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Extreme Volatility + CPI Tomorrow

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By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Dow Jones & other indices

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts have experienced single-day range moves not seen in years and after being down, finished up:

→ E-mini Dow Jones: UP +3044 points / 8.4%

→ E-mini S&P 500: UP +480 points / 9.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: UP +2038 points / 11.71%

→ Crude Oil: UP +320 points / 5.2%

Volatility is skyrocketing.

This is a completely different environment of extreme trading volatility than what we were trading in 3-4 weeks ago. Markets are evolving and you must adapt your trading to changing market conditions.

This is where you find out what kind of risk taker you are; brash, overbold, unheeding, or prudent, attentive, discriminating. Everyone possesses these traits – and they influence our decision-making differently in different situations.

In trading, if the historical price moves you’re seeing bring out the daredevil in you, plan to watch your trade results all over the place: up and down more than your everyday swings with the odds increasing your account will hit a wall.

Instead, incorporate patience and prudence. Start your trading by setting daily profit targets and daily loss limits and stick to them. Do that for each trade. These days, be aware of LIMIT moves and understand what happens when the market halts at limit levels.

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

June Dollar Index

The June dollar has had a short term correction after extending its break to the third downside PriceCount objective. IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, it would have the contract low to contend with before a possible run to the low percentage fourth count to the 98.85 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 10th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.