4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

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Index Futures

index futures 2

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Extreme Volatility

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Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

non farm payroll

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

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May Meal

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May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Confident Outlook for First Notice & Last Trading Days: 2 Strategic Exit Dates and a Bullish Setup for Treasury Traders

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First Notice & Last Trading Day

first notice

Below are the contracts which are entering

First Notice / Last Trading

 For April.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

First Notice & Last Trading Day

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform! 

FREE DEMO HERE

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That’s all for

First Notice & Last Trading

Days

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 3rd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Significant Surge? 113^26 Target Looms as Treasury Notes Eye Bullish Breakout, Micro Grains

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Trump Speaks Tomorrow

During Market Hours!

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Treasury Notes, Micro Grains

treasury notes

 

Tomorrow should be another volatile day!

With Trump speaking, Fed speaker, ADP weekly claims and crude oil inventories – we suspect the current volatility will continue.

On a different note – MICRO GRAINS are available

MICRO GRAINS

micro grains 3

After the first three weeks of trading, we are approaching just under a half million Micro Grains contracts traded for Micro Corn, Micro Soybean, Micro Soybean Oil, Micro Soybean Meal, and Micro Wheat, as well as some other quick hits below.

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Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform!

FREE DEMO HERE

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

b7fbe7a3 9849 4b2c b282 2a8b9afb2e2f

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 2nd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Gold Soars, Wheat Shrinks: 7 Powerful Stats from a Wild Trading Day

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Turbulence in Equities & Commodities

Gold & Wheat, Emini S&P COTD

Buckle your seatbelts, Turbulence in equities and Commodities

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

Wheat

wheat

Why the turbulence in the Grain markets? USDA prospective plantings report was revealed, although largely in line with expectations, it’s a surprise that planted acres are down for soybeans, wheat and 12% lower for cotton while farmers are switching out of beans and planting corn instead, as seed and fertilizer costs are lower for these compliments in production.

Wheat for all winter varieties planted is the second smallest crop since records have been kept from 1919. The weather market begins now in earnest for the Wheat complex for the next 8 weeks.

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 What in the world was going on with equity prices today, first the big dump was attributed to Liberation Tariff Day, coined by the media, only to see the markets stage a brave comeback against all talking point odds! Was this merely a technical correction? Or a combination of oversold and some positive tariff news?

 Mini Dow’s range today? 786 points $value? = $3930.00 from hi to lo

  Mini S & P’s range today? 111.25 points $ Value? = $5562.50 from hi to lo

Mini Nasdaq’s range today? 439 points $value? = 8785.00 from hi to lo

How Gold is your Portfolio?

Gold

gold nugg

All-time highs in gold today. 3162.00 per troy gold ounce currently trading @ 3155.00 + over $40.00 per gold oz. yet the industrial metals were negative today, Dr. Copper and Silver. We offer all exchange traded contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces.

Secondary tariffs on Russian oil talk had the Crude oil futures up over $2 per bbl safely above the $70.00 /bbl price level.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Redbook, ISM Mfg. Final, JOLTS, Dallas Fed.

FED Speak: Quiet

Earnings: Quiet

Tariff news: Anything goes!

June Emini S&P

The June Emini S&P corrected after it fompleted its second downside PriceCount objective earlier this month. Now, the chart has resumed its slide into a new low which, if sustained, would project a run to the third count in the 5371 area.

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Emini

Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 1st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

 Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Futures Class 3 Milk Futures

7 Shocking Pitfalls of Ignoring Class 3 Milk Futures in Your Trading Strategy

In the dynamic and multifaceted world of commodities trading, class 3 milk futures stand out as a unique and critical financial instrument. Designed primarily for dairy producers, processors, and traders, these futures contracts are integral to hedging against price volatility in the dairy market. As the global dairy industry evolves with increasing complexity, understanding the nuances of class 3 milk futures becomes imperative for traders, commodity brokers, and institutional investors. This paper explores the foundational aspects of class 3 milk futures, distinguishes them from other dairy-related futures, provides projections for the next three trimesters of 2025, and examines why Cannon Trading Company and its state-of-the-art platform, CannonX, are leading choices for futures trading.

What are Class 3 Milk Futures?

Class 3 milk futures are standardized financial contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) that represent 200,000 pounds of milk, priced per hundredweight (cwt). These contracts are primarily utilized to hedge and speculate on the price movements of milk used in the production of cheese, which is why they are directly influenced by the supply and demand for cheese in the United States.

Milk is categorized into different classes based on its end-use. Class 3 milk pertains specifically to milk used in the manufacturing of hard cheeses such as cheddar. The price of class 3 milk is influenced by several factors including cheese prices, butterfat content, and protein values. Traders engaging in class 3 milk futures are essentially betting on the fluctuations of these key components within the dairy market.

The Relevance of “Class 3” in Futures Contracts

The term “class 3” in futures contracts denotes the categorization established by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) under the Federal Milk Marketing Orders (FMMO). Milk is classified into four main categories:

  • Class 1: Milk used for fluid consumption.
  • Class 2: Milk used for soft products like yogurt and cottage cheese.
  • Class 3: Milk used for hard cheeses.
  • Class 4: Milk used for butter and dry milk products.

Class 3 milk is particularly volatile due to the fluctuating demand and supply conditions in the cheese market. The futures contracts based on this class enable participants to manage risk associated with such volatility effectively.

Differentiation from Other Dairy Futures Contracts

Class 3 milk futures differ from other dairy futures contracts such as class 4 milk futures, nonfat dry milk futures, and butter futures in several key ways:

  • Underlying Commodity: Class 3 futures are based on milk used specifically for cheese production, whereas class 4 milk futures pertain to butter and nonfat dry milk.
  • Volatility: Due to the perishable nature of cheese and its demand dynamics, class 3 milk futures are generally more volatile, attracting speculators looking for short-term gains as well as hedgers needing robust risk management.
  • Pricing Mechanism: Class 3 milk prices are calculated using the cheese, dry whey, and butterfat prices published by the USDA. This differs from the pricing mechanisms used in class 4 and other dairy futures.
  • Market Participants: Class 3 milk futures attract a unique set of market players, including cheese manufacturers, large-scale dairy farms, institutional commodity brokers, and even speculative traders focusing on agriculture.

Historical Trends in Class 3 Milk Futures

Historically, class 3 milk futures have demonstrated notable price swings tied closely to macroeconomic indicators and agricultural policies. Over the past decade, prices have fluctuated between lows of around $12/cwt to highs exceeding $24/cwt. This variability often correlates with shifts in feed costs, weather patterns, and international dairy demand.

The COVID-19 pandemic further exposed the volatility inherent in dairy markets. Disruptions in supply chains, changes in consumer behavior, and export inconsistencies led to sharp price adjustments. These historical lessons underscore the critical role class 3 milk futures play in providing price certainty and risk mitigation in commodities trading.

Global Influence on Class 3 Milk Futures

The global market exerts considerable influence on class 3 milk futures. Key international developments—such as EU dairy subsidies, New Zealand milk production, and Chinese import policies—can ripple through U.S. markets.

  • Export Demand: Nations such as Mexico, China, and South Korea are among the largest importers of U.S. dairy. Rising global cheese consumption can increase demand for class 3 milk, pushing futures prices upward.
  • Geopolitical Events: Trade agreements and sanctions impact dairy exports and influence price dynamics. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) continues to affect milk futures through tariff structures and import quotas.
  • Climate Change: Extreme weather events across the globe affect feed availability and animal health, influencing production costs and, consequently, class 3 milk futures prices.

Risk Management with Class 3 Milk Futures

Managing risk is essential in futures trading, and class 3 milk futures offer an efficient tool for this purpose. Dairy producers use these contracts to lock in prices, securing future revenue and planning capital expenditures more accurately. Processors and distributors also hedge to stabilize their input costs.

Strategies commonly employed include:

  • Hedging through Direct Contracts: Locking in sales or purchase prices for future milk deliveries.
  • Options on Futures: These provide flexibility and are used to protect against downside risk while preserving upside potential.
  • Spread Trading: Traders take advantage of price differences between months or related commodities to mitigate risk.

These strategies allow participants to insulate themselves from adverse price movements, turning volatility into opportunity.

Forecasting Class 3 Milk Futures for 2025

First Trimester (January to April 2025)

Seasonal trends suggest an increase in class 3 milk futures prices during the early months of the year due to winter production slowdowns and elevated holiday cheese demand. Weather conditions affecting feed quality may also contribute to reduced milk output, tightening supply.

Second Trimester (May to August 2025)

Spring flush traditionally brings increased milk production, which could result in lower class 3 prices. However, if export demand for cheese rises, it may mitigate some downward pressure. Futures traders should monitor USDA reports and global cheese market dynamics during this period.

Third Trimester (September to December 2025)

The lead-up to the holiday season often sees increased cheese demand, leading to higher class 3 milk prices. In 2025, with anticipated growth in foodservice and retail sectors, this trend may be more pronounced, presenting a bullish outlook for class 3 milk futures contracts.

Cannon Trading Company and CannonX: Leaders in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has cemented its reputation as a premier commodity broker through decades of exemplary service, advanced technology, and a client-first approach. Particularly for those involved in trading futures like class 3 milk futures, CannonX—the firm’s proprietary platform—offers unmatched capabilities.

  • Experienced Brokers: One of the most distinguishing features of Cannon Trading is the accessibility of seasoned brokers with decades of experience. Clients speak directly to knowledgeable professionals—there is no automated answering service acting as a barrier. This personalized touch ensures informed decision-making in real time.
  • Top-Rated Service: With numerous 5 out of 5-star TrustPilot rankings, Cannon Trading Company has proven its commitment to customer satisfaction. Clients consistently praise its transparency, educational resources, and trading support.
  • Best Trading Platform Futures: CannonX ranks among the best trading platform futures options on the market. With its intuitive interface, real-time analytics, and broad asset class integration, it supports all kinds of futures contracts, including class 3 milk futures.
  • Free Top-Performing Platforms: Traders gain access to a wide selection of FREE, top-performing trading platforms tailored to various strategies and preferences. Whether you’re interested in mobile trading, algorithmic strategies, or manual order entry, Cannon has a solution.
  • Industry Trust and Compliance: Cannon Trading Company maintains an exemplary reputation with industry regulators, underscoring its integrity and commitment to ethical commodity trading practices.
  • Commodities Trading Education: Cannon provides a rich library of resources—from webinars to tutorials—that equip clients with the tools needed for successful commodities trading. These materials cover everything from class 3 milk futures to broader futures trading methodologies.
  • Scalable Solutions for All Traders: Whether you’re a retail trader new to trading futures or a seasoned commodity broker managing institutional accounts, Cannon Trading Company offers flexible solutions that scale with your needs.

As the commodities trading landscape continues to evolve, class 3 milk futures remain a vital tool for hedging and speculation in the dairy sector. Understanding their unique attributes, market dynamics, and forecasted trends for 2025 is crucial for effective trading. Cannon Trading Company, with its robust platform CannonX, emerges as a superior choice for both novice and seasoned traders. From expert brokers just a call away to unparalleled customer satisfaction and regulatory trust, Cannon sets the benchmark in futures trading.

In an increasingly complex market, success in commodities trading depends not only on knowledge and timing but also on the right platform and support system. For anyone looking to succeed in class 3 milk futures, Cannon Trading Company offers not just a trading platform, but a strategic partnership.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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Gold Surges to All-Time Record High of $3040 – 5 Key Signals, 7 Volatility Triggers Before the FOMC Decision

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Movers & Shakers – GOLD

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

gold nugg

 

Movers and Shakers:  FOMC Meeting Tomorrow @ 1:00PM CDT

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely. Prepare for shocks on the tomorrow FOMC Rate decision but, more importantly, expect a roller coaster during the Chairman’s statement and Q and A 30 minutes to follow.

How gold is your portfolio? 

All time highs in Gold today. 3040.00 per troy ounce of Gold. We have all contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces of Gold.

Today was a subdued trading day for almost all of the high-volume products we trade compared to the past 30 days or so.

Waiting for FOMC rate decision?

GOLD

Here were today’s top headlines.

Updated: March 18, 2025 7:32 am

US Housing Starts and Building Permits Headline Recap

**US February Housing Starts: +11.2% to 1.501 mln units annualized rate; expected +1.0% to 1.38 mln

**US February Building Permits: -1.2% to 1.456 mln unit annualized rate; expected -2.2% to 1.45 mln

Updated: March 18, 2025 8:17 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

**Federal Reserve February US Industrial Production: +0.7%; expected +0.3%

**Federal Reserve February US Capacity Utilization: +0.5% to 78.2; expected 77.8%

**Federal Reserve January US Industrial Production revised: +0.3%; prior +0.5%

  • **Federal Reserve January US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.7%; prior 77.8%

Daily Levels for March 19th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Gold Surges to Record $2,974: Powerful Trends & Market Shifts in This Month’s Report

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Monthly Micro

Gold, Silver and Copper

Markets Report

gold 2

Highlights in this issue include:

  • Gold prices reach new high of $2,974/oz amid tariff fears and a weaker USD.
  • Silver prices down 2.4% MoM: weaker industrial demand concerns persist.
  • Copper prices gain 1.8% MoM, the third consecutive month of growth despite tariff uncertainty.
  • Micro Gold futures saw 21% MoM growth in February.

1-Ounce Gold futures see strong start: ADV reached 8,144 contracts in February.

READ FULL REPORT

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Daily Levels for March 18th, 2025

JUNE levels for stock index futures will be sent out tomorrow morning around the cash open!

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Standard and Poor 500’s Brutal 10% Drop: Is a Rebound or a Bigger Crash Coming?

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Markets Highlights

by

Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Standard and Poor 500 Futures: Market Next Move?

standard and poor 500

It was only three weeks ago that the March E-mini Standard and Poor 500 futures contract hit an all-time high.  Markets have been dealt a blow by growth and recession fears, the unpredictability of trade policy, and risks to sector-wide investment and spending.

Whether it’s a good buying opportunity or another growl towards a bear market is still up for debate, the Standard and Poor 500 index futures contract fell into correction territory yesterday, registering a decline of 10% in the span of less than a month.  While the Standard and Poor 500 futures contract trimmed some of the losses, big questions are still swirling over what lies ahead. The Trump administration is attempting to engineer a long-term structural change to the U.S. economy.  The reality of that goal is hotly debated, but it is no doubt taking a toll on the short-term animal spirits that enveloped the market since November.

Here’s a 10-point checklist that will determine the market’s future trajectory:

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Daily Levels for March 13th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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The High-Stakes Crude Oil & CPI Report: 3 Critical Signals for Market Movers

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Crude Oil

crude oil

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CPI and EIA Petroleum Stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Prepare for shocks, on CPI and Stocks.

CPI Tomorrow before the Cash Open 7:30 am CST

Updated: March 11, 2025, 12:20 pm

US February consumer price index (CPI) data is forecast by analysts up +0.3% month-to-month, which compares to the previous month’s +0.5%. Core CPI on monthly terms is expected +0.3% in February compared to the prior month’s +0.4%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning. CPI on annualized terms is forecast up +2.9% from the year ago month, the core year-over-year figure is expected up +3.2%.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories Tomorrow

EIA Weekly Petroleum Stocks Estimates for Wednesday, March 12 at 9:30 AM CT

in million barrels per day (mln bpd)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

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Daily Levels for March 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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⚠️ 5 Market Hazards Ahead – Soybean, Volatility, CPI & The Fed’s Blackout Shaking up Markets!

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

Soybean

March Soybean

In Today’s Issue #1233

  • Time Change
  • The Week Ahead – CPI, PPI, Fed Blackout
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Treasury Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – May July Beans Spread
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

USA Time Change!!

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will also include CPI and PPI Wednesday and Thursday respectively prior to cash market open. No fed speakers as we enter the official “BlackOut” period. The next Fed Rate decision is do out the following week.

Earnings reports continue to dwindle with 302 total reports while we are in the top of the 9th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks.

I am including the European carmakers as a benchmark. My belief is the market will be much more interested in the earnings of these companies in future quarters as bell weathers for potential tariff effects. Finally, for Indices traders, at the end of next week, Friday, this should be the last day you will want to trade the March contract. June will become the front month. M25.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Oracle post close
  • Tue. Volkswagen AG
  • Wed. Adobe post close, Porsche.
  • Thu.  Quiet
  • Fri. BMW

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Fed Blackout period
  • Tues.     until the day after
  • Wed.     the next rate announcement
  • Thu.     On Wednesday March 19th
  • Fri.       3/19/25 Chair Powell will Speak, 30 minutes after the rate decision.

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Redbook, Jolts, WASDE
  • Wed. CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book
  • Thur. PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Futures 102: Introduction to Treasuries

Course Overview

Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve help shape short- and long-term economic growth by restricting or expanding the supply of money circulating in an economy. They do this through the use of debt obligations called treasuries — such as bills, notes and bonds – in which the government borrows money from the holder for a specified period of time. Because treasuries are viewed as being among safest of all investments, they can be in high demand.

Treasury futures offer one way to gain exposure without trading the individual securities themselves. Learn the basics behind trading Treasury futures, from the delivery process, contract specifications, key concepts like basis and Cheapest to Deliver (CTD) and more. Discover the different ways these contracts are used, from price discovery to risk management to profit speculation, and how they are intertwined with other financial markets like stocks and currencies.

 

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Soybean Spread

May – July

The May – July soybean spread accelerated with a gap higher where it completed its second upside PriceCount objective off the February low. The chart is correcting and closed the gap. IF you can resume the rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the -9 area, which would be consistent with a challenge of the January spike reversal.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

The NZL automated trading system utilizes two main ALGOS in an attempt to identify either an early trend in the trading day and/or high percentage counter trend set ups.

The system is fully automated and runs between the hours of 4 AM central and 3:15 PM Central.

The model relies on volume charts rather than time charts.

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 10th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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