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NFP Tomorrow, September Dollar Index, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Crucial Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 1st, 2025

Posted on July 31, 2025July 31, 2025 by Cannon Operations

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NFP Tomorrow

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

nfp

Prepare for Tomorrow’s First Friday: NFP Meets Month-Start Volume

Tomorrow marks the first Friday of the month, which means two things for futures and FX traders: the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and the natural volume uptick that often comes with month-beginning flows. Combining a high-impact economic release with typically heavier order flow sets the stage for elevated volatility—and potential opportunity.

Why NFP Drives Volatility

– The headline jobs number and the unemployment rate are among the most influential data points for Fed policy expectations.

– Surprises (even by a few thousand jobs) can trigger immediate swings in stock index futures, Treasury futures, FX and commodities.

– High-frequency and algorithmic traders often reload positions right before and after the print, amplifying short-term moves.

Month-Start Volume Patterns

– Corporate and institutional managers adjust exposures at month boundaries, generating extra order flow in equity and bond futures.

– Portfolio rebalancing, pension contributions, and cash withdrawals/additions create natural buy/sell pressure.

– Combining these flows with an NFP release can lead to deeper liquidity pockets—but also faster fills and bigger gaps.

Key Trading Considerations

1. Pre-print positioning

– Lighten large directional bets ahead of the 8:30 am Eastern release.

– Identify key levels (prior-month high/low, round numbers) to bracket potential moves.

2. Execution tools

– Use volume- or range-bar charts to filter noise during rapid price swings.

– Consider spread or straddle strategies to capture volatility without outright directional risk.

3. Risk management

– Widen initial stops to account for wider spreads and slippage.

– Trade smaller size or switch to highly liquid markets (e.g., E-mini S&P, 30-year bonds) if you’re concerned about whipsaw.

Action Plan for Tomorrow

– Monitor the Atlanta Fed’s jobs tracker and ADP release for hints of the NFP surprise factor.

– Set alerts at your chosen intraday levels and be ready to step aside if the market action outpaces your risk limits.

– After the print, watch volume‐profile clusters for early signs of trend continuation or exhaustion.

Tomorrow’s convergence of NFP data and month-start flows often produces some of the liveliest—and most tradable (riskier?)—sessions of the calendar. Prepare your playbook, mind your risk, and get ready to capture high-probability setups. Good luck!

September Dollar Index

The September dollar index found stability earlier this month and now it has activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction. The first count projects a possible run to the 100.58 area.

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 1st, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Find us on Trustpilot

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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NFP, 4th of July Trading Hours, Stock Market Stats; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 3rd, 2025

Posted on July 2, 2025 by Cannon Operations

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NFP Tomorrow + 4th of July Friday

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

nfp

NFP is tomorrow rather than the usual Friday release!

Stock index futures will close early tomorrow at 12:15 Central time

Take care that the markets are in “holiday mode,” meaning trade participation and thus liquidity can decrease into the Independence Day holiday on Friday. This is more relevant than usual in that it comes along with the early release of this month’s employment report.

NFP

U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data will be released tomorrow morning at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, a day earlier that its typical first-Friday-of-the-month release.

Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls to come in at +110,000 compared to the previous month’s +139,000. The June jobless rate is expected at 4.3%, up +0.1% compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month. On top of that, weekly Jobless Claims will be released simultaneously.

Please see the schedule below for trading hours tomorrow and Friday. Note that trading hours will be abbreviated tomorrow and Friday.

Found some stock market stats: per data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve, the wealthiest Americans control a majority of shares. The top 1% own half of all corporate equities and mutual funds in the U.S. When factoring in the top 10% of Americans by wealth, ownership of the group rises to close to 90% of all stock market holdings.

This number has not changed meaningfully over time, with the percentage oscillating between 80% and 90% in data that goes back to the end of the 1980’s.

4^th of July Holiday Trading Schedule:

Globex:

Grains

Friday – Closed

Sunday – 7:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Livestock

Friday – Closed

Monday – 8:30 a.m. CT Re-open

Cryptocurrencies

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Energy

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Interest Rates

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Metals

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Stock Indices

Thursday – 12.15 p.m. CT Close

Thursday – 5.00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

ICE US

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Friday – Closed

Monday – Regular Hours (Cotton re-open at 7.00 a.m. CT)

Canola

Friday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Sept. Mini SP 500

Although the weekly chart is trading at an all-time high, the September Emini S&P daily chart is challenging its contract high. At this point, a breakout with new sustained highs would project a run to the second upside PriceCount objective to the 6479 area.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 3rd, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Find us on Trustpilot

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls, FND/LTD for July, September 10-Year Treasury Notes; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 2nd, 2025

Posted on July 1, 2025July 1, 2025 by Cannon Operations

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New Quarter!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls a day early.

quarter

Day one of Quarter number 3 in the U.S. is behind us. What trends continue and which ones appear to be reversing? Below is a list of contracts whose trends continued for at least the past 2 weeks.

Markets heading Lower, still! Corn, Hogs, Feeder and Live Cattle, Natural Gas, U.S. Dollar, Sugar, Coffee, Soymeal.

Markets going Sideways, still! Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Unleaded Gasoline, Gold, Silver, Canadian Dollar.

Markets going Higher, still! S&P, Dow 30, Nasdaq 100, U.S 30yr Bonds, 10yr Notes, Palladium, Platinum, Copper, Euro, Assie $, B. Pound, S. Franc

Markets Reversing, Rough Rice lower, Oats higher.

This week we have abbreviated trading sessions on both Thursday and Friday. Subdued Volatility, for the moment, conflicts and trade deals have relaxed for the near term.

Although Friday is the 4th of July holiday you may be as surprised as we were when we saw the trading schedule for this upcoming week. In addition to market hour changes we also have the All-important Non-Farm Payrolls report, ordinarily released on the first Friday of the month, the release will occur on Thursday this month @ 7:30 am CDT. If you are an index trader, the markets will have abbreviated hours on Both Thursday and Friday.

Regular hours on Thursday for all other futures contracts with many of the AG’s closed until Monday morning; Metals, Energies, Interest Rates, Currencies and indices will have early closings on the 4th itself.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data: ADP Employment Change, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Quiet the rest of the week

Earnings: Unifirst Corporation

Tariff news: Anything goes!

FND/LTD:

Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for July.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day

Sept. 10 Year Treasury Notes

The September 10 year treasury notes completed a second upside PriceCount objective this spring and after a correction lower, spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 115^27 area.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 2nd, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Find us on Trustpilot

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

Non-Farm Payrolls, Tariffs, Earnings; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures The Week of June 2nd, 2025

Posted on May 30, 2025 by Cannon Operations

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1244

The Week Ahead – Non-Farm Payrolls, Earnings, Tariffs
LIVE, FREE Demo for Futures & Options
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Non-Farm Payrolls

non-farm payrolls

A full week ahead and as nearly always, the 1st Friday of the month brings an impactful data set to the markets. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP).This week will also feature the last week of Fed speakers until after the FOMC Rate announcement 8 business days following this upcoming weekend, known as the blackout period. Light earnings, only 149 reporting as we are in the 9th inning of this game.

Tariffs

tariffs

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals. Therefore, increased volatility expectations with periodic choppiness as the administration Vs the Courts seem to be in the middle innings of their tariff battle.

Earnings Next Week:

Mon. Credo
Tue. HP, Dollar General, Crowdstrike
Wed. Dollar Tree
Thu. Broadcom, LuLuLemon
Fri. ABM industries

FED SPEECHES: (all time CDT)

Mon. Logan 9:15 am CT, Goolsbee 11:45 am CT
Tues. Goolsbee 11:45 am CT, Logan 2:30 pm CT
Wed. Bostic 7:30 am CT
Thu. Harker 12:30 pm CT,
Fri. None

Economic Data week:

Mon. ISM mfg. PMI
Tue. RedBook, JOLTS, Factory Orders,RCM/TIPP Econ Optimism Index,
Wed. ADP, PMI Final, ISM Services, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige Book,
Thur. Challenger Job Cuts, Continuing claims, EIA Nat Gas storage
Fri. Non-Farm Payrolls, Used Car prices.

Free Demo: Live Data, Streaming Charts

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Depth-of-market display at your fingertips for any of the position types listed aboveFull, easy-to-read account information display

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for June 2nd, 2025

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Before Your next Trade, learn to recognize charts and patterns!

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

Find us on Trustpilot

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.