FOMC Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow & Economic Reports 7.30.2014
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
Hello Traders,
For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!
The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, July 30th ).
FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.
If you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.
The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
- Reduce trading size.
- Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade.
- Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1965.00 with a stop at 1959.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1959.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
- Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement.
- Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
- Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
- Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues.
- This is another great example why a trading journal would be an asset, as you can go back and check your notes from previous FOMC days.
- Be patient and be disciplined.
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GOOD TRADING !
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not indicative to future results.
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Futures Trading Levels
| Contract Sept. 2014 | SP500 | Nasdaq100 | Dow Jones | Mini Russell | Dollar Index |
| Resistance 3 | 1990.17 | 3999.17 | 17088 | 1162.07 | 81.66 |
| Resistance 2 | 1984.83 | 3988.33 | 17041 | 1154.13 | 81.50 |
| Resistance 1 | 1975.17 | 3971.17 | 16950 | 1146.17 | 81.41 |
| Pivot | 1969.83 | 3960.33 | 16903 | 1138.23 | 81.25 |
| Support 1 | 1960.17 | 3943.17 | 16812 | 1130.27 | 81.15 |
| Support 2 | 1954.83 | 3932.33 | 16765 | 1122.33 | 80.99 |
| Support 3 | 1945.17 | 3915.17 | 16674 | 1114.37 | 80.90 |
| Contract | August Gold | Sept.Silver | Sept. Crude Oil | September Bonds | Sept. Euro |
| Resistance 3 | 1326.2 | 2116.2 | 103.16 | 139 26/32 | 1.3477 |
| Resistance 2 | 1319.2 | 2100.3 | 102.49 | 139 14/32 | 1.3462 |
| Resistance 1 | 1309.6 | 2082.2 | 101.70 | 139 6/32 | 1.3436 |
| Pivot | 1302.6 | 2066.3 | 101.03 | 138 26/32 | 1.3421 |
| Support 1 | 1293.0 | 2048.2 | 100.24 | 138 18/32 | 1.3395 |
| Support 2 | 1286.0 | 2032.3 | 99.57 | 138 6/32 | 1.3380 |
| Support 3 | 1276.4 | 2014.2 | 98.78 | 137 30/32 | 1.3354 |
| Contract | Dec Corn | Sept. Wheat | Nov. Beans | Dec. SoyMeal | Dec. bean Oil |
| Resistance 3 | 379.8 | 537.2 | 1107.00 | 368.27 | 36.79 |
| Resistance 2 | 377.0 | 533.3 | 1102.50 | 364.23 | 36.70 |
| Resistance 1 | 374.0 | 526.7 | 1098.75 | 359.27 | 36.61 |
| Pivot | 371.3 | 522.8 | 1094.25 | 355.23 | 36.52 |
| Support 1 | 368.3 | 516.2 | 1090.5 | 350.3 | 36.4 |
| Support 2 | 365.5 | 512.3 | 1086.00 | 346.23 | 36.34 |
| Support 3 | 362.5 | 505.7 | 1082.25 | 341.27 | 36.25 |
source: http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)
| Date | 4:07pm | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Graph | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WedJul 30 | 2:00am | CHF | UBS Consumption Indicator | 1.77 | |||||
| All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.3% | |||||
| 3:00am | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer | 101.1 | 100.4 | |||||
| EUR | Spanish Flash CPI y/y | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||||||
| EUR | Spanish Flash GDP q/q | 0.5% | 0.4% | ||||||
| Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | 2.81|1.4 | ||||||
| 8:15am | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 234K | 281K | |||||
| 8:30am | CAD | RMPI m/m | 0.6% | -0.4% | |||||
| CAD | IPPI m/m | 0.3% | -0.5% | ||||||
| USD | Advance GDP q/q | 3.1% | -2.9% | ||||||
| USD | Advance GDP Price Index q/q | 1.8% | 1.3% | ||||||
| 10:30am | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | -0.5M | -4.0M | |||||
| 2:00pm | USD | FOMC Statement | |||||||
| USD | Federal Funds Rate | <0.25% | <0.25% | ||||||
| 7:05pm | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence | 2 | 1 | |||||
| 9:30pm | AUD | Building Approvals m/m | 0.2% | 9.9% | |||||
| AUD | Import Prices q/q | -1.4% | 3.2% | ||||||
| AUD | Private Sector Credit m/m | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||||||
| JPY | Average Cash Earnings y/y | 0.7% | 0.6% |
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
