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Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
February natural gas accelerated off its December low to complete its third upside PriceCount objective before settling back with a corrective trade. Now, the chart is threatening to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the low percentage fourth upside count to the 4.44 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
We have a new futures contract. It started trading on Monday. This is the Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas futures contract and corresponding options.
To quote directly from the CME Group web site, “The introduction of Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas futures and options responds directly to customer demand for a smaller, more precise instrument for managing natural gas price exposure. At one-tenth the size of the benchmark Henry Hub (NG) contract, Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas futures and options offer more granularity and smaller margin requirements with the same robust transparency and price discovery of the larger Henry Hub contracts.”
Follow the link below to the contract’s full contract specifications on the CME Group web site:
Heads up: most FCM’s / clearing firms, including the five FCM’s Cannon Trading Co. partners with, will monitor a new futures contract for sufficient liquidity before making it available to its clients. Give Cannon Trading a call to find out the availability of the contract.
Energy:
Incidentally, natural gas (basis Dec.) dropped ±50 cents (a ±$5,000 move) over the last six trading sessions to ±$3.10 /mmBtu. down to new 2-year lows on forecasts for above-normal temps. across the U.S. for the next fifteen days and continental U.S. production remaining near all-time highs,”
Financials:
Stock index futures are struggling today to extend their longest winning streak in two years – clocking seven straight daily gains – as we approach the close of trading. At this typing, the E-mini S&P 500 is trading just a few ticks either side of unchanged, while the E-mini Dow Jones and E-mini Nasdaq are slightly off.
More energy:
Crude oil extended its more than 2-week sell-off to its lowest level in over three months. From an intraday high of $89.85 per barrel on Oct. 20, the front month traded through $75.00 per barrel this morning – a ±$15.00 per barrel / $15,000 per contract move.
DAILY CHART BELOW
News pushing prices south include global demand worries, record U.S. production and ebbing supply concerns surrounding the Gaza conflict.
Given its ability to create a ripple effect, the ±15% price decline dragged U.S. pump prices down to levels not seen since March. It has also helped rein in inflation expectations and worrisome bond yields.
While this paints a picture that fears are subsiding that a wider conflict could be emerging in the Middle East and disrupt supplies, traders should remain on high alert for signs to the contrary.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
All traders will begin with a virtual account of $100,000.00 Your goal: increase the balance to as much as possible by the conclusion of the competition.
Top three traders with the highest P&L balance at the end will get a cash prize.
One winner will be chosen from the remaining participants to receive a cash prize.
The prizes to the winners shall be awarded in the form of a check (or any other form as reasonably determined by StoneX) and sent to the winner within ten business days of receiving the required tax documentation.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
After starting the year near $72 per barrel, by June, West Texas crude oil (Jan. ’23 futures contract) climbed to its highs above $108 per barrel. Today, Jan. crude oil traded to an intraday low of $71.75, a ±$36 per barrel (±$36,000) leap and fall.
Not to be out don’t, after breaching $10.00 per million British thermal units in early August, natural gas traded below $5.34 intraday yesterday, a whopping ±46% cut in the asset’s value and a ±$46,000 move for a single futures contract (Jan. ’23 futures contract).
Metals:
Albeit experiencing a slight correction this week so far, gold (Feb. ’23 futures contract) managed to hold nearly all of its ±$170 rally through $1,800 per ounce off its multi-year lows of early November near $1,635 per ounce – a ±$17,000 move in one month.
Announcements:
Keep an eye on the calendar for important U.S. government reports this Friday, starting with the Labor Department’s release of its Producer Price Index showing the cost of wholesale goods and services. The reading reflects what companies pay for supplies such as grains, fuel, metals, lumber, packaging and so forth. This is a key inflation gauge in the midst of four-decade high wholesale prices. Release time: 7:30 A.M., Central Time.
Also on Friday, the USDA will release its Crop Production Report along with its World Supply/Demand report (likely the more critical). It’s delivered at 11:00 A.M., Central Time.
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 12-08-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Feb. Gold #GC_F March Silver #SI_F Jan. Crude Oil #CL-F March Bonds #ZB_F March 10 yr #ZN_F March Corn #ZC_F March Wheat #ZW_F March Beans #ZS_F March SoyMeal #ZM_F Jan. Nat Gas #NG_F March Coffee #KC_F March Cocoa #CC_F March Sugar #SB_F March Cotton #CT_F March Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The natural gas market has seen volatility increase sharply over the past 8 weeks. Once it broke above 4.65 in early September, the market ventured into new territory with heightened volatility.
Supply crunch across the globe along with the seasonality of entering winter contributed to the rally and the pull back.
Notice how the front, Dec. contract bounced sharply off the major support/demand area at 4.70 and is now trading against the major supply area ( red line / moving average) at 5.44.
This market can go either way and do it relatively fast. Weather, supply chain news will determine next move.
A close above 5.44 can trigger retest of $6. Failure at the same level can send market towards the 4.65.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Other commodities like cotton and oats are also experiencing strong bull runs – is this due to in inflation? Supply chain fears? New “COVID world” environment?
Current levels to watch for on the major markets mentioned above:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.