Using Trailing Stops to Manage your Risk & Support and Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

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FOMC tomorrow. Do your homework, look at price action during the last few FOMCs.
Also we will have a LIVE WEBINAR with live price action post FOMC and see in real time what type of information price action and order flow provide. Register here.

A Trailing stop Tweak   by John Thorpe, Senior Broker:

When traders decide to deploy trailing stops, they may decide to take a look at avg truer range to determine volatility of the market so they have a better gauge of how much to risk on each trade and how likely, if they are correct about the direction, will they be to successfully set the trailing distance. Tweak your stops to reduce the risk to your Net Liquidating Value.
               Whatever indicator or set of indicators you like to use to determine how many points the market must travel before your stop automatically modifies and moves to your new “Protection Level”, I think all traders agree when this happens, we have a winning trade on the books., Typically the worst we will get filled when the market does change direction, with a little slippage is a trade that finishes in the black!
               What happens when the stop doesn’t trail, a hard stop is elected the market takes the position out, with a little slippage, below our breakeven? The trade ends in the red.
Whether you trail or use a hard stop, stops are part of risk management and in my opinion, essential to long range trading success: use stops or trailing stops.  If the stop never trails, the trade will end with a predetermined loss,(less slippage and fees) , Some people like to set stops after they enter the market, (some say they do but rarely will). I do.
The importance of using stops can not be understated. What I do once I have determined how many ticks I will use for my trailer, is to place the Trailing stop LESS THAN my hard coded distance E.g. hard coded trailing distance is 20, I will place the stop at 12 or 14. That way, if the market modifies the stop at least once, the trade will do better than break even by 6 or 8 points less fees rather than getting stopped at breakeven less fees.  If the stop modifies twice then I have the potential for a 34 to 36 point gain on this trade, less fees. If the position gets stopped I will not take a 20 point loss, rather a 14 to 16 point loss.
If we always place the trailing stop at the same distance when we initiate our entry trade, we will always do worse than breakeven if we get stopped out.  If you loosen your trailer and tighten your entry, you might just turn the account from red to black.
Our free platform, E-Futures Int’l offers trailing stops as one of the order types as you can see below. Sign up for a FREE, Realtime data demo here.

E-Futures Demo

 

Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar

 

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-22-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

BetterTrader Reports 9.21.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Large Swings & Big Intraday Moves, Reminder of Limit Moves & Circuit Breakers & Support and Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

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Separator

Some very large swings and intra-day moves across more than a few markets!
Volatility is increasing.
When that happens, my personal opinion says:
*Reduce trade size
*Be a bit more stubborn in entry points with the thought of, “No trade is better than a bad trade”
Just in case….Here is a refresher about limit moves and circuit breakers:
A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session.  When markets hit the price limit, different actions can occur depending on the product being traded. Markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded, they may remain in a limit condition or they may stop trading for the day, based on regulatory rules.
CME Group U.S. equity index price limits (and corresponding CME and CBOT rules) are designed to coordinate with circuit breakers provisions as applied by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
  • 7%, 13%, and 20% price limits are applied to the futures fixing price and are effective from 8:30 a.m. CT – 2:25 p.m. CT. Mondays through Fridays. From 2:25 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. CT, only the 20% price limit will be applied to the futures price fixing.
  • 7% up-and-down limits are effective 5:00 p.m. – 8:30 a.m. CT. Sundays through Fridays; and 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. CT, Mondays through Fridays. Between 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. the 7% price limit will not be allowed to breech the 20% daily limit.
  • The fixing price is the volume weighted average price, VWAP, calculated during the 30 seconds of trading from 2:59:30 p.m. – 3:00:00 p.m. CT. View Equity Index Fixing Prices page
If you don’t understand how the circuit breakers/ price limits work…make sure you call us and talk to a broker at + 1 310 859 9572, feel free to reach out even if you are not a current client – we will be happy to assist.
So we went from 6 weeks of lower volatility, overall higher stock prices to Dow being down over 1000 points at one point today!!
This is MAJOR alert in my opinion that market sentiment may have changed.
Be aware and if the below applies, you are in a better spot….
If you know how to take a loss.
If you know how to reduce trading size based on volatility.
If you know how to trade spreads ( NQ vs ES?)
If you understand options spreads.
THAN there are some very interesting set ups out there ( STILL with HIGHER RISK than normal). However if none of the above applies to you, the risks outweighs the potential opportunities. – PERSONAL opinion
On a different note, if you are NOT a Cannon client yet, you may want to read this recent review!!

Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-21-2021

Support & Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

BetterTrader Economic Reports 9.21.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Weekly Newsletter 1067: Intro to Crude Oil Futures and Financials & Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 9.20.2021

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1067

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Trading 101: Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk. Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities

Crude Oil Futures

ACCESS THE COURSE NOW By Clicking Here

 

Bookmap Real-time Order Flow Analysis

In this session, we’ll take a look at how to utilize Real-Time Order Flow Analysis while trading variety of futures with a focus on the liquid, smaller MICRO products.
Bruce Pringle, has been trading a variety of markets for over 10 years. He leads Bookmap’s trading education department and supports traders and professional educators.
Bruce has developed expertise in reading order flow and market microstructure.
In this webinar you will learn and see live examples:
• Learn how to read Order Flow
• See Stops and Iceberg transaction
  • How to Trade E-Micros from the E-Mini chart

Register Now as Seats are limited!

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-20-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 9.20.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Support and Resistance Levels

 

Trading Signals for commodities

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

October Natural Gas Rally and Review & Support and Resistance Levels 9.16.2021

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Wednesday Sept. 15th insight by Mark O’Brien, Cannon Senior Futures Broker:

Market Insight: Natural Gas

In just three weeks of trading (Aug. 25-today), Oct, natural gas has made a massive ±$1.50 rally ($15,000 per contract), doubling in price from a year earlier reaching prices not seen since early 2014. Yet, at ±$5.50 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), natural gas prices are a fraction of that in Europe and Asia where prices have approached $18.00-20.00 MMBtu! The fundamental bases for these high prices: the U.S. is behind schedule stocking up for the winter. At the same time, it’s an important exporter to Europe which is in its own precarious supply situation with storage for winter ±16% below its 5-yr. average.
What’s next for prices depends largely on what kind of winter is in store for the U.S. and Europe and the degree to which U.S. producers can ramp up on storage. Catching up on the 5-yr. average build-up will be closely monitored.

Daily Chart below

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Natural Gas Futures Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-16-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 9.16.2021

 

Futures Trading And Commodity Trading Daily Insight and Information via Facebook group
Did you know?
Cannon offers over 10 TRADING PLATFORMS CLICK HERE for a demo

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Market Insight: Possible Trades in the Eminis & Crude Oil; BookMap Webinar Signup & Support and Resistance Levels 9.15.2021

Dear Traders,

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Separator

Tuesday Sept. 14th insight by Austin LaChapelle, Cannon Futures Broker:

It seems institutions are on the sidelines waiting for the fed announcement next week. Maybe the quad witching will give an opportunity to go long the index futures into the FOMC meeting.
I see an opportunity to go long the Nasdaq futures at 15150 – That is my personal bias. That being said I am waiting in the weeds for ES futures. We are nearing points in the ES that I am going to call very important pivotal areas.
We have 4437.50-4439 and 4426-4427. Offers below both of those levels could get things rolling for a real nice sell off. Will you be ready?
Another market that I am looking at, is crude oil futures. I am looking ( again this is my personal opinion) to get short around 71.20 hopefully the report tomorrow will be the catalyst to get into the trade.
Right now I prefer trading the December contract and sometimes you get a little squeeze into the expiration of the front month. We will see if we can get these to align to hit my target below 68.85.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

 

Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-15-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Good Bye BIG S&P500 & Support and Resistance Levels 9.14.2021

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Separator

Good Bye BIG S&P500 by John Thorpe, senior broker:

A Swan song for the venerable FULL Size or BIG S&P 500 Futures contract.
The initial $500.00 per point then subsequently $250.00 per point S&P contract is done, over. Because the contract became unwittingly large as the index value increased, the CME will be delisting the “Big” S&P following this week’s expiration leaving the E-Mini and Micro E-mini contracts as its legacy to thrive.
The price of the index itself became too expensive for smaller investors and lead to the creation of the ES in 1997 and the MES in 2019 as index values soared from 959.90 on September 17th 1997 to 4450.00 as of Friday’s close.
This from the CME:
As announced on May 4, 2021, and subject to regulatory review, CME Group will delist its standard-size futures and options on futures contracts on the Standard and Poor’s 500 Stock Price Index (“standard-size contracts”) following the expiration of the September 2021 contracts on Friday, September 17, 2021. After the delisting of the standard-size contracts, the E-mini suite of futures and options on the S&P 500 Index will continue to meet the trading and risk management needs of customer

 

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-14-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 9.14.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

Futures Economic Indicators 9.14.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Weekly Newsletter 1066: Learning to Take a Loss when Trading & Support and Resistance Levels 9.13.2021 and for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1066

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Rollover Notice – December is Front Month!

 

Trading 201: To Become a Winning Trader, you Must Learn How to Lose…

 

Markets are constantly changing. The period of after Labor Day and into October can be more volatile at times. These Volatile Times Require MAJOR Adjustments In How You Approach Trading And Risk Management. I Hope This Article Helps And I Encourage You To Utilize Our Brokers And The Knowledge They Have To Assist You.. Contact Us
Many different factors go into trading. Too many to discuss efficiently in one blog post. Some relate to trading techniques, other to money management, mental aspect, risk capital and much more.
But one that sticks in my eyes is the inability to accept a loss. I see many clients who can make money and have days where they make money but when they lose, they lose much more, sometimes even losing control and losing a big portion of their account.
I am not sure how a trader can embed this into their trading mind, BUT in my opinion if you train your brain to expect losses, understand losses and that losing days will happen, you will increase your chances of surviving in this business, which in return will actually give you a chance to succeed….
Losses are part of trading and as long as your losses are part of the plan( AND RISK CAPITAL) and are quantified in advance and you can adhere to your rules, then you have a chance. I think it’s easy when traders are winning…making money etc.
Much harder when you lose or down. Your brain starts playing tricks on you…it tells you to double down, maybe reverse even though your analysis does not say so….all of a sudden you start pulling trades out of instinct, fear rather than a calculated plan that has solid risk/ reward. If a trader learns how to lose, to accept losses, to have realistic expectations, then he/ she can avoid having one of those terrible days when traders can lose almost of all their account.
I went into this subject and detailed day-trading money management in an article I wrote a few years back for SFO magazine. You can read the full article by filling out the form below

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-13-2021

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Weekly Levels

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Trading Signals for commodities

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

ROLLOVER for all Stock Indices/ Currencies/ Financials and Other Markets to December 2021

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Futures September-December Roll Over Notice:

Starting today MAKE sure to trade December Stock Indices, Currencies, Financials and other Markets as well.

Starting today traders will start trading the December contract rather than the September contract.
Symbol for Dec. is Z.
Example: ESZ21
The rollover period will be complete by next Friday when December Stock Indices contracts expire into cash, however currencies and financials are deliverable products!.
If you have any questions, please reach out to your broker here at Cannon and they can provide more insight.
I personally will switch once I see the December volume higher than the September volume.
Traders make sure to update your chart templates as well

Good Trading

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Put on your “Trading Glasses” & Support and Resistance Levels 9.10.2021

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Separator

Put on your “Trading Glasses” – Quick Insight by John Thorpe, senior broker:

During a recent conversation with a long time client who was experiencing a relatively long losing streak and looking for a new indicator, a different indicator, a different time frame, she was looking for answers to make a major change in her approach. I asked her what she is currently using. She told me, Candlesticks and a number of other indicators. I suggested she doesn’t need to change much, a different perspective , a simpler perspective may be beneficial.
         Using the same chart, simply change the glasses you are looking at the market through.
Change the style of your chart. I like to use the LINE Chart for clarity, Changing the style of your chart and add a simple moving average, the number of time frames are really not too important, ( 8,10,12,14,16, any will do the smaller the more sensitive, the longer the more smoothed) if simply for a few minutes, this unclutter your brain and will likely give you a different perspective about current market price volatility around your indicators and may give you a better understanding of how the market is moving so you can better assess where not only enter the market but where to place your trailing stops the SMA provides a rudimentary S&R and will tell you when we are in a sideways stance and help you avoid trading during the chop. I will cover a neat little trick with the trailing stops during my next discussion about “a different Perspective” Good trading and make it an excellent week!

ES 5 Minute Chart

 

ES 5 Minute Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-10-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Find Flexibility and Volume w/ Micro Futures Contracts & Support and Resistance Levels 9.08.2021

Dear Traders,

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Separator
MICROS are here to stay!
I was wrong….when the MICROS first came out I was saying to myself “that defeats the whole point of leverage” BUT I am a big fan now.
MICRO CL, MICRO ES, MICRO NQ are just some of the markets with very nice volume and they offer the flexibility of scaling in and out, smaller exposure.
The NQ for example is trading at such levels compare to 3 years ago that a “normal 0.5%” move is worth approx. $1000 against you or in your favor simply because we are trading at 15613….compare to 780 3 years ago!! That is more than double the value/ exposure etc.
The MICRO CL got great volume and at times when this market is very volatile or you want to take a swing trade but still sleep well at night…..
You get my point!
Start a real time demo and trade the MICROS and any other futures market in real time.
You can start MICRO account with as little as $1000 and still get access to the service and knowledge Cannon is well know for in the industry

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-09-2021

Support and Resistance 9.09.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.