Investment is a game of money of securing future money by taking a risk today. Trading therefore comes with a list of rules to play by. Commodity trading in particular offers tremendous potential for becoming a completely different asset class.
However, before investing in any kind of commodity, you must do an in depth research and also ask your broker as many questions as possible. Through this category archive we provide you as much information and valuable insights into the world of commodity trading.
We at Cannon Trading are here to help you with your commodity trading needs. You as a trader should select your commodity trading advisor only after performing a due diligence on him/her. We in fact do that for you. This way, you get only the best advice to help you with your commodity trading.
We’ve got the information that you might need at every step of commodity trading, and you’ll find it all right here in the commodity trading section of our blog. Read up, and read on to get equipped!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What you need to know for the last two trading days of the week
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General:
This morning the Labor Department released data on U.S. producer prices. It showed a higher-than-expected 0.5% uptick in food and energy prices at the wholesale level. The so-called core Producer Price Index – a narrower measure that excludes food, energy and trade services – showed a 0.2% increase, which matched forecasts. Looking at the big picture, the report suggests inflation remains stubborn and the Fed will remain vigilant in it continued efforts to check the U.S. economy with care and reduce inflation.
Markets look at the PPI as a leading indicator for inflation, as it gauges a wide variety of costs for pipeline goods that feed to consumer products.
In recent days, central bank officials have indicated that they may not need to enact additional hikes as Treasury yields have risen sharply on their own, tightening financial conditions. That in turn has helped assuage market fears, leading stocks higher this week.
Tomorrow, The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its more closely watched Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which measures the prices paid by consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services.
Metals:
Trading off its near one-year lows below $1,825/ounce on Friday, Dec. Gold has raced up ±$70/ounce as the crisis in Israel / Gaza / Lebanon has intensified. This commodity futures contract will likely show to be more sensitive to the turn of events in the region than any other.
Along the same lines, from a from a commodity price influencing perspective, the fighting in Israel / Gaza / Lebanon should have a limited impact on most commodities. Any sensitivity reactions in the markets will presumably be seen in indexes (seemingly sensitive to anything), energies and some currencies. Any signs the conflict escalates to involve other notable / regional state / non-state actors, traders should anticipate increased volatility in these market sectors and approach your trading appropriately.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Tomorrow @ 7:30 CDT Producer Price Index values will be released: Producer prices in September are expected to rise 0.3 percent on the month versus a 0.7 percent increase in August. The annual rate in September is seen at 1.7 percent versus August’s 1.6 percent increase. September’s ex-food ex-energy rate is seen rising 0.2 percent on the month and 2.1 percent on the year versus August’s 0.2 percent on the month and 2.2 percent yearly rise.
Also tomorrow, The Fed minutes will be released @ 1:00 PM CDT: Detailing the issues of debate and consensus among policymakers, the Federal Open Market Committee issues minutes of its latest meeting three weeks after the meeting.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The Week Ahead: War, CPI, Minutes- watch your blindside
By Senior Broker, John Thorpe
Today, due to the US Holiday, bond markets and US Government offices were closed, volatility in US stocks were muted.
The surprise attack on the State of Israel and official declaration of war over the weekend has the potential to be the main driver in the direction of the equity markets forcing the inflation, deficit, jobs narrative to take a back seat. . When the bond markets open, we will get a much better idea how much as gold did reflect a moderate flight to quality in today’s trade.
Data releases this week will include PPI, CPI , Fed Minutes to be the most impactful.
Wednesday @ 7:30 CDT Producer Price Index values will be released: Producer prices in September are expected to rise 0.3 percent on the month versus a 0.7 percent increase in August. The annual rate in September is seen at 1.7 percent versus August’s 1.6 percent increase. September’s ex-food ex-energy rate is seen rising 0.2 percent on the month and 2.1 percent on the year versus August’s 0.2 percent on the month and 2.2 percent yearly rise.
Also on this day, The Fed minutes will be released @ 1:00 PM CDT: Detailing the issues of debate and consensus among policymakers, the Federal Open Market Committee issues minutes of its latest meeting three weeks after the meeting.
Consumer Price Index CPI Thursday 7:30 am CDT Core prices in September are expected to hold steady at a monthly increase of 0.3 percent to match August’s 0.3 percent increase Overall prices are also expected to rise 0.3 percent on the month after August’s as-expected percent 0.6 increase which hit expectations. Annual rates, at 3.7 percent overall and 4.3 percent for the core in August, are expected 3.6 at 4.1 percent respectively.
Also on this Day and time, Jobless Claims : Jobless claims for the October 8 week are expected to come in at 209,000 versus 207,000 in the prior week.
For the Ag Sector we have the WASDE report, Thursday the 12th as well, this report is released @ 11:00 am CDT.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
All traders will begin with a virtual account of $100,000.00 Your goal: increase the balance to as much as possible by the conclusion of the competition.
Top three traders with the highest P&L balance at the end will get a cash prize.
One winner will be chosen from the remaining participants to receive a cash prize.
The prizes to the winners shall be awarded in the form of a check (or any other form as reasonably determined by StoneX) and sent to the winner within ten business days of receiving the required tax documentation.
Order Flow has been presented as a mystique to potential Traders as well as seasoned Traders. In many cases it is assumed to be an insanely difficult concept to understand. Order Flow is, at its core, the transaction between a Buyer and a Seller. As a Veteran Trader using Order Flow to base my decisions, I can say that order flow is the very core of any market.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December Corn traded to within a dime of its fourth downside PriceCount objective and it increasing appears like that was enough to satisfy the bear move. The September contract and the weekly chart each hit their counts. Now, the chart is activated upset objectives and the first Target to 4.94 has been met. If we can sustain the move and get above $5 there’s a second objective just above to aim for in the 5.03 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
What you need to know before trading futures tomorrow – October 6th 2023
by Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
NFP is tomorrow! Non Farm Payrolls also known as employment numbers. Big report, This is a market moving event and we expect high volatility, right before, during and right after.
Crude Oil and energies trading at extreme volatility
Take a look at the 1 minute chart of the last NFP report from Sept. 1st below as well as a 15 min chart of the rest of the same session. Notice the ES (mini SP500) had a 22 point move from high to low in 45 seconds!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What you need to know for the last two trading days of the week
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General:
As yesterday’s price action in stock index and interest rate futures demonstrated, there are times when good data is bad news. Yesterday, after three consecutive months of falling numbers, the Labor Department reported that there were 9.6 million job openings in the month of August in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, commonly referred to by its acronym: JOLTS.
Job openings have been slowly declining for the last 16-17 months from their April ’22 highs near 12 million – likely to the nod of approval by the Federal Reserve as it has raised rates in part to reduce labor demand in its efforts to cool the economy. A larger-than-expected increase like August’s numbers helps make the prospect of further interest rate hikes less likely to be taken off the table, despite the Fed’s pause at the last meeting.
The JOLTS rebound also increases the scrutiny this Friday’s non-farm payrolls numbers will receive from traders. Already, the E-mini S&P 500 has slipped ±400 points – a $20,000 per contract move – since its late-July push up to 4685, including yesterday’s 1.4% hit.
Energy:
Last Wednesday, during the early hours of the Thursday session – so, technically just four trading sessions ago – November crude oil traded briefly over $95 per barrel. This after a ±$3.50 per barrel advance above $94.00 per barrel during Wednesday’s session. As of this typing, crude oil is in the throes of a ± $5.00 / 5.6% correction and within pennies of trading to $84 per barrel: an $11,000 per contract move. Along side it, November heating oil corrected ±32 cents per gallon, a ±$13,400 per contract move.
Helping today’s sell-off was yesterday’s American Petroleum Institute report showing stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub – where West Texas oil futures deliveries are processed – had increased for the first time in eight weeks. Likely because no surprises accompanied the announcement, crude took the news in stride that Saudi Arabia and Russia announced that the voluntary production cuts currently in place will remain until the end of the year as planned, despite recent higher prices.
Softs:
New all-time highs in orange juice futures just keep coming. Last month, November orange juice futures gained another ±37 cent per pound – a ±$2,550 per contract move – to trade over $3.50 per pound. Ongoing disease called citrus greening has damaged upwards of 75% of Florida’s orange crop.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Tomorrow traders need to pay attention to multiple reports, fed members speaking and more!
Should be a busy day across the board, make sure to know which reports are coming and what time, scroll down to see reports and times!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Labor, Labor, Labor Critical to the outlook for monetary policy is how the cooling in the labor market is shaping up or rather cooling down. This week is a heavy data week about the U.S. Labor market. remaining days with a Labor data set to be released. First, Tuesday morning at 9:00a.m. Central time, the August J.O.L.T.S Job Openings and Labor Turnover report will be released. Conditions are expected to reflect low unemployment rates and a moderate number of job openings.
Wednesday @ 7:15 CDT the ADP National Employment report, expectations here are for private payrolls to expand but at a slower pace than in previous reports. Thursday the Challenger report will be released @ 6:30 CDT . layoffs are expected here but could actually show hiring plans consistent with strong consumer spending expectations over the holiday shopping season. Also, on Thursday ,Initial jobless claims for the week ended September 30 at 7:30 CDT will probably remain in line with recent weeks. Finally, the Big one on Friday morning @ 7:30 am CDT Non Farm Payrolls. ..an increase of 160,000 jobs are expected. From Econoday.com they say this ” Historically, the September employment numbers strongly tend to come in below forecast, but also strongly tend to subsequently see an upward revision. Should the September change in nonfarm payrolls be a disappointment, it would be well to wait for the next month’s report before concluding that the labor market is softening more than previously thought.”
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
All traders will begin with a virtual account of $100,000.00 Your goal: increase the balance to as much as possible by the conclusion of the competition.
Top three traders with the highest P&L balance at the end will get a cash prize.
One winner will be chosen from the remaining participants to receive a cash prize.
The prizes to the winners shall be awarded in the form of a check (or any other form as reasonably determined by StoneX) and sent to the winner within ten business days of receiving the required tax documentation.
Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Commodity Seasonal Patterns
When we talk about seasonal patterns in futures, we’re referring to certain conditions and events that repeat annually. Perhaps the most obvious of these is the annual cycle of weather from warm to cold and back to warm. However, the calendar also marks the annual passing of important events, such as the due date for U.S. income taxes every April 15th. Enormous supplies of grain at harvest dwindle throughout the year. Demand for heating oil typically rises as cold weather approaches but subsides as inventory is filled. Monetary liquidity may decline as taxes are paid but rise as the Federal Reserve recirculates funds. Such annual events create yearly cycles in supply and demand.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December wheat–corn spread is threatening to negate and break down the September key reversal trade that looks to have failed to stabilize the break. At this point, new sustained lows would project a possible run to the third downside PriceCount objective to the 73 cent area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
