Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Navigating the World of Crude Oil Futures: Production, Exchanges, Brokers, and Hedging

Find out more about trading futures options with Cannon Trading Company here.

Crude oil, often referred to as the lifeblood of modern economies, plays a pivotal role in energy production, transportation, and global geopolitics. As a finite and highly sought-after resource, trading crude oil futures offers investors and businesses a way to manage risk, speculate on price movements, and participate in the energy market. In this comprehensive exploration, we will delve into the types of crude oil, major oil-producing regions, top oil producers, global oil futures exchanges, the role of crude oil brokers, and the art of hedging crude oil through futures trading. Additionally, we will take a closer look at Cannon Trading Futures Brokers and their exceptional TrustPilot rating.

Types of Crude Oil and Geographic Areas
Crude oil is not a uniform commodity; it comes in various grades and qualities, each with distinct characteristics. The most commonly traded types of crude oil include Brent crude, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, and Dubai crude, among others. These grades differ in terms of density, sulfur content, and location of production.

Geographically, crude oil is found in multiple regions around the world. Notable areas of crude oil production include:

  1. Middle East: The Middle East is renowned for its vast oil reserves, with countries like Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Iran being major producers. The region’s influence on global oil prices and supply dynamics is significant.
  2. North America: The United States and Canada are prominent producers of crude oil, with the shale revolution in the U.S. leading to a surge in production in recent years.
  3. Russia and Former Soviet Union: Russia has substantial oil reserves and is a key player in the global oil market. Other countries in the former Soviet Union, such as Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, also contribute to production.
  4. Latin America: Countries like Venezuela and Brazil are significant producers in the Latin American region, contributing to global supply.
  5. Africa: Countries like Nigeria, Angola, and Libya are noteworthy crude oil producers in Africa, with varying degrees of geopolitical influence on supply.

Top Oil Producers in the World
The hierarchy of top oil producers shifts based on global economic and political dynamics. As of my last knowledge update in September 2021, some of the top oil-producing countries included Saudi Arabia, the United States, Russia, and China. These countries not only influence the supply side but also impact global demand and pricing trends.

Global Oil Futures Exchanges and Brokers
Oil futures are traded on several prominent exchanges around the world, providing investors and traders with a platform to speculate on the future price of crude oil. Some of the well-known oil futures exchanges include:

  1. New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX): NYMEX, a division of the CME Group, offers futures contracts for WTI crude oil. WTI is considered a benchmark for oil prices in North America.
  2. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): ICE offers Brent crude oil futures contracts, which serve as a global benchmark for oil prices. Brent crude is sourced from the North Sea and represents a major component of the international oil market.
  3. Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME):DME provides a platform for trading Dubai crude oil futures contracts, which cater to the Asian market.

Hedging Crude Oil on the Futures Market
Hedging in the context of crude oil futures involves using futures contracts to mitigate the risk of adverse price movements. This strategy is commonly employed by oil producers, consumers, and investors who wish to protect themselves from the volatility of oil prices.

For instance, an oil producer concerned about a potential decline in oil prices could enter into futures contracts to sell oil at a predetermined price. If prices fall, the loss on the physical oil sale could be offset by gains in the futures contract. Similarly, airlines or other businesses heavily reliant on oil for operations could use futures contracts to lock in prices and safeguard against unexpected price spikes.

Cannon Trading Futures Brokers and TrustPilot Rating
Cannon Trading, a well-established futures broker, offers traders access to a range of commodities, including crude oil futures. With over three decades of experience in the industry, Cannon Trading has earned a reputation for its commitment to providing traders with advanced tools, competitive pricing, and reliable execution.

One valuable indicator of a broker’s performance is customer feedback, and Cannon Trading’s exceptional rating on TrustPilot speaks to its dedication to client satisfaction. TrustPilot, a platform for customer reviews, showcases positive experiences shared by traders who have engaged with Cannon Trading. These reviews often highlight factors such as efficient customer support, user-friendly platforms, and seamless order execution, all of which are critical in the world of futures trading.

Crude oil futures offer a pathway for investors, producers, and consumers to engage with the energy market, manage risk, and capitalize on price movements. The diverse types of crude oil and their global geographic locations contribute to the dynamic nature of the oil market. As top oil producers shift and demand evolves, the role of oil futures exchanges, brokers, and hedging strategies remains integral to the functioning of this essential global commodity market. Cannon Trading Futures Brokers, exemplified by their TrustPilot rating, underscores the significance of reliable brokerage services in facilitating successful crude oil futures trading.

Weekly Newsletter #1081 Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures & Support and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1081

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Trading 102: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures

Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..Fill out the form below to read the full article.
WorldCup Trading Championships 2022

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01.10.2022

Support and Resistance Levels 1.10.2022

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Support and Resistance Levels

 

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

 

MRCI Reports 1.10.2022

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

OPEC Meeting cause for Higher Volatility in the Futures Markets, Crude Oil Chart Review & Support and Resistance Levels 12.03.2021

Dear Futures Trader,

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OPEC meeting today took crude oil and products into even higher volatility.

In my opinion, many markets took que from crude oil price movement, especially stock index futures.
While this may be a temporary situation, you may want to watch crude oil prices even if you are trading only the mini SP or even grains for that matter….
Crude oil daily chart for your viewing pleasure….
DON’T FORGET we have monthly unemployment numbers tomorrow…NFP, non farm payroll.

Daily Crud Oil Chart 12.02.2021

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-03-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 12.03.2021


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis & Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

Dear Futures Trader,

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Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis

Looking at both price and time FIB analysis, on the daily crude oil chart below (click here for LARGE IMAGE) I am showing a potential for crude oil to find support and have a short term reversal to the upside. I wont fight the short term trend and will look for a buy signal using 30 minute chart before I jump in front of this downward train…
What do I mean by that?
Daily chart still showing a good strength on the LONGER term scale ( see both Elliott Wave counts and trend strength). Short term we can see the strong sell of the highs made towards the end of October.
I ran both a Fibonacci retracement on prices from lows to high, as well as Fibonacci TIME retracement from the time of lows to highs to see the next TIMING window to look at.
We are getting close to a match on both time and price ( concept I was made aware of by Carolyn Boroden Strategies for Intraday Trading Fibonacci Retracements | Fibonacci Queen) so I will now look for a bullish trigger in the form of MACD cross over on the 30 minutes chart or possible turning up of RSI on the 30 minutes chart before simply trying my luck…..
As always the key will be risk and trade management if/when set up happens.
Keep in mind FRONT month for crude oil is now January! CLF22
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-18-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Economic Indicators 11.17.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil & Support and Resistance Levels 10.13.2021

Dear Traders,

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🙂

Trading 101: Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk. Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities
  • WTI Overview
  • Understanding Crude Oil in the USA
  • Importance of Cushing, Oklahoma
  • Understanding European Crude Oil
  • Understanding Crude Oil Across Asian Region
  • And Much More!

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-13-2020

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Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Crude Oil Leading Many Markets? & Support and Resistance Levels 10.06.2021

Dear Traders,

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Separator

Crude Oil Leading Many Markets?

I was doing some homework last night, back testing different entry signals etc.
By mistake I plugged in a system that takes crude oil signals and applies it to the current market I was testing – Seems that these past 2 years or so, signals taken based on crude oil were more accurate ( using this specific trend following formula I was using) than signals based on the underlying contract!! To clarify I am testing longer term model using the DAILY chart.
Cotton, Coffee, Corn, beans, Gold and SP500 all did better based on price action/ signals using crude oil prices than their own data!!
Obviously this requires more in depth work, statistical analysis and forward testing but I thought it was interesting enough to share with you and give you some ideas perhaps even something to look into on intra day basis?
Speaking on crude pay attention to inventory report tomorrow.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-06-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 10.06.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Pay Attention to Energy Futures & Support and Resistance Levels 9.29.2021

Dear Traders,

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Separator

Pay Attention to Energy Futures

(There’s More to Trading Than the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones)
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
Every country in the world depends on energy. For some, energy production is the backbone of their economies. Energy products as a percentage of all that a country exports can be as high as 90% or more. Kuwait, Libia and Iraq are notable examples. For others, energy is a scarce resource within their borders making it necessary to import it. Countries like South Korea, Ireland and Japan import over 80% of their needed energy. Governments, multinational corporations, international consortiums (think OPEC) often vigorously compete for control of energy production and distribution – and the revenue that comes from them. Energy resources have literally fueled wars for their control. Without doubt, oil, its refined products and natural gas are among the world’s most valued commodities.
Not surprisingly, energy futures contracts like crude oil, heating oil, unleaded gas and natural gas are some of the largest futures contracts in the world by volume. The CME Group’s NYMEX Exchange offers trading on some of the energy sector’s benchmark products, including West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude, Henry Hub Natural Gas, Brent Crude and RBOB Gasoline.
Like stock index futures, energy futures trade 23 hours a day (5:00 P.M. – 4:00 P.M., Central Time), Sunday through Friday. Both crude oil and natural gas offer mini contracts and crude oil even offers a micro contract.
If you’re trading is solely focused on stock indexes, think about adding energy futures to your watch list and expanding your trading power (pun intended) with energy futures contracts.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-30-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Weekly Newsletter 1068: Day Trading Mind Traps & Intro to Crude Oil Futures Course & Trading Levels for the Week Ahead 9.27.2021

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1068

Dear Traders,

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Day Trading Mind Traps

“One way our brain helps keep us safe is to protect us from an awareness of our weaknesses. The brain believes that it is better to be falsely confident than recognize the real risks. This protective mechanism tends to work against us in trading.” Kenneth Reid, Ph.D
MINDING THE MIND
The mind can play tricks on us. Intuitive Trading is an attempt to mind read the market, which makes us susceptible to whipsaws. Hindsight Bias causes traders to underestimate the difficulty of trading, while Competency Bias causes us to over-estimate our abilities. These are mental banana peels that set us up for a fall.
INTUITIVE TRADING
Intuitive trading is a natural response to excessive randomness and non-linearity in the market. But making informed guesses is not the same as formulating a rule-based pattern-recognition system that gives a trader a true edge. Without a rule-based plan, intuitive traders expend a great deal of energy mindreading the market, which will not improve your odds of success. In fact, professional traders make a good living exploiting the emotionally-driven behavior of intuitive amateurs.

Watch a recording of a recent webinar held with Bookmap on the topics of:

  • Order Flow
  • Where are the large orders?
  • Heat Map?
  • Tools for day-traders
  • More….
Crude Oil Futures

Trading 101: Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-27-2021

Futures Trading Support and Resistance Levels 9.27.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Futures Support and Resistance Levels

 

Trading Signals for commodities

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

Futures Economic Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

Weekly Newsletter #1053 Trading Signals Directly to your Inbox, Crude Oil Recap & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 6.7.2021

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1053

Dear Traders,

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VAREA Signal Trading Alerts

Directly to your Inbox!

  • A dynamic research tool for Futures traders based on revolutionary algorithmic IP. Experienced management team has combined decades of trading experience with superior programming capability to produce this unparalleled algorithmic trading product.
  • Daily email to traders identifying trading opportunities (signals) on more than 20 specific tickers per a discrete set of rules and conditions/algorithms.
  • Packages are signals only (Basic, $99/month) or signals with execution suggestions by VAREA trading specialists (Premium, $199/month) and get a free month of the Premium product when you sign up. Contact your broker for implementation instructions to get you started.
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Market Pick Review for the Week:

Crude Oil Weekly Chart
The market trading against resistance on the weekly chart. Failure at these levels can generate a quick sell off, a break above $70 can trigger the next leg up.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

6-7-2021

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading