FOMC Minutes, Gold and Silver Highs, Top Assets by Market Cap, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 30th, 2025

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FOMC Minutes Tomorrow on a Short Trading Week

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4151.67 4252.63 4416.97 4517.93 4682.27

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

62.59 67.41 75.04 79.87 87.50

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

56.29 57.07 57.68 58.46 59.07

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 5/32 115 17/32 115 27/32 116 7/32 116 17/32

Last FOMC of the Year

fomc

General:

Keep an eye out for tomorrow’s release of the Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December FOMC meeting (1:00 P.M., Central Time).

Metals:

Gold and silver futures markets tumbled after touching record highs, bringing a parabolic move in the precious metals space to a screeching halt.

Gold

After touching Friday’s all-time intraday high of $4,584 per ounce, Feb gold futures tumbled more than $200 per ounce today – a $20,000 per contract move – to hover near $4,340 per ounce.

Gold All-Time Intraday High

As well, after trading up more than $5.00 per ounce from Friday’s close to its own intraday all-time high of $82.67 per ounce, March silver futures dropped more than $12.00 per ounce to near $70.00 per ounce – a whopping ~15% intraday decline and a $60,000 per contract move – and is currently trading slightly above $71.00 per ounce.

Silver

Traders were on edge going into Monday’s session after the Chicago Mercantile Exchange raised the initial margin requirement on the March 5,000-oz. silver futures contract to $22,000, forcing higher leveraged traders to either add cash to their accounts or reduce their positions.

Despite today’s sell-off, silver’s whopping +174% rise this year has turned the metal into the third most valuable asset in the world, trailing only gold and Nvidia and outstripping tech titans such as Apple, Alphabet (Google) and Microsoft.

Silver Market Cap

According to CompaniesMarketCap, silver’s market cap stands at $4.485 trillion dollars. Gold tops the list with a market cap of $31.719 trillion, followed by Nvidia at $4.638 trillion.

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Daily Levels for Dec. 30th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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New Years Trading, FOMC Minutes, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of December 29th, 2025

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Happy Holidays and Trading on the last week of 2025!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4488.83 4525.67 4554.83 4591.67 4620.83

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

70.58 74.69 76.84 80.95 83.10

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.25 56.08 57.48 58.31 59.71

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 1/32 115 10/32 115 22/32 115 31/32 116 11/32

 New Years Holiday Schedule, FOMC Minutes and no stocks report earnings.

new year

·        3 full trading days left in 2025 to capitalize on!

·        4 trading days in the week (all markets are closed Thursday, New Years Day)

·        Tuesday FOMC Minutes released from the December meeting. 1 PM CST

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tue. Quiet

·        Wed. Quiet

·        Thu.  Happy New Year!

·        Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CST)

·        Mon.  None

·        Tues.   None

·        Wed. None

·        Thu.  None

·        Fri.   None

Econ Data: (all times CST)

·        Mon. Retail and Housing Data with Dallas fed sprinkled in

·        Tue. Redbook, More housing data and FOMC Minutes

·        Wed. Jobless numbers, Chitown PMI and EIA Crude numbers

·        Thu. Happy New Year!

·        Fri. PMI Final, Fed Balance sheet, All Markets open regular hours.

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Daily Levels for Dec. 29th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Christmas S&P 500 Trends, Santa Claus Rally Basics, July – Nov Bean Spread, Christmas Trading Schedule, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 24th, 2025

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The Metals are on fire! Are the equities as we close out 2025??

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4429.60 4474.60 4502.70 4547.70 4575.80

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

67.64 69.63 70.71 72.70 73.78

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.47 57.98 58.24 58.75 59.01

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 12/32 114 27/32 115 8/32 115 23/32 116 4/32

 Historically the S&P 500 tends to drift higher between Christmas and New Year’s, but the edge is modest and far from guaranteed in any single year.​

christmas

Santa Claus rally basics

  • The classic “Santa Claus rally” window is the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January.​
  • Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged about a 1.3% gain over these seven sessions and has been positive roughly 75–80% of the time, meaning up years are more common than down years.​

Behavior in the Christmas–New Year gap

  • Within that seven‑day window, returns are often front‑loaded: strength tends to cluster from just before Christmas through the first couple of days of January, with lower volume and smaller ranges in the very last week of the year.​
  • The week after Christmas typically shows lighter institutional participation and more sideways or gently rising trade, so the “edge” is there but not dramatically stronger than the full seven‑day average.​

How reliable is it?

  • Across decades, the pattern is statistically positive on average, but variability is high and individual years can diverge sharply; for example, 2024–25 saw a “reverse” Santa Claus period where the S&P 500 sold off every business day between Christmas and New Year’s, an historical first.​
  • Studies of daily returns around New Year’s show abnormal strength from about five days before through two days after New Year’s Day, followed by a fade, suggesting any edge is short term and easily overwhelmed by macro or event risk.​

Possible drivers

  • Common explanations include holiday optimism, year‑end fund inflows, tax‑loss harvesting and repositioning, and fewer large institutional orders which can reduce selling pressure.​
  • Because these are behavioral and flows‑driven effects rather than structural rules, they should be treated as a weak tendency rather than a tradable guarantee.​
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Christmas (Dec 25) Holiday Trading Schedule:

Grains

Wednesday – 12:05 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

Friday – 8:30 AM CT Open

Livestock

Wednesday – 12:15 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

Friday – 8:30 AM CT Open

Interest Rates

Wednesday – 12:15 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

Equities

Wednesday – 12:15 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

Energy

Wednesday – 12:45 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

FX

Wednesday – 12:45 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

Metals

Wednesday – 12:45 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

Cryptocurrencies

Wednesday – 12:45 PM CT Close

Thursday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Open

Friday – Regular Hours

Cocoa, Coffee, Cotton, FCOJ, Sugar

Thursday – Closed

Canola

Thursday – Closed

U.S. Dollar Index

Thursday – Closed

July – Nov Bean Spread

Sometimes referred to as “the widow maker”, the July – Nov soybean spread completed the second downside PriceCount objective to 13.5 and has consolidated with a sideways trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break with new sustained lows it first has to contend with the contract lows near 5.0, while the third count would project a potential break to the -5.25 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 24th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Happy Holidays from us to you! Weekly Chinese Renminbi, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 23rd, 2025

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At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4329.73 4401.37 4439.53 4511.17 4549.33

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

66.57 67.73 68.63 69.78 70.68

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

56.04 57.01 57.57 58.54 59.10

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 25/32 115 115 5/32 115 12/32 115 17/32

Holiday Wishes for Our Futures Community – Our Valued Clients and Prospects

holiday

Happy Holidays!

As we wrap up another eventful year in the markets, we want to take a moment to thank you—our readers, traders, and fellow market explorers—for being part of this journey. The futures markets have taught us all valuable lessons in patience, resilience, and forward thinking, and it’s those same traits that shine brightest during the holiday season.

Just as every trade begins with a vision for the future, may this season bring you time to reflect, recharge, and set your sights on new opportunities ahead. Whether your charts are full of long-term trends or quick moves, we hope your days are filled with balance, warmth, and a touch of prosperity.

From all of us here, we wish you peace, joy, and strong signals in the year to come. Here’s to trading smart, staying curious, and keeping your outlook bright—today and always.

Happy Holidays and a successful New Year!

View Holiday Hours HERE

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

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Weekly Chinese Renminbi

The weekly Chinese Renminbi activated upside PriceCount objectives this summer and now, the chart is approaching the second count to the .14299 area. Strength in the renminbi futures represents a weakening currency. A weaker currency makes a country’s exports cheaper for foreigners, boosting sales, but makes imports more expensive for domestic consumers.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 23rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Christmas 2025 Trading Schedule, PPE, Edvardus – Breakout Gold Trading System, Coffee, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need to Knows for Trading Futures the Week of December 22nd, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1271

  • The Week Ahead – Short Trading Week, PCE, Small Cap Earnings

  • Futures 101 – Christmas Modified Trading Schedule

  • Hot Market of the Week – March Coffee

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Gold Day Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4312.53 4341.47 4365.23 4394.17 4417.93

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

63.31 65.37 66.52 68.58 69.74

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.18 55.87 56.29 56.98 57.20

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 27/32 115 3/32 115 12/32 115 20/32 115 29/32

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 Christmas Holiday Schedule, Core PCE and 7 small cap stocks report earnings.

christmas

Economic Data reporting nearly caught up.

Perhaps the monthly numbers should come out every two months? The delayed CPI and NFP numbers for two months sure seem like they were smoothed out with less volatility than we expected as a result.

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers for 7 stocks as Q3 earnings reports are winding down.. all less than 280M in market cap as we close out 2025.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tue. Quiet

·        Wed. Quiet

·        Thu. Mkts closed

·        Fri.  Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

·        Mon.  None

·        Tues.  None

·        Wed. None

·        Thu. None

·        Fri.  None

Major Economic US Reports: (all times CDT)

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To our valued clients and fellow futures traders,

As we wrap up another year of charts, candles, and occasionally “interesting” market moves, all of us at Cannon Trading want to wish you a peaceful holiday season and a prosperous New Year.

Thank you for trusting us to be by your side through trend days, range days, and everything in between. Whether your year felt like a smooth uptrend or a choppy sideways market, we appreciate the opportunity to help you navigate it.

Our holiday wish for you: tighter spreads, smoother fills, and more trades that hit their targets than their stops. And on the days the markets don’t cooperate, we hope you still find time to step away from the screens, recharge, and enjoy what matters most.

Here’s to a new year filled with discipline, good risk management, and opportunities worth trading.

Happy Holidays and best wishes for a successful year ahead,

The Cannon Trading Team

Please visit the modified trading Schedule Blog and let us know any questions!

Christmas

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March Coffee

The summer rally in March coffee lost its momentum and turned sideways into the fall. Now, the chart has activated downside PriceCounts as the formation has shifted lower. The first count projects a possible slide to the 317.50 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Edvardus – Breakout Gold Trading System

Market Sector: Metals

Markets Traded:   GC -Gold

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Edvardus Breakout GOLD is a breakout swing trading strategy. It has passed robustness testing such as walk-forward analysis.

Broker’s Suggested Capital: $21,000

Developer Fee per contract: $250.00 Monthly Subscription

 

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

Last few trades from December below:

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site.

Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor. Past trade history may not be indicative of future results. The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients.

Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system. W

hile the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition.

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report.

This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein.

CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Dec. 22nd 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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2026 Trends, March Soybean Oil, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 17th, 2025

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 “Will these trends continue into 2026?”

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4262.43 4297.97 4332.93 4368.47 4403.43

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

61.26 62.49 63.35 64.58 65.44

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

53.84 54.43 55.49 56.08 57.14

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 6/32 114 25/32 115 4/32 115 23/32 116 2/32

2026 – What You Need to Know

2026

As we head into 2026 and find the 2025 markets exhausted from geopolitics, deglobalization, the screwworm, the AI metals hoard, it’s fair to drop the monocle and grab the binoculars to potentially look into 2026: not understand, but to discern where or if we are in the commodity cycle. We are talking about commodity cycles here rather than equity cycles of which a majority of our blog addresses daily.

Yes, the global commodity markets are in the midst of a multi-year cycle as of December 16, 2025, characterized by structural supply constraints, divergent sector performance, and upward momentum in key areas like precious and industrial metals. This aligns with the early-to-mid stages of what many analysts describe as a prolonged bull phase or “Supercycle,” driven by energy transition demands, underinvestment in production over the past decade in livestock and mining, geopolitical tensions, and infrastructure needs.

However, the cycle is not uniform—energy and agriculture face downward pressure from surpluses and weak growth, creating a “great divergence” across commodities. We are firmly in a commodity cycle, but it’s selective: Bullish for transition metals and precious (e.g., copper +5–12% net into 2026; gold/silver ongoing highs) due to irreversible demand trends, while energy and ag face headwinds. Overall prices remain 23% above 2019 levels despite projected 2025 declines.

This environment favors active management and diversification, with commodities providing inflation hedging amid persistent >3% U.S. CPI readings. This divergence reflects structural bulls in “green” commodities (e.g., copper, uranium, silver) versus cyclical bears in oversupplied areas like oil.

             The question becomes “Will these trends continue into 2026?”

Analysts from BNY, Forbes, and Reuters note this cycle could last 7–15+ years, potentially extending into the 2030s due to policy shifts and deglobalization. The World Bank forecasts overall commodity prices dropping 7% in both 2025 and 2026 (fourth consecutive decline), hitting a six-year low in 2026, due to weak global growth, oil surpluses (up 65% vs. 2020 peaks), and policy uncertainty. Energy prices are expected to fall 12% in 2025 and 10% in 2026.

 As always, be prepared for sharp corrections and rebounds in these markets by utilizing protective option strategies and stops in tandem.

But what of the AI Industrial and precious metals hoard? Upside risks include sharper‑than‑expected rate cuts, stronger emerging‑market growth and faster energy‑transition spending, all of which would favor both industrial and precious metals. Downside risks are a deeper global slowdown, policy shocks (tariffs, export bans), or rapid supply additions in specific metals, any of which could cap or reverse the expected price gains.

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March Soybean Oil

March bean oil resumed its break into a new low. This has the chart taking aim at its second downside PriceCount objective to the 47.94 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 17th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Post FOMC, February Unleaded Gasoline, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 12th, 2025

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Markets Post December FOMC

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4198.17 4251.23 4284.27 4337.33 4370.37

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

60.54 62.24 63.48 65.18 66.42

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.99 56.89 57.92 58.82 59.85

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 30/32 115 8/32 115 25/32 116 3/32 116 20/32
 

fomc

Post FOMC

The FOMC decision is behind us, with a rate cut that has impacted market sentiment. Meanwhile, silver and gold have reached new all-time highs, signaling strong demand and market shifts. This has contributed to increased volatility, as seen in the VIX index. For futures traders, managing risk is crucial, and keeping a trade journal can help track strategies and improve decision-making.

Staying informed about these market movements is key to navigating the current landscape. With the FOMC now behind us and the Fed signaling a cautious pivot in December, markets are recalibrating around a lower-for-longer rate path that has already shifted flows into commodities and risk assets.

That backdrop helped push silver and gold to fresh all‑time highs this month as investors chase safe havens and physical demand tightens—silver’s rally has been especially dramatic, doubling year‑to‑date in some feeds, while gold has repeatedly printed new records through 2025. Those moves have come with higher intraday volatility—options and VIX dynamics show spikes around policy events and rapid repricing as traders digest Fed language and macro headlines.

For futures traders that means wider ranges, faster margin signals, and more false breakouts; the best defense is disciplined position sizing and a simple, consistent trade journal: record your thesis, entries, exits, size, and the market context for every trade so you can separate skill from luck, refine setups, and survive the next volatility swing.

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February Unleaded Gasoline

February unleaded gasoline has resumed its break into a new recent low where we satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective. From here, the chart has support against the fall low but if the break can be sustained, the third count projects a potential deeper slide to the 1.68 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Day Strategy, NEW WEBINAR THURSDAY, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 10th, 2025

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FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4175.67 4207.43 4229.57 4261.33 4683.47

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

56.87 59.05 60.17 62.36 63.48

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.51 57.95 58.56 59.00 59.61

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 21/32 114 30/32 115 10/32 115 19/32 115 31/32

FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

FOMC Tomorrow

FOMC tomorrow and the markets are expecting .25 BPS cut in rates, however, traders will pay close attention to the verbiage in an attempt to predict future moves in 2026 based on the presser with Jerome Powell 30 minutes after the data release.

As of now, markets see opportunities for additional reductions in the three meetings before the June 2026 meeting and will that change as a result of the presser?

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

·      Reduce trading size

·      Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·      Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini–SP at 6825.00 with a stop at 6815.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 6810.00 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example (consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·      Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·      Expect to see some “vacuum” (low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·      Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·      Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·      Be patient and be disciplined

·      If in doubt, stay out!!

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Daily Levels for Dec. 10th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Ahead! Fed History, January Natural Gas, NEW TRADING CONTEST NEXT WEEK!!! Levels, Reports; Your 6 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of December 8th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1269

  • The Week Ahead – FOMC Ahead!

  • Futures 101 – Trading Contest Starts Sunday Evening!

  • Hot Market of the Week – Jan Natural Gas

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System 

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4182.70 4206.70 4248.60 4272.60 4314.50

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

56.14 57.53 58.72 60.11 61.30

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

58.94 59.55 60.02 60.63 61.10

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 28/32 115 7/32 115 25/32 116 4/32 116 22/32

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fed History Tutorial

fomc

The FRB December Rate decision looms:

Wednesday, the 10th at 1 PM CST. Followed by Jerome Powell’s presser. I’ve been listening long enough to the financial new press about the “independence of the fed” and the open criticism applied By President Trump of fed funds rates not being reduced quick enough and the open criticism of Trump and his option as President to use the bully pulpit.

Historians will tell you it is somewhat difficult to determine how many Presidents over the years since the Fed was created, pressured the FED quietly.

A secret gathering that laid the groundwork for the federal reserve took place in November 1910, specifically from about November 20th to November 30th, at the Jekyll Island Club off the coast of Georgia. Convened by Senator Nelson Aldrich, powerful bankers and financial figures met to devise a plan to reform the U.S. banking system and prevent future financial panics, leading to the eventual Federal Reserve Act of 1913.

In 1912 Democrats won the White House and majorities in both houses of Congress. Even before his inauguration, President-elect Woodrow Wilson began encouraging congressional leaders to enact banking and currency reform. In March 1913 the Democratic Senate created its first Banking and Currency Committee.

On December 23, 1913, the Senate adopted the conference report to Create the FED by a vote of 43 to 25, with every Democrat present voting for the measure and all but four Republicans voting against it. (Twenty-seven senators were “paired” or chose not to vote.).

Well documented major cases

Most academic and historical discussions highlight at least the following presidents as having directly and personally challenged the Fed over interest rates:

  • Harry Truman (conflict with Chair Thomas McCabe over keeping rates low during the Korean War, leading to the 1951 Fed–Treasury Accord).​
  • Lyndon B. Johnson (clash with Chair William McChesney Martin in 1965 over rate hikes during Vietnam War and Great Society spending).​
  • Richard Nixon (pressure on Chair Arthur Burns to ease policy before the 1972 election, documented in White House tapes and archival research).​
  • George H. W. Bush (complaints that Chair Alan Greenspan kept rates too high and did not cut fast enough after the 1990–91 recession, though Bush was relatively restrained in public).​
  • Donald Trump (sustained, public attacks on Chair Jerome Powell for raising and then not cutting rates enough, calling the Fed a threat to the economy and questioning Powell’s job

With all the talk about Jerome Powell’s tenure ending, Jerome Powell will still have the January, March and April meetings to preside over as Chairman of the Fed.

Economic Data reporting catching up but still behind.

Due to the recent government shutdown (ending November 12, 2025), many standard monthly reports (e.g., jobs, CPI, retail sales) for October and possibly November have been delayed. Agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and Census Bureau are still finalizing revised schedules, with updates expected imminently. As of November 21, here is a calendar for Report Due dates from BLS, notes at the bottom will offer the deepest clarity since the appropriations shutdown.  https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers for 88 stocks. Broadcom is the only mkt cap over 1T while Adobe and oracle round out tech Autozone, Costco and Lululemon will give us a deeper look into consumer spending

What Market has been range bound and now breaking out? The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes. Two weeks ago I said this: Watch the Nat Gas as a breakout to the upside has been looming and ready to rock. (check out today’s Chart of the Day, free trial available)

Expect continued volatility next week as the markets are sorting out the data morass.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tue. Autozone

·        Wed. Oracle, Adobe, 

·        Thu. Broadcom, LULU, Costco

·        Fri.  Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

·        Mon.  Quiet 

·        Tues.  FOMC Starts

·        Wed.   Dec 10th final rate decision of the year Followed by Chair Powell presser

·        Thu. Quiet

·        Fri.  Quiet

December Trading Challenge

Prepare to face off against fellow traders in a risk-free, simulated environment to see who comes out on top and wish CASH prizes!

Register Today! Contest Starts Sunday!

 Are you ready to showcase your trading expertise? Cannon Trading is proud to sponsor the CME Group Futures Trading Challenge, where you can compete against traders nationwide, sharpen your strategies, and win exciting prizes.

STARTS

Sunday, December 7th

5:00 p.m. CT / 22:00 UTC

ENDS

Friday, December 12th

12:00 p.m. CT / 17:00 UTC

PRIZE DETAILS

Overall Leaderboard

First Place Prize: $2,500

Second Place Prize: $1,750

Third Place Prize: $1,250

Fourth-Fifteenth Prize: $100 each

Event Information

·    All trades during the competition will be completed in the Challenge Simulator.

·    All traders will begin with a virtual account of $25,000, aiming to maximize their balance by the competition’s close.

·    Cash prizes will be awarded to the top eligible traders with the highest account balances in the Overall Leaderboard (up to 15 total prizes available, each with a cash value as set forth to the right; traders are only eligible for one prize).

Register Today! Contest Starts Sunday!

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

January Natural Gas

January Natural Gas is accelerating through the second upside PriceCount objective and taking aim at the third count to the 5.63 area. This is consistent with a challenge of the March contract high.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus NQ

Markets Traded:   Mini Nasdaq

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $14,000

Developer Fee per contract: $70 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor.

Past trade history may not be indicative of future results.

The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss.

In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition. In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report. This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Dec. 8th 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Silver and Copper, Crude Oil, March – May Wheat Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 4th, 2025

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What You Need to Know!

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4198.13 4219.37 4246.33 4267.57 4294.53

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

57.49 58.22 58.94 59.66 60.38

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.77 58.44 59.04 59.71 60.31

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 30/32 116 9/32 116 19/32 116 30/32 117 8/32

crude

General:

This morning’s November ADP jobs report was well into negative territory falling to the lowest levels since 2020. The payrolls processing firm reported private companies cut 32,000 workers, with small businesses hit the hardest.

The report’s data were worse than anticipated as the Dow Jones consensus estimate from economists was to see an increase of 40,000 and a sharp step down from October, which saw an upwardly revised gain of 47,000 positions.

The ADP report is the last monthly jobs picture the Federal Reserve gets before it meets Dec. 9-10. Futures traders are now assigning a nearly 90% probability that the central bank will approve another quarter percentage point cut, according to the CME Group FedWatch tool:

This month’s release of the Labor Department’s monthly non-farm payrolls report has been moved from its traditional first Friday of the month to Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 7:30 A.M., Central Time. The report is widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.

More General:

Last Friday, a vital data center used by CME Group, overheated and suffered a more-than-ten-hour outage, shutting down trading at the world’s largest derivatives exchange. On an average day, it processes equity indexes futures and options trades tied to $1.5 trillion of underlying assets, and interest-rate-related trades with a notional value of $9.6 trillion.

While the blow was softened because it came late on Thanksgiving Day, this was the longest outage in recent CME history.

Energies:

In a credible sign that the world’s largest crude importer is nearing peak demand, China’s oil consumption next year – although still growing – will be surpassed by India’s for the first time. This was forecast by Singapore-based Trafigura Group, the world’s second-largest oil trader.

A key component to this, they explain, is that China’s main demand driver for crude – its consumption of road fuels – is weakening as adoption of electric cars and, increasingly, electric trucks has grown rapidly.

Metals:

New front month March silver futures traded to new all-time highs today, trading intraday to $59.65½ per ounce. The move includes a ~$8.00 per ounce move since Mon. Nov 24, a ±$40,000 per contract move for the main 5,000-oz. futures contract.

Driven by persistent concerns over a tightening global supply, March copper futures surged ~15 cents per pound (±2.8%) and traded up to ~4-month highs near $5.40 per pound today.

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March – May Wheat Spread

The March – May Wheat Spread satisfied the first upside PriceCount objective off the August low. The chart is reacting with a short-term correction, which is normal. At this point, if the spread can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the -5.5 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 4th, 2025

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