Iran, Energy, Grain, Oil, Fertilizer; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 24th, 2025

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Iran

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Two-day Fed Chair Powell congressional testimony (historically more volatility on day 1) starting tomorrow!

Video below on U.S. Strikes Iran: Oil, Fertilizer &

Market Fallout Analysis:

Description: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, reports live from the trading floor following a major U.S. military strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. In this special June 23 market update, we break down the strike’s implications for:

  • Oil markets and Strait of Hormuz risks
  • Fertilizer supply chains under threat
  • Grain and energy prices in early trading
  • Potential geopolitical escalation—and how traders are reacting
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July Class III Milk

July class III milk continues to slide and has negated the remaining unmet upside PriceCount near 23 cents (not shown for presentation purposes) with the trade below the late April reactionary low. At this point, the chart would need to violate the contract low before it could take aim at the third downside count to the 16.89 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 24th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Iran – Israel Conflict, July Class III Milk, Day Trading Futures Pt. 2; Your 3 Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of June 23rd, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1247

  • The Week Ahead – Israel – Iran, End of Quarter 2, Powell Testimony

  • Futures 102 – Podcast – Day Trade Futures?

  • Hot Market of the Week – July Milk

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini Dow Jones Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Iran – Israel Conflict

iran

Treachery in the Middle East, 2-day Fed Chair Powell congressional testimony (historically more volatility on day 1), Heavy Fed Speakers and the end of Quarter # 2, 2025.

Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics, clearly the Isreal/Iran conflict jumps to the top of the list here.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the Israel/Iran conflict, The FRB, U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. KB Home
  • Tue. Fedex, Carnival
  • Wed. Micron, General Mills
  • Thu. Nike, Walgreens
  • Fri. Oracle

FED SPEECHES: (all time CDT)

  • Mon.  Waller 2:00am (from the Central Banking conference in Prague), Bowman 9:00        am, Goolsbee 12:10 pm, Kugler 1:30 pm
  • Tues. Hammack 8:15 am, Chair Powell Congressional Testimony 9:00 am (House), Williams 11:30 am, Collins 1:05 pm, Barr 3:00 pm
  • Wed. Chair Powell Congressional Testimony (Senate) 9:00 am
  • Thu.  Barkin 7:00am, Hammack 8:00am, Barr 12:15pm
  • Fri.   Williams 6:30 am, Cook and Hammack 8:15 am

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. SP composite PMI, Existing Home sales
  • Tue.  RedBook, Case-Schiller Home data, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmand Fed,
  • Wed. Building Permits, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales
  • Thur. Chicago Fed Index, Core PCE, Durable Goods, GDP Growth Final, Retail Inventories, Pending Home Sales, EIA NAT GAS Storage,
  • Fri. Core PCE, Mich. Consumer Sentiment,
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Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures, Part 2?

Watch Video Now 

Ask a Broker: Why Trade Bitcoin Futures?

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

July Class III Milk

July class III milk continues to slide and has negated the remaining unmet upside PriceCount near 23 cents (not shown for presentation purposes) with the trade below the late April reactionary low. At this point, the chart would need to violate the contract low before it could take aim at the third downside count to the 16.89 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Position Trading Cont v.3_ E-mini Dow Jones YM

Markets Traded:   YM – Mini Dow Jones

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $25,000

Developer Fee per contract: $140.00 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer: The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for June 23rd, 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Day Trading Margins, June Milk Class III, CME Trading Challenges; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on May 21st, 2025

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Margins

SPAN and Day Trade Margins

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

margins

Dive into Margin creation

Day trade margins are back to “normal” day trade valuations.

Remember Trump highlighted the need to pass and extend his 2017 tax cuts which are set to expire at years end if a new bill wasn’t passed to extend those tax credits.

Well, we are on the doorstep of that request.  Watch for equity index strength if it passes in the house this week and weakness if it doesn’t. Memorial Day weekend was his target to have the legislation passed.

A quiet data day tomorrow.

On a different note, I hear a lot about from my day traders want to understand more clearly how margin is set and when can we expect reduced day trade margins.

Here’s the short version: Margins are set by the exchange based on a number of factors then the clearing houses adjust day trading parameters based on the exchange Initial margin. Volatility is the biggest factor to affect exchange minimum initial margin.

Here’s the long story from the CME:

https://www.cmegroup.com/solutions/risk-management/performance-bonds-margins/span-methodology-overview.html

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future with it’s ebbs and flows.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Today’s market swings were largely back to normal ( pre tariff talk normal)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak: One speaker Barkin @ 11am CT

Earnings: TJ Max, Lowe’s, Medtronic, Target

Tariff news:  Anything goes!

SPAN Methodology Overview

CME SPAN is a market simulation-based Value at Risk system that allows you to assess risk on a portfolio basis. Explanations and examples of risk arrays and SPAN analysis are included.

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June Milk

June class III milk satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective and is correcting. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally into new sustained highs the third count would project a potential run to the 20.55 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 21st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.
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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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