Weekly Newsletter 1080: 5 Big Mistakes Beginners Should Avoid Making & Futures Support and Resistance Levels for the Week ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1080

Dear Traders,

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Here are some great reminders to start the trading year of 2022.

Trading 101: 5 Big Mistakes Beginners Should Avoid Making

Trading Futures Is A Tough Business, But If You Are One Of The Very Few That Can Succeed, This Could Be A Lucrative Business As Well
Ilan Levy-Mayer |SmallCapPower I have seen quite a bit since I became a broker in 1998. Some war stories to share about the markets, some crazy moves and much more in between. I was trading futures with clients on the sad Sept. 11th 2001 day when the planes hit and the markets were plunging before they were closed for almost a week. I witnessed the meat contracts making limit up and limit down moves over the years and much more…..
As a commodity broker I have observed MANY traders, many of them were new traders, and this allows me to share with you some valuable observations I hope will help you start your futures trading journey on a much smoother road than most.
Here are the FIVE CRUCIAL MISTAKES you need to avoid!
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01.03.2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

Guide to Choosing a Broker + Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports for Sept. 7th 2017

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A good piece, worth reading if you are in the stage of looking for a commodity broker for your new trading account or NOT happy with your current one and considering switching…..

How do futures traders go about selecting a futures broker they can be happy with? 

By John Thorpe Senior Broker with Cannon Trading

  1. History

A futures trader should find considerable comfort in doing business with a firm that is sound from a regulatory perspective. The Futures trader should ask for the regulatory history of both the firm and the Individual Registered Representative.

There would be a few red flags: 1) The firm is too new to have a history;  2) Several financial settlements in the past are assessed to the Firm; 3) Disciplinary actions have been taken against an Individual Registered Representative.

  1. Availability

Another aspect that a firm should exhibit to a potential futures trading client is the availability of the Individual Registered Representative or the trading staff. Is the individual available while you have market risk?  Is the Trading desk available while the markets are open?

  1. Knowledge

Continue reading “Guide to Choosing a Broker + Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports for Sept. 7th 2017”

Random Trading Thoughts shared by your Futures Broker….. 7.21.2017

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!! 

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Some thoughts I wrote down the last few days….Random but may help some traders….

1. Why do so many traders ONLY trade the mini SP? There are other markets out here to trade  …
2. Do some new traders understand that certain markets have LIMIT UP and LIMIT DOWN moves??
3. Wow…the way many of the markets are trading today is quite different than how they traded 7 years ago….
4. I wonder how many of my clients know about the weekly options ( the mini SP actually has Monday, Wednesday and Friday expiration…) – some traders who complain about getting stopped, should pick up the phone and learn more about these options. Continue reading “Random Trading Thoughts shared by your Futures Broker….. 7.21.2017”

FOMC Notes & Economic Reports 7.31.2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

FOMC notes from Econoday.com:

Policy rates are unchanged. Taper remains on schedule to end with the October FOMC meeting. Policy rates are to remain low for a “considerable time” after the end of taper. Plosser dissented, objecting to “considerable time” phrase.

Emphasis was on the labor market which was upgraded with the comment, “Labor market conditions have improved , with the unemployment rate declining further.” But it was also noted, “a range of labor market indicators suggests that there remains significant underutilization of labor resources.”

The economy is seen as having rebounded from the anemic first quarter with household spending rising moderately and business fixed investment advancing. Housing is seen as remaining slow.

Inflation is closer to the Fed’s long-term goal and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Due to continued progress in the labor market, the FOMC decided to take a further measured reduction in asset purchases.

“Beginning in August, the Committee will add to its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $10 billion per month rather than $15 billion per month, and will add to its holdings of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $15 billion per month rather than $20 billion per month. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction.”

Continue reading “FOMC Notes & Economic Reports 7.31.2014”

FOMC Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow & Economic Reports 7.30.2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, July 30th ).

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

If you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

  • Reduce trading size.
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade.
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1965.00 with a stop at 1959.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1959.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement.
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues.
  • This is another great example why a trading journal would be an asset, as you can go back and check your notes from previous FOMC days.
  • Be patient and be disciplined.

Continue reading “FOMC Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow & Economic Reports 7.30.2014”

Crude Oil Futures Renko Charts & Economic Reports 7.23.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday July 23, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I mentioned in previous posts that I am getting to like range bar charts and Renko charts more and more when it comes for very short term trading.

The main reason why I like these type of charts along with volume charts when it comes to any time frame less than 10 minutes is because I think it helps filter out noise during slow times and help you get a quicker signal when there is time of heavier action in the market.

Example, let’s say you are using a 5 minute chart along with certain studies, to make a simple example, moving averages cross overs. Before you get a signal, the 5 minute bar has to finish so you can see the value of the moving averages and see if you got a cross over or not. There are times when the market is fast with heavy volume and you may miss 80% of the move because 5 minutes can be a long time for day traders…..On the other hand if you are using Renko/volume charts/Range bars and there is good volume, fast action, these bars will complete much faster to provide a much faster signal. On the same token, if the market is slow with low volume, you will sometimes get your moving averages cross over simply because time has passed….With volume / Renko charts you may be able to filter this out simply because the bars WONT complete unless there is enough volume/ price action. Obviously, these type of charts are by no means “holly grail” but I think one should observe and pay attention to the type of charts especially if you are a short term day trader.

Below is an example of crude oil 18 ticks range bar from today as well as a 5 minutes chart from today with the same studies/ conditions applied just to get a visual idea. If you like to try out the same charts I am sharing, feel free to contact Cannon Futures Trading and we will set you up for a free trial:

Crude Oil 5 minute chart 7-22-2014

Crude Oil 5 Minute Chart 7-22-2014
Crude Oil 5 Minute Chart 7-22-2014

Continue reading “Crude Oil Futures Renko Charts & Economic Reports 7.23.2014”

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 7.09.2014

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday July 9, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I am not sure if it is the overbought conditions stock index futures are in, perhaps fear of the start of earning season or maybe it is the tense situation over in Israel/ Middle East – but the result today was one of the more meaningful down days of the last few months along with above avg. volume.


Not sure it is anything more than normal market action after indices made all time highs last week….I am a little more skeptic now days when it comes to the short side of the indices. That been said, if September SP500 can break below 1952 ( just a bit below today’s lows) I think we have higher chances of a continuation lower.

In between, know what time frame you are trading, know your rules, your objectives, accept the fact that you will have good and bad trading days and measure your progress after you define what it is.

3 Risks of Using a Discount Futures Broker

With the advent of technology, the means to communicate clear objectives, or with any human, drives most people to ignore full-service futures brokers. Why? It is a spirit of independence. Computers have created a superhighway of trading, and accelerated the pace at which commodities, stocks, in short the financial market operates. These various methods have raised barriers between clients and full-service brokers, but given rise to- discount futures brokers. In reality, what the future of the financial markets beckons, is a direct and honest appraisal of the quick and easy model, versus the client and broker relationship. If the “Great Recession” taught us all anything, if you are not vigilant, or the means to track your investment, there is an inherent risk.

Knowledge vs. Education

Brain to Understanding is to hat on a head, both are useful, if absolutely used for maximum benefits to create larger profits to debt losses. Most experienced futures brokers understand the full scope of the financial market, and this long range vision gives insight into the behaviors of certain commodities. Conversely, when opting out of choosing a full-service futures broker, you are presented with limited tools, vision and insight.

Vision, in the entrepreneurial sense, is the act or power of anticipating what will come to be. If you are a newcomer, choosing discount futures brokers, may lead to a lack discernment or experience to sell or buy at appropriate times to gain the maximum profit, while minimizing the loss. This vital quality reigns supreme on experienced traders in the financial sector. However, the key to having a strong vision is insight.

Insight varies to vision, in that you see both near and far and eventually the end result of a business decision. Good judgment plays an integral part in evaluating leverage metrics, whether using gold as a hedge, or evident world events that will signal either a sharp decline or increase in the markets.

Overall, vision and insight, help with the learning curve in the futures market. In addition, being green in this market can cost you a great deal of time and money. Adding vision and insight to your expansive market toolbox can aid in shortening common investment mistakes, with the aid of the seasoned futures broker as your guide. Conversely, selecting a discount futures broker, they may not have the ability to reign in your decision making. Bad decisions – loss of profit. Consequently, bucking traditional wisdom, you could lose larger returns, and run into dangerous investment decisions.

Continue reading “3 Risks of Using a Discount Futures Broker”

Top Things to Consider When Choosing a Futures Broker

With many economists, researchers and traders calling for the next bull market in commodities, and you have disposable risk capital to take advantage of these potential trends you may be asking yourself – How can I begin my search for a solid reliable Futures Broker? I have included 9 items below that you should be cognizant of to assist you in finding a reliable partner for your commodity trading needs.

1. The Futures Brokers history

How long has the Futures Broker been in business? What is the commodity trading brokers regulatory history? you can check here by selecting BASIC then responding to the prompts to bring up a regulatory profile of the firms or individuals that you are interested in researching. http://www.nfa.futures.org/ Many times you will be able to find a nuisance regulatory issue and other times you may find regulatory actions that would cause you to pause. If you pause, move on to another broker as all legitimate Commodity Futures Brokers must be registered with the National Futures Association (NFA). if you can’t find your broker on the NFA website, you may not be dealing with a regulated entity.

2. Trading Platform choices

You would be looking for a Discount Futures broker if platform choice is critical to your trading strategy. Opportunities to use a variety of tools and risk management software to enhance your trading experience as an online, self-directed trader will vastly improve your traders toolbox. Preferably you will want to use a Discount futures broker that can offer a wide array of trading solutions software to execute your plan. Not all Platforms and Data feeds are alike and in this day of wifi and internet , the speed and accuracy of your software will be critical to your success, not to mention the bandwidth you will be piping into your computer.

Continue reading “Top Things to Consider When Choosing a Futures Broker”