Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Mini S&P Hits New Highs & Futures Levels & Economic Reports 12.19.2013

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday December 19, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

We need your votes!!

I have gotten and getting great feedback from many of you and would appreciate if you can take a couple of seconds to vote at:

 

 

Trader Planet Award

 

Also keep in mind that March is now the front month for stock indices, financials, currencies and grains!
What a wild ride today following the FOMC !!

Two charts for your viewing pleasure….one is an 8 tick range bar of the mini SP. Note it took the market 4 hours to complete the same range ( volume as well) it did in about 2 minutes right after FOMC ( if you read my blog yesterday, you hopefully listened and stayed out of the market during the minutes before and right after as I feel it is a pure gamble) –  so first chart just to demonstrate the volatility after the report.

 

ESh4 2.00 mg #2 E-Mini SP
ESh4 2.00 mg #2 E-Mini SP

Second chart is a daily chart of the March mini SP along with possible levels both above and below.

 

 

EP - E Mini S&P 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation
EP – E Mini S&P 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Continue reading “Mini S&P Hits New Highs & Futures Levels & Economic Reports 12.19.2013”

Mini S&P Daily Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 12.17.2013

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday December 17, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

Busy week ahead! Many diff. reports coming out this week with FOMC decision this Wednesday.

We saw some volatility in the overnight session on the SP 500 but very tight range once the cash market opened.

As far as market outlook, we are at a junction again, like we were back on Nov. 8th when the market declined for a bit and then made a new low only to close much higher. We saw similar action today ( I circled both today’s and Nov. 8th ). The big question is if new highs are awaiting or is this is just a bounce. I think answers will come by the end of the week ( might be too late, I wish we knew the answer in advance) but for now I am treating this market as a very wide decision channel between today’s lows at 1754 and recent high at 1805.75 basis the March contract.

 

Chart for your review below:

EP - E Mini S&P 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation
EP – E Mini S&P 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Important Factors When Choosing a Futures Broker

Choosing a Futures Broker can be somewhat of a daunting task. Most popular factors I see considered: cost, customer service, experience and knowledge. Going through the process of one’s own due diligence of researching your broker’s firm, trying a futures platform and comparing costs is a process one must take to find a broker that fits him or her.

Being a broker myself, I hear many concerns about cost before I even here about the type of future trading platform one would like to be set up with that fit his or her trading style. Please note cost should not be all when choosing a futures broker. Most reasonable and competitive commission quotes, for example the mini S&P cost less than half a tick. Unless you are trading high volume, less than half a tick should not hurt your account balance per round turn. When you look for “deep discount” commodity brokers, these brokers may provide you with an appealing commission cost but they may lack quality service and or even knowledge of the futures/commodities markets. This happens countless times in the industry; where clients will sacrifice service and knowledge of a broker for fifty cents less in commission because a lower commission cost seems to be more important for a client. Please be aware commission costs are only one ingredient of choosing a broker when trading futures.

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Futures Trading Levels

A more important component, I believe to be than cost when choosing a futures broker is customer service. Always note how long it takes your broker to respond for example to an email you send him or her. Does your broker respond in a timely manner? If your request was urgent did he/she give you the attention that’s required to solve the issue? These are very important factors one must consider when choosing a broker. If you, the client, end up with a commodities broker who is non responsive and not willing to help when the time is needed, there will be no value in you having a broker.

Look for the added values your broker can provide to help increase your success in futures trading, such as experience and knowledge. In my opinion, a great futures broker wants their clients to be successful in futures trading. Never be afraid to use your broker to pick his or her brain about the futures markets you are trading; go over strategies that you are using but may not be working for you. You choose your broker for a reason and your broker’s job is to service your futures account; be able to help you with your trading platform and every so often give his or her opinion of the markets you are trading if it’s asked by the client. In many “deep discount” firms, brokers seem to lack this type of service. I have seen many times where the client is left to figure out the platform themselves and are trading blindly because they lack direction from a licensed broker.

Although I agree that cost is a large component when choosing a broker, always consider the other factors such as customer service, knowledge and experience. Because if a broker lacks those three qualities but can provide you only cost, you may see your account having a shorter life span in the futures markets.

SPECIAL NOTE: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for December 7th 2010

Today was a “slow trading day” when it came to stock indices, which leads me to a good point I would like to make. Most of our day traders, trade the e-mini stock index futures, mostly the mini SP because of its heavy daily volume and exposure.

However, I think that day-traders should be able to follow at least another market, maybe even two additional markets and look for different set up in these markets as well.

Good example from today is the Euro currency. While the mini SP was pretty dead….the Euro had nice range, good volatility and good volume which presents both risks and opportunities for day-traders.

Obviously, before you start trading a new market you should educate yourself on tick size, trading hours, “personality”, when is there more volume in that specific contract etc.

If you do so, I think you will achieve a couple of things, first is diversification. While some days trades in certain market may not work, trades in a different market may provide balance.

Also, if on certain days, certain markets are “sleepy” ( which most day-traders do NOT like), another market may have more action….

As always, do your homework, practice in simulation mode first and make sure you understand the “new contract” you may be trading along with the risks involved.

Below is a screen shot of the Euro Currency from todays webinar session :
( free trial at – https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/intraday-futures-trading-signals )

SP-500-Day-Trading-2010-12-07 Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for December 7th 2010”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for Novemeber 9th 2010

We started out the week with slow trading day and narrow range on stock index futures.

I got a “small sell signal” on mini Dow, which I would like to see a bit more down move before acting on it, simply because volume was not sufficient enough to confirm a good probability of a correction. However, while the probability for down move is not big, the risk reward with a stop above the previous high is not bad….

SP-500-Day-Trading-2010-11-09

Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for Novemeber 9th 2010”

FOMC Sparks True Futures Market Reaction, November 4th 2010

FOMC came and gone. market had its normal volatile two sided action but finished on the highs.

I have said this before, many times you can see the “true market reaction” the day after FOMC.

Tomorrow and Friday (monthly un-employment figures) should be interesting and perhaps volatile trading days. Continue reading “FOMC Sparks True Futures Market Reaction, November 4th 2010”

Daily Futures Day Trading Webinar and Futures Trading Levels for November 2nd 2010

Two day FOMC starts tomorrow along with preliminary election news. Should provide for some interesting action in the second part of the trading week.

In between I still don’t see a longer term or a medium term swing trading set up I like, hence I currently focus on intraday set ups which I share in my daily “live charts/ webinar” service.

Daily Futures Day Trading Webinar:
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https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/intraday-futures-trading-signals
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Continue reading “Daily Futures Day Trading Webinar and Futures Trading Levels for November 2nd 2010”

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