If one has to define financial futures, it is pretty simple. A financial future is basically a futures contract agreed upon on a short term or long term rate of interest. There are a number of representative financial futures contracts. Financial futures trading also requires you to understand some typical financial terms and terminology. Most popular are the treasury bonds futures in this category. Under this category archive, you will be able to learn and understand the different aspects of financial futures, through the write-ups we have listed for the readers.
Cannon Trading can provide assistance. We can provide you with professional advice and help. Whether you approach us for consultation on day trading, crude oil trading or for advice on financial futures, we can give you the answers and solutions that qualify us as one of the best. Another resource that we help you out with is information and knowledge based category archives. This particular category of blogs features extensive and exclusive information on financial futures. Read about it and equip yourself!
The Earnings tail this week will include SalesForce on Wednesday and Dell, a dividend pick for tech stocks, on Thursday. LuLulemon reports on Thursday.
Friday the Big news will not come from the earnings front It is that time of the month again, time for NFP. Similar to the JOLTs release earlier in the week, watching how NFP comes out could have a strong impact on the market. The last two reports have been revised down in the following weeks and if this one follows suit could provide some sell pressure in the general market. If however, this comes in as a beat, it’s possible the market rallies on a strong jobs report.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Resource of the Week – Filter Noise with Price Confirmation
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ZB Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Trading Resource of the Week – Entering futures using stop orders as “price confirmation”
By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
Watch video below on how you can possibly filter out some of the losing trades by using STOP orders as a way to ENTER trades ( rather than the typical stop loss use).
Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
The Week Ahead: FOMC, The FED breaks its Silence..
By John Thorpe, Senior broker
There is little doubt traders will be tightly focused on the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The release of the meeting statement at 14:00 ET on Wednesday will settle speculation about whether Fed voters will pause interest rate hikes or take rates higher for the eighth meeting in a row. If the Committee raises rates, by how much? Will it be a 25 or 50 basis points?
Powell’s press briefing at 14:30 ET on Wednesday will be the first opportunity for the press to ask of the Fed Chair about recent turmoil in the banking sector. Most of the news became public just as Fed officials entered the communications blackout period for the next rate announcement (midnight, Saturday March 12 through midnight, Thursday, March 23). Unless there was an urgent need to alter the signals previously given about the direction of monetary policy, it is not a topic that Powell would speak about publicly until after the meeting. Powell is likely to get as many questions about the state of the banking industry in the US as he will about the FOMC decision and forecast. My Favorite tool is the CME FedWatch tool.
The bar graphs represent the fed fund futures prices and adjust daily. As of this writing, according to the tool, there is a 28% chance of no change and a 71% chance of .25 increase, although some economists do expect a .50% increase, the market is discounting that faction and focusing on Zero change or a .25 bump. CME FedWatch Tool – CME Group
Beyond the FOMC data this week, we have some housing data that my cause our markets to flinch, Existing home sales tomorrow @ 9:00am CDT. Expectations are for a gentle rise from January’s numbers to 4.17 million units. With initial claims for unemployment on Thursday @7:30 CDT before New Home sales @ 9am CDT. Have a safe trading week, Plan your trade and trade your plan.
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What Traders need to Know to Finish the Trading Week:
By Mark O’Brien, Senior broker
Crude oil futures prices plunged more than $5.50 a barrel intraday today – touching a low of $65.65 (basis April) – to their lowest in more than a year as news that Credit Suisse’s biggest shareholder, Saudi National Bank, said it would not make further investments in the firm, sending the Swiss lender’s stock plunging ±27% and adding to the already extreme turmoil in the banking sector from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last week here in the U.S.
In turn, gold futures prices climbed over 1% intraday with the April contract topping $1,942.50 per ounce intraday, it’s highest price since early February. Conversely, Copper futures lost ±11 cents / pound – over 4% intraday – with the May futures contract touching $3.84 / lb. matching prices from early January and extending a near month-long ±40-cent / $10,000 decline.
Not surprisingly, with the banking sector hitting rough seas this last week, treasuries have once again assumed their safe-haven status with the 30-yr. T-bond futures contract soaring ±10 full basis points ±$10,000 over the last nine trading days to March 3 and sending the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield tumbling to near 3.5%
Significant volatility looks to be the order of the day for the near term across the major financial futures sectors – stock indexes, interest rates, currencies – as well as metals and energies. Up next, the FOMC meeting this coming Tuesday/Wednesday.
Be Careful out there, Plan your trade and trade your plan!
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The below commentary about tomorrow’s FOMC minutes is provided by www.NewSquawk.com
FOMC MINUTES (WED): After economic data for January highlighted a hot economy where inflation appears to be sticky, traders will look through the minutes for clues about how the central bank could respond, specifically looking at any commentary that indicates officials have appetite for rate hikes to resume with jumbo increments above 25bps, or even expectations of a higher terminal rate for the cycle. As a reminder, the Fed hiked its FFR by 25bps to 4.5-4.75% at its February meeting, as expected.
The statement said the central bank continues to see “ongoing increases” in the Fed rate as being appropriate, coming against some expectations that the line could be dropped in order to give optionality for a lower terminal rate than the 5-5.25% median dot in the December SEPs. While that didn’t happen, we did see a switch in language on guidance from the “pace of future increases” to the “extent of future increases,” suggesting that debate is moving from the size of hike increments to how many hikes remain in the cycle, a dovish offset to the continued use of “ongoing increases”. Elsewhere in the statement, the Fed acknowledged that inflation had eased
somewhat, but remained elevated. Chair Powell sat on the fence on many topics he was asked about in his postmeeting press conference, rather than cut off his options.
The Fed Chair confirmed that the disinflation process was underway, albeit he was eager to highlight that core services inflation, ex-housing, had not shown progress. He believes that policy is still not ‘sufficiently restrictive’, but left optionality by stressing data dependence, later saying that it is possible that the Fed updates its policy path if the data came in differently to what it expects. Powell said the Fed has not yet made a decision on the terminal rate, and that it will look at the data between now and the March SEPs.
The Fed chief sees a path to getting inflation to 2% without significant economic decline, though it could take more slowing in the economy than it expects.
The below commentary about tomorrow’s FOMC minutes is provided by www.NewSquawk.com
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What to Expect the Last Two Trading Days of the Week
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General: albeit the eighth straight interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve since last March, today’s 25-basis point increase was the smallest move of the streak – with its target range now set to 4.5 – 4.75 percent. In its policy statement, Central Bank officials signaled that while “inflation has eased somewhat,” the fight against inflation has not come to an end and that the Fed “will stay the course until the job is done.” Translation: more hikes are on the way.
Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund raised its 2023 global growth outlook slightly, from their last projected contraction to 2.9% form 2022, to a slightly less discouraging 2.7%. They pointed to “surprisingly resilient” demand in the United States and Europe, an easing of energy costs and the reopening of China’s economy after Beijing abandoned its strict COVID-19 restrictions.
Tomorrow the European Central Bank will meet to determine their own next move in that region’s battle against inflation. They’re almost certain to notch rates up another 50 basis points up to 2.5 percent on their deposit facility, as it’s termed. And similar to the attention paid to Fed chair Jerome Powell’s words, all ears will be honed in on ECB President Christine Lagarde’s communications on the central bank’s guidance and future decisions.
All this is taking place amidst the backdrop of slight improvements in U.S. and Chinese economic expectations. One could make the case that the green shoots indicating signs of improvement for the economy mentioned in the Jan. 18 blog at the very least haven’t withered.
And speaking of not withering, while the outlook for the South American soybean crop remains a concern, traders have started removing the weather premium from prices.
This could contribute to an asset-wide decline in volatility and leave markets prone to trending – up or down.
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Chart below is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Tomorrow is also the last trading day of the month – busy day with different reports and Fed’s Powell speaking..
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 11-30-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Financials: Given Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell’s statements at last week’s Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, where he reiterated the Fed.’s commitment to halting inflation and that “some pain” will come to the U.S. economy as a result, U.S. and other global stock markets, while lower this week, have been measured and arguably not anxiety-filled. At least for the time being, traders seem to have factored in continued interest rate hikes by our central bank and other countries’ and slower, possibly even recessionary conditions. That was read into Wednesday’s ADP private payrolls report that showed a deceleration in jobs creation (132,000 in August).
Next up: the closely watched Non-farm payrolls report this Friday, widely considered to be one of the most important measures of the U.S. economy. A survey of economists forecast an increase of 318,000 new jobs (median estimate).
Metals: Dec. gold traded through $1,700/oz this morning, marking its longest monthly losing streak in four years, and Dec. silver tumbled to $17.40 intraday – a more than two-year low – as traders expect rising interest rates will persist making Treasury bonds and the U.S. dollar more attractive.
Lumber: Rising interest rates and a strong U.S. dollar have weighed on other commodity prices. Basis the Nov. futures contract, lumber prices have been slashed by more than half since their early-Feb. highs of ±$1,000/board foot, trading to $460/board foot intraday today – to its life-of-contract low. Credit weak demand as well, with a cooling housing market and falling new home construction.
Energy: Crude oil (Dec.) continued it’s steep sell-off this week – losing ±$10/barrel over the last three days – returning to near its mid-August/5-month lows near $86.00/barrel. The market seems dogged by softening demand with several major cities in China seeing new Covid restrictions, including the total lockdown of Chengdu with ±20 million people.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Energy: September Natural gas touched $10.028 per million British thermal units intraday yesterday, a 14-yr. high. It closed at $9.193 – a ± $9,000 per contract correction off its highs, yet still more than twice the price a year ago.
Financials: If you turn to any financial news source, you’d think the only thing traders are thinking about this week is the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual Economic Policy Symposium. This is a 3-day gathering of about 120 economists and policy makers from government agencies and academia – including many central bankers – from around the world. It all takes place in Jackson Hole, Wyoming starting tomorrow.
Why is it important? The symposium kicks off with a speech given by the Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, currently Jerome Powell. While not an FOMC meeting where central bank policy is communicated and interest rates are set, the speech has become an opportunity to define the Fed’s. comprehensive policy approach on a global stage to a far-reaching audience. Thus, it has become highly anticipated – arguably more so than past symposium speeches given the current historic rise in inflation globally, and particularly in the U.S. and Europe. Probably the overarching question traders are listening for Chair Powell to answer (he almost certainly will not come right out and say it) is whether the Fed will raise rates by 50 or 75 basis points when Federal Reserve members meet in September to consider monetary policy.
Ten Year Notes Daily Chart below ( click image for larger chart):
Ten year notes downside pressure. Close below 117.070 on an hourly basis cam trigger 116.060 pretty quick. My speculation.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The 10 year note has been a benchmark of the mortgage industry and the CBOT division of the CME has had a 10 yr note futures contract for nearly 35 years it is based on a 6% coupon and a $100,000.00 face value. the symbol is ZNU22. the initial margin is 1980.00 per 100,000.. Now you can trade the micro version and this one is yield based rather than Price based so for some, it will be easier to recognize against the current media stream of interest rate quotes on a percentage yield basis. If you have an opinion on the direction of interest rates, this is a low margin cost solution and the symbol is 10YN2 for the July contract that is cash(financially) settled! today’s last price is 2.965 or the rate of the 10 year note you would expect to see rather than 118.16 that represents the full sized contract.
The initial requirement is currently $264.00 it makes sense to have a few contracts running in the background of your portfolio to hedge interest rate price risk. the exchange lists the first 2 months rather than a quarterly cycle for you to trade.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
