Treasury Bonds & Notes make Bold Moves!

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Treasury Bonds Notes
Treasury Bonds

 

Treasury Bonds, Notes

Treasury Bonds & Notes – Different market, different trading environments

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES (mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities, then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

There are more than a few markets I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30-year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30-year bonds and ZN for 10-year notes.

Product Symbol

ZB

Treasury Bonds

Contract Size

The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof

Price Quotation

Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Product Symbol

ZN

Underlying Unit

One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000 < Treasury Bond.

Price Quote

Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Tick Size

(minimum fluctuation)

One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).

Contract Months

The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day (might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 1,300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another advantage for these markets is that the exchange fees per trade are LOWER than the ones on the stock index futures.

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May Sugar Chart for your review below!

May sugar is completing its second upside PriceCount objective to the 19.96 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, if the chart can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the 21.57 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall highs.

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Daily Levels for February 25th, 2025

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Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Dollar Index Eyes 105.47 as Economic and Geopolitical Risks Mount

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dollar index

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Dollar Index Eyes 105.47

Movers and Shakers : QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 18, 2025 2:01 pm

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Ukraine’s military said Russia launched a barrage of 147 attack drones against Ukraine overnight. Out of this, the Ukrainian Air Force reported shooting down 83, while 59 did not reach their targets. Several storage facilities and private residences were reported damaged.

–The Caspian Pipeline Consortium said that Ukrainian drones hit one of its major oil pipelines in southern Russia’s Kropotkinskaya pumping station in the Krasnodar region, affecting supply from neighbouring Kazakhstan.

–Ukraine’s Security Service claimed responsibility for the attack on the oil pipeline and said that Moscow’s Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar was also hit, with at least 20 explosions heard in the area.

–Russia’s Defence Ministry said its forces captured the settlement of Fyholivka in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region. A second announcement later said that the village of Sverdlikovo in Russia’s Kursk region was taken back from Ukraine’s forces.

–US Secretary of State Marco Rubio travelled to Saudi Arabia in advance of planned peace talks between United States and Russian officials over the war in Ukraine.

–Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Russia would be represented by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and foreign policy director Yuri Ushakov at the meetings with the US in Riyadh.

–Peskov also said that Russian officials would talk with US counterparts about restoring ties, negotiating a peaceful settlement to the war in Ukraine and preparing a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump.

 

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–The Kremlin said any plans to deploy European peacekeeping troops after Kyiv and Moscow strike a peace deal would make the matter complex.

–French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency meeting with leaders from key European Union nations at the Elysee Palace in Paris to discuss the EU’s reaction to Washington’s peace talks with Moscow.

–Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told a media briefing that the Paris meeting, to discuss the US’s policy shift towards Moscow in its war on Ukraine, would be an attempt to prevent peace. -unlike them, we support Donald Trump’s ambitions; unlike them, we support the US-Russian negotiations; unlike them, we want peace in Ukraine,- Szijjarto said.

–Russia’s Lavrov asked why Europe should be invited to join talks on a peace settlement in Ukraine if European politicians want the war to carry on. He also said Russia would not even consider territorial concessions to Ukraine in future peace talks.

–The spokesperson for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Sergii Nykyforov, said that the Ukrainian leader would travel to Saudi Arabia on a long-planned visit the day after the meeting between Russia and US officials wraps up.

–The Ukrainian leader also said he would not recognise any outcome of the Washington-Moscow talks in Saudi Arabia that did not involve Kyiv.

–Zelenskyy met with the United Arab Emirates’s Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan during a visit to the UAE, where Sheikh Mohammed reportedly committed to supporting efforts for a peaceful resolution to the war and continuing initiatives to ease the humanitarian impact.

–Zelenskyy is now in Turkiye to meet with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia.

-The Dollar Index Eyes 105.47.

 

 

 

Tomorrow:

  • FOMC Minutes
  • Housing Starts
  • NO Crude Oil Numbers ( pushed to Thursday)
March US Dollar Index

The March dollar index negated its original downside PriceCounts off the January high early this month. Now, the chart has activated fresh counts off the larrger leg where the first count projects a run to the 105.47 area. It would take a trade below the November reactionary low to formally negarte the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 19th, 2025

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Stock Futures suffer Eye-Opening Tumble as CPI Exceeds Expectations

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Trading in Front of Reports – Like Today’s CPI – Stock Futures – a Word to the Wise

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its scheduled Consumer Price Index and to the market’s surprise, it jumped more than anticipated, showing a higher-than-expected 0.5 percent increase from December. It was the fastest monthly increase since August 2023.

Stock Futures

The reaction by the major stock futures contracts was immediate and pronounced. Within a single minute of the report’s release, the E-mini Dow Jones stock futures contract dropped over 400 points, the E-mini S&P 500 stock futures contract dropped 60 points, a $3,000 move and within that same minute the E-mini Nasdaq stock futures contract dropped 311 points, a $6220 move.

CPI

CPI is one of several regularly scheduled reports that can have an impact on the futures markets. There are many such reports on things like crude oil stocks, crop conditions, interest rate decisions and several that look at aspects of the economy.

 

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They all can impact related futures markets’ movement, even if for a span of time as short as a minute.

So, it’s important for traders to take care when trading into an approaching report, as well as afterwards if volatility continues. Even if you’re incorporating STOP orders to offset a position going into a report’s release, fast markets can “jump” over your STOP price and leave your trade exposed to further risk.

1 minute chart from this morning for illustration purposes below!

 

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Daily Levels for February 13th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Coffee, Cattle, and Crops: Market Swings Amid Powell & CPI Anticipation

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: Tomorrow (CPI) before the open, CSCO After the close

 

Fed Powell’s testimony in the Senate had the market moving today.

Gold started to sell off well before the testimony began, down $25.00 then as Powell spoke @ 10 EST, the market rallied from that point in somewhat of a slough to unchanged, but struggled to breakout and looks to close a shade off yesterday, down 8 bucks. Holding rates for quite some time longer didn’t add fuel to the current rally. Powell testifies tomorrow in the House, same time.

 

The S&P 500 rallied from Powell’s opening remarks 20 points, then fell back at the 2-hour mark to where it began:6070.00 only to rally NEARLY 30 POINTS FROM THERE AFTER THE CONCLUSION. However, they look to close unchanged at the time of this writing. 6088.00.  This was a very tradeable day.

 

After scanning several markets Energies, Bonds, Dollar index. They all finished the day right about where they were prior to Powell’s opening remarks except for the US Dollar, which closed lower as Gold retained some of its luster.

 

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Corn

WASDE was released this morning as well, whose results weighed on domestic Ag row crop prices, Beans down 6 cents, Corn down 7.5-6.25 for old crop, new crop Dec down a penny (will grains in the future be quoted in pennies with the dissolution of the one cent coin?) Wheat down between 2.5 to 7 cents across the board and protein spectrum. Cotton bucked the trend and had a strong rally after the numbers, up .74 basis the May contract.

 

Coffee

As for the softs, Coffee lost some caffeine today, down from its all-time highs, 15 + cents per pound @ 413.45. This drop comes after a strong rally in recent sessions, fueled by supply concerns and robust demand. However, profit-taking and shifting sentiment in the broader commodities market may have contributed to today’s pullback. Traders will be watching for any signs of renewed momentum or further correction in the days ahead, particularly with currency fluctuations and weather patterns in key coffee-growing regions influencing price action. That’s Coffee!

 

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 

Tomorrow: CPI (Consumer Price Index) before the open, Fed Powell Testimony in the House of Representatives 9 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST. Earnings: Cisco After the close, CME Group, before the open

March Feeder Cattle

The January 21st QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the March feeder cattle chart was approaching its third upside PriceCount objective. After reaching this target area, the chart corrected lower and activated downside PriceCounts in the process. At this point, if you can extend its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a slide to the 261.59 area.

 

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Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Turbulence and Global Tensions: Key Developments in Politics, Economy, and War

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Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Market turbulence and volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future as global tensions rise.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:19 am

WSJ on Tuesday now reporting President Trump and China’s leader Xi will not speak to each other later today

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:24 am

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that around 20,000 US federal employees accepted buyout offers. The Washington Post today is reporting layoffs of federal employees is likely if too few of them choose to accept buyouts or quit.

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:17 pm

Pres. Trump said he would have talks with his Iranian counterpart, but also said Iran is too close to having and cannot have nuclear weapons

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:23 pm

Pres Trump he would like to Palestinians taken in by Egypt and Jordan, adding they have no alternative but to leave. He is not in favor of Israeli’s settling in Gaza

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Reuters reports Ukraine’s military said on Tuesday its air force had struck a Russian military command post in Russia’s Kursk region the previous day causing sustained significant damage and casualties. Reuters could not independently verify the statement.

–Ukraine’s military has reported numerous strikes on Russian military and energy facilities in recent weeks. Ukrainian forces have been battling Russian troops in the Kursk region since Ukraine mounted a cross border operation there last year.

–A pro-Russian Ukrainian paramilitary leader, Armen Sarkisyan, was killed along with one other person, and three more people were wounded in a bomb blast inside a residential building in northwest Moscow, Russian state news agency TASS reports.

–Russia’s Investigative Committee said it opened a criminal inquiry after the explosion on charges of murder by means injurious to the public, attempted murder of two or more people and arms trafficking.

–Ukrainian forces are believed to be behind a series of assassinations in Russia. In mid-December, Russian General Igor Kirillov died in a remote-controlled blast in Moscow.

–The United Nations echoed Ukraine’s growing concerns that Russia killed 79 captured Ukrainian soldiers in 24 separate incidents since September.

–A former United Kingdom MP, Jack Lopresti, has joined the Ukrainian International Legion to help fight against Russia, media reports said. Lopresti reportedly travelled to Kyiv in November to help a charity.

 

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–Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Moscow’s air defense units intercepted and destroyed 70 drones in a Ukrainian offensive overnight. The ministry said Kyiv had also targeted energy facilities, including an oil refinery in Volgograd which had caught fire.

–Ukraine’s military claimed responsibility for strikes on Russian energy facilities, claiming that it hit a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd and a gas processing plant in Astrakhan. Both establishments supplied fuel to the Russian Army, according to the military.

–State Emergency Service workers of Ukraine work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava

Ukrainian rescuers working at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, where at least seven people died and 17 others, including four children, were injured, on February 1, 2025 [Handout/State Emergency Service of Ukraine via EPA-EFE]

–Kyiv’s Air Force said it destroyed 38 of 71 Russian drones launched at Ukraine in an overnight attack. Some 25 drones disappeared from radars without reaching their targets, the Air Force said.

–According to the Reuters news agency, Moscow also said that it was too early for Russia to consider the four-way peace talks model proposed by Zelenskyy, which would include the US, Ukraine, Russia and the EU. Zelenskyy previously said it would be very dangerous if Washington and Moscow held ceasefire talks without involving Kyiv.

–Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, criticized the Finnish government over the publication of an information package for its citizens who are planning or considering volunteering on Ukraine’s side in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

–US President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he is seeking a secure supply of rare earth metals from Ukraine in exchange for US aid.

–Moldova’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement denouncing the invasion of its airspace by a drone and said it was discussing with allies how to boost airspace defense. The statement detailed that the drone entered from Ukraine’s airspace, but did not identify the origin or likely operator of the drone.

Tomorrow: Disney before the open, Qualcomm Earnings after the close! ADP, Balance of Trade, Barkin Speech 8am CST, ISM Svcs., Fed Jefferson Speech 6:30 pm CST

 

Daily Levels for February 5th, 2025

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April Gold Futures Hit Record High Amid Tariff Concerns and Weaker Dollar

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Gold Futures Trading at All Time Highs!

April gold futures – the most-active futures contract – hit a new all-time high as the dollar pushed lower and traders sought safety amid concerns over the new U.S. administration’s tariff measures. April gold settled up 2.7% at $2,845.20 per ounce, after hitting a record intraday high of $2,853.20 earlier in the day. The prior record of $2,800.80 was set in late October.

 Gold Weekly Chart with Possible targets for your Review Below:

Trade gold futures and select from three different contract sizes – 100-oz., 50-oz. and 10-oz. – with a FREE, top-of-the-line trading platform that includes built-in charts, hundreds of indicators, a great DOM and super low day trading margins.

Don’t have time to do it yourself? Work with an experienced broker!

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Daily Levels for January 31st, 2024

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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Wheat Future Contract

The wheat future contract has been a cornerstone of the agricultural futures market for centuries, allowing producers, processors, and investors to hedge against price fluctuations in a volatile global market. Today, futures trading has evolved into a sophisticated financial tool supported by cutting-edge technology and regulatory frameworks. This article will explore the evolution of wheat futures and other farm crop contracts, providing real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical trading scenarios to illustrate their significance. Additionally, we’ll delve into why Cannon Trading Company, with its decades of experience, stellar reputation, and wide selection of free platforms, stands out as a premier choice for trading wheat and other agricultural futures like class 3 milk futures and the corn futures contract.

The Evolution of Wheat Futures and Farm Crop Contracts

The origins of wheat future contracts date back to the mid-19th century with the establishment of the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848. Farmers and grain merchants needed a system to protect themselves from unpredictable price swings caused by weather, supply chain issues, and geopolitical events. Enter the futures market: a standardized contract to buy or sell wheat at a predetermined price on a specific future date.

Over time, the concept expanded to include other farm crop contracts, such as the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures. Initially, futures trading was dominated by local farmers and merchants. However, the advent of electronic trading in the late 20th century democratized access, attracting institutional investors, hedge funds, and individual traders from around the globe.

Technological advancements have played a pivotal role in this evolution. Today, platforms like those offered by Cannon Trading Company provide traders with real-time market data, advanced charting tools, and risk management features, making futures trading more accessible and efficient than ever before.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The 2008 Wheat Price Surge

One of the most dramatic examples of volatility in the wheat market occurred in 2008. Global wheat prices skyrocketed due to poor harvests, rising demand from emerging markets, and export restrictions imposed by major producing countries. For farmers in the U.S. Midwest, this presented both challenges and opportunities.

A Kansas wheat farmer, for example, used wheat future contracts to lock in a sale price of $12 per bushel in March 2008, months before harvesting. By the time his crop was ready, spot prices had dropped to $8 per bushel due to improved weather conditions and easing supply concerns. His decision to hedge through futures saved his business from significant losses, highlighting the value of futures trading for risk management.

The Corn Belt Hedge Fund

In the 2010s, a small hedge fund based in Illinois recognized the interconnectedness of farm crop contracts. By analyzing weather patterns, they predicted a poor corn harvest in the Midwest, leading them to short corn futures contracts while going long on wheat future contracts due to substitution effects in animal feed markets. Their calculated bets paid off handsomely, yielding a 35% return for the year and showcasing how futures can be used for speculative gains as well as hedging.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario: A Dairy Processor

Imagine a dairy processor who relies on milk as a primary input. Concerned about rising costs, they decide to trade class 3 milk futures to secure a stable price for the next six months. By locking in a price of $17.50 per hundredweight, they mitigate the risk of price spikes caused by fluctuating feed costs for dairy cattle. Meanwhile, a speculator on the other side of the trade takes on the risk, hoping to profit from price movements. This mutually beneficial arrangement demonstrates the dual nature of futures markets: risk transfer and price discovery.

The Role of Cannon Trading Company in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a trusted partner for traders of all experience levels. Its wide selection of free platforms, including advanced tools for analyzing wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract, makes it an excellent choice for anyone engaged in futures trading. Here’s why:

  1. User-Friendly Platforms
    Cannon Trading offers an array of platforms tailored to different trading styles and needs. Whether you’re a novice looking for simplicity or a seasoned trader requiring advanced analytics, Cannon has you covered. Real-time data, customizable charts, and automated trading options empower traders to make informed decisions.
  1. Decades of Experience
    With over three decades in the industry, Cannon Trading has weathered market ups and downs, earning a reputation for reliability and expertise. Their deep understanding of markets like wheat future contracts and farm crop contracts positions them as invaluable advisors to clients navigating the complexities of futures trading.
  1. Regulatory Excellence
    Cannon Trading Company’s exemplary track record with regulatory bodies underscores its commitment to transparency and integrity. In an industry where trust is paramount, this reputation provides peace of mind to traders.
  1. Educational Resources
    For newcomers to futures trading, Cannon offers a wealth of educational resources, including webinars, tutorials, and market analysis. These tools help traders understand the nuances of markets like the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures, enabling them to trade with confidence.
  1. Stellar Customer Support
    Cannon’s 5-star ratings on TrustPilot reflect its dedication to customer satisfaction. Their team of experienced brokers is available to assist clients with everything from platform setup to strategy development, ensuring a seamless trading experience.

Why Trade Wheat Futures?

Trading wheat future contracts offers several advantages:

  • Risk Management: Farmers and processors can hedge against price fluctuations, ensuring stable income and cost structures.
  • Liquidity: The wheat market is highly liquid, making it easy to enter and exit positions.
  • Leverage: Futures allow traders to control large amounts of wheat with relatively small initial investments, amplifying potential returns (and risks).
  • Diversification: For investors, wheat futures provide exposure to a commodity that behaves differently from stocks and bonds, enhancing portfolio diversification.

Risks and Rewards in Futures Trading

While futures trading offers significant opportunities, it’s not without risks. Leverage can magnify losses as well as gains, and market movements can be unpredictable. However, with the right tools and strategies—like those provided by Cannon Trading Company—traders can navigate these challenges effectively.

The Future of Farm Crop Contracts

As climate change and geopolitical tensions continue to impact agricultural markets, the role of farm crop contracts like wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract will only grow in importance. Technological innovations, such as blockchain-based smart contracts and AI-driven market analysis, promise to further revolutionize futures trading, making it more transparent and efficient.

The journey of wheat future contracts and other farm crop contracts from their humble beginnings to today’s sophisticated markets is a testament to the resilience and adaptability of the agricultural sector. Real-life examples and hypothetical scenarios illustrate the value of these contracts for hedging and speculation alike. For traders seeking a reliable partner in this dynamic market, Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-rated platforms, extensive experience, and commitment to customer success.

Whether you’re trading wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, or the corn futures contract, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support you need to succeed. By leveraging their expertise and resources, you can navigate the complexities of futures trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

 

Movers and Shakers: Dollar Dominance, Commodity Trends, and Key Market Updates!

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Three trading days removed from Contract Highs in the U.S. Dollar index @ 109.325 basis the March 2025 contract and a 2 full cent retracement yesterday, the bulls certainly appear to be control of this market with a close today near the session highs @ 108.40.  The value of the dollar has numerous implications for our export markets, as the dollar becomes stronger the cost of goods become more expensive.

High Dollar values over the long term usually do not not bode well for commodity prices. Needless to say, the energy complex looks strong today with spot Feb WTI up .85 cents, nearing the $75 /bbl mark after being in the 60’s just 10 days ago.

The Grain market has nearly a mirror inverse image basis the daily charts compared to the U.S Dollar index. With one exception, The corn market.

Just an observation, the precious metals market have struggled to make new highs or even break above their 3 month Mid range price levels as the U.S. Dollar strength has been a main feature affecting the commodity markets.

The U.S Dollar is considered a safe haven.

 

Today’s Movers

Today’s News:

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

Institute of Supply Management (ISM) US Service Sector Headline Recap

 

**ISM US December Service Sector Composite Index: 54.1 ; expected 53.4 ; prior month 52.1

**ISM US December Service Sector Business Activity: 58.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Employment: 51.4 vs prior month 51.5

**ISM US December Service Sector New Orders: 54.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Prices Paid: 64.4 vs prior month 58.2

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

**US November 2024 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS): 8.098 mln; prior month 7.744 mln

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US weekly jobless claims will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning, a day earlier than normal due to the funeral for former Pres. Carter, initial claims are expected at 215,000, up +4,000 from the prior week.

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Waller Fed Speech

 

ADP December US Private Sector jobs net change data will be released Wednesday morning around 7:15 am CT. Analysts expect job gains of +136,000 that’s off 100,000 from the previous month’s +146,000.

 

11:00 AM CST FOMC minutes from the December Rate decision

 

Both crude oil and natural gas numbers are out tomorrow!

 

Earnings: very quiet, only 14 firms reporting

 

Daily Levels for January 8th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Back to Business: Key Reports Tomorrow and Contract Notices to Watch!

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Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Busy day tomorrow with JOLTS and ISM and many of the larger traders back to thwir trading desk!

Below are the contracts entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised that for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions, please contact the Trade Desk

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Daily Levels for January 7th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.