

Busy trading day tomorrow with many different reports – please check the calendar below!!

Micro Futures – Grains, Oilseeds.

CME Group, the world’s leading derivatives marketplace, announced in late January that it will launch a suite of micro grain and oilseed futures contracts. These contracts will be cash-settled and be one-tenth the size of the exchange’s Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures contracts.

Their first day of trading was this last Monday, Feb. 24.

Quoting John Ricci, Managing Director and Global Head of Agriculture from CME Group’s press release: “Our benchmark grain and oilseed futures products are the most liquid and highly-utilized markets in global agriculture today. These smaller-sized contracts will provide additional flexibility for market participants to manage their agricultural portfolios with greater precision.”

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Micro Futures

Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures will be listed by and subject to the rules of CBOT. For more information and additional contract specs, please visit www.cmegroup.com/microags.

April Unleaded Gasoline

April unleaded gasoline activated downside PriceCount objectives off the January top and is completing the first count to 2.20. It would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade from this level. If the chart can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible run to the 2.15 area. It would take a trade below the October reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 27th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Natural Gas & Copper Eye Upside Amid Post-Holiday Market Turbulence; Softs & Metals Lead the Charge

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Busy Friday to Finish a Short Trading Week

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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It has been a volatile short trading week post President’s Day long weekend.

Wild swings across the board with softs and metals leading the way.

Tomorrow we have new home sales, flash PMI and University of Michigan reports which will be watched closely for the inflation outlook.

Watch both natural gas and copper as these markets are establishing a tend to the upside.

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time news and markets outlook via videos updates daily?

Simply visit us on our market research section. FREE to clients and prospects!

Daily Updates & Market Research

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Daily Levels for February 21st, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Corn Futures Contract

The corn futures contract remains one of the most actively traded agricultural commodities in the futures markets. As global demand for corn continues to rise due to its essential role in food production, animal feed, and ethanol production, futures traders seeking profitable opportunities often turn to corn futures as a key component of their portfolio.

10 Essential Tips for Trading Corn Futures in 2025

  1. Understand Supply and Demand Dynamics
    Corn prices are highly sensitive to global supply and demand. Factors such as droughts, floods, and geopolitical trade policies can drastically affect supply, while increased biofuel production and livestock feed demand can drive prices higher.
  2. Monitor USDA Reports
    The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) publishes reports such as the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), Crop Progress Reports, and Grain Stocks Reports. These provide valuable insights into corn production, yield forecasts, and potential price movements.
  3. Follow Seasonal Trends
    Historically, corn futures contracts tend to follow seasonal price patterns. Prices often drop during harvest (September-November) when supply increases and rise in the planting months (April-May) when weather concerns create uncertainty.
  4. Choose a Reliable Futures Broker
    Working with a reputable futures trading broker is essential for executing trades efficiently. Firms like Cannon Trading Company offer a wide selection of futures trading platforms and have a solid track record with 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, making them a great choice for traders of all levels.
  5. Hedge Against Price Volatility
    Agribusinesses and institutional investors often use corn futures contracts to hedge against price fluctuations. Understanding how to use these contracts for risk management can provide a strategic edge.
  6. Utilize Technical and Fundamental Analysis
    Successful futures traders rely on both technical indicators (such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as crop reports and geopolitical news) to make informed decisions.
  7. Watch for Inflation and Interest Rate Trends
    Economic factors such as inflation and interest rates influence the overall commodity markets. Rising interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar, making corn exports more expensive and potentially lowering demand.
  8. Stay Updated on Trade Agreements
    Global trade agreements and tariffs, particularly between the U.S., China, and the European Union, significantly impact corn prices. Keeping track of new trade deals is crucial for trading futures successfully.
  9. Consider Algorithmic and Automated Trading
    Advanced trading technology has made futures contract trading more accessible through algorithmic and automated trading strategies. Platforms offered by Cannon Trading Company enable traders to execute trades with precision and speed.
  10. Diversify with Other Agricultural Futures
    While trading futures in corn can be profitable, diversifying with soybean, wheat, and other crop futures can reduce risk and enhance overall portfolio stability.

Expected Trends for Corn Futures in 2025

Climate Change and Weather Volatility

Extreme weather conditions are expected to continue affecting global corn production. Unpredictable droughts and flooding could lead to significant price swings in corn futures contracts.

Biofuel and Ethanol Demand

The global push for renewable energy sources will likely keep ethanol demand high, increasing the need for corn as a primary biofuel ingredient.

Rising Input Costs

Fertilizer and transportation costs have been climbing, impacting production expenses and potentially pushing corn prices higher in 2025.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies

The U.S.-China trade relationship remains a key factor. Tariffs or trade barriers could significantly impact corn exports and futures prices.

Key Reports to Monitor for Corn Futures Trading

  • USDA WASDE Report – Offers supply and demand projections.
  • Grain Stocks Report – Provides insights into corn inventory levels.
  • Crop Progress Report – Tracks planting and harvesting progress.
  • CFTC Commitment of Traders Report – Shows market sentiment among traders.
  • EIA Ethanol Production Report – Measures ethanol demand, affecting corn consumption.

Historical Performance of Corn Futures and Agricultural Commodities

Historically, corn futures contracts have shown cyclical patterns influenced by weather conditions, government policies, and technological advancements in agriculture. The 2012 drought, for example, caused record-high prices, while increased yields in the following years led to price stabilization. Other crop futures contracts, such as wheat and soybeans, have followed similar trends, often correlating with corn prices due to their shared agricultural and economic factors.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders looking to engage in futures contract trading, selecting a reputable futures trading broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Top-Performing Trading Platforms: Offering a range of advanced platforms for both beginner and experienced futures traders.
  • Decades of Experience: With a long history in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading provides expert guidance.
  • Outstanding Customer Support: Rated 5 out of 5 stars on TrustPilot, the firm is recognized for its commitment to client satisfaction.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Fully compliant with NFA regulations, ensuring transparency and security for trading futures.

The corn futures contract presents numerous opportunities for profit in 2025. By staying informed on market trends, monitoring key reports, and partnering with a reputable futures trading broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders can navigate the complexities of futures contract trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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Dollar Index Eyes 105.47 as Economic and Geopolitical Risks Mount

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dollar index

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Dollar Index Eyes 105.47

Movers and Shakers : QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 18, 2025 2:01 pm

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Ukraine’s military said Russia launched a barrage of 147 attack drones against Ukraine overnight. Out of this, the Ukrainian Air Force reported shooting down 83, while 59 did not reach their targets. Several storage facilities and private residences were reported damaged.

–The Caspian Pipeline Consortium said that Ukrainian drones hit one of its major oil pipelines in southern Russia’s Kropotkinskaya pumping station in the Krasnodar region, affecting supply from neighbouring Kazakhstan.

–Ukraine’s Security Service claimed responsibility for the attack on the oil pipeline and said that Moscow’s Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar was also hit, with at least 20 explosions heard in the area.

–Russia’s Defence Ministry said its forces captured the settlement of Fyholivka in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region. A second announcement later said that the village of Sverdlikovo in Russia’s Kursk region was taken back from Ukraine’s forces.

–US Secretary of State Marco Rubio travelled to Saudi Arabia in advance of planned peace talks between United States and Russian officials over the war in Ukraine.

–Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Russia would be represented by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and foreign policy director Yuri Ushakov at the meetings with the US in Riyadh.

–Peskov also said that Russian officials would talk with US counterparts about restoring ties, negotiating a peaceful settlement to the war in Ukraine and preparing a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump.

 

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–The Kremlin said any plans to deploy European peacekeeping troops after Kyiv and Moscow strike a peace deal would make the matter complex.

–French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency meeting with leaders from key European Union nations at the Elysee Palace in Paris to discuss the EU’s reaction to Washington’s peace talks with Moscow.

–Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told a media briefing that the Paris meeting, to discuss the US’s policy shift towards Moscow in its war on Ukraine, would be an attempt to prevent peace. -unlike them, we support Donald Trump’s ambitions; unlike them, we support the US-Russian negotiations; unlike them, we want peace in Ukraine,- Szijjarto said.

–Russia’s Lavrov asked why Europe should be invited to join talks on a peace settlement in Ukraine if European politicians want the war to carry on. He also said Russia would not even consider territorial concessions to Ukraine in future peace talks.

–The spokesperson for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Sergii Nykyforov, said that the Ukrainian leader would travel to Saudi Arabia on a long-planned visit the day after the meeting between Russia and US officials wraps up.

–The Ukrainian leader also said he would not recognise any outcome of the Washington-Moscow talks in Saudi Arabia that did not involve Kyiv.

–Zelenskyy met with the United Arab Emirates’s Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan during a visit to the UAE, where Sheikh Mohammed reportedly committed to supporting efforts for a peaceful resolution to the war and continuing initiatives to ease the humanitarian impact.

–Zelenskyy is now in Turkiye to meet with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia.

-The Dollar Index Eyes 105.47.

 

 

 

Tomorrow:

  • FOMC Minutes
  • Housing Starts
  • NO Crude Oil Numbers ( pushed to Thursday)
March US Dollar Index

The March dollar index negated its original downside PriceCounts off the January high early this month. Now, the chart has activated fresh counts off the larrger leg where the first count projects a run to the 105.47 area. It would take a trade below the November reactionary low to formally negarte the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 19th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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President’s Day, Natural Gas, & Market Moves: Key Trading Levels & Insights

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1230

  • President’s Day Modified trading Schedule
  • The Week Ahead – FOMC minutes, Housing Starts
  • Futures 102 – Options Strategies
  • Hot Market of the Week – March Natural Gas
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

natural gas

President’s Day Modified Trading Schedule:

Natural Gas Hot Market of the Week + Monday, February 17th is Presidents Day here in the US.

Many markets will close at noon central and some markets are closed.

Click Here for Full Schedule

PRES DAY 2025 2

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. President’s day
  • Tue. quiet
  • Wed. quiet
  • Thu. WMT
  • Fri. quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Quiet
  • Wed. FOMC Minutes pm CST
  • Thu. Goolsbee 8:35 am CST
  • Fri. Quiet

 

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Presidents Day
  • Tue. Empire state Manu. Index, NAHB Housing index
  • Wed. Bldg. Permits, Housing starts, FOMC Minutes
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index
  • Fri. SP PMI, Existing Home sales, Mich. Consumer sentiment

Futures 102: Options Strategies

Course Overview

Option Strategies are an integral part of a trader’s routine. Learn about common option strategies utilized by traders that express their view of market direction and expected volatility. Some option strategies are designed to mitigate risk while others are designed to profit by accepting risk.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March Natural Gas

March Natural Gas is attempting to resume its rally as it challenges the January high. At this point, new sustained highs would project a potential run to the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to the 4.06 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 17/18, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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