Crude Oil, The Dollar, FOMC, September KC Wheat, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Crucial Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 30th, 2025

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Dollar Strength, Crude Oil Rally’s hard, FOMC tomorrow

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting tomorrow, July 30, 2025. Market analysts and interest rate traders currently assign a very high probability—over 95%- a pause, with no rate hike or cut anticipated at this meeting.

Economists are expecting the first look at US 2Q 2025 GDP to show the economy grew by +2.4% on quarter over quarter terms, if realized that would be up from the final 1Q report -0.5% contraction. The advanced 2Q 2025 chain weighted price index is expected up +2.3%, and compares with the final 1Q report, up +3.8%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning.

The Crude market rally’s hard today on news Trump threatens 100% tariff on China if it continues to buy Russian crude oil. Front month September +$2.77 as of this writing. $2700.00 per contract. Crude has rallied nearly $5.00 bbl since the opening of Sunday evenings session. Yesterday’s OPEC+ maintained its current oil output policy at the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting, with no changes to production plans.

The JMMC (Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee) emphasized the critical importance of full conformity with agreed production levels, noting uneven compliance among some members.

The US Dollar may have bottomed in the short term as the past week we have seen signs of life. A 2.5% rally from the July 1 lows. The awakening of the dollar is not bullish for our export markets.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  GDP, FOMC Rate decision, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige book

FED:  Rate decision @ 1:00pm, followed by 1:30 press conference.

Earnings:  Qualcomm, Meta, Microsoft

Tariff news:   Anything goes!

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September KC – Chicago Wheat

The September KC – Chicago wheat spread came up short of its low percentage fourth downside PriceCount objective early this month. Now, on the correction we have activated upside objectives. The first count projects a recovery to the -3 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 30th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Summer Trading, E-Mini S&P 500, December Meal V. Corn Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 22nd, 2025

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Summer Trading

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

summer

Summer Trading at the Halfway Point

Today’s E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures volume clocked in at just 874,000 contracts—a level we haven’t seen in months. Summer trading often brings thinner liquidity and choppier price action, so adapting your strategy is key.

To capture steadier intraday moves, diversify into other high-liquidity markets like gold futures, crude oil, and 30-year Treasury bond futures, where volume and volatility tend to hold up better in the off-season.

Also, swapping out time-based bars for range bars or volume bars will filter out noise and highlight true buying and selling pressure, giving you cleaner signals for entries, stops, and exits.

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December Meal vs. Corn Spread – in cents/lb

The Dec Meal vs. Corn protein spread satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective to the 6.48 and is correcting higher. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible drop to the 5.05 area. While this spread is historically narrow already, a 5 cent spread is not unprecedented; we have traded at sub 3 cents in the past.

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Daily Levels for July 22nd, 2025

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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50% Copper TARIFFS, FOMC Minutes, December Corn; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 9th, 2025

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50% Copper TARIFFS & FOMC Minutes Tomorrow

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Week after week I have included Tariff news: Anything goes! On blog and newsletter

Mid-Day Trump comments spiked, in little time, Copper Futures prices by 17%, settling down to a positive 10+% gain.

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This shouldn’t have been too much of a surprise for those paying attention back in February, President Trump signed an executive order on Feb. 25, 2025, directing the secretary of commerce to initiate a Section 232 investigation into whether copper imports into the U.S. threaten to impair national security.

This investigation will assess the national security risks related to imported copper in all its forms, including raw mined copper, copper concentrates, refined copper, copper alloys, scrap copper, and derivative products.

Within 270 days the secretary of commerce will submit a report to the president with findings and recommendations on actions to mitigate any threats, including potential tariffs, export controls, or incentives to increase domestic production.

If you would like to know more about the High Grade Copper contracts please call your broker. Of note! Today the Micro High Grade Copper contract traded over 47 thousand contracts while the full size 25000lb contract traded over 99 thousand. The overnight margin coming into today was $9900 for the Full size and $605 for the micro, soon to increase.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  FOMC Minutes 1:00 p.m. CDT, EIA Crude oil stocks,

FED: Quiet

Earnings: Quiet

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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December Corn

The December (xmas) corn resumed its slide into a new low.

We have moved to the expanded April/May leg for projecting downside PriceCounts as the formation continues to develop.

The second counts projects a possible slide to $4.08 area.

And that is December Corn for you!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 8th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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First Notice/Last Trading Day; Your 2 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures going into June 2025

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Fist Notice and Last Trading Dates for June.

first notice

Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for June.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

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Daily Levels for June 3rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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FOMC, NVIDIA, June Dollar Index; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading through Memorial Day Weekend, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1243

  • Trade Against the Pro – Trading Competition
  • The Week Ahead – A shortened week. FOMC Minutes and NVIDIA earnings

  • Futures 101 – Memorial Day Trading Schedule
  • Hot Market of the Week – June Dollar Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Heating Oil Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Trade Against the Pro – Simulated Contest, Real Cash prizes!

Opportunity to learn and win

Explore the benefits of futures trading while competing against your peers for a chance to win up to $2,500 in cash prizes. Practice trading different futures contracts with new perspectives and tips from a seasoned futures pro.

Refine your futures strategies

Mark your calendar for the trading challenge scheduled from June 1-6. This is your opportunity to test-drive trading strategies for futures in a risk-free environment. Additionally, once the challenge starts, you’ll gain access to exclusive daily educational videos packed with invaluable insights.

GET STARTED

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Important Notices: The Week Ahead

FOMC! NVIDIA!

fomc

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A shortened week. FOMC Minutes and NVIDIA earnings top the list.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Memorial Day
  • Tue. PDD Holdings
  • Wed. Nvidia, Salesforce
  • Thu. Dell, Marvell tech
  • Fri. Costco

FED SPEECHES: (all time CDT)

  • Mon.     Memorial Day no speeches
  • Tues.     Kashkari 3 am ct, Williams, 6pm ct
  • Wed.     Kashkari 3 am ct,
  • Thu.      Kugler 1 pm ct, Daly, 3 pm ct, Logan 7 pm ct
  • Fri.       Goolsbee 5:30 pm ct

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Memorial Day no releases
  • Tue. Durable Goods, Case-Schiller, CB Consumer Confidence, Dallas Fed
  • Wed. Redbook, Richmond Fed, Dallas Svcs. Index, FOMC MINUTES EIA Crude Stocks MOVED TO Thursday,
  • Thur. Initial claims, Core PCE. GDP Q2 est., Pending Home Sales, EIA Nat Gas 7:30 am ct, EIA stocks 11 am ct
  • Fri. Core PCE, Chicago PMI, Mich. Consumer Sentiment

 

Futures 101: Memorial Day Trading Hours

The upcoming US Memorial Day Holiday Trading Schedule for Friday, May 23rd, through Monday, May 26th, 2025, is below.

Memorial Day (May 26th) Holiday Trading Schedule:

Grains

Sunday – Closed

Monday – Closed

Tuesday – 8:30 a.m. CT Open

Livestock

Sunday – Closed

Monday – Closed

Tuesday – 8:30 a.m. CT Open

Cryptocurrencies

Monday – 4:00 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

Energy

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Open

Monday – 1:30 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

FX

Monday – 4:00 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

Interest Rates

Monday – 12:00 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

Metals

Monday – 1:30 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

Stock Indices

Monday – 12:00 p.m. CT Halt

5:00 p.m. CT Re-Open

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Monday – Closed

Tuesday – Regular Hours

Canola

Monday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Monday – Regular Hours

FULL SCHEDULE

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

June Dollar Index

Key decision levels?

trade

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Swing 61B Trading System

Market Sector: Energies

Markets Traded:   HO – Heating Oil

System Type:  Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $25,000

Developer Fee per contract: $145.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description:

Trade ES futures. System coded to seek long or short entries, and the system only uses the higher probability signal. System contains a money management component.

Get Started

 

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for May 26th/27th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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June Emini S&P, CannonX Custom Time on the Chart, Levels; 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on May 20th, 2025

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What to Know Before Trading Futures on May 20th, 2025

June Emini S&P

emini

Emini S&P

The June Emini S&P activated upside PriceCount objectives off the April low last month. Now, the chart is approaching its first count to the 6030 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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On a different note, here are some tips on creating a custom time chart interface using our FREE CannonX platform! (free demo)

How to create a custom Time on the charts?

Click on the arrow next to the current time interval

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Click on the custom option and type in the number of minutes or days you would like to see.
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Click ok and your new chart with custom time is available! In this example i selected 13 minutes.
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Daily Levels for May 20th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Voice of The Tomb: Seasonals, Corn, Wheat, & More Crucial, Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on May 14th, 2025

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Voice from the Tomb

Voice from The Tomb, Seasonals & more

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Day trade margins are back to normal valuations.

A quiet data day tomorrow.

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely. Today’s market swings were largely back to normal (pre tariff talk normal)

I thought the timing would be correct to revisit this sage wisdom from the not-so-distant past since April WASDE was released yesterday.

This 8 ½ x 11, well worn, sheet of paper version has been pinned to the corkboard in my office for decades and is worth a share. Called “Voice from the Tomb”, I have noticed a web page dedicated solely to this Myth or Non-Fiction? Lore or Fact? and his experiences following the execution dates.

It’s interesting to contemplate the prospective impact of following the note left to family members, in light of some of the upcoming dates provided. What follows is simply a brief of the contents, feel free to google search the topic to follow the trader’s experiences, you too may end up saving the primary authors advice.

Voice From the Tomb

This is the legend of a wise grain trader that made a fortune trading “seasonals” in the pits of the Chicago Board of Trade.

“After his wife died, a millionaire grain trader dedicated his life to raising their children. The children were lazy and thought they’d inherit all of their father’s money. He felt that his children were wasteful and believed they took him for granted. When he died, all the money went to charity. All he left them in his will were the following dates of when to buy and sell. The will said that if they strictly followed his advice, they’d have the fortunes they always thought were going to drop in their laps.”

Seasonals, Corn, Wheat

seasonals corn wheat

So what is a “seasonal”? “Seasonality often plays a part in determining prices for commodities in regular cycles throughout the year. Normal increases and decreases in supply and demand for particular commodities seem to occur every year in fairly consistent patterns. Commodity seasonal patterns might appear to be an easy trading strategy for commodities, but seasonal tendencies are just that – tendencies.” Chuck Kowalski

Wheat

  • Sell March Wheat on January 10
  • Buy May and/or July Wheat on February 22
  • Sell July Wheat on May 10
  • Buy December Wheat on July 1
  • Sell December Wheat on September 10
  • Buy March Wheat on November 28

Corn

  • Buy July Corn on March 1
  • Sell July Corn on May 20
  • Buy December Corn on June 25
  • Sell December and March Corn on August 10

Disclaimers:

* Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in the futures trading market can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.

** SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONAL THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES TRADING MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR.

EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak: Three speakers

Earnings: TenCent, Siemens, Cisco systems, Sony

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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November Beans

November soybeans are activating upside PriceCount objectives off the April low. The first count projects a potential run to the $10.95 area although the chart will have to contend with the February high first. A trade above the late February reactionary high will formally negate the remaining unmet downside objective.

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Daily Levels for May 14th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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FOMC Key Takeaways from CME, Dollar Index; 4 Important Need-To-Knows When Trading Futures Tomorrow

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FOMC Takeaways

FOMC Key Takeaways with Craig of CME Group

The awaited Fed Interest Rate decision was released yesterday, and as expected, the Fed kept the interest rates unchanged while signaling that rate cuts could be on the horizon for the remainder of the year.

With this announcement, the equity indices initially broke to the downside and then were able to recover at the end of the session. Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil all traded lower today after seeing strong gains to start the week.

FOMC

The CME Fed Watch Tool has been moving today with the interest rate decision along with the volatility in different markets, and seeing the changes over time can be beneficial.

This morning at 9:00 A.M. Central Time, the tool was pricing in a pause for the June meeting with a 69% probability, and that figure went up to 76% as of 3:00 Central Time after hearing remarks from Powell.

In a similar way, the probability for a rate cut at the July meeting remained the same near 56%. What this tells traders is that the market is pricing in a higher chance of the first interest rate cut coming at the July meeting instead of the previous expectation of the June meeting.

Would you like to view daily updates/takeaways and general research?

Visit our RESEARCH section which updates throughout the day!

Craig Bewick has spent 25 years in futures and options markets, starting at CBOT and CME working in risk management, regulatory, technology, product management and client development.

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June Dollar Index

The June Dollar Index stabilized its inside last month after it satisfied its fourth downside PriceCount objective. Now, the chart has activated upside counts and is taking aim at the first objective to the 101.22 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 9th 2025

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Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Post FOMC Life, July Bean Oil, Metals, Energies

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Post FOMC

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Post FOMC

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced that it will leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged as policymakers continue to monitor inflation and the labor market amid elevated levels of economic uncertainty.

“Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further,” the Fed indicated in its FOMC Statement. “The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that the risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen.”

The central bank’s decision leaves the benchmark federal funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.

It comes after the Fed left rates at that level at its two previous meetings in January and March, which followed three consecutive rate cuts at its preceding meetings – which involved a 50-basis-point cut in September and a pair of 25-basis-point reductions in November and December.

Metals:  

June gold futures ended April closing nine days with a >$100 per ounce price range, a $10,000 per contract move between its daily high and low trades. Five trading days into May and we’ve already seen two more, with a couple of >$80 ranges thrown in.

Energies:

June crude oil traded intraday Monday – on the Sunday opening – to $55.30/barrel and closed at the lowest in four years ($57.13 a barrel back in February 2021), after OPEC+ agreed to hike production for a second month. The eight producers in the group, led by Saudi Arabia, agreed on Saturday to increase output by another 411,000 barrels per day in June. The decision comes one month after OPEC+ surprised the market by agreeing to boost production in May by the same amount.

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July Bean Oil

July bean oil broke out into a new high last month but was unable to sustain the move and now the chart has activated downside PriceCounts on the correction lower. The first count projects a possible slide to the 46.44 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 8th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.
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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Eve – 4 Important Announcements, June Cattle; Trade a Plan – YOUR Plan

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FOMC Tomorrow

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Day trade margins are back to normal valuations.

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

FOMC

Chairman Powell speaks rate decision tomorrow @ 1:30 CDT ,30 minutes following the official DECISION ON THE FED FUND RATE., U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent will testify to the House Financial Services Committee hearing on the international finance system Wednesday morning around 9:00 am CDT.

Economists and the CME FED Watch tool are expecting no change in the fed funds rate for tomorrows Fed Meeting. That tempers the rate at 4.25-4.50, the same as it has been since the December meeting.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Used Car Prices. EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak/FOMC: Powell @ 1:30PM CDT

Earnings: Novo Nordisk, Advanced Micro Devices, Duke energy, Doordash

Tariff newsAnything goes!

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June Live Cattle

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June live cattle extended its rally into a new contract high. This has us approaching the third upside PriceCount objective to the 215.67 area. Upon satisfying the count it would be normal for the chart to react with a near term consolidation or corrective trade, at least. the low percentage fourth count to 262 (not shown here for presentation purposes) is not seen as a realistic target for this contract.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 7th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.
822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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