Introduced in the year 1982, Index futures or stock index futures are extremely popular among trading commodities today. While trading, an index future is settled in cash on the value of a certain stock market index. One of the most traded indices is the S&P500.
These are quoted on the basis of either an underlying or a spot price for an index value. There are a number of technicalities involved, most of which you should understand. However, even if you find it tough to comprehend what Index futures are, you can take assistance from the trade experts at Cannon Trading.
We at Cannon Trading want you to understand the basics and the details about Index Futures like our experts do. There are a number of blogs that we list here in our category archive. We recommend that you read these to know for yourself what Index Futures trading is all about.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Watch the video below on how to rollover your market depth and charts!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The Week Ahead: Will CPI alter your trading strategy?
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
On the earnings front two additional AI equity plays report this week, both after their respective close. Oracle today is expecting a $1.14 per share increase (10.7% YoY) and Adobe on Thursday. Wallstreet analysts are expecting ADBE to report +3.98 per share (+17.0% YoY) These two earning factors could create directional change in the indices on the days following the releases. The Government reports being released this week could alter the course of the Fed’s short term interest rate decision making come September 20th.
The Fed has publicly stated in recent interviews and statements that the current string of rate increases used to assist in curbing inflation may be drawing to a close however, they will wait and see what the upcoming inflation numbers reveal. If the next two CPI reports show inflation running hot, especially in the service and shelter categories that the Fed is watching closely, then the chance of a November hike could increase.
The Fed Funds Futures (ZQU23) Market is assigning a 93 % probability that the Fed will not raise during the Sep 20 meeting. This viewpoint could change significantly after several important reports will be released this week. Circle your calendars for Wednesday the 13th @ 7:30 A.M. CDT for CP and Thursday the 14th @7:30 A.M. CDT for 3 numbers: PPI final, Retail sales and Jobless claims. Finally on Friday @8:15 A.M. CDT for Industrial Production.
Expectations for CPI from Econoday.com are: Core prices in August are expected to hold steady and modest at a monthly increase of 0.2 percent to match July’s as-expected 0.2 percent increase. Yet overall prices, reflecting food and energy, are expected to rise 0.6 percent after July’s 0.2 percent increase which was also as expected. Annual rates, which in July were 3.2 percent overall and 4.7 percent for the core, are expected at 3.6 and 4.4 percent respectively.
What is CPI (Consumer Price Index)? is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses.
Scope: Urban Consumers How the data is obtained: Survey of Business, Survey of Households. Sample sizes : CPI Survey collects about 94,000 prices and 8,000 rental housing unit quotes each month.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Watch the video below on how to rollover your market depth and charts!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
I personally start trading December this Monday when the volume on December is higher than the September.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration next Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Trading Resource of the Week – : Simulated Trading Contest with Real Cash Prizes!!
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December soybean oil slowed its rally last months against the fall high and corrected. Now, the chart has recovered and is poised for another challenge of the fall and July highs. If we can break out to the upside with new sustained highs, we have a first upside PriceCount projection to the 68.51 area to aim for.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Trading Resource of the Week – : LT and FN ( Last trading & first Notice Days)
Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December Wheat resumed it’s slide into new contract lows. Using the recent peak as the current leg, our next PriceCount objective is projected at $5.97
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
Are you interested in seeing how two different intraday trading systems perform in real time, live trading?
Cannon Trading offers you weekly updates on the results of these systems, which trade the MNQ (micro mini Nasdaq) and the ES (mini SP) respectively.
You can compare and contrast their strategies, risks, and returns, and decide which one suits your trading goals better. All you need is a minimum account size of $10,000 for the MNQ system and $25,000 for the ES system.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Trading Resource of the Week – : When and Where Do I exit My Trade?
Whether you’re a day trader, a position trader, a spread trader, or an option trader, some of the mental challenges and the questions to go with them are constant:
Where, When and how do I enter a trade?
How do I define risk and implement any type of risk control, like placing stop orders, or implementing some sort of option protection?
Where and how do I exit a trade, both in the event of a profitable trade and an unsuccessful one?
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December Cotton satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective recently and corrected. At this point, if the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the 95.74 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
Are you interested in seeing how two different intraday trading systems perform in real time, live trading?
Cannon Trading offers you weekly updates on the results of these systems, which trade the MNQ (micro mini Nasdaq) and the ES (mini SP) respectively.
You can compare and contrast their strategies, risks, and returns, and decide which one suits your trading goals better. All you need is a minimum account size of $10,000 for the MNQ system and $25,000 for the ES system.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Trading Levels for Next Week
Daily Levels for August 28th, 2023
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
With over 500 companies reporting earnings this week it is near the end of the reporting season. The market will focus Wednesday on the elephant in the room, Nvidia (NVDA Nasdaq).
The boom in Nvidia’s AI-focused business has increased more than 200% year to date, giving it a $1.1 trillion market valuation. Watch for the NQU23 to dance around in a range until AFTER Wednesday’s cash market close.
EPA Estimates are +$2.07 . future guidance will be big for the “internet Index” as AI has been leading the way and Nvidia is the leading GPU maker in the space.
BUT WAIT! that’s not all for the week, it’s time for the Annual “Jackson Hole” conference, a 3 day meeting of top bankers and the FED.
Friday morning @ 10:00am CDT Jerome Powell will set the tone with a speech that could provide a case for the Feds next Fed Rate decision September 20-21st. This is an important meeting next month as it also sets projections by the FED members for GDP, Unemployment rate, Inflation for each year 2023,2024 and 2025.
Watch for increased volatility in the stock indices the last half of the week!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December soybean oil slowed its rally last months against the fall high and corrected. Now, the chart has recovered and is poised for another challenge of the fall and July highs. If we can break out to the upside with new sustained highs, we have a first upside PriceCount projection to the 68.51 area to aim for.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
Are you interested in seeing how two different intraday trading systems perform in real time, live trading?
Cannon Trading offers you weekly updates on the results of these systems, which trade the MNQ (micro mini Nasdaq) and the ES (mini SP) respectively.
You can compare and contrast their strategies, risks, and returns, and decide which one suits your trading goals better. All you need is a minimum account size of $10,000 for the MNQ system and $25,000 for the ES system.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Key Economic reports
Hot Market of the Week – September Crude Oil
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Key Economic Reports
As a trader, you will come across many factors that you must consider before entering or exiting the markets. Some of the most important aspects to look for are economic events that can move the markets drastically one way or another.
There are many types of economic events including releases by a governing body, changes in sales or consumption of commodities, and increases in supply and demand. All of these can affect the markets you trade, making it important for you to know how and when these changes are happening.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
September Crude Oil completed it’s first upside PriceCount objective and had a brief break. At this point, if the market can maintain the bullish tone, the next upside PriceCount objective comes at 89.31
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Rest of the Trading Week, by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General:
The answer is: Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Singapore and Australia.
The question is: name the remaining countries whose credit is rated AAA by all three ratings companies – S&P Global, Fitch and Moody’s – after Fitch downgraded the United States’ debt rating from its top-tier AAA, down to AA+.
Among the contributing factors leading to the downgrade, Fitch cited, “the expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, a high and growing general government debt burden, and the erosion of governance . . . that has manifested in repeated debt limit standoffs and last-minute resolutions.”
Remember in 2011, even though at that time a debt-limit deal was reached, S&P Global lowered the U.S.’s credit rating from AAA down to AA+ and it has not recovered since.
Canada is rated AAA by two of the ratings companies.
Stock Indexes:
Probably not surprisingly, as of this typing, stock indexes reacted negatively to the ratings news with the E-mini Dow Jones losing more than 300 points, roughly a 2% haircut. The E-mini Nasdaq is off ±325 points, a similar 2% correction.
Energy:
As the stock market foundered, crude oil felt weak in the knees as well and by mid-session, the September contract had sold off $3.00 per barrel from its Sunday opening. This despite today’s EIA crude oil stocks report showing a 17 million barrel reduction in U.S. crude stocks; the largest drop in inventories since 1982.
Grains:
After trading within 13 cents of its April 2022 highs last week, November soybeans factored in an expected conga line of wet weather fronts moving broadly over the U.S. Midwest and sold off ±$1.00 down to ±$13.25/bushel, a $5,000 per contract move, the bulk of which comprised just three trading sessions. Estimates for this year’s crop are a virtual wild card given the approach of August, its most critical growing period, so expect volatile price movement throughout.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
“Non Farm Payrolls and may the good Earnings continue.”
For roughly the half way mark in this earnings season, believe it or not, earnings are following expectations and declining for the third straight quarter.
Let me say that again, AS EXPECTED, earnings are declining for the third straight quarter. As expected, according to FACTSET the largest quarterly earnings decline since Q2 2020 is @ -7.3% projected this quarter for all combined reports. But Wait! the indices are high fliers? !! for the year the Nasdaq is up 36%, the S&P is up 20% and the Dow is up nearly 7%.
Why? The economic data continues to surprise to the upside, When Bad is not as bad as expectations”? and after street pundits have been calling for a recession over the past 18 months and the Labor market still characterized as “tight” by Fed Chair Powell last week we have a dichotomy in Fiction vs Fact that is driving prices higher as a “softlanding” with perhaps nary a recession will result from all the fed tightening when the Fed Board declares inflation whipped is gaining traction with some economists.
The tight labor market is keeping the recession from creeping into our economy, BTW earnings expectations have been largely muted and the bar substantially lowered however, earnings so far, even though the lowest since Q@ 2020, have exceeded analysts expectations over 80% of the time this quarter.
This week AMD, CAT PFEW SBUX report after the close on Tuesday. AAPL and AMZN report Thursday after the close.
On the Economic Data front the biggest reports are employment based, JOLTS 9AM CDT Tuesday, ADP 7:15 CDT Wednesday, Jobless Claims at 7:30 am CDT and the big Monthly NonFarm Payrols on Friday @ 7:30 CDT
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
