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Tag: deep discount futures

Taking Clues from the VIX & Support and Resistance Levels 1.19.2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Correlational Observations of Indices Market Behavior.

VIX Volatility futures Index.

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
VIX futures expiration is a monthly occurrence. The expiration is somewhat varied, the remaining 2021 schedule is included below, typically, middle of the month on Wednesday mornings. Take a look at your daily chart for any of the indices and you see the sell offs during the week of or the week prior to VIX
 expiration days.
My belief is there would be a smaller probability of a correlational relationship during a Bear stock market, However, Since we are in the 12th year of a bull market, I believe the underling price action is created by portfolio managers rolling their hedges and adjusting their risk for the coming month. They often use the week prior to Short the VIX at higher prices (lower equity index prices) for the first week of the new VIX contract month as they are buying back their old contract shorts pushing the VIX prices higher, thereby pushing negative sentiment into the marketplace. If there are more extreme price movements in their favor, they will elect to have the hedges expire to cash as the contracts are financially settled.
Coincidentally, to the recent market sell off January VIX expires Wednesday morning 19th at 8:00 a.m. CDT
19 January 2022
16 February 2022
15 March 2022 (Tuesday, due to Good Friday on 15 April 2022)
20 April 2022
18 May 2022
15 June 2022
20 July 2022
17 August 2022
21 September 2022
19 October 2022
16 November 2022
21 December 2022

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01-19-2022

Support and Resistance Levels 1.18.2022


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Economic Indicators 1.18.2022

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Fed Chair Testimony Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 1.11.2021

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

More than a few FED Personnel will be talking tomorrow which can move the markets at times. Please see insight by my colleague John Thorpe, Senior Broker below:

Fed Chair Testimony tomorrow morning , 10:00 a.m. EST Tomorrow , January 11th, Jerome Powell will be speaking at 10:00 a.m. EST Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs in the U.S. Senate , Prepare yourselves and trading accounts for statements designed to provide calm in lieu of the recent market turbulence. The difficulty for Powell, unlike his recent speech about the Fed minutes, which is written ahead of time, is this “testimony” will be ad lib. My belief is the markets will react more intensely to Chairman Powell’s testimony than the volatility we saw during the January 5th minutes of the December 14-15 2021 policy meeting. Markets have been traveling largely in one direction since that moment in time. Equity indices lower, Bonds and notes lower, Metals lower, food stuffs lower.. Be careful during this time frame and expect unexpected market reactions in many of the markets we are trading during his nomination testimony.

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01-11-2022

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 1.10.2022

 


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

Better Trader Economic Indicators 1.11.2022

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1080: 5 Big Mistakes Beginners Should Avoid Making & Futures Support and Resistance Levels for the Week ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1080

Dear Traders,

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Here are some great reminders to start the trading year of 2022.

Trading 101: 5 Big Mistakes Beginners Should Avoid Making

Trading Futures Is A Tough Business, But If You Are One Of The Very Few That Can Succeed, This Could Be A Lucrative Business As Well
Ilan Levy-Mayer |SmallCapPower I have seen quite a bit since I became a broker in 1998. Some war stories to share about the markets, some crazy moves and much more in between. I was trading futures with clients on the sad Sept. 11th 2001 day when the planes hit and the markets were plunging before they were closed for almost a week. I witnessed the meat contracts making limit up and limit down moves over the years and much more…..
As a commodity broker I have observed MANY traders, many of them were new traders, and this allows me to share with you some valuable observations I hope will help you start your futures trading journey on a much smoother road than most.
Here are the FIVE CRUCIAL MISTAKES you need to avoid!
Don’t wait… sign up NOW!
WorldCup Trading Championships 2022

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01.03.2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

“Cut Your Losses Short” Advice from an Ex Floor Broker

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

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Cut Your Losses Short – Quick but important advice by John Thorpe, Senior Broker and ex floor broker:

As Brokers we see too many self directed accounts under stress because losses are allowed to run.
I am not quite sure what the logic is, or even if there is logic attached to the decision to hang on to losing trade Ideas, and many times doubling up or even tripling up on the losing position. Invariably, when there is no more money left, the client is forced out only to see the market finally turn.
One of the traders Jack D. Schwager interviewed for his first Market Wizards book had this quote and a dose of reality.
I tend to cut bad trades as soon as possible, forget them, and then move on to new opportunities. The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you follow these three rules, you may have a chance. – Ed Seykota
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-09-2021

 

Futures Trading Support and Resistance Levels 11.09.2021


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

Better Trader Economic Reports 11.09.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Non Farm Payroll Report Out Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 11.04.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

NFP – Non Farm Payroll report out tomorrow at 5:30 AM ( lucky us on the west coast….) or 8:30 AM Eastern time.

This is probably the most watched market report each month and a market mover across the board!
Do your homework, be ready and if in doubt, stay out….
From ForexFactory.com:
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) Measures Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; Usual Effect’ Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; Next Release Dec 3, 2021
FF Notes This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;
Why Traders
Care
Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
Also Called Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change;
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-05-2021

Futures Support and resistance trading levels 11.05.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1073: Using Tick/Volume charts and Oscillators for Scalping & Trading Levels for the Week Ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1073

Dear Traders,

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Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!

 

Day Trading 201: Using Tick/Volume charts and Oscillators for Scalping

Using tick charts and oscillators for day-trading (by Ilan Levy-Mayer VP of Cannon Trading and CTA at Levex.net )
I really don’t think anyone has found a “perfect way” to day-trade.
Different techniques work well in different market environment.
In this week short educational feature, I will touch on one technique you can add to your trading arsenal. This technique works better on choppy, two sidedway and/or volatile markets. It does NOT work well when the market has a strong trend.
The chart below illustrates a few principals I like:
  1. It uses a tick chart rather than a time chart. I like tick charts ( range bar, volume charts, renko) better when day-trading shorter time frames for the simple reason it already includes a big factor in the market, VOLUME. If you are using a 5 minute chart for example, you may get signals simply because time “has passed” and certain indicators you are using adopt certain values. When using tick charts during periods where there are lots of movement, you won’t have to wait until your time frame bar closes to get your signal, volume becomes a bigger more important part of your trading decision.
  2. The other part for this trading approach is to use overbought/ oversold indicators in an attempt to catch exhuastion in selling or buying and catch the counter trend move. Sometimes that move will be minor, sometimes it will be a trend reversal and at other times just a little pause in a strong trend….no crystal balls here, just another tool to observe and consider in your trading. In the PDF you will see the same indicators, same market, same time frame BUT using different type of charts…..

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-01.2021

 

Futures Levels 11.01.2021

Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

Weekly Newsletter #1037 Day Trading Mind Traps, Crude Oil Outlook/Chart and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead 2.01.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1037

Dear Traders,

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Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Trading 102: Day Trading Mind Traps 
“One way our brain helps keep us safe is to protect us from an awareness of our weaknesses. The brain believes that it is better to be falsely confident than recognize the real risks. This protective mechanism tends to work against us in trading.” Kenneth Reid, Ph.D
MINDING THE MIND
The mind can play tricks on us. Intuitive Trading is an attempt to mind read the market, which makes us susceptible to whipsaws. Hindsight Bias causes traders to underestimate the difficulty of trading, while Competency Bias causes us to over-estimate our abilities. These are mental banana peels that set us up for a fall.
INTUITIVE TRADING
Intuitive trading is a natural response to excessive randomness and non-linearity in the market. But making informed guesses is not the same as formulating a rule-based pattern-recognition system that gives a trader a true edge. Without a rule-based plan, intuitive traders expend a great deal of energy mindreading the market, which will not improve your odds of success. In fact, professional traders make a good living exploiting the emotionally-driven behavior of intuitive amateurs.
The Bull / Bear Camps for crude oil
by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
For the bulls, when you’re hanging on to news from China that they’ve seen meaningful declines in crude oil stockpiles at key ports and increased refinery run rates playing catch-up to demand, that’s not a strong hand.
The new Biden Administration’s move to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline will likely elicit a muted response as its demise had been generally expected. Covid-related news continues to influence market sentiment, so the new South African variant and its impact on the global health crisis is ammunition for the bear camp. As well, last week’s Baker Hughes US oil rig count rose from 236 up to 289 rigs, within striking distance of the highest U.S. count since early May. It’s rational to view any intra-day price spikes with skepticism. Still, the bulls are not without their own home-court ammunition. Since the Nov./Dec. holidays, U.S. demand has improved and supplies have tightened per this week’s EIA report of a 9.9 million barrel inventory decline.
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

2-01-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021 - 2.05.2021

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Weekly Reports 1.29.2021 - 2.05.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in tradin

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.