The Week ahead – FOMC & NFP 01.31.2023 Futures Trading Levels

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead – FOMC and NFP

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

A week full of potentially market-moving events, from decisions on interest rates around the world to earnings reports from the biggest U.S. companies. Markets have been veering recently on worries that the economy and corporate profits may be set for a steep drop-off, along with competing hopes that cooling inflation will get the Federal Reserve to take it easier on interest rates.

The central bank’s next decision on rates is coming Wednesday, and most investors expect it to announce an increase of just 0.25 percentage points. That would be the smallest increase since March, following a spate of hikes of 0.75 points and then a 0.50-point increase, and it would mean less added pressure on the economy. The big question is whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday afternoon will give markets what they want to hear — hints that rate hikes will end soon and rate cuts may even be possible late this year — or stick to the Fed’s mantra that it plans to keep rates higher for longer, even if a modest recession hits.

Central Banks for the U.K. and Europe are also set to announce the latest increases this week. In addition more than 100 companies are scheduled to announce this week , Tech heavy’s Apple, Amazon and Alphabet to name a few and weight the S&P 500 Index the heaviest at weeks end we have Non Farm Payrolls whose expectations are characterized here at www.econoday.com Released On 2/3/2023 8:30:00 AM For Jan, 2023

 

f136ee42 1209 488c ae09 7903246f8fa1

Plan your trade and trade your Plan 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-31-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

a119bee7 f16d 4faa 82a4 f26349907c91

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Core PCE tomorrow… + Trading Levels 1.27.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Core PCE tomorrow. While not expected to move the markets like PPI and CPI, we still may see some volatility.

Personal income is expected to edge 0.2 percent higher in December with consumption expenditures expected to decrease 0.1 percent. These would compare with respective November gains of 0.4 and 0.1 percent. PCE inflation readings for December are expected at no change overall and up 0.3 percent for the core (versus respective gains of 0.1 and 0.2 percent) for annual rates of 5.0 and 4.4 percent (versus November’s 5.5 and 4.7 percent).

Plan your trade and trade your Plan 

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-27-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

516d1cb0 06a8 422b b9a1 d863a027d0ac

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

What’s left the Last 2 Trading days of the Week & Futures Levels 1.26.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

Grains / Soy complex: For Soybeans and corn interests, many eyes are on South America, where because their crop year runs counter to here in the U.S., large producers like Argentina and Brazil are approaching harvest. Brazil is set for a bumper soybean crop. Argentina is experiencing drought conditions which are more adversely affecting their corn crop than their soybeans. Traders believe the soybean crop can recover more significantly from the heat and drought as compared with the corn crop.

Gold & Silver: precious metals analysts often look to ETF holdings for guidance on gold and silver futures prices, eyeing inflows and outflows for developing patterns. To wit, both gold and silver ETF holdings are sitting above their levels at the start of the year

Energy: Crude oil traded to a 4-day low this A.M. The likely catalyst could be Chinese energy demand, which seems to be linked to COVID infection rates in that country, whish show little signs of peaking yet.  Support at $80.00 per barrel (March contract) looks vulnerable unless we see some confirmation of improving conditions inside China.

Plan your trade and trade your Plan 

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-26-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

6a48ee24 df2b 4406 8cbb 1262fe3e5d04

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Outlook on Week Ahead & Trading levels for 01.24.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

“The Week Ahead” next F.O.M.C. meeting is to be held Next Tuesday and Wednesday Jan. 31st – Feb . 1 as such we have entered the FOMC Board of Governors Blackout time frame. As discussed previously, no members may discuss policy until the rate announcement on Feb. 1st. so there shouldn’t be too many surprise moves that occur in the financial markets usually generated from speaking engagement commentary. Fed Chairman Powell had tested positive for Covid19 but is expected to attend the meeting either in person or remotely as his symptoms are mild.

Of note this week is Q4 GDP on Thursday @ 7:30 am CST and perhaps jobless claims for the week at the same time. This, if a surprise, could shake the financial markets a bit in the short run. Earnings will be the main cause of market movement until next weeks FED Meeting. The Busy Calendar includes Microsoft Tesla, IBM, Intel, American Airlines, Valero, Chevron and Haliburton. This is the Golden Week as China is celebrating it’s lunar New Year, the impact on volume may or may not be seen in some markets but not all. Plan your trade and trade your Plan 

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-24-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

f5ca5ad7 25f4 4b03 adf6 ea9df242417e

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

One of the Most Overlooked Trading Ingredients & Trading levels for 01.19.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

One of the most overlooked Trading Ingredient: Learn to Lose!

 

Many different factors go into trading. Too many to discuss efficiently in one blog post. Some relate to trading techniques, other to money management, mental aspect, risk capital and much more.

 

But one that sticks in my eyes is the inability to accept a loss. I see many clients who can make money and have days where they make money but when they lose, they lose much more, sometimes even losing control and losing a big portion of their account.

 

I am not sure how a trader can embed this into their trading mind, BUT in my opinion if you train your brain to expect losses, understand losses and that losing days will happen, you will increase your chances of surviving in this business, which in return will actually give you a chance to succeed….

 

Losses are part of trading and as long as your losses are part of the plan and are quantified in advance and you can adhere to your rules, then you have a chance. I think it’s easy when traders are winning…making money etc. Much harder when you lose or down. your brain starts playing tricks on you…it tells you to double down, maybe reverse even though your analysis does not say so….all of a sudden you start pulling trades out of instinct, fear rather than a calculated plan that has solid risk/ reward.

 

If a trader learns how to lose, to accept losses, to have realistic expectations, then he/ she can avoid having one of those terrible days when traders can lose almost of all their account.

 

Also, while a bit easier in my mind, a day trader should also step away when he/she reached a predefined profit target for the trading day. In my humble opinion, the more you day trade, the more fatigued you become and larger chances for errors. Somewhat like a pro basketball player managing their playing minutes….

 

I went into this subject and detailed day-trading money management in an article I wrote a few years back for SFO magazine.

 

Click here to read the rest of the Article

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-20-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

60e62b99 d1bb 4cc4 92db bb12549394a8

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Tomorrow & Trading levels for 01.19.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Bullet Points, Highlights and Announcements

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General: Even in the face of solid COVID uncertainty for China, a persistent fear that the Fed will overtighten and that a recession is looming here in the U.S., there are some green shoots (thank you to former U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont for coining that term back in ‘91) to indicate signs of improvement for the economy, including growing sentiment that the beginning of the end for rising interest rates – and inflation – is on the horizon.

Take commodity prices for example.

Several that are in tight supply are now responding by tracking higher as a result of modest improvements in demand for their manufactured products. Copper prices – historically viewed as a leading indicator – are up over 30% in the last six months, including a ±14% increase this month so far. Silver is up ±25% since Sept. to year-ago prices around $24/oz. Crude oil has pressed upwards above ±$80/barrel, ±$10 higher this month and on par with prices from last Feb.

At the same time, these higher prices for industrial products have helped keep inflation readings – CPI, PPI notably – stubbornly high with only slight signs of downward movement in the last few releases. This is almost certainly narrowing the runway on which the “Fed Pivot” will eventually use to try landing the economy as softly as possible this year.

Energies: Heads up! As opposed to most weeks when they’re released on Wednesday and Thursday, this week’s Energy Information Agency reports on natural gas storage and crude oil supplies will be released on the same day: tomorrow at 9:30 A.M. and 10:00 A.M., Central Time, respectively. That’s natural gas storage first, followed by crude oil supplies. The Martin Luther King Day holiday effected this schedule change.

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-19-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

c3e85686 8cbb 4d9d b26a 999fe392fa6a

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

PPI Tomorrow & Trading levels for 01.13.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

PPI tomorrow. Market moving report.

Here is a link of a video I took last week during CPI that shows the “vacuum” and much lower liquidity traders need to be aware of.

Trading Resource of the Week – “Trading Around Key Economic Reports” FREE Course

 

In this “Trading Around Key Economic Reports” FREE Course you will learn:

·    What is CPI?

·    About the Retail Sales Report

·    What is NFP ( non farm payroll) Report?

·    Understanding US housing Data

·    FOMC

·    Understanding Oil Data Report

·    Importance of Consumer Confidence Survey

 

Expand Your Trading Knowledge NOW!

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-18-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

9ff94bd9 a75f 4053 b951 e811e7cbd0bd

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

MLK Trading Hours & Trading levels for 01.13.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Monday we will observe Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday.

Please see abbreviated trading hours HERE and summary below.

 

4b6b5698 339f 4cb5 9904 2b7165fe9b3c

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-13-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

53d1948c ed40 4358 86e3 229ec099345c

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Kansas City Wheat Outlook & Trading levels for 01.11.2023

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

New Crop Kansas City Wheat to head lower?? WASDE Thursday may provide more clues.

 

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

 

Please contact a Cannon Broker if you have any questions about trade strategy, set-ups and risk management techniques as we start the new year! Plan your trade and trade your plan.

14efb815 2468 49cf af47 670c891c9893

 

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 01-10-2023

#ES_F, #NQ_F, #YM_F, #RTY_F, #XBT_F, #GC_F, #SI-F, #CL-F, #ZB_F, #6E_F, #ZC_F, #ZW_F, #ZS_F, #ZM_F, #NG_F
#ES_F, #NQ_F, #YM_F, #RTY_F, #XBT_F, #GC_F, #SI-F, #CL-F, #ZB_F, #6E_F, #ZC_F, #ZW_F, #ZS_F, #ZM_F, #NG_F

 

4289d06c 59a6 4954 8056 f6dee9036f64

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

d8a6428b c6b4 4a11 83d3 888d6081d8cd

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Dr. Martin Luther King 2023 Trading Schedule for CME / Globex and ICE Exchange

Dr. Martin Luther King 2023 Trading Schedule for CME / Globex and ICE Exchange

MLK CME 2023

 

*Dates and times are subject to change

If you have any questions, please call the CME Global Command Center at +1 800 438 8616, in Europe at +44 800 898 013 or in Asia at +65 6532 5010

Globex® Dr. Martin Luther King 2023 Holiday Schedule for CME / Globex and ICE Exchange

More details at: http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/holiday-calendar.html 

ICE Futures Dr. Martin Luther King 2023 Holiday Schedule for CME / Globex and ICE Exchange

MLK Dates 2023

MLK ICE 2023

Detailed holiday hours for ICE Futures: https://www.theice.com/holiday-hours

The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions.  It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete.  The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.