Massive Volatility Moves: 3 Futures Contracts Post Record One-Day Volatility

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E-Mini Extreme Volatility!

 

The last few weeks and especially the last few trading sessions we saw tremendous volatility across many markets.

Volatility

 

What we witnessed last night and during today’s session reminded me of the markets when COVID first broke out and we saw limit moves across the board.

Temporarily: Most of our platforms now require 50% margins even for day trading!

tomorrow we have FOMC minutes!!

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts have experienced single-day volatility moves not seen in years. Below you will see the range between high and lows made today for E-Mini stock index contracts:

→ E-mini Dow Jones: 2,173 points

→ E-mini S&P 500: 364 points

→ E-mini Nasdaq: 1,384 points

With tomorrow FOMC minutes and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war,

expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

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May Feeder Cattle

May feeder cattle accelerated lower and satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective. The chart is trying to correct but if it can resume the slide into new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible run to the 256.38 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 9th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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5 Key Price Limit Insights That Help Navigate May Bean Oil Volatility

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1237

  • About Price Limits

  • The Week Ahead – FOMC Minutes, tariffs News to Fuel Volatility
  • Futures 102 – Technical Analysis Course
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Bean Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Abacus Raider NQ Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Price Limit

price limit

A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules.

Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Price Limit

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Tariffs News & FOMC Minutes to Dominate Markets & Volatility

U.S. stocks and many commodities like metals, energies, softs and grains were battered by a sell-off Friday after China retaliated against the United States for President Donald Trump’s tariffs in a tit-for-tat that looks to be escalating a global trade war.

The E-mini Dow Jones futures contract plunged by over 2,150 points this afternoon, ±5.3%. The broader E-mini S&P 500 was 5.9% lower. The E-mini Nasdaq futures contract dropped over 1000 points for the second day / ±5.9% on track to close in a bear market — down more than 20% from its record high in December.

Traders have been looking at the dramatic escalation of a trade war and viewing it as a potential to plunge the U.S. and global economies into recession.

The feeling is that odds of a recession would rise if countries began to retaliate against the United States — and China did so Friday. Retaliation raises the risk of further escalation and could diminish hopes for negotiation.

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.    Bostic 12: Fed Governor Adriana Kugler speaks, 9:30 A.M., C.T.
  • Tues.  No scheduled Fed speakers
  • Wed.    Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks, 10:00 A.M.,C.T.
  • Thu.     Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid speaks, 9:00 A.M., C.T.
  •         Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies to Senate, 9:00 A.M., C.T.
  • Fri.      New York Fed President Williams speaks, 100:00 A.M., C.T.

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Consumer Credit, 2:00 P.M., C.T.
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Wholesale Inventories, Minutes of Fed.’s March FOMC meeting
  • Thur. Consumer Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims
  • Fri. Producer Price Index

Futures 102: Technical Analysis

Course overview

There are two types of analysis used by traders to inform their trading decisions. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis. In this course, you will learn about the various patterns, indicators, and analysis techniques traders use when studying the price of a commodity.

We will start at the beginning by learning how to read price charts. Then we’ll cover some of the more popular techniques such how to identify trend and reversal patterns, finding support and resistance levels, and various oscillators.

Start FREE Course Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

bean oil

May Bean Oil

May bean oil accelerated to its third upside PriceCount objective that was consistent with a challenge of the overhead highs. Now, the chart is correcting.

At this point, IF you can break out above the Nov/Feb Peaks and sustain new highs, the low percentage fourth count would project a possible run to 53.68 which is near the original third objective at 53.90.

The convergence of PriceCounts adds to the significance of that target area.

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That’s May Bean Oil!

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Raider NQ Trading System

Market Sector: Stock Index Futures

Markets Traded:   NQ

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $10,000

Developer Fee per contract: $70.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description: 

An NQ day trading system currently traded by the developer who has 15+ years’ experience. The system identifies opportunities where there is a high probability of profit over a time frame lasting no longer than a few minutes. Short holding periods reduce risk and drawdown size and require less capital.

The system trades long and short, performs in low or high volatility markets and has no significant correlation to the S&P500 index. It is robust with simple logic and averages 4-5 trades a month with no overnight positions. System is not available in the MNQ market.

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position.

If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

 Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for April 7th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

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Index Futures

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Extreme Volatility

+

Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

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By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

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May Meal

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May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Confident Outlook for First Notice & Last Trading Days: 2 Strategic Exit Dates and a Bullish Setup for Treasury Traders

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First Notice & Last Trading Day

first notice

Below are the contracts which are entering

First Notice / Last Trading

 For April.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

First Notice & Last Trading Day

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform! 

FREE DEMO HERE

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That’s all for

First Notice & Last Trading

Days

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 3rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Trading Crude Oil Futures

7 Powerful Reasons Crude Oil Futures Remain a Top Trading Opportunity

Crude oil plays a pivotal role in the global economy. It fuels transportation, powers industries, and supports the manufacture of countless products, from plastics to chemicals. Given its strategic importance, it’s no surprise that crude oil is one of the most actively traded commodities in the world. Trading crude oil futures has become an essential activity for hedgers, speculators, and institutional investors alike. This research paper delves into why crude oil futures are among the most coveted contracts in the futures market, their historical origins, evolution, risk assessments, and the benefits of using a reputable brokerage like Cannon Trading Company to engage in oil futures trading.

Origins of the Crude Oil Futures Contract

The crude oil futures contract as we know it today traces its origins back to the 1980s. Before this, crude oil was primarily traded via long-term physical contracts between producers and consumers. However, market volatility and geopolitical tensions in the 1970s, notably the oil embargo of 1973 and the Iranian Revolution of 1979, exposed the need for a more flexible pricing mechanism.

In response to these events, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) introduced the first crude oil futures contract in 1983. This innovation provided market participants with a standardized, regulated mechanism to hedge against price volatility or speculate on price movements. The introduction of this oil futures contract was a watershed moment in the history of commodity trading, laying the groundwork for the sophisticated oil futures trading systems we see today.

Why Crude Oil Futures Are Highly Coveted

Several factors contribute to the popularity of crude oil futures contracts:

  • Liquidity and Volume: Crude oil futures are among the most liquid commodities traded. The high trading volume ensures tight bid-ask spreads and minimal slippage, making them ideal for both institutional and retail traders.
  • Global Relevance: Oil is a universally consumed commodity, and geopolitical events affecting oil-producing regions can cause significant price fluctuations. This global relevance ensures that oil futures trading remains dynamic and closely watched.
  • Volatility and Opportunity: While volatility can pose risks, it also creates opportunities for substantial profits. Traders who understand the market dynamics can capitalize on rapid price movements.
  • Accessibility and Leverage: Trading crude oil futures allows traders to control large contract sizes with relatively small margins, increasing their potential returns.
  • Hedging Mechanism: For oil producers, refineries, and large-scale consumers, crude oil futures provide a means to lock in prices and mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.

The Rise of Speculation in Oil Futures Trading

Initially, the crude oil futures market was dominated by commercial players seeking to hedge their exposure. However, the landscape began to change in the late 1990s and early 2000s with the influx of hedge funds, institutional investors, and retail traders. Several factors contributed to this shift:

  • Financialization of Commodities: Commodities, including crude oil, were increasingly viewed as investment assets. The launch of commodity index funds and ETFs made it easier for investors to gain exposure to oil futures.
  • Technological Advancements: Online trading platforms and real-time data enabled more participants to engage in oil futures trading with greater ease and speed.
  • Macro-economic Events: Events like the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent quantitative easing measures by central banks led investors to seek alternative assets. Crude oil, being a tangible asset with intrinsic value, attracted speculative interest.
  • Price Swings and Media Coverage: High-profile price swings, such as oil reaching $147 per barrel in 2008 and the historic dip into negative prices in April 2020, generated significant media attention and drew in speculative traders.

As a result, speculators now account for a significant portion of the open interest in crude oil futures markets, adding to both the liquidity and volatility of these contracts.

Key Events That Shaped the Oil Futures Market

  • 1973 Oil Embargo: Highlighted the vulnerability of oil supply chains and the need for risk management tools.
  • 1983 Launch of NYMEX Oil Futures: Marked the formal beginning of exchange-traded oil futures.
  • 2008 Oil Price Spike: Drew attention to the potential profits in trading crude oil futures.
  • 2014 Oil Price Crash: Demonstrated the impact of oversupply and changing global demand.
  • 2020 COVID-19 and Negative Oil Prices: A historic moment where crude oil futures briefly traded below zero due to storage issues, underscoring the complexity and risk of these contracts.

Each of these events has contributed to the continued popularity of trading crude oil futures by highlighting both the risks and rewards inherent in the market.

Risk Assessment and Profit Potential

Trading crude oil futures involves significant risk, but it also offers considerable profit potential. Here is a breakdown of both:

Risks:

  • Price Volatility: Crude oil prices can fluctuate wildly due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, OPEC decisions, and economic indicators.
  • Leverage Risk: While leverage can amplify gains, it can also magnify losses. A small adverse movement can result in significant financial loss.
  • Market Sentiment and Speculation: The market is often driven by sentiment and news, which can lead to unpredictable price swings.
  • Liquidity Risk: While crude oil futures are generally liquid, during periods of extreme volatility, liquidity can dry up, resulting in wider spreads.

Profit Potential:

  • Strategic Speculation: Traders who accurately predict price movements can realize substantial gains.
  • Arbitrage Opportunities: Differences between spot and futures prices, or between different delivery months, can be exploited.
  • Hedging and Risk Transfer: Commercial players can lock in prices, reducing uncertainty and improving financial planning.

Over the years, risk management tools such as stop-loss orders, advanced charting, algorithmic trading, and diversified portfolios have evolved, helping traders navigate the complexities of oil futures trading more effectively.

How to Trade Oil Futures

Trading crude oil futures involves several key steps:

  • Choosing a Broker: A reliable and experienced broker is essential. They provide the platform, market data, and support needed for successful trading.
  • Understanding the Contract Specifications: Most crude oil futures contracts are standardized (e.g., NYMEX WTI contracts represent 1,000 barrels of crude).
  • Analyzing the Market: Traders use technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis to make informed decisions.
  • Managing Risk: This includes setting stop-loss levels, using appropriate position sizing, and monitoring market exposure.
  • Executing and Monitoring Trades: Once trades are placed, they need to be monitored, and exit strategies should be in place.

The key to success in trading crude oil futures lies in education, discipline, and access to the right tools and information.

Why Cannon Trading Company Is Ideal for Oil Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company stands out as a premier brokerage for trading crude oil futures for several compelling reasons:

  • Free Trading Platforms: Cannon Trading offers a wide selection of top-performing, professional-grade trading platforms at no cost. These platforms include advanced charting tools, real-time data, and intuitive interfaces that are perfect for both beginners and seasoned traders engaging in oil futures trading.
  • Highly Rated Customer Service: With countless 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for reliability, transparency, and client satisfaction. Their team is known for being the first to pick up the phone, ensuring that traders receive timely support during critical trading hours.
  • Experienced Brokers: The company’s onsite brokers bring decades of hands-on experience in trading crude oil futures. Their deep market knowledge and personalized support can be invaluable, especially during volatile market conditions.
  • Strong Regulatory Record: Cannon Trading has an exemplary compliance history with industry regulators, providing clients with confidence in the firm’s integrity and operational security.
  • Educational Resources: Cannon Trading is also committed to trader education, offering webinars, articles, and real-time market insights to help clients understand how to trade oil futures effectively.

These factors make Cannon Trading an excellent partner for anyone looking to explore or expand their oil futures trading activities. Whether you’re a novice wanting to learn how to trade oil futures or a seasoned investor seeking a better platform, Cannon Trading delivers on all fronts.

Trading crude oil futures has evolved into one of the most dynamic and potentially lucrative areas of the financial markets. From its origins in the 1980s to the speculative booms of the 21st century, the oil futures contract has proven its resilience and relevance. Despite inherent risks, the contract’s liquidity, volatility, and global importance continue to attract traders and investors from around the world.

Choosing the right broker can significantly enhance one’s oil futures trading experience. Cannon Trading Company, with its cutting-edge free trading platforms, exceptional customer service, and seasoned brokers, provides an optimal environment for trading crude oil futures successfully.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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Significant Surge? 113^26 Target Looms as Treasury Notes Eye Bullish Breakout, Micro Grains

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Trump Speaks Tomorrow

During Market Hours!

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Treasury Notes, Micro Grains

treasury notes

 

Tomorrow should be another volatile day!

With Trump speaking, Fed speaker, ADP weekly claims and crude oil inventories – we suspect the current volatility will continue.

On a different note – MICRO GRAINS are available

MICRO GRAINS

micro grains 3

After the first three weeks of trading, we are approaching just under a half million Micro Grains contracts traded for Micro Corn, Micro Soybean, Micro Soybean Oil, Micro Soybean Meal, and Micro Wheat, as well as some other quick hits below.

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform!

FREE DEMO HERE

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 2nd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll, & Powell; 3 Poised to Drive Market Volatility in Triple Threat!

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USDA

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1236

  • The Week Ahead – Non-Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Crude Oil Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – Bloomberg Commodity (CRB) Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Combo Breakout Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Non Farm Payroll Friday!

non farm payroll

June gold is front month!

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

USDA, Non Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell?

USDA

One of the most impactful Agricultural reports of the year will be released Monday at 11:00 am CDT. The Prospective Plantings report and Grain Stocks released by the USDA will offer a needed insight into prospective acreage plantings for grains and oilseeds.

I have included commentary from The Progressive Farmers’ DTN top analyst for your review: DTN Pre-Report analysis

usda

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting, as they have been, to the Global Tariff talk.

Non Farm Payroll

Highlights next week will include the aforementioned Grain report. Non farm Payroll (NFP) Friday followed by Fed Chair J. Powell and other Fed Speakers. This may be the final Q4 2024 Earnings guidance as we will see a mere 67 releases the entire week.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

 Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Quiet
  • Thu. Conagra, Constellation Brands
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.    Bostic 12:45 CDT, Barr 2:10 CDT,
  • Tues.    Kugler 7:40 CDT, Williams 8:05 CDT ,
  • Wed.    Kugler 3:30 CDT
  • Thu.     Jefferson 11:30 CDT, Cook 1:30 CDT
  • Fri.       Fed Chair J. Powell 10:25 CDT, Barr 11:00 CDT, Waller 11:45 CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, USDA Prospecting Plantings and Grain Stocks
  • Tue. Redbook, ISM Mfg. Final, JOLTS, Dallas Fed.,
  • Wed. EIA Crude Stocks, ADP, Factory Orders
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Svcs Final, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Non-Farm Payroll

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Futures 102: Introduction to Crude Oil futures

Course overview

crude oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk.

Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities.

Start FREE Course Now

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Combo Breakout 1 Trading System

Market Sector: Diversified / Multiple

Markets Traded:  C , KW , S , W , CL , HO , NG , RB , KC , SB , FGBL , TU , FV , BP , EC , JY , SF , DX , FESX , GC , EMD , NQ , RTY , ES , YM ,

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $50,000

Developer Fee per contract: $200.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description: 

Portfolio Combo Breakout I consists of 5-6 daytrade and swing strategies using different symbols, timeframes, and session templates. All strategies are developed by simple, structured, and proven breakout models based on strong fundamental logics.

All strategies are fully robustness tested as well as stress tested with no position sizing, more contracts can be traded. The 5-6 strategies have very low correlations (Less than 0.1) in order to achieve smoother portfolio equity curve.

Combo Breakout I is specially designed to trade with Combo Breakout II and Combo Breakout III for their low correlations in the portfolio level.

Get Started

Learn More

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Disclaimer: The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 31st, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Surging Demand: Weekly Energy Options Jump 17.8% Amid Global Trade Shakeups

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WORLDWIDE WHIRLWIND

Options

Options

Amid geopolitical and macroeconomic movements, Weekly options offer hedging opportunities

Since his inauguration on January 20, President Donald Trump has regularly made headlines for his international trade policy moves. These fluctuating tariff policies have added volatility to commodity markets, as traders strategize how to navigate uncertainty.

On Monday, March 10, Beijing implemented tariffs on multiple farm products from the U.S. Facing a 15% tariff includes chicken, wheat and corn, while soybeans, pork, beef and fruit face a 10% tariff. China is the largest overseas market for American agricultural products. As policy continues to develop, or‌ stays the same, traders can use Ag Weekly options to insulate their portfolios from uncertainty, now available every day of the trading week. Ag Weekly options hit a record in early March, with 3,730 contracts trading on March 5.

Canada planned to retaliate against President Trump’s 25% tariff on Canadian exports in early March. Ontario was looking to impose a 25% surcharge on energy exports to Michigan, Minnesota and New York. President Trump then moved to increase Canada’s initial metals tariff to 50%, but both countries revoked these additional tariffs. To navigate world events, such as tariffs, traders continue to look to Weekly Energy options. WTI Weekly Energy options ADV in March is up 17.8% compared to February 2025, with an average of 24,222 contracts traded in March to February’s 20,562 contracts.

The Trump administration also placed a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the U.S. in early March, which also applies to certain products such as nails, wires and car body and bumper stampings. The steel and aluminum tariffs of President Trump’s first term were subject to a product exclusion application process; this exemption process does not exist for the updated steel and aluminum tariffs. Metals traders can turn to Metals Weekly options to hedge risk that may come with volatility in the markets.

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May Crude Oil

May crude oil stabilized its break earlier this month and now has activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction higher. The first count projects a possible run to the 71.12 area.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 28th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Update: Copper Prices Rise Amid Economic Uncertainty

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Market Highlights – NASDAQ, Copper

nasdaq

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Indexes – Nasdaq 

Stock index futures dipped today, led lower as pressure on the tariff front mounted.  The June E-mini S&P 500 Futures contract lost ±1.4%, while the E-mini Dow traded ±250 points lower, or 0.6%.  The E-mini Nasdaq shed about 2%.

Stock index futures hit session lows after the White House said that President Donald Trump will unveil new tariffs on auto imports during a press conference at 4 p.m. ET.  This will come ahead of a broad array of additional levies expected to be revealed next week.

Grains:

Discover new tools for planting season ahead of key reports.  The upcoming Prospective Plantings report can significantly impact market prices, especially if the actual numbers differ from pre-release estimates. New Weekly options on crops such as Corn, Soybean, Soybean Meal, Soybean Oil and Chicago Wheat offer more precise risk management around the report’s release.

Micro Corn futuresMicro Wheat futuresMicro Soybean futures, Micro Soybean Meal futures and Micro Soybean Oil  futures were launched on February 24, 2025, with the first weeks of trading already providing meaningful liquidity.

Financially settled Micro Agricultural futures allow customers to stay in their position closer to expiration, with no risk of physical delivery.

New Micro Agricultural futures are a tool for retail traders looking to gain exposure to commodity markets without incurring the risk of physical delivery and with less margin costs than standard Agricultural futures.

Small- to medium-size farmers can take advantage of Micro Agricultural futures to hedge parts of their expected harvest, without having to rely on standard Grains futures contracts of 5,000 bushels (according to the USDA, the average farm in the U.S. consists of 464 acres).

Metals – Copper

On December 31st, March copper futures settled at 4.0265.  Today, they were trading at about 5.22; an increase of about 30% in the first three months of the year and a 5+ year high.  This dramatic price action is driven by traders pricing in the possibility of hefty tariffs on the crucial industrial metal. The price gap between U.S. copper futures and the global benchmark on the London Metal Exchange has widened to record levels, creating a powerful incentive for traders to shift copper into the United States.

Daily Levels for March 27th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Key Indicators to Watch in This Volatile Market

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Bear Trap?

bear trap

What is a Bear Trap? Fed Speakers and more…

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

With the Stock market pausing at these levels, what gives? Are we in a Bear Trap?

Bear Trap Definition:

A bear trap in trading occurs when an index appears to be in decline. Traders move in, expecting a continuing decline, posting short sales to profit from the downturn. However, the index unexpectedly reverses direction, causing those who bet against it (the bears) to lose on their trades.

Bear Trap: How to Mitigate Them

Bear Traps are very difficult to determine. This would mandate the need for good risk management tools, stops, option strategies, smaller position size when you believe your technical have signaled a bear market.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Prepare for shocks, on inflation soft and hard data in addition to the fed speakers the rest of this week. 2 tomorrow, 1 Thursday and 2 on Friday along with Core PCE Thursday and Mich. Consumer sentiment.

The Stock market has begun revealing the battle between Push-Pull inflation with Tariff uncertainty.

Kremlin on Tuesday acknowledged they’ve agreed to develop measures to stop strikes on Ukraine and Russian energy facilities for 30 days

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:   Durable Goods, EIA Crude Stocks

FED Speak: Kashkari 9:00 CDT, Musalem 9:10 CDT

Earnings: Quiet

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May Copper

The rally in May copper took a brief pause after completing the second upside PriceCount objective last week. Now, the chart has resumed its rally where new sustained highs project a possible run to the third count to the 5.62 area.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 26th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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