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Iran & The Markets PLUS: March Dollar Index, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on March 4th, 2026

Posted on by Cannon Operations
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Iran & The Markets

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

 4780.13 4944.47 5169.33 5333.67 5558.53

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

 70.59 76.66 84.13 90.20 97.68

Crude Oil (CL)

— April. (#CL)

 66.59 70.33 74.16 77.90 81.73

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar. (#ZB)

 116 116 20/32 117 4/32 117 24/32 118 8/32

Equities get legs on back-to-back days.

iran

After a strong case that can be made for the S&P index completing the Elliot Wave 5th wave that began in November, the 6750 .00 price level has, so far, proven to be resilient. In the face of global uncertainty, it seems inertia has levitated the index just when it looked like the price was going to breakdown and violate the 200 day moving average on a closing basis in the mid 6700’s.

On each of the past two days, the index has rallied off it’s early session lows, flirting with the MA.

Crude Oil and energy by-products on a run to the upside

As of March 3, 2026,

The Strait of Hormuz is currently in a state of de facto closure. While it remains technically and legally open as an international waterway, it is effectively impassable for most commercial shipping due to extreme security risks and the withdrawal of insurance coverage.

On Truth Social, Pres. Trump recently addressed this “If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, as soon as possible.

No matter what, the United States will ensure the FREE FLOW of ENERGY to the WORLD. The United States’ ECONOMIC and MILITARY MIGHT is the GREATEST ON EARTH — More actions to come,” in a retort to the IRGC threatening to attack any ship in the strait, hours before.

Current Status & Conflicting Claims

  • Iran’s Position: Senior officials from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) officially declared the strait “closed” on March 2, 2026. They have issued radio warnings stating they will “set ablaze” any ship attempting to cross.
  • U.S. Position: U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) continues to maintain that the strait is not closed and remains a protected international waterway.
  • Operational Reality: Despite the legal dispute, maritime traffic has slowed to a crawl. Major shipping firms like Hapag-Lloyd, CMA CGM, and MSC have suspended all transits through the region to protect their crews and vessels.

Key Factors Driving the Disruption

  • Insurance Withdrawal: Most maritime insurers have withdrawn war-risk coverage for the Persian Gulf, making it economically unviable for ship owners to enter the area.
  • Physical Attacks: Several tankers have reportedly been struck or damaged by Iranian fire and drone attacks over the past few days, leading to a “critical” risk assessment for the region.
  • Global Impact: Approximately 20% of global oil and gas supply passes through this chokepoint. The current disruption has caused a sharp spike in energy prices, with Brent crude opening significantly higher this week.
  • Diplomatic Pressure: China, the largest importer of oil passing through the strait, is reportedly pressuring Iran to keep the waterway open to safeguard its energy security.

Response:

OPEC’s main response so far has been to signal a modest production increase while publicly downplaying panic about supply, even as members leave room to adjust if the crisis worsens.

Production decisions

  • OPEC+ has agreed to boost output quotas by about 206,000 barrels per day starting in April, a slightly larger hike than the earlier plan of roughly 137,000 bpd.
  • The group frames this as a continuation of its gradual unwinding of past cuts, not an emergency surge, and says it retains “flexibility” to change the pace depending on market conditions.

Official messaging

  • In public statements and leaks via delegates, OPEC+ cites a “steady” global economic outlook and “healthy” market fundamentals, avoiding direct reference to the Iran war even though the timing is clearly linked.
  • Key Gulf producers have warned privately that military action against Iran could push prices above 100 dollars, signaling to Washington and others that the conflict poses serious risks despite the small quota hike.

Constraints and limits

  • Analysts note that only a few members (mainly Saudi Arabia and the UAE) hold significant spare capacity, so any OPEC+ increase beyond a couple of hundred thousand bpd would be hard to deliver in practice.
  • Several experts argue the announced 206,000 bpd increase cannot fully offset a prolonged disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, since the main bottleneck is now logistics and transit risk rather than wellhead production.

Practical behavior by key members

  • Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and the UAE had already been nudging exports higher in the run‑up to and immediately after the strikes, anticipating tighter balances and higher prices.
  • Russia and other members in the voluntary “V8” subgroup joined the announced adjustment, signaling a coordinated move to show responsiveness without flooding the market.​

Plan your trades and trade your plans

Cannon Edge for March 4th
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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot Above

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

March Dollar Index

The March US Dollar Index has broken out above the February highs and activated upside PriceCount objectives while also negating the remaining unmet downside counts. The chart is completing its first objective to the 99.67 area. From here, the rally will have to contend with the fall highs but further strength would project a possible run to the second count in the 101.20 area.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 4th, 2026
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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
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Trading Classification for Beginners, December Dollar Index, NEW Webinar Nov. 12th, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 31st, 2025

Posted on by Cannon Operations
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Classify the Trading Day

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

 3886.53 3961.37 3999.93 4074.77 4113.33

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

 46.47 47.59 48.21 49.33 49.95

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

 59.07 59.66 60.22 60.81 61.37

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

 116 28/32 117 8/32 117 22/32 118 2/32 118 16/32

Classify the trading day — quick guide for beginners

trading

Knowing the day type early helps you pick the right strategy: fade on choppy days, trend-follow on volatile days, and use spreads or small size on mixed/news days.

Simple pre-open checks (do these first)

  • Gap size: big gap → possible trend; small gap → likely chop.
  • Pre-market volume: heavy and one-sided → continuation bias; thin → false breaks.
  • News: major headlines → higher odds of volatility.
  • Correlated markets: bonds, oil, FX aligned with equities → directional day.

First 15 minutes checks

  • Open auction: clean one-sided auction + follow-through → trending; repeated rejections → choppy.
  • VWAP action: price runs away from VWAP → trend; price crossing VWAP repeatedly → mean reversion.
  • Open range vs ATR: open range large vs ATR → favor momentum; small → favor range trades.

Fast decision rules

  • If 3+ trending signals → use breakout/momentum play with trailing stop.
  • If 3+ non-trending signals → use small targets, fade to VWAP/open range.
  • If mixed or headline-driven → cut size, use same‑day options or trade spreads.

Beginner checklist (60 seconds)

  1. Gap: big / small.
  2. Pre-market volume: heavy / thin.
  3. News present: yes / no.
  4. First 15 min: follow-through / oscillation.
  5. If majority = trend → trend plan. If majority = chop → fade plan.

Start small, follow these checks every morning, and track which signals worked so you can refine thresholds over time.
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Dec. Dollar Index

The December dollar index completed its second upside PriceCount objective to the 99.60 level which is consistent with a challenge of the August reversal high. If the chart can break out from here with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 101.395 area.
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 30th, 2025
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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

 Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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NFP next Friday, December Dollar Index, Levels, Reports; The Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures The Week of September 29th, 2025

Posted on by Cannon Operations
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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1260

  • The Week Ahead -Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) & Fed Speakers
  • Futures 101 – Trading Tips via Short Videos
  • Hot Market of the Week – Dec. Dollar Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini NASDAQ Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Non-Far Payroll (NFP) & Fed Speakers to Dominate the Week Ahead

nfp

NFP Friday and another heavy week of Fed speakers as well.

With the FOMC meeting Behind us, listen for more nuanced language, outside of the 3 cuts prior to years end, Chair Powell shared during after his rate cut speech last week, but we had surprise GDP number this week. You will be hearing from a slew of Fed Speakers posting up this week (schedule is below). This unit by themselves, will, no doubt be responsible for bringing additional spice to the marketplace.

As for earnings reports we are truly at the end of Q2 Reporting. We have but a few laggards reporting this week. If you are wondering, Q3 earnings begin Mid-October.

The on again off again nature of Tariff news has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals, China, India, Canada and Russia (looks like the EU is following Trump on this one) The Crude Oil market certainly believes so. Also, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week: 

  • Mon. Carnival Cruiselines
  • Tue. PayChex, Nike
  • Wed.  Acuity, ConAgra
  • Thu. Quiet
  • Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT) 

  • Mon.  Waller 6:30 AM , Hammack 7:00 AM, Musalem and Williams 12:30PM, Bostic 5:00pm
  • Tues.  Jefferson 5:00AM, Goolsbee 12:30 PM, Logan 6:10 PM
  • Wed.   Quiet
  • Thu.     Logan 9:30 am
  • Fri.      Williams 5:05 am

Economic Data week: 

  • Mon.  Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
  • Tue.   Redbook, Case Schiller Home Price, Chgo PMI, Jolts , Consumer Confidence, Dallas Fed Svcs.
  • Wed.  ADP, ISM Manufacturing, EIA Crude Stocks, 17-week Bill auction
  • Thur. Challenger Job Cuts, Initial Jobless claims, Factory Orders, EIA NAT GAS Storage, Fed Balance sheet,
  • Fri.     NFP, ISM Svcs PMI, Baker Hughes Rig Count
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Trading Videos – Instant Viewing

Watch a series of short videos, where our VP, Ilan Levy-Mayer shares his personal preferences and opinions on different trading topics.

  • Ever wondered when to exit a trade? Take a look at what Ilan has to share on Bollinger Bands and a study called PARABOLICS
  • Some common uses you can make of support and resistance levels.
  • Filter out the noise with range bar charts
  • “Price Confirmation” – Increasing the chances of a win?

WATCH VIDEOS NOW

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Dec. Dollar Index

The December dollar index activated upside PriceCounts on yesterday’s close as it attempts to shift its momentum higher once again. We previously attempted to rally with counts made off the July low but that effort failed without reaching the first objective and we negated those unmet counts.
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

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Markets Traded:   Mini NASDAQ NQ

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $30,000

Developer Fee per contract: $85 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More
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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.
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Daily Levels for Sept 29th, 2025
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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
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FOMC Key Takeaways from CME, Dollar Index; 4 Important Need-To-Knows When Trading Futures Tomorrow

Posted on by Cannon Operations

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FOMC Takeaways

FOMC Key Takeaways with Craig of CME Group

The awaited Fed Interest Rate decision was released yesterday, and as expected, the Fed kept the interest rates unchanged while signaling that rate cuts could be on the horizon for the remainder of the year.

With this announcement, the equity indices initially broke to the downside and then were able to recover at the end of the session. Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil all traded lower today after seeing strong gains to start the week.

FOMC

The CME Fed Watch Tool has been moving today with the interest rate decision along with the volatility in different markets, and seeing the changes over time can be beneficial.

This morning at 9:00 A.M. Central Time, the tool was pricing in a pause for the June meeting with a 69% probability, and that figure went up to 76% as of 3:00 Central Time after hearing remarks from Powell.

In a similar way, the probability for a rate cut at the July meeting remained the same near 56%. What this tells traders is that the market is pricing in a higher chance of the first interest rate cut coming at the July meeting instead of the previous expectation of the June meeting.

Would you like to view daily updates/takeaways and general research?

Visit our RESEARCH section which updates throughout the day!

Craig Bewick has spent 25 years in futures and options markets, starting at CBOT and CME working in risk management, regulatory, technology, product management and client development.
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June Dollar Index

The June Dollar Index stabilized its inside last month after it satisfied its fourth downside PriceCount objective. Now, the chart has activated upside counts and is taking aim at the first objective to the 101.22 area.
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 9th 2025
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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.
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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)
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Find us on Trustpilot
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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Wednesday Morning Support and Resistance Levels

Posted on by Ilan

Here’s a morning cup o’ joe for all you futures traders, our morning support and resistance levels. Good trading!

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Support and Resistance Levels – S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, Mini Russell 2000, 30-Year US Bond, 10-Year US Note

Contract (Dec. 2011) Mini S&P 500 Mini Nasdaq 100 Dow Jones Mini Russell 2000 30-Year US Bond 10-Year US Note
Resistance Level 3——————————————

Resistance Level 2

——————————————

Resistance Level 1

——————————————

Support Level 1

——————————————

Support Level 2

——————————————

Support Level 3

 1289.25 

1280

 

1276

 

1266

 

1261.5

 

1257

 2375 

2345

 

2328

 

2297

 

2281

 

2266

 12603 

12458

 

12415

 

12226

 

12127

 

12038

 768.4 

759

 

753.3

 

745.3

 

742

 

731.60

 14411 

14325

 

14315

 

14228

 

14220

 

14113

 13107.5 

13030.5

 

13025

 

13016.5

 

13011

 

12925.5

divider black 190 Continue reading “Wednesday Morning Support and Resistance Levels”

Tuesday Morning Support and Resistance Numbers –Welcome Back!

Posted on by Ilan

Here’s a morning cup o’ joe for all you futures traders, our morning support and resistance levels. Good trading!

divider black 190

Support and Resistance Levels – S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, Mini Russell 2000, 30-Year US Bond, 10-Year US Note

Contract (Dec. 2011) Mini S&P 500 Mini Nasdaq 100 Dow Jones Mini Russell 2000 30-Year US Bond 10-Year US Note
Resistance Level 3——————————————

Resistance Level 2

——————————————

Resistance Level 1

——————————————

Support Level 1

——————————————

Support Level 2

——————————————

Support Level 3

 1289.25 

1280

 

1276

 

1266

 

1261.5

 

1257

 2345 

2324

 

2317

 

2295

 

2278

 

2250

 12603 

12458

 

12388

 

12206

 

12110

 

12024

 768.4 

763.8

 

759

 

752.2

 

748.50

 

742.00

 14415 

14400

 

14323

 

14306

 

14213

 

14128

 13107.5 

13030.5

 

13025

 

13016.5

 

13011

 

12925.5

Continue reading “Tuesday Morning Support and Resistance Numbers –Welcome Back!”

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.