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Category: Futures Trading

Futures trading is done by two main parties, one of which is the hedger and the other one is the speculator. Where a speculator is there to trade for either their own accounts or that of their clients, a hedger always uses futures as a possible protection from losses. Hedgers can also be described as individuals or business owners who are more risk averse. Speculators and hedgers are likely to benefit from futures trading if the trader has a strong ability to analyze the markets and understands that future behavior. Though futures can behigh risk, they offer an equally high return and are thus very tempting.

In case you are new to futures trading you need to understand how things work. We at Cannon Trading are there to help with your understanding of all the elements of futures trading and also counsel and advise you with the same. Our knowledge base featured on our website, is a store house of information. In order to know every aspect of futures trading, you must read through these articles that have been listed in this category archive. Go through it and get better informed!

Stock Futures suffer Eye-Opening Tumble as CPI Exceeds Expectations

Posted on February 12, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Trading in Front of Reports – Like Today’s CPI – Stock Futures – a Word to the Wise

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its scheduled Consumer Price Index and to the market’s surprise, it jumped more than anticipated, showing a higher-than-expected 0.5 percent increase from December. It was the fastest monthly increase since August 2023.

Stock Futures

The reaction by the major stock futures contracts was immediate and pronounced. Within a single minute of the report’s release, the E-mini Dow Jones stock futures contract dropped over 400 points, the E-mini S&P 500 stock futures contract dropped 60 points, a $3,000 move and within that same minute the E-mini Nasdaq stock futures contract dropped 311 points, a $6220 move.

CPI

CPI is one of several regularly scheduled reports that can have an impact on the futures markets. There are many such reports on things like crude oil stocks, crop conditions, interest rate decisions and several that look at aspects of the economy.

They all can impact related futures markets’ movement, even if for a span of time as short as a minute.

So, it’s important for traders to take care when trading into an approaching report, as well as afterwards if volatility continues. Even if you’re incorporating STOP orders to offset a position going into a report’s release, fast markets can “jump” over your STOP price and leave your trade exposed to further risk.

1 minute chart from this morning for illustration purposes below!

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Daily Levels for February 13th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Coffee, Cattle, and Crops: Market Swings Amid Powell & CPI Anticipation

Posted on February 11, 2025February 11, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: Tomorrow (CPI) before the open, CSCO After the close

Fed Powell’s testimony in the Senate had the market moving today.

Gold started to sell off well before the testimony began, down $25.00 then as Powell spoke @ 10 EST, the market rallied from that point in somewhat of a slough to unchanged, but struggled to breakout and looks to close a shade off yesterday, down 8 bucks. Holding rates for quite some time longer didn’t add fuel to the current rally. Powell testifies tomorrow in the House, same time.

The S&P 500 rallied from Powell’s opening remarks 20 points, then fell back at the 2-hour mark to where it began:6070.00 only to rally NEARLY 30 POINTS FROM THERE AFTER THE CONCLUSION. However, they look to close unchanged at the time of this writing. 6088.00. This was a very tradeable day.

After scanning several markets Energies, Bonds, Dollar index. They all finished the day right about where they were prior to Powell’s opening remarks except for the US Dollar, which closed lower as Gold retained some of its luster.

Corn

WASDE was released this morning as well, whose results weighed on domestic Ag row crop prices, Beans down 6 cents, Corn down 7.5-6.25 for old crop, new crop Dec down a penny (will grains in the future be quoted in pennies with the dissolution of the one cent coin?) Wheat down between 2.5 to 7 cents across the board and protein spectrum. Cotton bucked the trend and had a strong rally after the numbers, up .74 basis the May contract.

Coffee

As for the softs, Coffee lost some caffeine today, down from its all-time highs, 15 + cents per pound @ 413.45. This drop comes after a strong rally in recent sessions, fueled by supply concerns and robust demand. However, profit-taking and shifting sentiment in the broader commodities market may have contributed to today’s pullback. Traders will be watching for any signs of renewed momentum or further correction in the days ahead, particularly with currency fluctuations and weather patterns in key coffee-growing regions influencing price action. That’s Coffee!

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Tomorrow: CPI (Consumer Price Index) before the open, Fed Powell Testimony in the House of Representatives 9 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST. Earnings: Cisco After the close, CME Group, before the open

March Feeder Cattle

The January 21st QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the March feeder cattle chart was approaching its third upside PriceCount objective. After reaching this target area, the chart corrected lower and activated downside PriceCounts in the process. At this point, if you can extend its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a slide to the 261.59 area.

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Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

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Hidden Market Trends: Copper Joins Coffee and Gold in Notable Moves

Posted on February 10, 2025February 10, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Coffee Anyone? Gold? Copper?

COFFEE

While most day traders focus on markets like mini SP, MICRO NQ, bonds and few others, some of the other markets have made some noticeable moves. Coffee, Gold and now Copper.

March copper is activating upside PriceCount objectives off the January lows. The first count projects a possible run to the 4.80 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall high.

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Daily Levels for February 11th, 2025

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US January Non-Farm Payroll Report: Key Forecasts and Market Impact

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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NFP Tomorrow – Non Farm Payrolls Tomorrow

Non Farm Payrolls

US January Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released Friday morning at 7:30 am CT. Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls +170,000 compared to the previous month’s +256,000. The January jobless rate is expected at 4.1%, unchanged compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month.

With Non-Farm Payroll coming in tomorrow, We suspect a busy, volatile Friday as other reports and speakers will be out. Make sure to check calendar below.

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

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Daily Levels for February 7th, 2025

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Market Turbulence and Global Tensions: Key Developments in Politics, Economy, and War

Posted on February 4, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Market turbulence and volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future as global tensions rise.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:19 am

WSJ on Tuesday now reporting President Trump and China’s leader Xi will not speak to each other later today

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:24 am

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that around 20,000 US federal employees accepted buyout offers. The Washington Post today is reporting layoffs of federal employees is likely if too few of them choose to accept buyouts or quit.

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:17 pm

Pres. Trump said he would have talks with his Iranian counterpart, but also said Iran is too close to having and cannot have nuclear weapons

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:23 pm

Pres Trump he would like to Palestinians taken in by Egypt and Jordan, adding they have no alternative but to leave. He is not in favor of Israeli’s settling in Gaza

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Reuters reports Ukraine’s military said on Tuesday its air force had struck a Russian military command post in Russia’s Kursk region the previous day causing sustained significant damage and casualties. Reuters could not independently verify the statement.

–Ukraine’s military has reported numerous strikes on Russian military and energy facilities in recent weeks. Ukrainian forces have been battling Russian troops in the Kursk region since Ukraine mounted a cross border operation there last year.

–A pro-Russian Ukrainian paramilitary leader, Armen Sarkisyan, was killed along with one other person, and three more people were wounded in a bomb blast inside a residential building in northwest Moscow, Russian state news agency TASS reports.

–Russia’s Investigative Committee said it opened a criminal inquiry after the explosion on charges of murder by means injurious to the public, attempted murder of two or more people and arms trafficking.

–Ukrainian forces are believed to be behind a series of assassinations in Russia. In mid-December, Russian General Igor Kirillov died in a remote-controlled blast in Moscow.

–The United Nations echoed Ukraine’s growing concerns that Russia killed 79 captured Ukrainian soldiers in 24 separate incidents since September.

–A former United Kingdom MP, Jack Lopresti, has joined the Ukrainian International Legion to help fight against Russia, media reports said. Lopresti reportedly travelled to Kyiv in November to help a charity.

–Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Moscow’s air defense units intercepted and destroyed 70 drones in a Ukrainian offensive overnight. The ministry said Kyiv had also targeted energy facilities, including an oil refinery in Volgograd which had caught fire.

–Ukraine’s military claimed responsibility for strikes on Russian energy facilities, claiming that it hit a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd and a gas processing plant in Astrakhan. Both establishments supplied fuel to the Russian Army, according to the military.

–State Emergency Service workers of Ukraine work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava

Ukrainian rescuers working at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, where at least seven people died and 17 others, including four children, were injured, on February 1, 2025 [Handout/State Emergency Service of Ukraine via EPA-EFE]

–Kyiv’s Air Force said it destroyed 38 of 71 Russian drones launched at Ukraine in an overnight attack. Some 25 drones disappeared from radars without reaching their targets, the Air Force said.

–According to the Reuters news agency, Moscow also said that it was too early for Russia to consider the four-way peace talks model proposed by Zelenskyy, which would include the US, Ukraine, Russia and the EU. Zelenskyy previously said it would be very dangerous if Washington and Moscow held ceasefire talks without involving Kyiv.

–Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, criticized the Finnish government over the publication of an information package for its citizens who are planning or considering volunteering on Ukraine’s side in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

–US President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he is seeking a secure supply of rare earth metals from Ukraine in exchange for US aid.

–Moldova’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement denouncing the invasion of its airspace by a drone and said it was discussing with allies how to boost airspace defense. The statement detailed that the drone entered from Ukraine’s airspace, but did not identify the origin or likely operator of the drone.

Tomorrow: Disney before the open, Qualcomm Earnings after the close! ADP, Balance of Trade, Barkin Speech 8am CST, ISM Svcs., Fed Jefferson Speech 6:30 pm CST

Daily Levels for February 5th, 2025

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April Gold Futures Hit Record High Amid Tariff Concerns and Weaker Dollar

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Gold Futures Trading at All Time Highs!

April gold futures – the most-active futures contract – hit a new all-time high as the dollar pushed lower and traders sought safety amid concerns over the new U.S. administration’s tariff measures. April gold settled up 2.7% at $2,845.20 per ounce, after hitting a record intraday high of $2,853.20 earlier in the day. The prior record of $2,800.80 was set in late October.

Gold Weekly Chart with Possible targets for your Review Below:

Trade gold futures and select from three different contract sizes – 100-oz., 50-oz. and 10-oz. – with a FREE, top-of-the-line trading platform that includes built-in charts, hundreds of indicators, a great DOM and super low day trading margins.

Don’t have time to do it yourself? Work with an experienced broker!

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Daily Levels for January 31st, 2024

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Good Trading!

About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.

Tech Turmoil, AI Competition, and the FED Decision: A Pivotal Week for Markets

Posted on January 28, 2025January 28, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

What a reversal! After yesterday’s huge tech sell off initiated by a realization that a new AI app uses cheaper chips, The AI challenge from China shook the trading consciousness to the very roots of the U.S. AI talking points/ narrative. If true, what a breath of fresh air, think about it, the barriers to entry for innovation have been lowered 10 fold or more!, More competition in the A.I. zeitgeist is critical to reaching innovative success.

Tomorrow is FED Rate decision day, followed by Chairman Powell’s presser at 1PM CDT and 1:30 PM CDT respectively.

According to CME’s FEDWATCH tool , expectations are for no change from the current 4.25-4.50 fed funds rate, the rate charged to borrowing banks. Higher inflation, leads to higher Bond yields, Higher Yields lead to lower bond prices, and greater hesitancy by the FED to lower rates anytime soon.

Watch out for post cash close Earnings tomorrow and a number of other events.

Today’s Movers

**US December Advanced Durable Goods: -2.2%; prior -1.2%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Trans: +0.3%; prior -0.1%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Def: -2.4%; prior -0.3%

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first four weeks of January 2025 vs January 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.9% in the week ending January 25th vs yr ago wee

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November Y/Y: +4.3% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November M/M: +0.4% vs prior month

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Index: -4.0 ; prior -10.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Shipments Index: -9.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing New Orders: -4.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Employees: +3.0 ; prior -8.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.37 ; prior +2.86

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.21 ; prior +1.71

**Richmond Fed January Service Sector Index: +4.0 ; prior +23.0

Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Goods Trade Balance and Retail/Wholesale inventories.

1:00 PM CDT Fed Rate Decision

1:00 PM CDT Fed Press Conference

Earnings:

(95 rpts) Pre-Open Alibaba, MSFT, META, TSLA, IBM all after the cash close.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

Daily Levels for January 29th, 2024

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Gold Investment Guide: Choosing Between Gold Futures and Gold ETFs

Posted on January 27, 2025January 27, 2025 by Jenny Collins

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Discover the right gold investment for you

US stocks gapped lower after Chinese AI competitor DeepSeek rose to the top spot on US app stores over the weekend, supplanting OpenAI. The NASDAQ plunged ~4% before the opening bell. Nvidia shares were routed, loosing some $500B in market cap falling below its 200-day moving average for the first time since fall 2023. The entire AI stack including semiconductors, nearly all things related to data centers, and electrical power generation saw whipsaw pullbacks on worries that a significantly cheaper, opensourced AI model could upend the boom in spending seen around US LLMs. Defensive flows into staples, healthcare, and some small caps could not offset the selling seen across the AI ecosystem, but breadth was much more positive relative to the declines seen in the S&P and NASDAQ. US Treasury markets saw prices surge too, and rates fell ahead of the FOMC meeting. The US 10-year yield fell back to 4.5% before bouncing. The US dollar index remained heavy. Crude and natural gas prices fell.

If you’re considering investing in gold, you might be wondering whether Gold futures or gold ETFs are the better fit for your portfolio. Our latest article delves into the key differences between these two investment options, helping you make an informed decision.

In this article, we explore:

The significant differences in the liquidity, exposure and costs between Gold futures and gold ETFs.
How individual investors can participate in the performance of gold.
The opportunities for maximizing returns and potential tax advantages of Gold futures.

Daily Levels for January 28th, 2024

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Good Trading!

Futures Trading Insights for Jan. 23rd: Equity Gains, Energy Dips, and Gold Surges

Posted on January 22, 2025 by Ilan

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What you need to know before trading futures on Jan. 23rd:

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Stock Indexes: 

Equity index futures rose today, powered by a rise in technology stocks after the new administration announced mammoth spending plans for artificial intelligence infrastructure, while the U.S. Dollar Index traded to a two-week low as tariffs were delayed.

Late on Tuesday, Pres. Trump announced that OpenAI, Japan’s SoftBank and Oracle will form a joint venture and invest up to $500 billion to build data AI centers. Shares of SoftBank surged 10.6% in Tokyo, Oracle gained 7.6% on Wall Street, adding to Tuesday’s 7.2% jump. The March E-mini Nasdaq lead U.S. stock index futures with a ±1.45% / ±300-point ascent, while the March E-mini S&P 500 gained ±.7% / ±40 points. The March E-mini Dow lagged somewhat with a ±.25% / 120-poing upswing.

Energy:  

Oil prices eased to a fresh one-week low today as the market considers how the new administration’s proposed tariffs could affect global economic growth and demand for energy.

March West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) traded 39 cents, or 0.5%, lower to settle at $75.44.

That puts WTI down for a fourth day in a row for the first time since November. Both crude benchmarks – WTI and Brent – closed at their lowest since Jan. 9 for a second day in a row.

Crude Oil numbers will be out tomorrow due to MLK holiday this past Monday.

Metals:

Gold futures (Feb.) prices traded to near three-month highs Tuesday, fueled in part by the weaker dollar and a seemingly lack of clarity around the new administration’s policy plans, which investors fear could trigger trade wars and elevate market volatility.

Feb. Gold added ±$7 to $2,766 per ounce as of this typing. Prices were at their highest since Nov. 5 when they hit their intraday high of $2,782.8.

Daily Levels for January 23rd, 2024

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Good Trading!

Weekly Newsletter: Trading Resources and more! 01.20/21.25

Posted on January 17, 2025January 17, 2025 by Ilan

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In this issue:

StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
Important Notices – MLK Hours, Fed Speeches, Home Sales
Futures 102 – World Cup Trading Championship
Hot Market of the Week – Dec. 2025 Corn
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week

To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.

To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE

In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Martin Luther King Holiday Monday, abbreviated trading hours, 271 corporate earnings reports as the season swings into action with Netflix, P & G, JNJ and American Express, Consumer products.

We are in the FED Blackout period leading up to the next FOMC Meeting 11 days from now so there will be no Fed Speakers. Economic data releases including Existing home sales, The feature may be the ECB’s LaGarde speech on Wednesday

Earnings Next Week:

Mon. none
Tue. Netflix after the close
Wed. Pre Market P & G, JNJ
Thu. quiet
Fri. American Express Pre Market

FED SPEECHES:

Mon. Quiet
Tues. Quiet
Wed. ECB President LaGarde Speech @ 9:15 am Central
Thu. Quiet
Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

Mon. None
Tues. None
Wed. Redbook, CB Leading Index
Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Fed Balance Sheet
Fri. S&P PMI, Existing Home Sales, Michigan Consumer Sentiment
MLK Trading Hours!! Modified trading Schedule Monday.

Futures 102: Building a Trading Plan

“He who fails to plan is planning to fail” -Winston Churchill

Traders who win consistently treat trading as a business. While there is no guarantee that you will make money, developing a trading plan is crucial if you want to become consistently successful and thrive in the trading game. Every trader—no matter your experience—needs a plan.

Why are you here?

You want to know what constitutes a trading plan
You realize you need a trading plan
You want to be successful at futures trading

You’re in the right place for any those objectives. At the end of this course, you’ll understand why you need a trading plan and how to build one to support your success as a futures trader.

What is a trading plan?

A trading plan is a business plan for your trading career. Like any business plan, a trading plan is a working document in which you make assumptions about projected costs, revenues, and business conditions. Some of your assumptions may be right, some will surely be wrong. You wouldn’t start a business without a business plan, so why would you start trading without a trading plan?

The real value in writing a trading plan is that it forces you to think about every part of your trading business, including confronting your strengths and weaknesses, and formulating reasonable expectations.

Any solid trading plan consists of the following five components. There are no shortcuts to developing a trading plan that will support your objectives. Take the time now to think about each of these components thoroughly and you will thank yourself later.

Objective
Methodology
Risk Management
Trading Strategies
Trader Log

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

December 25 Corn

December corn satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective and corrected lower. If the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a potential run to the $4.66 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Yes

Daily Levels for January 20th & 21st, 2025

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Weekly Levels

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Good Trading!

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Trading in Front of Reports – Like Today’s CPI – Stock Futures – a Word to the Wise

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Daily Levels for February 13th, 2025

Economic Reports

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

Economic Reports

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Coffee Anyone? Gold? Copper?

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