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Category: Commodity Trading

Investment is a game of money of securing future money by taking a risk today. Trading therefore comes with a list of rules to play by. Commodity trading in particular offers tremendous potential for becoming a completely different asset class.

However, before investing in any kind of commodity, you must do an in depth research and also ask your broker as many questions as possible. Through this category archive we provide you as much information and valuable insights into the world of commodity trading.

We at Cannon Trading are here to help you with your commodity trading needs. You as a trader should select your commodity trading advisor only after performing a due diligence on him/her. We in fact do that for you. This way, you get only the best advice to help you with your commodity trading.

We’ve got the information that you might need at every step of commodity trading, and you’ll find it all right here in the commodity trading section of our blog. Read up, and read on to get equipped!

Weekly Newsletter: Rate Futures Trading Contest + Levels for August 21st

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1159

 

Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!

In this issue:

  • Trading Resource of the Week – Rate Futures Trading Contest!
  • Hot Market of the Week – December Bean Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Micro NQ and ES Trading Systems
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

  • Trading Resource of the Week – : Simulated Trading Contest with Real Cash Prizes!!

Sign up to win up to $2500 in cash prize and practice your rate futures trading skills ( bonds, ten years, 5 years etc.)

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Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December soybean oil slowed its rally last months against the fall high and corrected. Now, the chart has recovered and is poised for another challenge of the fall and July highs. If we can break out to the upside with new sustained highs, we have a first upside PriceCount projection to the 68.51 area to aim for.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week

Are you interested in seeing how two different intraday trading systems perform in real time, live trading?
Cannon Trading offers you weekly updates on the results of these systems, which trade the MNQ (micro mini Nasdaq) and the ES (mini SP) respectively.
You can compare and contrast their strategies, risks, and returns, and decide which one suits your trading goals better. All you need is a minimum account size of $10,000 for the MNQ system and $25,000 for the ES system.
Sign Up for a Free Personalized Consultation with a Broker from Cannon Trading Company
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for August 21st, 2023
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Weekly Levels

 

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  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com 
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

 

Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Cycle Detrending: Can you use Cycles to fortify your trading acumen?

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Cycle Detrending: Can you use Cycles to fortify your trading acumen?

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

I have accumulated a small library of important works in the study of futures trading over the years so instead of writing about the week ahead as I normally do on Mondays, I thought I would change pace ( I was enjoying a long weekend out of town ) so today, based on the work of Walt Bressert and The Foundation for the study of Cycles (Cycles.org) ,Jake Bernstein and others, I thought it would be important to briefly discuss another layer of technical analysis we all could use when trading becomes too myopic. The study of Cycles, simply put Cycle study is dedicated to the study of recurring patterns in the economy, markets, natural sciences and the Arts.  We are not looking to trade the big bottoms and tops that occur as the trend reverses, but the bottoms and tops of the shorter-term cycles occurring in the direction of TREND. One tool to identify the cycles within a trend is called “Centered Detrending” With “CD” you can visibly observe cycle bottoms and tops. Because this takes the mystery out of cycles you can look back over a considerable amount of time(History) and see the consistency and tradability of cycles. Most trading cycles in the futures markets tend to cluster between 18 and 22 bars. What we want to do is CD the chart and calculate a moving average the same length as the potential trading cycle. But instead of plotting the Moving Avg. (MA) from the last day it should be centered in the middle of the cycle; for instance if it is a 20 day MA, move it back 10 days from the most recent close. this will show you a linear representation of the cycles relative to price movement.

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You are half way home now, since this will only show historical cycles it can’t be used for real-time trading. You now will need an Oscillator to overlay. To use an oscillator to identify cycle tops and bottoms look for three characteristics: (there are a number of oscillators on your trading platform, play around with a few)

  1. The oscillator turns when prices turn
  2. The oscillator does not “wiggle” much at cycle tops and bottoms
  3. The oscillator has amplitude moves that take it to the extremes of an allowable range as the cycles bottom and top..      I hope this gives you a different perspective to learn best how to trade a trend. My compliments to the decades of analysis put out there by Bressert, Bernstein , Edward Dewey Chief Economist for the Hoover admins Dept. of Commerce.

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-17-2023

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

The Week Ahead for Commodities + Trading Levels for August 15th 2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General: 

 

As the duel between the United States and China continues, seemingly on several fronts, a new sign emerged the first half of the year: China’s imports to the U.S. accounted for the smallest percentage of goods arriving here in 20 years.  Just 13.3% of all imports to the U.S. came from China the first half of 2023.  Compare that to its peak of 21.6% for all of 2017 and its low point of 12.1% in 2013.  The downturn is not due to any list of stand-out products or industries, nor has any country or small number of countries jumped up to import a bigger share of anything.  Rather, slow-moving supply chain shifts across dozens of industries and nations are driving the trend.  When the dollar values of exports and imports are combined, Mexico is now America’s no. 1 trading partner, followed by Canada, pushing China to third place.

 

Last Thursday, the Labor Department reported the consumer-price index increased 0.2% in July, the same as in June. That is down sharply year-over-year looking at the 1.2% gain in June 2022.  If the downward trend continues – now over a year from its June 2022 peak reading of 9.1%, inflation is on a path to draw near the Federal Reserve’s 2% target by late 2023 or early 2024.

 

What could stand in the way of that trend?  Geopolitical events and weather could impact food and energy prices.

 

After Saudi Arabia and Russia announced reductions in their oil production last month, unleaded gas prices, which tend to lag behind crude oil prices, traded to 1-year highs on Friday (basis September) within less than two cents of $3.00 per gallon.

 

Further regarding Russia, last month it withdrew from a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea and has since attacked key port facilities in Odesa.  Ukraine is one of the world’s largest grain suppliers including 13% of global corn exports and the 12% of wheat.

 

Add to all this, scientists watching the periodic climate pattern called El Niño are now anticipating it arriving this winter more likely as “moderate,” and possibly a “strong” event than how they assessed conditions in May.  Ocean surface temperatures in the central Pacific Ocean have warmed enough off the coast of South America to trigger an El Niño, meaning possibly a warmer, dryer winter here in the U.S. and higher temperatures globally. This can cause disruptions to crops in some of the world’s most important commodities sources.

 

Keltner Channels, Volume Charts, Algo Signals – Trade Set Up

  • Watch the 5 minute video below in which I share a trading set up I like, using volume charts, candle sticks, Keltner Channels and proprietary ALGOs for trading signals.

Volume charts, candle sticks, Keltner Channels and proprietary ALGOs for trading signals.

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-15-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Learn a Trade Set Up + Futures Levels 8.14.2023

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1158

 

Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!

In this issue:

  • Trading Resource of the Week – Keltner Channels, Volume Charts – Trade Set Up
  • Hot Market of the Week – September Dollar Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Platinum Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

  • Trading Resource of the Week – Keltner Channels, Volume Charts, Algo Signals – Trade Set Up

Watch the 5 minute video below which share a trading set up I like, using volume charts, candle sticks, Keltner Channels and proprietary ALGOs for trading signals.

Download a FREE demo of the SAME EXACT platform used in the demo here. Real time data.

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Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
September Dollar Index stabilized its sharp break last months and has been recovering higher since. The chart is also activated upside PriceCount objectives, the first count projects a run to the 102.96 area, consistent with a challenge of the early July highs.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
PRODUCT
Platinum
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$20,000
COST
USD 115 / monthly
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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Sign Up for a Free Personalized Consultation with a Broker from Cannon Trading Company
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for August 14th, 2023
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Weekly Levels

 

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  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com 
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

 

Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

PPI, Michigan inflation + Trading Levels 8.11.2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Trading levels for August 11th, 2023 – PPI as well as Univ. of Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations tomorrow.

Looks like market dynamics and pace of trading may have changed?

After more than a few weeks of range bound choppy trading in stock indices futures, today’s session had much larger range, faster speed and higher volatility and volume.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-11-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

CPI + Trading Levels for August 10, 2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

CPI + Trading Levels for August 10th 2023

CPI tomorrow at 7:30 AM Central time. Market moving report.

Why Traders Care?

Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment

Derived Via The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling;

Acro Consumer Price Index (CPI);

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-10-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Week Ahead: What to Watch Out For + Trading Levels for August 8th 2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead, by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A sleepy week for market moving info EXCEPT!….     if you are trading the financial futures products you look for earnings reports and economic numbers to fuel the big moves you can profit ( or lose…) from, this week we have….

Well, the major earnings reports seem to be behand us but we still have companies that are proxies for gauging economic health,  this week’s biggest one is UPS, on Tuesday before the open.   Yellow trucking is bankrupt, what say UPS and it’s delivery wagons?  I snipped this from Seeking Alpha The consensus EPS estimate is $2.50 and the consensus revenue estimate is $23.12 billion.

  • Over the last 2 years, UPS has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 63% of the time.

Fewer economic numbers this week but we have a whopper on Thursday early, July CPI will be released at 7:30 am CDT

PPI is on Friday morning and for you stalwart grain traders Friday @ 9:00 CDT WASDE, Crop production and USDA Supply and Demand , these numbers are critical to marketing efforts this time of year and could create large price swings call you broker and ask about grain options before the reports to take advantage of Friday Grain Volatility and beyond!

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-08-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NFP – Non Farm Payrolls Tomorrow – Futures Trading on August 4th

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

NFP, Non Farm payrolls or Unemployment numbers will be released tomorrow at 7:30 AM central. This is currently he biggest report as fed policy depends quite a bit on the labor market.

Be aware of the report, what market is expecting and how the market reacts.

I normally like to be flat 2 minutes before and stay that way for few minutes after until the “smoke clears” but every trader is different.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) Measures Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry;

Usual Effect ‘Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for currency;

Frequency Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; Next Release Sep 1, 2023

Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;

Why Traders Care? Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;

Also Called Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-04-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

3e5b82f1 e305 4814 b76c 53811b346cc8

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Rest of the Trading Week: What to Watch Out For + Trading Levels for August 3rd 2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Rest of the Trading Week, by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

 

The answer is: Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Singapore and Australia.

The question is: name the remaining countries whose credit is rated AAA by all three ratings companies – S&P Global, Fitch and Moody’s – after Fitch downgraded the United States’ debt rating from its top-tier AAA, down to AA+.

 

Among the contributing factors leading to the downgrade, Fitch cited, “the expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, a high and growing general government debt burden, and the erosion of governance . . . that has manifested in repeated debt limit standoffs and last-minute resolutions.”

 

Remember in 2011, even though at that time a debt-limit deal was reached, S&P Global lowered the U.S.’s credit rating from AAA down to AA+ and it has not recovered since.

 

Canada is rated AAA by two of the ratings companies.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

Probably not surprisingly, as of this typing, stock indexes reacted negatively to the ratings news with the E-mini Dow Jones losing more than 300 points, roughly a 2% haircut. The E-mini Nasdaq is off ±325 points, a similar 2% correction.

 

Energy:

 

As the stock market foundered, crude oil felt weak in the knees as well and by mid-session, the September contract had sold off $3.00 per barrel from its Sunday opening. This despite today’s EIA crude oil stocks report showing a 17 million barrel reduction in U.S. crude stocks; the largest drop in inventories since 1982.

 

Grains:

 

After trading within 13 cents of its April 2022 highs last week, November soybeans factored in an expected conga line of wet weather fronts moving broadly over the U.S. Midwest and sold off ±$1.00 down to ±$13.25/bushel, a $5,000 per contract move, the bulk of which comprised just three trading sessions. Estimates for this year’s crop are a virtual wild card given the approach of August, its most critical growing period, so expect volatile price movement throughout.

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-03-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

3d697f7b c0af 4f39 8307 1e6cba2d59e7

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Week Ahead: What to Watch Out For + Trading Levels for August 1st 2023

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The Week Ahead, by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

“Non Farm Payrolls and may the good Earnings continue.”

For roughly the half way mark in this earnings season, believe it or not, earnings are following expectations and declining for the third straight quarter.

Let me say that again, AS EXPECTED, earnings are declining for the third straight quarter. As expected, according to FACTSET the largest quarterly earnings decline since Q2 2020 is @ -7.3% projected this quarter for all combined reports. But Wait! the indices are high fliers? !! for the year the Nasdaq is up 36%, the S&P is up 20% and the Dow is up nearly 7%.

Why? The economic data continues to surprise to the upside, When Bad is not as bad as expectations”? and after street pundits have been calling for a recession over the past 18 months and the Labor market still characterized as “tight” by Fed Chair Powell last week we have a dichotomy in Fiction vs Fact that is driving prices higher as a “softlanding” with perhaps nary a recession will result from all the fed tightening when the Fed Board declares inflation whipped is gaining traction with some economists.

The tight labor market is keeping the recession from creeping into our economy,  BTW earnings expectations have been largely muted and the bar substantially lowered however, earnings so far, even though the lowest since Q@ 2020, have exceeded analysts expectations over 80% of the time this quarter.

This week AMD, CAT PFEW SBUX report after the close on Tuesday. AAPL and AMZN report Thursday after the close.

On the Economic Data front the biggest reports are employment based, JOLTS 9AM CDT Tuesday, ADP 7:15 CDT Wednesday, Jobless Claims at 7:30 am CDT and the big Monthly NonFarm Payrols on Friday @ 7:30 CDT

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-01-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG
#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

 

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

6d3cdb39 3873 405f 8aa5 d719a0fc903b

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.