Outlook for the Week Ahead + Futures Levels 7.25.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The week ahead Earnings, Earnings, FOMC, ECB Rate decision and more Earnings and more govt reports!

Tuesday @ 9 am CDT US Consumer confidence will be released, expectations are for better than last month by a few bases points then : Tuesday after the close GOOG reports Q2 earnings expectations are +$1.34 per share. MSFT also reports it’s fiscal Q4 , expectations are for earnings +$2.55 per share, Regional banks will also be reporting this week, The Regionals have the largest exposure to the Commercial Real Estate problem, keep a close on on any developments here. Wednesday META reports +$2.91 expected Thursday AMZN +$.34 expected.  Govt Reports: Tuesday thru Friday C Confidence mentioned above and the start of the FOMC the last one until September Expectations are currently projected with a confidence rating of 98.9% for a .25 increase to the 5.25=5.50 range. The actual announcement is Wednesday @ 1pm CDT with a press conference to follow 30 minutes later . Thursday the ECB announces it’s short term rate policy and they are expected to follow suit another .25 @ 7:15 am CDT. Q2 GDP is released at 7:30 CDT along with Durable goods, Intl trade in Goods ands US Jobless claims. Friday we can take a breath as the markets unwind their directions from the previous three days and will tend to reverse in a risk off stance prior to the weekend as we head toward the Dog Days of summer.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-25-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Bollinger Bands & Parabolics + Levels for July 24th

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1155

 

Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!

Have a safe Memorial Day Weekend. Trading Schedule HERE

In this issue:

  • Important Notices – FX Trading Contest
  • Trading Resource of the Week – Parabolics & Bollinger Bands
  • Hot Market of the Week – November Beans
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

  • Important Notices – FX Trading Contest

Participate in the upcoming Currency Cup: FX Trading Challenge where you’ll trade our suite of highly liquid benchmark FX contracts in a risk-free environment while competing against other traders for the chance to win cash prizes.
Learn how to trade FX futures and options
Through participation in our challenge, you’ll receive daily exclusive educational videos where you’ll learn about the key benefits of trading FX futures contracts.
Trade the world’s leading currencies
Competition Dates
Starts:
Sunday, July 23 at 5:00 p.m. CT / 22:00 UTC
Ends:
Friday, July 28 at 12:00 p.m. CT / 17:00 UTC
Prize Details
Overall Leaderboard
First Place Prize: $2,500
Second Place Prize: $1,500
Third Place Prize: $850
 This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
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  • Trading Resource of the Week – Parabolics and Bollinger Band

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
Watch video below on how you can utilize the Bollinger bands and parabolics studies in different ways.
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Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
November Beans Extended the rally above $14 when the chart is attacking overhead and the December High ($14.27 )and last Springs contract High ($14.48). New sustained highs above these levels would open the top side for a possible run to the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective near the 15.82 area
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Intraday
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$30,000
COST
USD 255 / monthly
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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Sign Up for a Free Personalized Consultation with a Broker from Cannon Trading Company
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
  • Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for July 24th, 2022
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Weekly Levels

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  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com 
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

 

Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Trading Levels for Tomorrow + Trading contest: Demo account, real cash prizes!

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Highlights, Announcements  by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General: 

 

Forecasts for the U.S. economy continue to reduce the chances of recession – or if one arrives its lower severity – as readings for reports like the Consumer & Producer Price Indexes and Personal Consumption continue to show inflation is coming under control.  At the same time, fear has dissipated that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies will destabilize the business climate, particularly as it related to employment and hiring, albeit having cooled somewhat last month.  Signs indeed point to the FOMC taking more of a wait-and-see stance in its upcoming meetings than the sense of tenacity it shown in raising rates eleven consecutive times ending in May.  In the background, the U.S. dollar has drifted south giving exports a boost.

 

Agricultural: 

 

Orange Juice futures (basis Sept.) traded to new all-time highs this week on the heels of Tuesday’s USDA crop report showing the U.S. orange crop’s 23% decline from last year and the smallest since 1937.  As of this typing prices touched $2.9155 per pound intraday (contract size: 15,000 pounds).  This is a substantial 90-cent price increase for the year, including a ±40-cent/$6,000 per contract move up in price this month alone.

 

 

The extreme heat across parts of the U.S., including low triple-digit temperatures forecast in key soybean and corn production areas next week have further threatened this year’s already stressed crops.  In addition, grain supply disruptions related to the war in Ukraine are adding pressure on global grain supplies.  Soybean futures (basis August) remain near their contract highs close to $15.00 per bushel and corn futures (basis September) have climbed back above $5.50 per bushel intraday today and yesterday, half-way back to its mid-June highs near $6.25 per bushel.

 

Financial: 

 

What a run for stock index futures the last two weeks.  Prior to what looks like a meaningful down day today, the Dow Jones cash market had risen seven consecutive days – since Mon. July 10 – its longest winning streak since March 2021.  The Sept. YM futures contract made a similar move: up ±1450 points from its closing price of Friday July 7 to Wednesday’s intraday high.  That’s a $7,250 per contract move.  The ES made a similar ±8,500 per contract move and the NQ made an impressive ±$17,100 move.

 

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

Trading Contest – Win Real Cash Trading Simulated Account!

Currency Futures Trading Challenge

Sign up for the Cannon Trading via  CME Group FX Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade futures currencies like the euro, Canadian dollar, Yen, British pound and other contracts in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.

Duration

Starts:

Sunday, July 23 at 5:00 p.m. CT / 22:00 UTC

Ends:

Friday, July 28 at 12:00 p.m. CT / 17:00 UTC

Prizes

 Prize Details

Overall Leaderboard

First Place Prize: $2,500

Second Place Prize: $1,500

Third Place Prize: $850

Sign up NOW

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-21-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Levels for July 20th – Range Bar Charts for Day Trading

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Watch the video below for ideas if using VOLUME and/or RANGE bar charts while day trading can help you filter out the noise and get signals FASTER when volume and price action are active?
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Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-20-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

317f28a1 601b 4e8a a913 572090e4561e

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Levels for July 18th – Earnings Season in Full Effect

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead by John Thorpe, Senior Broker:

Govt Reports, Earnings and the Fed Blackout period.

On the close of Business June 16th the S&P was at 4453.00, today we have a hi as of this writing, with 3.5 more hours to go in the session, of 4553.50 Up 100 points and of course, not in a straight line.

This does illustrate a continued bullish undertone. S&P + .022%, The NQ is up .035% and the broadest market index, the Russell index, the winner over this time period, up .041% .

This brings us to a number of questions: can the rally that begin in March continue through the summer? What factors is the market watching for clues and direction?

This week the most meaningful economic numbers to be released should be the June data on retail and food services sales at 7:30am CT on Tuesday. Inflation expectations are overall well-anchored, if at levels a bit above where they were before the current episode began in 2021.

Earnings season has arrived. Last week the JPM and C released their numbers,  This week the Regional Banks will start reporting results in addition to B of A, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, the Tech and consumer stocks the market will be very interested with are Tesla and Netflix. United Airlines reports as well.

Expectations are certainly muted from a year ago, and the lowered expectations have already been inserted on the game board by most analysts and ratings firms. Therefore, any good news should have a positive impact on the indices continued grind higher.

Of note this week is the Fed Black out period in advance of the July 25-26 meeting where traders are currently expecting another .25 rate hike after the last sessions pause.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-18-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: The Rising Wedge Trading Pattern + Levels for June 17th

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1154

 

Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!

Have a safe Memorial Day Weekend. Trading Schedule HERE

In this issue:

  • Important Notices – FX Trading Contest
  • Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Pattern: Rectangle Trading
  • Hot Market of the Week – August Live Cattle
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

  • Important Notices – FX Trading Contest

Participate in the upcoming Currency Cup: FX Trading Challenge where you’ll trade our suite of highly liquid benchmark FX contracts in a risk-free environment while competing against other traders for the chance to win cash prizes.
Learn how to trade FX futures and options
Through participation in our challenge, you’ll receive daily exclusive educational videos where you’ll learn about the key benefits of trading FX futures contracts.
Trade the world’s leading currencies
Competition Dates
Starts:
Sunday, July 23 at 5:00 p.m. CT / 22:00 UTC
Ends:
Friday, July 28 at 12:00 p.m. CT / 17:00 UTC
Prize Details
Overall Leaderboard
First Place Prize: $2,500
Second Place Prize: $1,500
Third Place Prize: $850
 This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
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  • Trading Resource of the Week – : Rectangle Trading Pattern

By Joe Easton, Senior Broker
Formation:
  •    This pattern is defined as price coming into a tight range between support and resistance
  •    This pattern is a continuation pattern. If the trend was up it will continue up and down it will continue down
  • Typically, volume is lower through this period of consolidation.

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Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
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In the examples above the range is creating a rectangle pattern in an uptrend. Ideally this pattern breaks higher without breaking lower support. If lower support is broken this pattern would no longer be a rectangle.
How to Trade:
The ideal entry is toward the bottom of the rectangle support. If entered on this line your stop should be below support. Price should bounce off support 2 to 3 times to be confident support is present.
The more conservative entry would be when the resistance in the rectangle is broken. This can happen very quickly and needs to be timed more accurately. The lower support line then becomes your stop. You could also make the resistance line become your stop.
When price breaks out you can measure the width of rectangle and project the price to move from the breakout that same distance at a minimum.
Summary:
Rectangles patterns exist in low volume consolidation in both uptrends and downtrends. Price corrects in two ways, time and price. This would classify more as a time correction considering price stays relatively consistent. Once price closes above the resistance you can expect the price to not retrace back into the rectangle. If there is a false breakout, the continuation is less likely to occur. Generally, if you are able to spot a rectangle you can expect the price trend to continue.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this chart are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
August Live cattle Is extending its rally into new highs where the chart is taking aim at its low percentage fourth upside PriceCount to the 183.30 area. This objective is consistent with the weekly chart High established last month it should be enough to satisfy this phase of the bull market.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Intraday
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$12,000
COST
USD 130 / monthly
713dea43 10f3 4a71 8d5c 770c5c53b881
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Sign Up for a Free Personalized Consultation with a Broker from Cannon Trading Company
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
  • Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for July 17th, 2022
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Weekly Levels

13b26629 c123 4256 96ba e7c28ba7777e

 

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com 
84cc8a39 88a1 4506 86a3 40f5de6cd24f

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

 

Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Trading Levels for July 14th – UoM Consumer Sentiment UoM Inflation Expectations

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

An Introduction To Trading Futures

An introductory guide to trading futures. If you’re a trader who is interested in branching out from equities or cash FX into futures, this guide will provide a great starting point. If you already know something about futures trading, you can jump to any chapter for a review or to the back of the booklet and test your knowledge in our Futures Quiz.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-14-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

a970eba9 f763 45b1 9c63 a7524415fcd5

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Levels for July 13th – PPI and the Bigger Picture

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Bigger Picture

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

Taking a look at a relatively bigger picture of the world’s growth – or lack thereof – below you’ll find a list of natural resource commodities and their performance over the first half of the year.

The list is certainly metals-centric and no softs (cocoa, sugar, cotton, coffee, orange juice) or livestock were included.  Nevertheless, it illustrates the broad theme of the global economy, in which the world’s leading demand engine – China – has experienced at best a sputtering recovery after nearly three years of pandemic-related falloff.

Notice just two: lithium and gold were the only ones heading into the second half of 2023 with positive returns.

Noteworthy is gold’s hold on to positive returns attributable to the relatively stable U.S. dollar and steady demand by the world’s central banks, which is likely to persist as long as the risk of recession remains for the big players – China, Europe and the U.S. – and high-quality, liquid assets remain desirable.  Compare gold to crude oil, which despite output cuts by OPEC+ countries and forecasts for demand to continue outpacing supply into 2024, has stayed negatively impacted by stalled economies.

 

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Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

Watch video below on ways to project exits on trades.

Projecting possible targets when trading futures

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-13-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Major Commodity Exchanges for Crude Oil and Oil Futures Trading

Find out more about trade crude oil futures here.

Commodity exchanges play a crucial role in facilitating the trading of various commodities, including crude oil and oil futures. These exchanges provide a platform for buyers and sellers to engage in transactions, hedge risks, and determine the prices of commodities. Several major commodity exchanges around the world are known for their active trading of crude oil and oil futures. Let’s explore some of these exchanges, their geographic locations, the types of crude oils traded, and the top five producers of crude oil globally.

1. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), also known as CMEX, is one of the largest and most influential financial exchanges in the world. Founded in 1898, it is located in Chicago, Illinois, and has played a significant role in the development of futures and derivatives trading.

  • General Overview: The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CMEX) is a prominent financial exchange that facilitates the trading of a wide range of financial products, including crude oil futures. At the CME, a wide range of financial products are traded, including commodities, equity indexes, interest rates, and foreign exchange.
  • Speculation: Speculation within the CMEX market is an integral part of price discovery and risk management. It is an inherent aspect of financial markets, and the CME is no exception. Speculation involves taking risks with the hope of making profits from anticipated price movements. In the context of crude oil futures, speculators can take positions based on their expectations of the future direction of oil prices. They may buy futures contracts if they believe prices will rise, or sell contracts if they expect prices to decline. Speculation within the CMEX market has both positive and negative implications. On one hand, speculators play an important role in providing liquidity and efficient price discovery. Their presence allows market participants, such as producers and consumers of crude oil, to manage their price risk effectively. Speculators absorb risk by taking the opposite side of hedging transactions, providing a valuable service to the market.
  • While speculators contribute to market liquidity and information flow, their activities can also introduce volatility and raise concerns about market manipulation. Appropriate regulations and oversight aim to strike a balance between fostering a vibrant marketplace and mitigating potential risks associated with speculation.
  • The presence of speculators in the crude oil futures market can lead to concerns about market manipulation. Manipulative practices, such as spoofing or wash trading, can distort prices and undermine the integrity of the market. Regulators continuously monitor and enforce rules to prevent such activities and ensure fair and orderly trading.
  • To manage the potential risks associated with speculation, the CME and regulatory bodies impose position limits and margin requirements. Position limits restrict the maximum number of contracts that speculators can hold, preventing them from exerting excessive control over the market. Margin requirements mandate that traders maintain a certain amount of funds in their accounts to cover potential losses, thereby mitigating risk.

2. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – United Kingdom: The Intercontinental Exchange, based in London, operates the ICE Futures Europe, where a significant volume of crude oil and oil futures contracts are traded. The Brent crude oil futures, the most widely recognized benchmark for oil pricing worldwide, are traded on this exchange. Brent crude oil is sourced from the North Sea and is known for its higher sulfur content compared to WTI.

3. Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) – China: The Shanghai International Energy Exchange, situated in Shanghai, China, has gained prominence in recent years. It operates the INE Crude Oil Futures, which provides a platform for trading crude oil futures contracts denominated in Chinese yuan. The crude oil futures contracts on INE are based on the Shanghai crude oil benchmark, which is a medium sour crude oil.

  • Importance of INE Crude Oil Futures: INE Crude Oil Futures plays a crucial role in China’s efforts to enhance its energy market and strengthen its influence in the global oil market. As the world’s largest energy consumer, China’s demand for crude oil continues to rise. By establishing a domestic futures contract, China aims to gain more control over its oil pricing, reduce reliance on international benchmarks, and develop a pricing mechanism that better reflects regional supply and demand dynamics.
  • Contract Specifications: The INE Crude Oil Futures contract is denominated in Chinese Yuan (CNY) and trades on the INE. The contract size is 1,000 barrels of crude oil, with delivery months extending for the next 12 calendar months. The crude oil grade specified in the contract is medium sour crude oil, allowing market participants to trade a specific grade of oil that is relevant to the Chinese market.

4. Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME) – United Arab Emirates: The Dubai Mercantile Exchange, located in Dubai, facilitates the trading of various energy futures contracts, including the DME Oman Crude Oil Futures. The DME Oman contract serves as a benchmark for pricing Middle East crude oil exports to Asia. Oman crude oil is a medium sour crude known for its higher sulfur content.

  • Contract Specifications: DME Crude Oil Futures represent the delivery of Dubai, Oman, or Upper Zakum crude oil. The contract specifications include the following:
  • Underlying Commodity: Dubai, Oman, or Upper Zakum crude oil
  • Contract Size: 1,000 barrels
  • Tick Size: $0.01 per barrel
  • Pricing Unit: U.S. Dollars per barrel
  • Contract Months: Up to 36 consecutive months
  • Trading Hours: Sunday to Thursday, 02:00 pm to 11:30 pm Gulf Standard Time (GMT+4)
  • Delivery Location: Fujairah, United Arab Emirates

5. Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) – India: The Multi Commodity Exchange, based in Mumbai, India, operates the MCX Crude Oil futures These contracts enable participants to trade Indian crude oil futures. The Indian crude oil basket comprises a mix of various crude oil types, including Brent, Dubai, and Omani crudes.

  • Contract Specifications: MCX Crude Oil Futures contracts have specific specifications that traders need to understand. The contract size for MCX Crude Oil Futures is typically 100 barrels, denominated in Indian Rupees (INR). The minimum price fluctuation, also known as the tick size, is INR 1 per barrel. This means that a price change of INR 1 per barrel results in a profit or loss of INR 100 per contract.
  • Factors Affecting MCX Crude Oil Futures Prices: Several factors impact the prices of MCX Crude Oil Futures. These include:
  1. Global Crude Oil Market: MCX Crude Oil Futures prices are influenced by international crude oil prices, particularly benchmark prices like Brent Crude or West Texas Intermediate (WTI). Supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, production cuts or increases by major oil-producing countries, and changes in global economic conditions all play a significant role in determining crude oil prices.
  2. Currency Exchange Rates: As MCX Crude Oil Futures are denominated in Indian Rupees, fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly the USD/INR exchange rate, can affect the prices of MCX Crude Oil Futures. A stronger Indian Rupee relative to the US Dollar can potentially lower the prices of MCX Crude Oil Futures and vice versa.
  3. Inventory Data: Inventory reports, such as the weekly crude oil inventory data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), can influence crude oil prices and subsequently impact MCX Crude Oil Futures. Changes in inventory levels, indicating either a build-up or drawdown of crude oil stocks, provide insights into supply-demand dynamics and can impact market sentiment.
  4. Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic factors, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and monetary policy decisions, can impact crude oil prices. Economic indicators that reflect the health of major oil-consuming nations, including India, can influence MCX Crude Oil Futures prices.

 

Ranking of the Top Five Producers of Crude Oil Worldwide:

  1. United States: The United States is the world’s largest producer of crude oil, thanks to its significant shale oil production. The country has experienced a surge in oil production in recent years, driven by advancements in extraction technologies such as hydraulic fracturing (fracking).
  2. Saudi Arabia: As the leading producer within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Saudi Arabia holds substantial reserves and maintains a high level of crude oil production capacity. The country plays a crucial role in global oil markets and has a significant influence on oil prices.
  3. Russia: Russia has consistently been one of the top producers of crude oil It possesses vast oil reserves and operates expansive oil fields. Russian oil production is a vital component of the country’s economy, contributing significantly to its export revenues.
  4. Canada: Canada is renowned for its vast oil sands reserves, particularly in the province of Alberta. The extraction and production of oil from these unconventional sources have propelled Canada into the ranks of the world’s major crude oil
  5. Iraq: Iraq holds significant oil reserves, making it one of the top producers globally. Despite facing geopolitical challenges, the country has managed to sustain and increase its oil production, contributing substantially to the global crude oil

Major commodity exchanges worldwide facilitate the trading of crude oil and oil futures contracts, providing a platform for market participants to engage in transactions and manage price risks. Geographic locations such as the United States, the United Kingdom, China, the United Arab Emirates, and India are home to prominent exchanges where various types of crude oils are traded. Additionally, the top five producers of crude oil globally include the United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Canada, and Iraq, with each country playing a significant role in shaping the global oil market.

Ready to start trading futures? Call 1(800)454-9572 and speak to one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and start your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

DisclaimerTrading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Plan your trade and trade your plan.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 07-11-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

a2b5c48c 69e7 49a6 a27b dd343097b120

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.