Movers and Shakers: Markets Await Fed Decision Amid Retail Sales Strength

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

The Equity markets got a little less frothy today ahead of the Final rate decision; prices down marginally. Some SMA crossovers are showing a downside break is in store for the DOW Index. Not so for the S & P or Nasdaq Indices. Although the S&P does not appear to be poised for a breakdown like the Dow, (range bound for the past 3 weeks) NQ’s story is a little different and the Magnificent 7 have continue to fuel the endless rally with only a minor 6/10th’s of a percentage correction. My personal view is this is simply a retail selling opportunity in advance of the FOMC results tomorrow, I call it a little “risk off”.

 

Energies, Grains, Metals, softs are all closing on the negative for the day with very few exceptions within the complexes.

 

US Advance Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**US November Advance Retail Sales: +0.7%; expected +0.6%

**US November Advance Retail Sales ex Autos: +0.2%; expected +0.4%

 

**US revised October Retail Sales: +0.5% from +0.4%

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first two weeks of December 2024 vs December 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.8% in the week ending December 14th vs yr ago week

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the first week of September 2024 vs September 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the week ending September 7 vs yr ago week

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 8:15 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

 

**Federal Reserve November US Industrial Production: -0.1%; expected +0.2%

**Federal Reserve November US Capacity Utilization: 76.8%; expected 77.2%

 

**Federal Reserve October US Industrial Production revised: -0.4%; prior -0.3%

**Federal Reserve October US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.0%; prior 77.1%

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 9:38 am

**US House Speaker Johnson Tuesday morning said the stopgap funding bill will have $10 billion for US farmers

Updated: September 10, 2024 12:49 pm

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

 

 

Fed Funds FOMC Rate decision @ 1P.M. Central with 1:30 PM Presser with J. Powell to follow.

 

Consensus Outlook:

The US Federal Reserve will announce their FOMC policy statement Wednesday afternoon around 1:00 pm CT. Many economists expect the FOMC to lower the key Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, to a range between 4.25% to 4.50%. However, after Tuesday’s strong November US retail sales data showed underlying economic momentum, pundits are wondering if the Fed may signal a cautious, slowing pace of interest rate cuts in 2025.

Soybeans Daily Chart Below:

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Daily Levels for December 18, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Corn Futures Contract

The corn futures contract holds a pivotal place in the world of futures trading, serving as a key tool for agricultural producers, investors, and speculators alike. Its history, evolution, and future prospects provide a fascinating lens through which to explore the complexities of the trading futures market. This article delves into the origins of the corn futures contract, traces its development over time, forecasts its trajectory for 2025, and examines why Cannon Trading Company is a standout brokerage in this domain.

Origins of the Corn Futures Contract

The concept of futures trading emerged in the 19th century, coinciding with the industrialization of agriculture in the United States. Farmers, processors, and distributors faced volatile prices due to unpredictable weather, market demand, and global economic conditions. To address this, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), established in 1848, pioneered standardized contracts for agricultural commodities.

Corn, being a staple crop with vast economic significance, became one of the first commodities to have a futures contract. The introduction of the corn futures contract allowed farmers to lock in prices for their crops before harvest, thereby mitigating the risks associated with fluctuating prices. Similarly, buyers like millers and exporters benefited from the ability to secure a consistent supply at predictable costs. The contract was initially straightforward, detailing a specific quantity of corn to be delivered at a future date, with quality and delivery standards set to minimize disputes.

Evolution of the Corn Futures Contract

Over the decades, the corn futures contract underwent significant transformations to meet the changing demands of the market. The CBOT implemented innovations to enhance liquidity, transparency, and accessibility in futures trading. By the mid-20th century, electronic trading platforms replaced the open outcry system, making it easier for traders worldwide to participate.

Advancements in technology allowed for the introduction of mini and micro corn futures contracts, enabling smaller traders to access the market. Margin requirements and position limits were refined to ensure market stability while accommodating both large-scale institutional investors and individual speculators. Additionally, the rise of algorithmic trading brought new efficiencies and challenges to the trading futures landscape.

As global trade expanded, the corn futures market reflected the crop’s international importance. Corn’s applications diversified, with demand increasing for its use in ethanol production, livestock feed, and processed foods. This broadened the participant base for corn futures contracts, attracting not only agricultural stakeholders but also energy companies, food manufacturers, and hedge funds.

The Corn Futures Market in 2025

Looking ahead to 2025, the corn futures contract is poised for further evolution. Several trends are shaping its trajectory:

  • Sustainability and ESG Factors
    As environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria gain prominence, the corn futures market is adapting. Traders and investors are increasingly considering sustainability metrics, such as carbon emissions associated with corn production, when engaging in futures trading.
  • Technological Innovations
    Blockchain technology is expected to enhance traceability and transparency in trading futures. Smart contracts may automate aspects of the corn futures contract, reducing administrative burdens and increasing efficiency.
  • Climate Change and Supply Chain Challenges
    Unpredictable weather patterns, driven by climate change, are likely to make the corn market more volatile. This underscores the importance of corn futures contracts as risk management tools. Enhanced forecasting models and data analytics will play a critical role in navigating these challenges.
  • Global Market Dynamics
    The growing role of emerging markets in global agriculture is anticipated to impact the trading futures ecosystem. Countries like Brazil and Argentina, major corn producers, are likely to influence prices and trading volumes on the CBOT and other exchanges.

Why Cannon Trading Company Excels in Futures Trading

When engaging in trading futures, selecting the right brokerage is crucial. Cannon Trading Company has earned its reputation as a top-tier firm, consistently rated 5 out of 5 stars on TrustPilot. With decades of experience in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading combines expertise, technology, and exceptional customer service to offer unparalleled support to traders.

Key Advantages of Cannon Trading Company:

  • User-Friendly Platforms
    Cannon Trading provides a range of free trading platforms tailored to diverse trading styles. Whether you are a seasoned professional or a newcomer to trading futures, their platforms are intuitive, reliable, and equipped with advanced charting tools.
  • Regulatory Excellence
    In an industry where trust is paramount, Cannon Trading stands out for its exceptional regulatory reputation. As a member of the National Futures Association (NFA) and registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the firm adheres to the highest standards of compliance and transparency.
  • Personalized Service
    Unlike many large brokerages, Cannon Trading emphasizes personalized service. Their team of experienced brokers works closely with clients to develop customized strategies for corn futures contracts and other commodities.
  • Educational Resources
    For traders seeking to deepen their understanding of futures trading, Cannon Trading offers a wealth of educational materials. From webinars to market analysis, they empower clients with the knowledge needed to succeed in trading futures.
  • Proven Track Record
    Cannon Trading’s decades of experience in the futures trading industry translate into deep market insights and robust risk management strategies. This makes them an ideal partner for navigating the complexities of the corn futures contract.

The Strategic Importance of Corn Futures Contracts

The enduring relevance of the corn futures contract lies in its ability to provide stability and opportunity in an unpredictable market. For farmers, it is a lifeline, enabling them to secure income regardless of market conditions. For investors and speculators, it offers a chance to capitalize on price movements driven by factors like weather, trade policies, and global demand.

In today’s interconnected world, trading futures is more than a financial activity—it’s a way to manage risks and contribute to the smooth functioning of essential supply chains. The versatility of the corn futures contract ensures its place as a cornerstone of the futures trading ecosystem.

The corn futures contract is a testament to the ingenuity of the trading futures market, evolving from its humble beginnings in 19th-century Chicago to a sophisticated global instrument. Its adaptability to changing market conditions and technological advancements underscores its resilience and relevance.

As we look to 2025, the corn futures market is set to embrace innovations that enhance efficiency, sustainability, and inclusivity. For those seeking to navigate this dynamic landscape, Cannon Trading Company offers the expertise, tools, and support needed to excel in futures trading. With its stellar reputation, free trading platforms, and decades of experience, Cannon Trading is the brokerage of choice for those engaging in corn futures contracts and beyond.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Weekly Newsletter: Rollover, Levels for Monday, Sugar Outlook & More!

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1221

In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Earnings, FOMC, Rollover, The Week Ahead.
  • Futures 102 – SP500 Outlook + Premium Daily Research Trial
  • Hot Market of the Week – March Sugar
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

 

To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced

 

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

  • 122 corporate earnings reports and a number of meaningful Economic data releases including Core Personal Consumption and Expenditures Index (PCE) a closely watched Data point for the FED.Additionally, The final fed funds rate decision of 2024 will be announced on Wed. Dec. 18th, to be followed by Chairman Powell’s presser 30 minutes later.Below are the Rate change Probabilities as of this morning from the CME Fedwatch tool.

     

     

    Prominent Earnings Next Week:

    • Mon. Quiet (32 rpts)
    • Tue. Quiet (19 rpts)
    • Wed. Micron, Lennar Homes Post close
    • Thu. Quiet (30 rpts)
    • Fri. Quiet (18 rpts)

     

     

    FED SPEECHES:

    • Wed. 1:30 P.M. CST FOMC Chair Jerome Powell, leads Fed Presser on Rate decision.

     

    Economic Data week:

    • Mon. NY Empire State Manu. Index, S&P Global PMI Composite,
    • Tues. Retail Sales , Redbook, Industrial Production, Business Inventories, Housing Market Index,
    • Wed. Bldg Permits, Housing Starts, FOMC Rate Decision, Economic projections
    • Thur. Jobless claims, Core PCR, GDP Final, Philly Fed, Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators, Existing Home Sales
    • Fri. Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income
    •  For stock index futures traders, it’s time to “roll over” and start trading the March ’25 futures contracts. This Friday, Dec. 20th at 8:30 A.M., Central Time, the Dec. ’24 futures contracts will officially halt trading and the exchange will cash settle all open positions. 

 

 

Futures 102: Daily Research Free Trial

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Get Personalized Trading Reports Like the One Above Directly to your Inbox!

SIGN UP FOR A FREE TRIAL

  • Get qualified support and resistance levels for precise risk management on different commodity markets.
  • Get pivot points that highlight shifts in the futures market momentum.
  • Get technical forecasts to keep you on the right side of a specific commodity trading market.
  • One on One “Daily Digest” with a dedicated series 3 professional.

 

 

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    • Hot Market of the Week 

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

March Sugar

The rally in March sugar ran out of momentum and the chart has been trending lower since. If the chart can sustain its break from here, the second downside PriceCount projects a possible run to the 20.16 area. It would take a trade below the September reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside count which would also be consistent with targeting the third downside count.

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Fusion NQ

 

PRODUCT

Nasdaq 100 Mini

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Swing Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$50,000

 

COST

USD 150 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
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Daily Levels for December 16th, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of

December 16th, 2024

 

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Movers and Shakers: Inflation Data, Market Highs, and Commodity Surges

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C109

Movers and shakers! 

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General:  

 

Fresh inflation data was released this morning, giving Federal Reserve officials one last glimpse at how their battle against inflation is progressing as they prepare for their final interest rate decision of 2024 next week.  The November Consumer Price Index climbed 2.7% percent year-over-year.  While this was in line with economists’ expectations, the report was a reminder that the central bank has yet to achieve a full victory.

Fed policymakers will decide whether or not to cut interest rates for a third and final time this year at their Dec. 17-18 gathering, and they will also release a fresh set of economic projections for 2025.

The Fed aims for 2 percent yearly inflation, although they define that goal using a separate but related index, the Personal Consumption Expenditures measure. That will come out on Dec. 20, so this is the last big inflation report officials will have in hand before their meeting.

 

Stock Indexes:   

 

Today, the Dec. E-mini Nasdaq futures rose over 400 points – an $8,000 per contract move – and above 21,800 to its latest all-time high.  Still yet to close above 6100 despite trading intraday above that mark five of the last six sessions, including today, the E-mini S&P 500 is within single-digit points of closing at its own all-time high, surpassing the 6096.75 close last Friday, Dec. 6.

 

Crypto:   

 

December Bitcoin futures once again pierced the $100,000 level with today’s ±$5,000/±5.25 move up and is set to post its latest all-time closing price after closing at $101,580 last Friday, Dec. 6.  As of this typing, Dec. Bitcoin is trading at $102,150.

 

Energy: 

 

January natural gas jumped over 20 cents per million British thermal units (MMBtu) – a $2,000 per contract move) in its largest single-day move in months.  The rally coincides with colder weather sweeping across the Midwest and Northeast.  Overnight and 3-5-day forecasts are trending colder and boosting near-term demand.

 

Softs: 

 

Yesterday, March coffee futures traded up to all-time highs – above a 1977 price point – as analysts and traders expect crops in Brazil and Vietnam – the world’s two largest producers – to shrink.  Brazil experienced one of its worst droughts in 70 years during August and September, followed by heavy rains in October, raising fears that the flowering crop could fail.  Vietnam’s crops experienced a similar weather cycle.  One of the most heavily leveraged futures contracts: each one-cent move is $375, the March contract has sot up ±$1.00 per pound – from its $2.42 close on Nov. 1 to its $3.34 close yesterday, a ±$34,500 per contract move.  Coffee is the world’s second most traded commodity by volume, after crude oil.

 

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Daily Levels for December 12, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Futures Brokers

Futures brokers, also known as broker futures or broker future professionals, play a vital role in the futures trading industry. They act as intermediaries between traders and the futures exchanges, providing crucial services to facilitate the buying and selling of contracts. The responsibilities of futures brokers are vast and multi-faceted, encompassing both professional and personal aspects that are essential for successful trading. This article examines the responsibilities of futures brokers, the importance of selecting a reputable and ethical broker, and the ways they can assist in loss mitigation. By understanding these aspects, a full-time futures trader can make more informed decisions when choosing and working with a futures broker.

Responsibilities of Futures Brokers

Futures brokers have a range of responsibilities, from executing trades on behalf of clients to offering expert advice. A responsible broker futures professional ensures that clients receive accurate information, fair pricing, and a transparent trading experience. Here are some of the main responsibilities of a future broker:

Executing Trades Promptly and Efficiently – One of the primary responsibilities of a futures broker is to execute trades efficiently. In the fast-paced world of futures trading, where price movements can be rapid, any delay in trade execution could lead to significant losses. A reliable broker futures trading professional must understand this urgency and execute orders promptly. This duty requires technical skills and familiarity with the trading platform, as well as the ability to manage multiple orders from various clients without errors.

Providing Market Insights and Research – A good futures broker goes beyond basic execution to provide clients with valuable insights into the markets. Many futures brokers offer research reports, analyses, and trading recommendations to help clients make informed decisions. By providing access to comprehensive market research, brokers assist traders in navigating market volatility and identifying trading opportunities. This guidance is particularly important for new traders, who may lack experience in analyzing complex market data.

Ensuring Compliance and Ethical Trading Practices – Futures brokers are also responsible for upholding ethical standards and complying with regulations. This responsibility is essential for maintaining trust within the industry. Broker futures professionals are often regulated by authorities such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the National Futures Association (NFA). They must follow strict guidelines regarding trading practices, client funds management, and transparency. By ensuring compliance, futures brokers protect their clients from fraud and mitigate the risk of unethical practices.

Offering Risk Management Support – Risk management is an integral part of futures trading, and a responsible broker future professional should provide risk management support to clients. This support may include offering advice on stop-loss orders, margin requirements, and other tools to control exposure to adverse price movements. Since futures trading is inherently risky, the guidance provided by a futures broker can help clients limit potential losses and protect their capital.

Providing Educational Resources – In addition to executing trades, a reliable futures broker offers educational resources to enhance the trading skills of clients. These resources can include webinars, tutorials, articles, and one-on-one coaching sessions. By educating clients on futures trading strategies and market trends, brokers empower them to make informed trading decisions and develop a deeper understanding of the markets.

Importance of a Reputable and Reliable Futures Broker

Having a reputable, reliable, and ethical futures broker is essential for a full-time futures trader for several reasons. A good broker not only facilitates trading but also contributes to a trader’s overall success and financial security. Here’s why choosing the right future broker is crucial:

Trust and Transparency – A reputable broker futures professional operates with transparency, ensuring that clients fully understand the costs and terms associated with their trades. Trustworthy brokers provide clear information on fees, commissions, and trading conditions. For a full-time trader, knowing the costs and having confidence in the broker’s integrity is critical to maintaining a consistent trading strategy. Brokers that disclose hidden fees or execute trades in ways that benefit themselves over the client are damaging to the trader’s success and can lead to unexpected costs.

Reliability and Responsiveness – Reliability is one of the most sought-after qualities in futures brokers. A reliable broker future professional is available when the market is open, responds quickly to client inquiries, and addresses any technical issues promptly. Full-time futures traders depend on these brokers for seamless trade execution, especially during high-volatility periods when the slightest delay could result in significant losses.

Ethical Conduct and Client Interests – Ethical futures brokers prioritize their clients’ best interests and avoid practices that could compromise their clients’ financial stability. Ethical conduct includes refraining from high-pressure sales tactics or encouraging excessive trading for the purpose of generating commissions. A broker futures trading professional with a strong ethical foundation aims to foster a long-term relationship with clients, built on trust and mutual respect.

Safety of Funds – A reputable broker futures professional ensures that client funds are secure. They adhere to strict regulatory standards, which often include keeping client funds in segregated accounts. Segregation of funds means that a trader’s funds are kept separate from the broker’s own operational accounts, providing a layer of security against broker insolvency. This protection is particularly valuable for full-time futures traders, whose livelihood depends on the accessibility and safety of their trading capital.

Access to Resources and Expertise – A good future trading broker provides access to proprietary research, advanced trading tools, and knowledgeable experts. These resources support full-time traders in making sound decisions, adjusting strategies, and staying updated on market developments. Traders who work with experienced and resourceful brokers gain a competitive edge, as they benefit from specialized insights and professional advice tailored to their trading style.

How Futures Brokers Help Mitigate Losses?

While futures trading inherently involves risk, futures brokers play an important role in helping clients mitigate potential losses. Here are some strategies through which a broker futures professional can assist clients in managing risk:

Implementing Stop-Loss Orders – A common risk management tool offered by futures brokers is the stop-loss order, which allows traders to set a predetermined price at which their position will be automatically closed if the market moves against them. For example, a trader might buy oil futures at $50 per barrel and set a stop-loss order at $48. If the market price falls to $48, the stop-loss order would automatically sell the position, limiting the trader’s loss to $2 per barrel. By advising clients on appropriate stop-loss levels, a future broker helps protect them from unexpected price fluctuations.

Advising on Leverage and Margin – Leverage allows traders to control large positions with a relatively small amount of capital. While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases potential losses. A responsible future trading broker educates clients on the risks of using excessive leverage and guides them on appropriate margin levels. For instance, if a trader has a $10,000 account, a broker futures trading professional may recommend not to use more than 5x leverage, thereby limiting the exposure to risk. This guidance helps traders avoid the common pitfall of overleveraging, which can result in margin calls and significant losses.

Diversification Strategies – Future brokers can advise clients on diversification strategies to reduce risk. By diversifying across multiple asset classes (e.g., commodities, financial futures, and indices), traders can protect their portfolios from volatility in any one market. A broker future expert might suggest that a trader balance their portfolio with both equity futures and commodity futures, thus spreading the risk. For example, if oil prices plummet, gains in other assets, such as equity futures, might offset losses in oil.

Providing Timely Market Updates – Future trading brokers often provide real-time market data and updates, which are crucial for making informed decisions. Suppose a broker futures trading expert notices a significant economic event that could impact the market. In that case, they may alert clients to adjust their positions accordingly. For example, if inflation data is about to be released, the broker might advise caution in trading currency futures due to anticipated volatility. By staying informed of these developments, traders can preemptively reduce exposure to unfavorable price movements.

Risk-Reducing Recommendations – A proactive broker future professional offers specific risk-reducing recommendations based on market conditions. For instance, if the market is highly volatile, a broker might recommend reducing position sizes or temporarily halting trading. Hypothetically, if a trader is holding a position in agricultural futures and a natural disaster threatens the supply chain, the broker could suggest closing the position early to avoid substantial losses.

Hypothetical Examples of How Futures Brokers Can Assist in Mitigating Losses

To better illustrate how futures brokers can assist clients, consider the following hypothetical scenarios:

  • Commodity Market Volatility: A trader holds a long position in gold futures, expecting prices to rise due to economic uncertainty. However, the broker notices an unexpected policy change that could negatively impact gold prices. The broker advises the trader to set a tighter stop-loss order or reduce their position. When prices indeed drop, the stop-loss order limits the trader’s loss, preserving a portion of their capital.
  • Leverage Control in Forex Futures: A trader with a $20,000 account plans to enter a forex futures trade with 10x leverage. Recognizing the risks, the futures broker suggests a more conservative approach with 5x leverage. When the market moves against the trader, the smaller leverage prevents a significant portion of their capital from being wiped out, highlighting the importance of cautious margin management.
  • Agricultural Futures and Weather Forecasts: A futures broker monitors weather patterns and advises clients trading agricultural futures on potential supply chain disruptions. The broker might suggest hedging strategies or diversifying into non-agricultural assets. When adverse weather impacts the market, clients following the broker’s guidance experience mitigated losses.

Future brokers, or broker futures professionals, serve as indispensable allies for full-time futures traders. Their responsibilities go beyond executing trades to include providing market insights, ensuring compliance, offering risk management support, and educating clients. Choosing a reputable, reliable, and ethical futures broker is crucial, as they contribute to a trader’s long-term success and protect against unethical practices.

A skilled futures broker also aids in loss mitigation through various strategies, including stop-loss orders, leverage control, diversification, and timely market updates. By working with a reputable broker futures trading expert, traders can navigate the complexities of the futures market with greater confidence and minimize potential losses. As these examples and explanations show, a responsible future broker does more than just facilitate trades—they become a valuable partner in a trader’s journey toward achieving consistent profitability and financial stability.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

Movers and Shakers: CPI on Deck, OPEC Leadership, and Commodity Surges

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C65 1

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Equities prices were mostly flat as traders are anticipating tomorrow mornings CPI release at 7:30 CT.

Iran’s oil minister has been elected as OPEC President for 2025, Crude prices are holding steady in the 68.25 / bbl area

…as Gold surged again in the face of some dollar weakness.

Supply concerns are affecting Cocoa prices as the mid year West African cocoa crop outlook has deteriorated (April) as dry conditions will hurt the early development of the crop. ICE-monitored cocoa inventories held in US ports have been trending lower for the past 1-1/2 years and fell to a 20-year low Monday of 1,487,243 bags. Also, 23/24 stocks to Grindings report reflect a 46-low. March Cocoa was up 476 or $4760.00 per contract to close at 10557 basis the march contract.

Monthly WASDE was released today, here is a quick synopsis: World Corn carryout was much smaller than previously reported. 296.44 mmt vs 304.14 mmt providing continued bullish sentiment from the August lows. March 25 Corn surged 7 and ¼ cents.

 

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

 

 

CPI Consumer Price Index @ 7:30 am CDT.

 

Consensus Outlook

How we wish the inflation numbers were improving! Forecasters expect headline CPI to show increases of 0.3 percent on the month and 2.7 percent on the year for November versus 0.2 percent and 2.6 percent in October. The core is expected at a sticky 0.3 percent and 3.3 percent on the year, the same as in October and September. With readings like this, the expectation for the December Fed policy meeting remains split between a 25 bp cut and no action, although the latest soft-ish jobs report underpins rising expectations for 25.

 

 

Earnings: Adobe will be the feature, otherwise very quiet, only 19 firms reporting

 

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Daily Levels for December 11, 2024

 

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Weekly Newsletter: The Week Ahead in Futures Trading, Auto Trading System, 10 Year Outlook & More!

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

C60

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1220

In this issue:

  • Important Notices – Earnings, CPI, WASDE, The Week Ahead.
  • Futures 102 – Crude Oil Outlook + Premium Daily Research
  • Hot Market of the Week – March 10 Year Notes
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mid Cap Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

294 corporate earnings reports and a number of meaningful Economic data releases including Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI). It’s also the beginning of the Fed Blackout period and the Monthly USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand (WASDE)report will also be next week!

Prominent Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Oracle , post close
  • Tue. Gamestop
  • Wed. Adobe
  • Thu. Broadcom, Costco
  • Fri. quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • This is the Fed Black out period in advance of the Dec 18th, Yearend, Fed Meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool as of today, Dec 6th , There is an 87.1 % likelihood of a .25 basis cut from the current Fed Funds rate of 4.50-4.75 range, during the upcoming meeting, Therefore a 12.9 % probability of remaining steady with no change.

 

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Wholesale Inventories, Consumer Inflation Index
  • Tues. NFIB Business Optimism Index , Redbook, WASDE
  • Wed. CPI
  • Thur. PPI, Jobless claims
  • Fri. Export Prices

 

Futures 101: Ask a Broker!!

Projecting Targets

Projecting Targets

 

Futures 102: Crude Oil In Depth Analysis

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Get Personalized Trading Reports Like the One Above Directly to your Inbox!

SIGN UP FOR A FREE TRIAL

  • Get qualified support and resistance levels for precise risk management on different commodity markets.
  • Get pivot points that highlight shifts in the futures market momentum.
  • Get technical forecasts to keep you on the right side of a specific commodity trading market.
  • One on One “Daily Digest” with a dedicated series 3 professional.

 

 

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    • Hot Market of the Week 

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

March 10 Year Treasury Notes

The rally in the March 10 Year completed its first upside PriceCount objective last month and consolidated its trade. Now, the chart has resumed its rally where the second count projects a possible run to the 111^31 area.

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

MidCap Yellow

 

PRODUCT

Mid Cap SP400

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Swing Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$50,000

 

COST

USD 110 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
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Daily Levels for December 9th, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of

December 9th, 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NFP Tomorrow: Key Insights and Market Impacts

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C81

NFP tomorrow!

Non Farm Payrolls, market moving event!

Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;

This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;

Please see an SP500 outlook from our friends at Artac Advisory and feel free to sign up for a FREE, NO OBLIGATION trial of their premium service and research!

 

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Daily Levels for December 6, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Political Turmoil, Market Highs, and Economic Indicators

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C67

Movers and shakers! 

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General: 

 

Leaders of two staunch U.S. allies, South Korea and France, are facing their ouster today.  French Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces a pivotal no-confidence vote that risks toppling his government and derailing France’s efforts to get its public finances back on track.  This is the result of a monthslong battle over France’s 2025 budget. Mr. Barnier’s proposed budget demands 60 billion euros – equivalent to $63.1 billion – in spending cuts and tax increases to narrow France’s deficit, which is projected to reach more than 6% of gross domestic product this year, double the European Union’s limit.

 

One day after declaring martial law – a type of military control that had been avoided in South Korea for more than four decades, its president, Yoon Suk Yeol, is now facing the prospect of impeachment, creating more political instability for this close Asian U.S. ally.  Mr. Yoon’s move to declare martial law late Tuesday night stunned South Korea’s political establishment and caught U.S. officials by surprise. Within about six hours, Mr. Yoon reversed course after lawmakers voted 190-0 against the measure, a group that included nearly 20 lawmakers from Yoon’s own party.

 

More General: 

 

It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  The report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

 

Stock Indexes: 

 

Today, the Dec. E-mini S&P 500, the E-mini Nasdaq and the E-mini Dow Jones futures contracts traded to new all-time highs, with the E-mini S&P 500 piercing 6100, the Dow over 45,000 and the Nasdaq above 21,500.

 

Crypto: 

 

December Bitcoin futures retained its lofty valuation, moving up ±$3,000 / ±$3%, above 99,000 and within striking distance of its second highest all-time close after closing at 100,815 on November 22.

 

Soy Complex: 

 

After dropping nearly 8 cents today, January soybeans, the futures’ front month for another few weeks, closed at $9.83¾ per bushel and remains mired within striking distance of its intraday life-of-contract low at 973½ per bushel posted back on August 14th.

 

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Daily Levels for December 5, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures

Standard and Poor’s 500 futures, commonly known as S&P 500 futures or SP500 index futures, are among the most widely traded financial instruments in global markets. These contracts offer exposure to the performance of the S&P 500 index, a benchmark that represents the performance of 500 large-cap U.S. companies. Whether used by institutions for hedging or speculators for profit opportunities, S&P futures play a pivotal role in the financial ecosystem. This detailed exploration delves into the mechanics of the S&P 500 futures contract, its components, trading strategies, and its appeal to various market participants.

What are S&P 500 Futures?

S&P 500 futures are derivatives contracts that derive their value from the S&P 500 index. These contracts allow traders and investors to speculate on or hedge against the future performance of the index. Each S&P 500 futures contract represents a fixed dollar amount multiplied by the current index level. For instance, the standard S&P 500 futures contract has a multiplier of $50, while the micro SP futures contract has a multiplier of $5, making it more accessible to individual investors.

The contracts are traded on regulated exchanges, primarily the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), under the product name E-mini S&P 500 futures and Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures. These products are available for trading nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week, ensuring flexibility for participants across time zones.

How to Trade the S&P 500 Futures Contract

Trading the S&P 500 futures index requires understanding the contract’s specifications and the market dynamics. Here are the steps and considerations for trading:

  1. Understand Contract Specifications:
    • Symbol: ES (E-mini), MES (Micro E-mini)
    • Contract Size: The standard E-mini S&P 500 futures contract represents $50 multiplied by the S&P 500 index level. For the Micro E-mini, it’s $5.
    • Tick Size: Each tick (minimum price movement) is 0.25 index points, equivalent to $12.50 for the E-mini and $1.25 for the Micro E-mini.
    • Expiration: Futures contracts expire quarterly (March, June, September, and December), with traders often rolling over positions to maintain exposure.
  2. Set Up a Futures Trading Account:
    • Open an account with a broker authorized to trade CME-listed products.
    • Ensure the account meets margin requirements for trading S&P futures.
  3. Develop a Trading Strategy:
    • Use fundamental analysis, such as economic indicators and corporate earnings, to anticipate market movements.
    • Employ technical analysis to identify price trends and potential entry and exit points.
  4. Risk Management:
    • Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
    • Understand leverage, as futures trading involves significant exposure relative to the margin required.

Who Trades S&P Futures and Why?

The participants in the S&P 500 futures market are diverse, each with unique motivations. They include institutional investors, individual traders, and high-frequency trading firms.

Institutional Investors: Hedging and Portfolio Management

Institutions such as mutual funds, pension funds, and insurance companies frequently use S&P 500 futures to hedge their equity exposure. Hedging involves taking an opposite position in futures to offset potential losses in a portfolio. For instance, if a portfolio manager expects market volatility or a downturn, they might sell S&P 500 futures contracts. This allows them to lock in the current value of their holdings, reducing the impact of adverse price movements.

Speculators: Profiting from Price Movements

Speculators, including retail traders and hedge funds, are drawn to S&P 500 futures for their liquidity, leverage, and potential profitability. Unlike institutional hedgers, speculators aim to profit from price fluctuations in the S&P futures market. They can go long (buy) if they anticipate a market rally or go short (sell) if they expect a decline. The high liquidity of the S&P 500 futures index ensures minimal slippage, even for large trades, making it an attractive choice for speculative strategies.

Arbitrageurs and Market Makers

Arbitrageurs exploit price discrepancies between S&P 500 futures and the underlying index or related financial products. For example, if the futures price deviates significantly from the index value, arbitrageurs may simultaneously buy the underpriced asset and sell the overpriced one, locking in risk-free profits. Market makers, on the other hand, provide liquidity by quoting buy and sell prices, ensuring smooth market functioning.

Components of the Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures Contract

The S&P 500 futures contract is closely tied to the S&P 500 index, which is composed of 500 large-cap U.S. companies across various sectors. Key components include:

  1. Contract Multiplier:
    • The standard multiplier is $50, while the Micro SP futures use a $5 multiplier, catering to smaller investors.
  2. Index Composition:
    • The S&P 500 index itself includes companies from sectors such as technology, healthcare, financials, and consumer discretionary. Heavyweights like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet significantly influence the index.
  3. Margin Requirements:
    • Traders must deposit an initial margin to open a position and maintain a maintenance margin to keep the position active. Margins are typically a fraction of the contract value, amplifying leverage.
  4. Settlement:
    • S&P 500 futures settle to the index’s final settlement value on expiration. Traders can close positions before expiry or let them settle financially.

Why Institutions Use Futures for Hedging

Institutions favor S&P 500 futures for hedging due to their efficiency, liquidity, and alignment with broad market benchmarks. Here’s why these contracts are essential tools for risk management:

  1. Portfolio Protection:
    • Institutions use S&P futures to shield their portfolios from market downturns. For instance, during economic uncertainty, selling S&P 500 futures can offset potential losses in equity holdings.
  2. Cost Efficiency:
    • Hedging with futures is often cheaper than liquidating and repurchasing a portfolio, especially for large positions. Futures’ leverage ensures that a smaller upfront capital outlay provides significant market exposure.
  3. Tax and Regulatory Advantages:
    • Futures may offer favorable tax treatment compared to other derivatives or direct stock transactions, depending on jurisdiction. They also help institutions comply with risk management regulations.
  4. Global Exposure:
    • Since S&P 500 futures trade nearly 24/7, they provide round-the-clock exposure to U.S. equity markets, enabling real-time adjustments to risk profiles.

The Appeal of Speculating on the S&P 500 Futures Index

Speculators gravitate toward the S&P futures market for its unique features that cater to active trading strategies:

  1. Leverage:
    • Futures offer significant leverage, allowing speculators to control a large market position with a relatively small capital outlay. This amplifies potential profits, though it also increases risk.
  2. Directional Flexibility:
    • Speculators can easily profit in rising or falling markets by going long or short. This dual-direction capability makes S&P 500 futures versatile for diverse market conditions.
  3. Volatility:
    • Market volatility, often driven by economic data releases, geopolitical events, or earnings reports, creates opportunities for intraday and swing trading.
  4. Accessibility:
    • The introduction of Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures has made the market more accessible to smaller traders, enabling them to participate in the index’s movements without excessive risk.

The Standard and Poor’s 500 futures market is a cornerstone of modern financial markets, serving the diverse needs of institutional hedgers and retail speculators alike. By providing exposure to the broad U.S. equity market, the S&P 500 futures index plays a critical role in risk management, price discovery, and speculative trading.

Institutions rely on the futures SP market for efficient hedging and portfolio protection, while speculators are drawn to its liquidity, leverage, and profit potential. With a detailed understanding of contract specifications, trading strategies, and market dynamics, participants can harness the full potential of the S&P 500 futures contract, whether as Micro SP futures or standard-sized contracts.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading