Gold Drops to $40, Silver Freefalls as Looming Recession Fears Weigh Heavy on Markets

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Movers & Shakers: Gold, Silver, Recession Fears

gold silver

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

The S&P experienced an 85 point slide ($4250.00 per contract) 65 points immediately following the negative consumer confidence number release that declined by 7 points. The market has continued to recover from the initial loses and look to close in the _0 to 20 point range near 5990.00 basis the March contract. The NQ also took a drubbing, down 225 points as of this writing after being down over 400 points earlier in the session while the DOW looks to add 150 + points today.

Gold, Silver, Recession Fears

Gold, Silver: Recessionary concerns as a result of the building lack of confidence also impacted the Gold and Silver markets , with gold taking a $40.00 per ounce whack and Silver taking a .68 drubbing per troy ounce basis the May contract.

Not to be left out, the US 30 yr Bond, ( ZBM25) was up ( lower interest rates) 42 32nds basis the June contract.

Crude oil will be closing under $70.00 bbl for the first time since the day after Christmas at what looks to be 69.10 basis the April contract.

Updated: February 25, 2025 7:28 am

Dallas Fed President put forth the idea of using a modest portion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet to holding daily auctions of discount window loans, arguing that it will improve efficiency and effectiveness in implementing policy, and encourage banks needing liquidity to borrow at the Fed. The US Fed discount window lend to banks in need of cash, exchanging for less liquid collateral held by banks.

Updated: February 25, 2025 7:55 am

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +5.9% in the first three weeks of February 2025 vs February 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.2% in the week ending February 22 vs yr ago week

Updated: February 25, 2025 8:01 am

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for December Y/Y: +4.4% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for December M/M: -0.1% vs prior month

Updated: February 25, 2025 9:02 am

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

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 **Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Index: +6.0 ; prior -4.0; expected -2.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Shipments Index:+12.0 ; prior -9.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing New Orders: 0.0 ; prior -4.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Employees: +9.0 ; prior +3.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.23 ; prior +2.37

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.62 ; prior +1.21

**Richmond Fed February Service Sector Index: +11.0 ; prior +4.0

Updated: February 25, 2025 9:06 am

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined by 7.0 points in February to 98.3 (1985=100).

Tomorrow:

  • Rich. Fed, Bldg Permits, New Home sales.,
  • NVIDIA Earnings after the close!
  • Fed Barkin 7:30 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST .
  • Crude Oil Inventories
  • G20 all day

Daily Levels for February 26th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Treasury Bonds & Notes make Bold Moves!

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Treasury Bonds Notes
Treasury Bonds

 

Treasury Bonds, Notes

Treasury Bonds & Notes – Different market, different trading environments

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES (mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities, then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

There are more than a few markets I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30-year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30-year bonds and ZN for 10-year notes.

Product Symbol

ZB

Treasury Bonds

Contract Size

The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof

Price Quotation

Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Product Symbol

ZN

Underlying Unit

One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000 < Treasury Bond.

Price Quote

Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Tick Size

(minimum fluctuation)

One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).

Contract Months

The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day (might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 1,300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another advantage for these markets is that the exchange fees per trade are LOWER than the ones on the stock index futures.

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May Sugar Chart for your review below!

May sugar is completing its second upside PriceCount objective to the 19.96 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, if the chart can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the 21.57 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall highs.

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Daily Levels for February 25th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Outlook: May Wheat Satisfies, Key Earnings, Fed Speeches, and Economic Data for the Final Trading Week of the Month

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

May MN Wheat

wheat

In Today’s Issue #1231

  • May Minnesota Wheat – Hot Market of the Week
  • Permanent Demo Available
  • The Week Ahead – NVIDIA, PCE, Housing Numbers, Fed Speeches and More!
  • Futures 102 – Understanding mini NASDAQ 100
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Trading Demo Available with your StoneX Futures Platform:

This permanent demo is available to all clients using the StoneX futures ( CQG desktop) platform as long as you have a balance.

If you live account is subscribed to live data, your demo will also have live data.

Demo data will run off the market data subscriptions you have.

See example below:

Login to your live trading account: https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

In the upper right corner, you should be able to click on your account number and select the demo account, which will be highlighted in yellow.

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Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

The final trading day of the month Next Friday with a full week packed with housing and other economic data, Fed Speak and a hot earning report or two.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Home Depot before the open, Intuit post close
  • Wed. NVIDIA , Sales Force post close
  • Thu.  quiet
  • Fri. quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Barr 10:45 am CST, Barkin 12:00pm CST
  • Wed. Barkin 7:30 am CST, Bostic 11 am CST
  • Thu. Barr 9 am CST, Bowman 10:45 am CST, Hammack 12:15pm CST, Harker 2:15 CST
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

 

  • Mon. Dallas Fed Manufacturing
  • Tue. RedBook, Case Schiller, Consumer confidence, Dallas Fed,
  • Wed. Richmond Fed, Bldg Permits, New Home Sales
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Q2 advance,
  • Fri. Core PCE, Chicago PMI

Futures 102: Understanding the E-mini Nasdaq-100

Course Overview

Learn more about the E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures contract. You will gain an understanding of the E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures contract specifications, spreading between different equity index futures contracts, and the tools available to help investors.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May MN Wheat

May MN wheat satisfied its third upside PriceCount objective where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally into new sustained highs, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for to the $7.27 area. It takes a trade above the October reactionary high to formally negate the remaining unmet downside counts. That’s May MN Wheat!

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been, but where we might be going next!

 

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 24th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Natural Gas & Copper Eye Upside Amid Post-Holiday Market Turbulence; Softs & Metals Lead the Charge

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Busy Friday to Finish a Short Trading Week

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

natural gas 2

It has been a volatile short trading week post President’s Day long weekend.

Wild swings across the board with softs and metals leading the way.

Tomorrow we have new home sales, flash PMI and University of Michigan reports which will be watched closely for the inflation outlook.

Watch both natural gas and copper as these markets are establishing a tend to the upside.

Would you like to get real

time news and markets outlook via videos updates daily?

Simply visit us on our market research section. FREE to clients and prospects!

Daily Updates & Market Research

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Daily Levels for February 21st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Corn Futures Contract

The corn futures contract remains one of the most actively traded agricultural commodities in the futures markets. As global demand for corn continues to rise due to its essential role in food production, animal feed, and ethanol production, futures traders seeking profitable opportunities often turn to corn futures as a key component of their portfolio.

10 Essential Tips for Trading Corn Futures in 2025

  1. Understand Supply and Demand Dynamics
    Corn prices are highly sensitive to global supply and demand. Factors such as droughts, floods, and geopolitical trade policies can drastically affect supply, while increased biofuel production and livestock feed demand can drive prices higher.
  2. Monitor USDA Reports
    The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) publishes reports such as the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), Crop Progress Reports, and Grain Stocks Reports. These provide valuable insights into corn production, yield forecasts, and potential price movements.
  3. Follow Seasonal Trends
    Historically, corn futures contracts tend to follow seasonal price patterns. Prices often drop during harvest (September-November) when supply increases and rise in the planting months (April-May) when weather concerns create uncertainty.
  4. Choose a Reliable Futures Broker
    Working with a reputable futures trading broker is essential for executing trades efficiently. Firms like Cannon Trading Company offer a wide selection of futures trading platforms and have a solid track record with 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, making them a great choice for traders of all levels.
  5. Hedge Against Price Volatility
    Agribusinesses and institutional investors often use corn futures contracts to hedge against price fluctuations. Understanding how to use these contracts for risk management can provide a strategic edge.
  6. Utilize Technical and Fundamental Analysis
    Successful futures traders rely on both technical indicators (such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as crop reports and geopolitical news) to make informed decisions.
  7. Watch for Inflation and Interest Rate Trends
    Economic factors such as inflation and interest rates influence the overall commodity markets. Rising interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar, making corn exports more expensive and potentially lowering demand.
  8. Stay Updated on Trade Agreements
    Global trade agreements and tariffs, particularly between the U.S., China, and the European Union, significantly impact corn prices. Keeping track of new trade deals is crucial for trading futures successfully.
  9. Consider Algorithmic and Automated Trading
    Advanced trading technology has made futures contract trading more accessible through algorithmic and automated trading strategies. Platforms offered by Cannon Trading Company enable traders to execute trades with precision and speed.
  10. Diversify with Other Agricultural Futures
    While trading futures in corn can be profitable, diversifying with soybean, wheat, and other crop futures can reduce risk and enhance overall portfolio stability.

Expected Trends for Corn Futures in 2025

Climate Change and Weather Volatility

Extreme weather conditions are expected to continue affecting global corn production. Unpredictable droughts and flooding could lead to significant price swings in corn futures contracts.

Biofuel and Ethanol Demand

The global push for renewable energy sources will likely keep ethanol demand high, increasing the need for corn as a primary biofuel ingredient.

Rising Input Costs

Fertilizer and transportation costs have been climbing, impacting production expenses and potentially pushing corn prices higher in 2025.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies

The U.S.-China trade relationship remains a key factor. Tariffs or trade barriers could significantly impact corn exports and futures prices.

Key Reports to Monitor for Corn Futures Trading

  • USDA WASDE Report – Offers supply and demand projections.
  • Grain Stocks Report – Provides insights into corn inventory levels.
  • Crop Progress Report – Tracks planting and harvesting progress.
  • CFTC Commitment of Traders Report – Shows market sentiment among traders.
  • EIA Ethanol Production Report – Measures ethanol demand, affecting corn consumption.

Historical Performance of Corn Futures and Agricultural Commodities

Historically, corn futures contracts have shown cyclical patterns influenced by weather conditions, government policies, and technological advancements in agriculture. The 2012 drought, for example, caused record-high prices, while increased yields in the following years led to price stabilization. Other crop futures contracts, such as wheat and soybeans, have followed similar trends, often correlating with corn prices due to their shared agricultural and economic factors.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders looking to engage in futures contract trading, selecting a reputable futures trading broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Top-Performing Trading Platforms: Offering a range of advanced platforms for both beginner and experienced futures traders.
  • Decades of Experience: With a long history in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading provides expert guidance.
  • Outstanding Customer Support: Rated 5 out of 5 stars on TrustPilot, the firm is recognized for its commitment to client satisfaction.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Fully compliant with NFA regulations, ensuring transparency and security for trading futures.

The corn futures contract presents numerous opportunities for profit in 2025. By staying informed on market trends, monitoring key reports, and partnering with a reputable futures trading broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders can navigate the complexities of futures contract trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

President’s Day, Natural Gas, & Market Moves: Key Trading Levels & Insights

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1230

  • President’s Day Modified trading Schedule
  • The Week Ahead – FOMC minutes, Housing Starts
  • Futures 102 – Options Strategies
  • Hot Market of the Week – March Natural Gas
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

natural gas

President’s Day Modified Trading Schedule:

Natural Gas Hot Market of the Week + Monday, February 17th is Presidents Day here in the US.

Many markets will close at noon central and some markets are closed.

Click Here for Full Schedule

PRES DAY 2025 2

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. President’s day
  • Tue. quiet
  • Wed. quiet
  • Thu. WMT
  • Fri. quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Quiet
  • Wed. FOMC Minutes pm CST
  • Thu. Goolsbee 8:35 am CST
  • Fri. Quiet

 

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Presidents Day
  • Tue. Empire state Manu. Index, NAHB Housing index
  • Wed. Bldg. Permits, Housing starts, FOMC Minutes
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index
  • Fri. SP PMI, Existing Home sales, Mich. Consumer sentiment

Futures 102: Options Strategies

Course Overview

Option Strategies are an integral part of a trader’s routine. Learn about common option strategies utilized by traders that express their view of market direction and expected volatility. Some option strategies are designed to mitigate risk while others are designed to profit by accepting risk.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March Natural Gas

March Natural Gas is attempting to resume its rally as it challenges the January high. At this point, new sustained highs would project a potential run to the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to the 4.06 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 17/18, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Stock Futures suffer Eye-Opening Tumble as CPI Exceeds Expectations

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Trading in Front of Reports – Like Today’s CPI – Stock Futures – a Word to the Wise

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its scheduled Consumer Price Index and to the market’s surprise, it jumped more than anticipated, showing a higher-than-expected 0.5 percent increase from December. It was the fastest monthly increase since August 2023.

Stock Futures

The reaction by the major stock futures contracts was immediate and pronounced. Within a single minute of the report’s release, the E-mini Dow Jones stock futures contract dropped over 400 points, the E-mini S&P 500 stock futures contract dropped 60 points, a $3,000 move and within that same minute the E-mini Nasdaq stock futures contract dropped 311 points, a $6220 move.

CPI

CPI is one of several regularly scheduled reports that can have an impact on the futures markets. There are many such reports on things like crude oil stocks, crop conditions, interest rate decisions and several that look at aspects of the economy.

 

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They all can impact related futures markets’ movement, even if for a span of time as short as a minute.

So, it’s important for traders to take care when trading into an approaching report, as well as afterwards if volatility continues. Even if you’re incorporating STOP orders to offset a position going into a report’s release, fast markets can “jump” over your STOP price and leave your trade exposed to further risk.

1 minute chart from this morning for illustration purposes below!

 

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Daily Levels for February 13th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Movers This Week: Options on Futures, Grains, Hedging, Powell Testimony, CPI & PPI, WASDE, and Earnings Reports

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1229

  • 1099’s Are Available
  • The Week Ahead –
  • Futures 102 – Hedging With grains, Options on Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – April Hogs
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

1099’s:

1099 forms will be generated for all futures trading accounts held by US clients that placed any trades during the 2024 calendar year. Traders should expect to receive their 1099 forms via mail, email or through their portal in early February.

 

·    1099 forms will be provided directly from the FCM to the client.

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via StoneX click here

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via Ironbeam click here

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via Dorman click here

For any other FCM’s please contact your broker directly.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Humphrey Hawkins Testimony week, Fed Chair Powell gives testimony to the Senate Banking Committee beginning @ 9:00 am CST Tuesday the 11th, Wednesday he walks over to the House Financial Committee and answers questions for the congressional body. CPI,PPI! WASDE week! + 5Fed Speakers, 1000’s of midcaps reporting past earnings and future guidance.

Economic releases are relatively light this week with one exception: Consumer Price Index (CPI) pre-market Friday. The Fed Speakers will be at the podium for the foreseeable future as we don’t have another Fed rate decision until late March.

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. McDonalds
  • Tue. Coca-Cola, Softbank
  • Wed. Cisco
  • Thu.  Applied materials
  • Fri. Quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Hammock 7:50 CST, Chair Powell Testimony 9amCST, Bowman and Williams 2:30pmCST
  • Wed. Chair Powell Testimony 9am CST, Bostic 11:00 am CST, Waller 4:05PM,
  • Thu. Quiet
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Consumer inflation expectations
  • Tue. WASDE Ag Numbers 9amCST, NIFB Optimism index
  • Wed. CPI
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, PPI
  • Fri. Retail Sales, Capacity Utilization, Business Inventories

Futures 102: Hedging Grains with Options on Futures

Course Overview

Gain an understanding of how buyers and sellers of grains and oilseeds utilize futures and options to hedge their position to manage price risk.  This course will enhance the hedger’s understanding of the different strategies available as well as how the basis affects prices.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading and options on futures needs.

Free Trial Available

December 25 Corn

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount  objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been, but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

 

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 10, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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US January Non-Farm Payroll Report: Key Forecasts and Market Impact

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NFP Tomorrow – Non Farm Payrolls Tomorrow

Non Farm Payrolls

US January Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released Friday morning at 7:30 am CT. Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls +170,000 compared to the previous month’s +256,000. The January jobless rate is expected at 4.1%, unchanged compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month.

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With Non-Farm Payroll coming in tomorrow, We suspect a busy, volatile Friday as other reports and speakers will be out. Make sure to check calendar below.

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount  objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

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Daily Levels for February 7th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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