US January Non-Farm Payroll Report: Key Forecasts and Market Impact

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NFP Tomorrow – Non Farm Payrolls Tomorrow

Non Farm Payrolls

US January Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released Friday morning at 7:30 am CT. Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls +170,000 compared to the previous month’s +256,000. The January jobless rate is expected at 4.1%, unchanged compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month.

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With Non-Farm Payroll coming in tomorrow, We suspect a busy, volatile Friday as other reports and speakers will be out. Make sure to check calendar below.

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount  objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

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Daily Levels for February 7th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Watch: Record Highs in Gold & Coffee, Oil Retreats Amid Trade Concerns

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New all-time highs in Gold!

Futures Markets Highlights by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The big one!  It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

Softs

New all-time highs in coffee!  The relentless coffee price rally continued today as the March futures contract on the ICE exchange hit a new intra-day record above $4.00 per pound on extremely tight supplies and fears over the outlook for the coming crop.  High: $401.10, settle: $397.75

The ICE coffee futures contract is considered the benchmark to price deals around the world and has moved up more than 15% this year.

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Energy:

Crude oil futures were in retreat on broader demand concerns, tit-for-tat import taxes between the U.S. and China and the prospect of an extended trade war with China, Mexico, Canada and more broadly. Prices already were on the defensive after the EIA revealed U.S. commercial crude oil inventories soared by 8.7 million barrels from the previous week.

Closing at $71.03 per barrel today, the March contract is down over $7.00 per barrel ±10% in two weeks

Not “plugged in” to crude oil? There are three different futures contracts to trade West Texas Intermediate crude oil Traded on the CME Group’s NYMEX, the WTI crude futures contract is the largest energy futures contract in the world by volume.

 

Metals:

New all-time highs in gold! April gold futures – the most-active futures contract – hit a new all-time high – breaching $2,900 per ounce intraday as the dollar pushed lower. The ongoing sentiment among traders: concerns over the new U.S. administration’s tariff measures. Investors are increasingly turning to gold as a store of value amid fears of potential economic slowdowns, inflationary pressures, and trade disruptions. April gold settled up 2.7% at $2,893.00 per ounce, marking a 2.7% gain for the day and reinforcing gold’s strong upward momentum in the face of ongoing market volatility.

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Daily Levels for February 6th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Turbulence and Global Tensions: Key Developments in Politics, Economy, and War

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Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Market turbulence and volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future as global tensions rise.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:19 am

WSJ on Tuesday now reporting President Trump and China’s leader Xi will not speak to each other later today

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:24 am

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that around 20,000 US federal employees accepted buyout offers. The Washington Post today is reporting layoffs of federal employees is likely if too few of them choose to accept buyouts or quit.

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:17 pm

Pres. Trump said he would have talks with his Iranian counterpart, but also said Iran is too close to having and cannot have nuclear weapons

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:23 pm

Pres Trump he would like to Palestinians taken in by Egypt and Jordan, adding they have no alternative but to leave. He is not in favor of Israeli’s settling in Gaza

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Reuters reports Ukraine’s military said on Tuesday its air force had struck a Russian military command post in Russia’s Kursk region the previous day causing sustained significant damage and casualties. Reuters could not independently verify the statement.

–Ukraine’s military has reported numerous strikes on Russian military and energy facilities in recent weeks. Ukrainian forces have been battling Russian troops in the Kursk region since Ukraine mounted a cross border operation there last year.

–A pro-Russian Ukrainian paramilitary leader, Armen Sarkisyan, was killed along with one other person, and three more people were wounded in a bomb blast inside a residential building in northwest Moscow, Russian state news agency TASS reports.

–Russia’s Investigative Committee said it opened a criminal inquiry after the explosion on charges of murder by means injurious to the public, attempted murder of two or more people and arms trafficking.

–Ukrainian forces are believed to be behind a series of assassinations in Russia. In mid-December, Russian General Igor Kirillov died in a remote-controlled blast in Moscow.

–The United Nations echoed Ukraine’s growing concerns that Russia killed 79 captured Ukrainian soldiers in 24 separate incidents since September.

–A former United Kingdom MP, Jack Lopresti, has joined the Ukrainian International Legion to help fight against Russia, media reports said. Lopresti reportedly travelled to Kyiv in November to help a charity.

 

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–Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Moscow’s air defense units intercepted and destroyed 70 drones in a Ukrainian offensive overnight. The ministry said Kyiv had also targeted energy facilities, including an oil refinery in Volgograd which had caught fire.

–Ukraine’s military claimed responsibility for strikes on Russian energy facilities, claiming that it hit a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd and a gas processing plant in Astrakhan. Both establishments supplied fuel to the Russian Army, according to the military.

–State Emergency Service workers of Ukraine work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava

Ukrainian rescuers working at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, where at least seven people died and 17 others, including four children, were injured, on February 1, 2025 [Handout/State Emergency Service of Ukraine via EPA-EFE]

–Kyiv’s Air Force said it destroyed 38 of 71 Russian drones launched at Ukraine in an overnight attack. Some 25 drones disappeared from radars without reaching their targets, the Air Force said.

–According to the Reuters news agency, Moscow also said that it was too early for Russia to consider the four-way peace talks model proposed by Zelenskyy, which would include the US, Ukraine, Russia and the EU. Zelenskyy previously said it would be very dangerous if Washington and Moscow held ceasefire talks without involving Kyiv.

–Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, criticized the Finnish government over the publication of an information package for its citizens who are planning or considering volunteering on Ukraine’s side in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

–US President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he is seeking a secure supply of rare earth metals from Ukraine in exchange for US aid.

–Moldova’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement denouncing the invasion of its airspace by a drone and said it was discussing with allies how to boost airspace defense. The statement detailed that the drone entered from Ukraine’s airspace, but did not identify the origin or likely operator of the drone.

Tomorrow: Disney before the open, Qualcomm Earnings after the close! ADP, Balance of Trade, Barkin Speech 8am CST, ISM Svcs., Fed Jefferson Speech 6:30 pm CST

 

Daily Levels for February 5th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Russell 2000 Futures

The Russell 2000 Futures contract is a cornerstone of the futures trading world, providing traders with a robust tool to speculate on or hedge against movements in small-cap equity markets. Since its inception, the Russell 2000 Futures, often abbreviated as RUT 2000 Futures, has undergone significant evolution, becoming a vital component of modern futures trading. This piece explores its origins, development, and role in the market, while highlighting why trading futures with Cannon Trading Company is an exceptional choice for traders at all experience levels.

The Birth of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract

The Russell 2000 Index, launched in 1984 by the Frank Russell Company, tracks the performance of the smallest 2,000 stocks within the Russell 3000 Index, representing U.S. small-cap companies. The introduction of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract followed shortly after, in response to increasing demand for products enabling investors to trade on the performance of small-cap stocks in a standardized, liquid manner.

The Key Figures Behind the Inception

Several financial pioneers were instrumental in bringing the Russell 2000 Futures to life. William F. Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and consultant to the Frank Russell Company, helped refine the methodology for index construction. His contributions ensured that the Russell indices offered an accurate reflection of market segments.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a leading futures exchange, played a central role in facilitating the trading of these contracts. Key figures at CME, such as Leo Melamed, known as the “father of financial futures,” were advocates for innovation in derivatives markets. Under Melamed’s leadership, the CME expanded its offerings, including equity index futures like the RUT 2000 Futures.

Early Trading Anecdotes and Challenges

When trading began, many small-cap companies featured in the Russell 2000 were relatively unknown. Traders found the RUT 2000 Futures offered an efficient way to manage exposure to this high-risk, high-reward market segment. Anecdotes from early trading sessions illustrate the volatility of small-cap stocks and the corresponding opportunities in the futures market. For instance, a trader who identified a trend in burgeoning tech startups in the early 1990s could leverage RUT 2000 Futures to magnify returns or hedge against broader market risks.

One notable early trade occurred during the dot-com boom. A hedge fund manager, anticipating a bubble in small-cap tech stocks, used Russell 2000 Futures contracts to short the index. When the bubble burst, this strategic use of futures resulted in substantial profits for the fund, solidifying the contract’s reputation as a powerful tool for both speculation and risk management.

Evolution and Modern-Day Use

Over the decades, the Russell 2000 Futures have evolved in terms of accessibility, technology, and utility. Originally traded in open-outcry pits, the advent of electronic trading platforms revolutionized futures trading. CME’s Globex platform, introduced in 1992, allowed traders worldwide to access RUT 2000 Futures, increasing liquidity and efficiency.

Contract Specifications

The modern Russell 2000 Futures contract has standardized terms that make it attractive to a broad range of traders. Key specifications include:

  • Contract Size: $50 times the Russell 2000 Index value.
  • Tick Size: 0.10 index points, equivalent to $5 per tick.
  • Settlement: Cash-settled to the final index value.

These attributes make it suitable for individual traders and institutional investors alike. Additionally, the introduction of E-mini and Micro E-mini RUT Futures has lowered barriers to entry, enabling smaller traders to participate without excessive capital requirements.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a trader bullish on small-cap stocks due to favorable economic conditions. With the Russell 2000 Index trading at 1,800 points, the trader buys two RUT 2000 Futures contracts at this level. Each contract’s notional value is $90,000 ($50 × 1,800), requiring a margin deposit of roughly $6,000 per contract.

The index rises to 1,850, yielding a gain of 50 points. For two contracts, the profit is $5,000 ($50 × 50 points × 2 contracts). This example demonstrates how RUT 2000 Futures enable traders to amplify returns with minimal upfront capital, though the risks of leveraged losses must also be acknowledged.

The Role of Futures Brokers

The evolution of futures trading platforms and brokerage services has been crucial in shaping the market. Futures brokers serve as the backbone of trading, offering access to platforms, market data, and educational resources.

Cannon Trading Company: A Premier Futures Broker

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a top-tier futures broker, earning 5-star ratings on TrustPilot and accolades for its decades of experience. Here’s why Cannon Trading is a standout choice for trading futures contracts:

  • Diverse Platform Selection: Cannon Trading provides access to industry-leading platforms such as NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and CQG. Each platform is tailored to different trading styles, ensuring both novice and seasoned traders have the tools they need.
  • Educational Resources: Cannon Trading offers extensive resources for futures traders, including market analysis, webinars, and trading guides. This focus on education empowers clients to make informed decisions.
  • Regulatory Excellence: With a stellar reputation among regulatory bodies like the NFA and CFTC, Cannon Trading emphasizes transparency and compliance, giving traders peace of mind.
  • Personalized Service: Unlike generic online brokers, Cannon Trading provides personalized service, pairing clients with experienced brokers who understand their unique needs.

Real-Life Case Studies

Case Study 1: Hedging Risk with RUT 2000 Futures

In 2020, a small-cap mutual fund manager faced uncertainty amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Concerned about potential market downturns, they used RUT 2000 Futures to hedge their portfolio. By selling futures contracts, the manager mitigated losses as the index fell, demonstrating the contracts’ value for risk management.

Case Study 2: Leveraged Gains

An individual futures trader, recognizing strong earnings growth in small-cap companies in 2021, decided to go long on E-mini RUT Futures. With precise entry and exit strategies, the trader achieved a 25% return on initial margin, highlighting the profit potential of leveraged futures trading.

The Future of Russell 2000 Futures Trading

As technology advances, the Russell 2000 Futures market will continue to grow. Innovations like AI-driven trading algorithms and blockchain-based clearing systems promise to enhance efficiency and transparency. Moreover, the increasing globalization of markets means more traders from diverse backgrounds will access RUT 2000 Futures, further boosting liquidity.

The Russell 2000 Futures contract has evolved from a niche product into a vital instrument for traders worldwide. With its origins rooted in the vision of financial pioneers, the RUT 2000 Futures now serve as a powerful tool for hedging and speculation in the small-cap equity market. For traders seeking an exceptional futures broker, Cannon Trading Company stands out for its unparalleled platform selection, regulatory excellence, and client-focused approach. Whether you are a novice futures trader or an experienced market participant, Cannon Trading provides the resources and support necessary to succeed in the dynamic world of futures trading.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Movers and Shakers: Dollar Dominance, Commodity Trends, and Key Market Updates!

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Three trading days removed from Contract Highs in the U.S. Dollar index @ 109.325 basis the March 2025 contract and a 2 full cent retracement yesterday, the bulls certainly appear to be control of this market with a close today near the session highs @ 108.40.  The value of the dollar has numerous implications for our export markets, as the dollar becomes stronger the cost of goods become more expensive.

High Dollar values over the long term usually do not not bode well for commodity prices. Needless to say, the energy complex looks strong today with spot Feb WTI up .85 cents, nearing the $75 /bbl mark after being in the 60’s just 10 days ago.

The Grain market has nearly a mirror inverse image basis the daily charts compared to the U.S Dollar index. With one exception, The corn market.

Just an observation, the precious metals market have struggled to make new highs or even break above their 3 month Mid range price levels as the U.S. Dollar strength has been a main feature affecting the commodity markets.

The U.S Dollar is considered a safe haven.

 

Today’s Movers

Today’s News:

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

Institute of Supply Management (ISM) US Service Sector Headline Recap

 

**ISM US December Service Sector Composite Index: 54.1 ; expected 53.4 ; prior month 52.1

**ISM US December Service Sector Business Activity: 58.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Employment: 51.4 vs prior month 51.5

**ISM US December Service Sector New Orders: 54.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Prices Paid: 64.4 vs prior month 58.2

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

**US November 2024 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS): 8.098 mln; prior month 7.744 mln

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US weekly jobless claims will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning, a day earlier than normal due to the funeral for former Pres. Carter, initial claims are expected at 215,000, up +4,000 from the prior week.

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Waller Fed Speech

 

ADP December US Private Sector jobs net change data will be released Wednesday morning around 7:15 am CT. Analysts expect job gains of +136,000 that’s off 100,000 from the previous month’s +146,000.

 

11:00 AM CST FOMC minutes from the December Rate decision

 

Both crude oil and natural gas numbers are out tomorrow!

 

Earnings: very quiet, only 14 firms reporting

 

Daily Levels for January 8th, 2024

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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Futures Brokers USA

The futures trading landscape in the United States is at the cusp of significant evolution, driven by advances in technology, changing regulations, and shifting trader demographics. For anyone engaged in futures trading—whether seasoned professionals or novices—understanding the dynamics of this transformation is critical. Futures brokers in the USA, known for providing access to commodities, indices, and currency markets, are navigating this shift with an eye on innovation and adaptability. In this comprehensive exploration, we’ll examine the future of futures brokerages in the U.S. and highlight what traders should anticipate as 2025 approaches. Along the way, we’ll explore the role of Cannon Trading Company, a leading name among futures brokers in the US, and why it stands out in an increasingly competitive field.

The Evolving Landscape of Futures Trading

Futures trading has a long-standing history of facilitating risk management and speculative opportunities. Traditionally, it was a domain dominated by institutional traders and large-scale hedgers. However, the rise of technology has democratized access to futures trading, enabling retail traders to participate alongside institutional players. Futures brokers in the USA have adapted to this trend by offering diverse platforms, competitive pricing, and robust educational resources.

Case Study: The Shift to Algorithmic Trading

Take the example of a mid-sized agricultural producer in Kansas. In 2015, they relied on manual trading to hedge their corn production against market volatility. By 2023, with the advent of algorithmic trading and artificial intelligence (AI), they transitioned to automated systems provided by top futures brokers in the US. This shift not only improved their trading efficiency but also reduced human error and enhanced profitability.

By 2025, experts predict that more than 70% of futures trading will be executed through algorithmic systems. This trend underscores the importance of choosing a broker equipped with cutting-edge technology. Cannon Trading Company, for instance, excels in this area, offering platforms like Sierra Chart and MultiCharts, which cater to both discretionary and algorithmic traders.

Regulatory Changes and Their Impact

The futures market is one of the most heavily regulated sectors in the financial industry. The National Futures Association (NFA) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) play pivotal roles in ensuring market integrity. As we approach 2025, several regulatory changes are expected to shape the industry:

  • Enhanced Transparency: Regulators are likely to mandate greater transparency in fee structures, ensuring that traders clearly understand the costs associated with their trades.
  • Improved Cybersecurity Standards: With the increasing reliance on digital platforms, futures brokers in the USA must comply with stringent cybersecurity measures to protect client data and funds.
  • Focus on Sustainability: Regulatory bodies may introduce guidelines encouraging brokers to support environmentally sustainable practices, particularly in commodity markets like energy and agriculture.

Real-Life Anecdote: Adapting to Regulation

In 2021, a small retail trader in California faced challenges navigating margin requirements for crude oil futures. They switched to Cannon Trading Company after discovering its transparent approach to compliance and margin policies. The trader’s success in managing risk through Cannon’s educational resources highlights why compliance and transparency are integral to the best brokers for futures.

The Role of Technology in Futures Trading

Technology continues to revolutionize the futures trading ecosystem. By 2025, brokers will likely integrate even more advanced tools to enhance trading experiences, such as:

  • AI-Driven Analytics: Platforms will leverage AI to provide predictive analytics, helping traders identify trends and make informed decisions.
  • Blockchain Technology: Futures brokers in the US may adopt blockchain to streamline settlement processes, reduce fraud, and improve transparency.
  • Mobile-First Platforms: With the growing number of traders using mobile devices, brokers will prioritize mobile-first designs to ensure seamless trading on the go.

Hypothetical Scenario: The Day Trader’s Advantage

Imagine a day trader in New York using a platform equipped with AI analytics and real-time blockchain data verification. This trader identifies a bullish trend in the gold market and executes a profitable trade within seconds. Such scenarios highlight the potential of technological advancements to empower futures trading brokers and their clients.

Cannon Trading Company is well-positioned to lead this charge. Its diverse selection of trading platforms, including the highly rated E-Futures International and Optimus Flow, caters to traders of all experience levels. These platforms offer features like advanced charting, backtesting, and customizable indicators, ensuring traders have the tools they need to succeed.

Demographic Shifts and Trader Preferences

The demographic profile of futures traders is shifting. Millennials and Gen Z traders, known for their tech-savviness and preference for online platforms, are entering the market in greater numbers. These traders demand:

  • Educational Resources: Interactive tutorials, webinars, and market analysis to enhance their trading knowledge.
  • Social Trading Features: Tools that allow them to follow and replicate the strategies of successful traders.
  • Low-Cost Access: Competitive pricing with minimal commissions and fees.

Case Study: The Novice Trader’s Journey

A college graduate in Florida started trading futures in 2022 using a mobile app. Initially overwhelmed by the complexity of the market, they turned to Cannon Trading Company for guidance. With its robust educational resources and responsive customer support, the broker helped the trader build confidence and execute successful trades. By 2025, such brokers will play a pivotal role in onboarding and nurturing the next generation of futures traders.

Why Cannon Trading Company Stands Out

Cannon Trading Company exemplifies the qualities of a top-tier futures broker in the US. Here’s why it’s a great choice for trading futures contracts:

  • Wide Selection of Platforms: From beginner-friendly options like E-Futures to advanced platforms like Sierra Chart, Cannon Trading caters to diverse trading styles and preferences.
  • Regulatory Excellence: With decades of experience and a stellar reputation with the NFA and CFTC, the company ensures compliance and trustworthiness.
  • Customer-Centric Approach: The broker’s 5-star ratings on TrustPilot reflect its commitment to exceptional service and support.
  • Competitive Pricing: Cannon Trading offers transparent fee structures, ensuring traders know exactly what they’re paying for.
  • Educational Support: The company provides a wealth of resources, including market analysis, webinars, and personalized consultations, to help traders succeed.

Preparing for 2025: Key Takeaways for Traders

As the futures trading industry evolves, traders must adapt to stay competitive. Here are some tips to prepare for the changes ahead:

  • Embrace Technology: Leverage advanced platforms and tools to enhance your trading efficiency.
  • Stay Informed: Keep up with regulatory developments and adjust your strategies accordingly.
  • Choose the Right Broker: Opt for a broker like Cannon Trading Company that offers a comprehensive suite of services and a proven track record.
  • Invest in Education: Continuously enhance your trading knowledge through courses, tutorials, and market analysis.

By aligning with a forward-thinking broker and staying proactive, traders can thrive in the dynamic futures market of 2025 and beyond.

The future of futures brokerages in the USA is bright, marked by technological innovation, regulatory advancements, and changing trader demographics. Brokers like Cannon Trading Company exemplify the adaptability and excellence needed to succeed in this evolving landscape. Whether you’re a novice exploring futures trading or a seasoned professional seeking advanced tools, Cannon Trading offers the platforms, expertise, and support to help you achieve your trading goals.

By understanding the trends shaping the industry and aligning with a trusted partner, traders can navigate the complexities of the futures market with confidence. As 2025 approaches, the opportunities for growth and success in futures trading are more abundant than ever.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

 

 

AI Futures

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly transformed various industries, and futures trading is no exception. From the earliest days of manually shouting orders on bustling trading floors to today’s sophisticated, algorithm-driven systems, the futures markets have undergone a seismic shift. Understanding this evolution sheds light on the advantages and disadvantages of automated and manual trading, while also highlighting why institutions like Cannon Trading Company remain pivotal for traders navigating these dynamic landscapes.

The Early Days of Futures Trading

Before the advent of AI, futures trading relied heavily on manual processes. Traders on the floor of exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) or the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) engaged in open outcry trading. Brokers shouted and used hand signals to execute trades in pits, creating a high-energy environment driven by human intuition, relationships, and rapid decision-making.

Manual trading in this era required a deep understanding of market fundamentals, technical analysis, and quick reflexes. For example, during the 1980s, crude oil futures saw dramatic price fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions. Brokers had to assess global news, client positions, and technical charts almost instantaneously to execute profitable trades. The experience of a seasoned futures trader often made the difference between substantial gains and significant losses.

However, the manual system had its drawbacks. Human error, emotional decision-making, and inefficiencies in communication often resulted in missed opportunities or costly mistakes. As technology advanced, these limitations became apparent, paving the way for more sophisticated methods.

The Advent of Automated Futures Trading

The introduction of computers in the late 20th century marked the beginning of a new era for futures trading. Algorithms capable of processing vast amounts of data at incredible speeds began to replace manual processes. This evolution took a giant leap forward with the advent of AI and machine learning in the 21st century.

AI-driven futures trading systems leverage historical data, real-time market information, and predictive analytics to make split-second decisions. For example, in 2010, high-frequency trading (HFT) accounted for over 60% of all U.S. equity trading volume. These AI algorithms identify patterns and execute trades faster than any human trader could manage.

One notable anecdote involves the 2010 “Flash Crash,” where the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted nearly 1,000 points in minutes before quickly rebounding. AI algorithms played a significant role in this event. While their speed and efficiency can create liquidity, their interactions can also exacerbate market volatility. This dual-edged nature of AI trading underscores the importance of regulatory oversight and robust system design.

Advantages of AI in Futures Trading

AI futures trading offers numerous benefits:

  • Speed and Efficiency: AI algorithms process data and execute trades in milliseconds, providing a competitive edge in fast-moving markets. For instance, a futures trader using AI can capitalize on microsecond price discrepancies in commodities like gold or crude oil.
  • Data-Driven Decisions: AI systems analyze vast datasets, identifying trends and patterns that might be invisible to human traders. This ability allows for more informed decision-making.
  • Emotion-Free Trading: Unlike human traders, AI systems are immune to fear, greed, or panic, ensuring objective decisions even during volatile market conditions.
  • Scalability: AI can monitor and execute trades across multiple markets and instruments simultaneously, something no human can achieve.

Case Study: Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund founded by mathematician James Simons, has consistently delivered high returns using AI-driven strategies. Their Medallion Fund, which employs machine learning algorithms, is one of the most successful trading funds in history, generating average annual returns of 39% before fees.

Disadvantages of Automated Trading

Despite its advantages, AI futures trading has its challenges:

  • Over-Reliance on Technology: Traders relying solely on AI risk significant losses if systems fail or encounter unforeseen market conditions.
  • Black Box Problem: Many AI algorithms operate as “black boxes,” meaning their decision-making processes are opaque. This lack of transparency can be problematic, especially during unexpected market events.
  • Market Volatility: The speed and volume of AI-driven trades can amplify market fluctuations, as evidenced by events like the “Flash Crash.”
  • High Development Costs: Building and maintaining AI systems require substantial investment in technology, data, and expertise.

Hypothetical Scenario: Imagine an AI system designed to trade soybean futures based on weather data. A sudden, unprecedented weather anomaly—not included in the training data—leads to erroneous predictions and significant losses. This scenario highlights the importance of continuous monitoring and improvement of AI systems.

Manual Trading: Strengths and Weaknesses

While AI dominates modern futures trading, manual trading still has its place. Human traders bring intuition, experience, and the ability to adapt to unique market conditions. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, some experienced futures brokers successfully navigated unprecedented market turmoil by relying on their deep understanding of fundamentals and client needs.

Advantages of manual trading include:

  • Flexibility: Human traders can quickly adapt strategies based on evolving market conditions or unexpected events.
  • Relationship Building: Successful futures brokers often cultivate strong relationships with clients, providing personalized advice and support.
  • Intuitive Decision-Making: Experienced traders can make judgment calls that AI systems might miss.

However, manual trading also has drawbacks:

  • Emotional Bias: Fear, greed, and other emotions can cloud judgment, leading to poor decisions.
  • Slower Execution: Human traders cannot match the speed of AI systems, particularly in high-frequency trading environments.
  • Limited Scalability: Managing multiple markets and instruments simultaneously is challenging for even the most skilled traders.

Why Cannon Trading Company Excels in Futures Trading

For traders seeking the best of both worlds, Cannon Trading Company stands out as an ideal partner. Here’s why:

  • Wide Selection of Platforms: Cannon offers access to top-performing trading platforms, catering to both manual and automated trading preferences. Their platforms support advanced charting, algorithm integration, and real-time market data.
  • Trust and Reputation: With a 5-star rating on TrustPilot and decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company has earned the trust of its clients. Their exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies ensures that traders can operate with confidence.
  • Expertise Across Experience Levels: Whether you’re a seasoned futures trader or a novice exploring the markets, Cannon’s team of experienced futures brokers provides personalized guidance and support.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Cannon adheres to stringent National Futures Association (NFA) guidelines, ensuring transparency and ethical practices in futures contract trading.

Case Study: A client of Cannon Trading Company reported transitioning from manual trading to a hybrid approach using AI-driven platforms. With Cannon’s support, they successfully implemented an algorithm to trade E-mini S&P 500 futures, achieving consistent returns while retaining the ability to override trades based on market insights.

The Future of AI in Futures Trading

Looking ahead, the integration of AI in futures trading will only deepen. Innovations like natural language processing (NLP) and reinforcement learning will enable systems to interpret news articles, social media sentiment, and even geopolitical developments to inform trading decisions.

For instance, an AI system analyzing weather patterns and crop reports might predict a supply shortage in wheat, prompting traders to enter long futures contracts. Alternatively, advances in quantum computing could revolutionize the speed and accuracy of predictive models, giving traders an unprecedented edge.

However, as AI continues to evolve, ethical and regulatory considerations will remain critical. Ensuring fairness, transparency, and accountability in AI-driven markets will be paramount to maintaining trust and stability.

The evolution of AI futures trading has revolutionized the industry, offering unparalleled speed, efficiency, and data-driven insights. While automated systems have their advantages, the human touch remains invaluable, particularly in navigating complex or unprecedented market scenarios.

For traders of all experience levels, choosing the right partner is essential. Cannon Trading Company’s combination of advanced platforms, stellar reputation, and personalized support makes it an ideal choice for anyone engaged in futures trading. Whether you’re leveraging cutting-edge AI or relying on the expertise of seasoned futures brokers, Cannon provides the tools and guidance needed to succeed in today’s dynamic markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Weekly Newsletter: Xmas Schedule, Dollar Index Outlook & Trading Levels for Dec. 23rd

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In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Christmas Trading Schedule
  • Hot Market of the Week – March US Dollar Index
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week
To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced
Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

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  • Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

March US Dollar Index

The November 25th QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the US dollar index had completed its first upside PriceCount objective. The chart proceeded to correct lower which is normal reaction. Now, we are attempting to resume the rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count to the 109.98 area.

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
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Daily Levels for December 23, 2024

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Weekly Levels

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Markets Await Fed Decision Amid Retail Sales Strength

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Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

 

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

The Equity markets got a little less frothy today ahead of the Final rate decision; prices down marginally. Some SMA crossovers are showing a downside break is in store for the DOW Index. Not so for the S & P or Nasdaq Indices. Although the S&P does not appear to be poised for a breakdown like the Dow, (range bound for the past 3 weeks) NQ’s story is a little different and the Magnificent 7 have continue to fuel the endless rally with only a minor 6/10th’s of a percentage correction. My personal view is this is simply a retail selling opportunity in advance of the FOMC results tomorrow, I call it a little “risk off”.

 

Energies, Grains, Metals, softs are all closing on the negative for the day with very few exceptions within the complexes.

 

US Advance Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**US November Advance Retail Sales: +0.7%; expected +0.6%

**US November Advance Retail Sales ex Autos: +0.2%; expected +0.4%

 

**US revised October Retail Sales: +0.5% from +0.4%

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first two weeks of December 2024 vs December 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.8% in the week ending December 14th vs yr ago week

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the first week of September 2024 vs September 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the week ending September 7 vs yr ago week

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 8:15 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

 

**Federal Reserve November US Industrial Production: -0.1%; expected +0.2%

**Federal Reserve November US Capacity Utilization: 76.8%; expected 77.2%

 

**Federal Reserve October US Industrial Production revised: -0.4%; prior -0.3%

**Federal Reserve October US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.0%; prior 77.1%

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 9:38 am

**US House Speaker Johnson Tuesday morning said the stopgap funding bill will have $10 billion for US farmers

Updated: September 10, 2024 12:49 pm

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

 

 

Fed Funds FOMC Rate decision @ 1P.M. Central with 1:30 PM Presser with J. Powell to follow.

 

Consensus Outlook:

The US Federal Reserve will announce their FOMC policy statement Wednesday afternoon around 1:00 pm CT. Many economists expect the FOMC to lower the key Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, to a range between 4.25% to 4.50%. However, after Tuesday’s strong November US retail sales data showed underlying economic momentum, pundits are wondering if the Fed may signal a cautious, slowing pace of interest rate cuts in 2025.

Soybeans Daily Chart Below:

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Daily Levels for December 18, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Futures Broker

The futures trading market, known for its high risk and high reward potential, is not only a game of skill and strategy but also one that requires choosing the right futures broker. For novice and seasoned traders alike, navigating the world of future brokers can be fraught with challenges, especially when determining who to trust. With so much at stake—both financially and emotionally—it is crucial to recognize the signs of a reliable futures broker versus the red flags of an unreliable one. This guide will dive into the top ten signs of a trustworthy broker and the ten glaring warning signs to avoid, drawing on real-world cases, hypotheticals, and practical advice. We will also explore how traders can minimize their risks and why firms like Cannon Trading Company stand out as exceptional choices in the futures trading landscape.

Top Ten Signs of a Reliable Futures Broker

  1. Regulatory Compliance and Transparency A trustworthy futures broker is always registered with reputable regulatory bodies, such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the National Futures Association (NFA) in the U.S. These registrations ensure compliance with stringent standards. Look for clear disclosures on their website, including license numbers and links to verification tools.

Case Study: A trader working with a broker fully licensed by the NFA avoided significant losses when the broker promptly alerted clients to regulatory changes affecting margin requirements. This transparency showcased the firm’s commitment to protecting its clients’ interests.

  1. Comprehensive Educational Resources Reliable futures brokers invest in educating their clients. They provide webinars, tutorials, and market analyses tailored to both beginners and experienced traders. Access to free trading platforms for practice is another strong indicator of a broker’s credibility.

Hypothetical: A beginner is torn between two brokers. One offers a free demo account and extensive learning material, while the other provides no educational resources. The beginner chooses the former and gains valuable experience in futures trading without risking real money.

  1. Fair and Transparent Fee Structures Reputable brokers clearly outline their fee structures, including commissions, margin rates, and withdrawal fees. Hidden charges are a sign of a broker to avoid.

Real Example: Cannon Trading Company is known for its transparency, offering clients detailed breakdowns of trading costs, ensuring there are no surprises.

  1. Quality Customer Service Trustworthy future brokers provide responsive and knowledgeable customer service, available across multiple channels, including phone, email, and live chat. Look for brokers with highly rated customer support.

Hypothetical: A trader faces a platform error during a critical market movement. The broker’s 24/7 support resolves the issue within minutes, preventing significant losses.

  1. User-Friendly Platforms A good broker provides intuitive and reliable trading platforms that cater to various levels of expertise. Features like advanced charting tools, real-time data, and easy execution of trades are essential.

Case Study: A trader using a platform provided by a reliable broker successfully executed a stop-loss order during a market crash, avoiding catastrophic losses thanks to the platform’s reliability.

  1. Access to a Wide Range of Markets Reliable futures brokers offer access to various markets, from commodities and indices to currencies and energy. This diversity allows traders to build robust portfolios.
  2. Strong Online Reputation High ratings on platforms like TrustPilot and positive reviews across forums and social media reflect a broker’s trustworthiness. Cannon Trading Company, for example, boasts numerous 5-star reviews, highlighting its reliability.
  3. Risk Management Tools Trustworthy brokers emphasize the importance of risk management by providing tools like stop-loss orders, margin calculators, and alerts.
  4. Industry Longevity Experience matters in futures trading. Brokers with decades of operation have weathered market changes, proving their resilience and reliability.

Example: Cannon Trading Company, with over 30 years in the industry, has built a stellar reputation for reliability and integrity.

  1. Ethical Practices Trustworthy brokers never pressure clients into excessive trading, upsell unnecessary products, or promise unrealistic profits. Their goal is long-term partnerships, not short-term gains.

Top Ten Red Flags of an Unreliable Futures Broker

  1. Lack of Regulatory Oversight Brokers without registration with major regulatory bodies are immediate red flags. Always verify their credentials.

Hypothetical: A trader works with an unregulated broker who disappears overnight with their funds—a devastating yet avoidable situation.

  1. Unrealistic Profit Guarantees Promising guaranteed returns in futures trading is a major red flag. The futures market is inherently volatile, and no broker can ensure profits.
  2. High-Pressure Sales Tactics Brokers that pressure clients into making quick decisions or investing more than they’re comfortable with are not to be trusted.

Case Study: A novice trader was persuaded to over-leverage their account, resulting in significant losses when the market turned against them.

  1. Hidden Fees Shady brokers often bury exorbitant fees in the fine print, from withdrawal charges to “maintenance fees.”

Example: One trader discovered after a year that their broker charged monthly inactivity fees, eroding their profits.

  1. Poor Customer Support Brokers that are difficult to reach or provide vague responses to inquiries are signs of trouble. A lack of support can be disastrous during market volatility.
  2. Unreliable Platforms Frequent outages, execution delays, or lack of robust security measures are clear signs of a broker to avoid.
  3. Fake Reviews and Endorsements Be wary of brokers with overly polished or suspiciously similar online reviews. Genuine testimonials are diverse and specific.
  4. Limited Account Transparency Reliable brokers offer full visibility into account activity. Lack of transparency may signal mismanagement or fraud.
  5. Excessive Leverage Offers Brokers offering extremely high leverage may be enticing but are often designed to capitalize on inexperienced traders’ losses.
  6. Unverified Claims of Longevity Brokers claiming decades of experience without proof or clear histories are likely unreliable.

Navigating Pedestals and Pitfalls as a Beginner

For those new to trading futures, separating the reliable from the questionable can be daunting. Follow these steps to minimize financial and emotional risk:

  1. Do Your Homework Research brokers extensively. Use resources like the NFA’s BASIC system to verify registrations.
  2. Start Small Begin with small trades to learn the mechanics of futures trading without risking significant capital.
  3. Leverage Demo Accounts Take advantage of brokers offering free trading platforms and demo accounts to practice.
  4. Understand the Market Educate yourself on futures trading, including market terminology, strategies, and risk management.
  5. Ask Questions A reliable broker will answer all questions openly. If a broker seems evasive, look elsewhere.
  6. Avoid High-Pressure Sales Walk away from brokers pushing you into decisions without providing ample time for consideration.

Why Cannon Trading Company Excels in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company exemplifies the qualities of a reliable futures broker. With over 30 years in the industry, it is regulated by the CFTC and a proud member of the NFA. The company is renowned for its transparency, offering clear fee structures and a range of account options. Its free trading platform allows beginners to learn the ropes without financial pressure, while its exceptional customer service ensures clients receive timely support.

Moreover, Cannon Trading Company’s stellar reputation on TrustPilot, with numerous 5-star ratings, speaks volumes about its reliability. The firm prioritizes client education through webinars and detailed market analyses, enabling traders to make informed decisions. Its dedication to ethical practices and robust regulatory compliance sets it apart in a crowded market.

The future trading market is filled with opportunities, but success begins with choosing the right futures broker. Recognizing the signs of a reliable broker—such as regulatory compliance, transparent fees, and quality support—while avoiding red flags like hidden charges, poor customer service, and unregulated operations can save traders from costly mistakes. For beginners, starting small, asking questions, and leveraging educational resources can help navigate this challenging yet rewarding field. Brokers like Cannon Trading Company stand out for their decades of experience, ethical practices, and commitment to client success, making them a top choice for trading futures.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading