Interest Rate Cut, FOMC, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 18th, 2025

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RATE CUT

The Day After FOMC

by Senior Broker, Mark O’Brien

cut

General:

Federal Reserve officials have spent months weighing the competing risks to the U.S. economy. Sticky inflation argued against cutting rates; weaker job market conditions argued for it. The voting Federal Reserve governors were widely expected to cut rates by a quarter percentage point today at the conclusion of their 2-day meeting, spurred by a recent downshift in job growth. Fed Chair Jerome Powell tacitly communicated their disposition when he spoke of shifting toward prioritizing employment concerns over lingering inflation worries. Before the announcement there was a greater than 90% chance of a 25-basis point cut according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

FOMC Interest Rate CUT

And today the Fed formally took a side and approved a quarter-point interest rate cut, the first in nine months. The rate cut reduced the benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest level in almost three years.

The Fed’s carefully drafted post-meeting statement said the rate cut was justified “in light of the shift in the balance of risks.” The statement no longer described the labor market as “solid.”

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Daily Levels for Sept. 18th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Rate & Interest Rate Decisions, December 10-year Treasury Notes, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 17th, 2025

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Tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision and Chairman Powell’s Q&A will stir volatility—but…

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

rate

Rate Decisions: How They’ll Affect You and Your Trading

Stock Traders Ask: Should You Explore Futures or Commodities?

Tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision and Chairman Powell’s Q&A will stir short-term volatility—but it’s already sparking deeper questions from stock and bond traders. I recently spoke with a prospect heavily invested in equities who wanted to explore futures and commodities for hedging and speculation. Here’s a working draft of insights I’ve gathered over the years—feedback welcome!

Getting Started with Futures: What You Need to Know

No $25K Rule Like Stocks:

Futures trading doesn’t require the $25,000 pattern day trader minimum. Thanks to micro contracts and flexible broker requirements, entry is more accessible.

Account Minimums & Margins:

  • Brokers like Cannon Trading Co. may allow accounts starting at $1,000
  • Micro E-mini S&P 500 (/MES): $50–$100 overnight margin
  • Micro WTI Crude Oil: $100–$400 margin
  • Most brokers require $500–$1,000 to open positions

Realistic Starting Capital:

  • $500–$1,000 is technically possible, but risky
  • $5,000–$10,000 recommended for beginners
  • $25,000+ ideal for treating trading like a business

Tips:

  • Use a demo account first
  • Choose brokers with low commissions ($0.75–$2.75 per contract)
  • Know your risk tolerance—futures aren’t for everyone

Commodities for Diversification

Commodities often have low or negative correlation with stocks and bonds, making them powerful tools for inflation hedging and volatility reduction.

Historical Correlations:

  • Stocks: ~0.27
  • Bonds: ~–0.07

Suggested Allocation:

Start with 5–10% of your portfolio, depending on your risk profile.

4 Ways to Add Commodity Exposure

Method Description Pros Cons Examples

Know the rates, plan your trades, and trade your plans

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If you’re stock-heavy (e.g., 60/40 portfolio), consider consulting a registered futures broker to align your strategy with your goals. Futures and commodities aren’t just for hedging—they can be powerful tools for diversification and tactical growth.

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December 10-Year Treasury Note

The December 10-Year Treasury note satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective recently and developed a sideways consolidation area. At this point, if the chart can sustain further upside, the third count would project a possible run to the 115-23 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 17th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Rolling Over to December, December Coffee, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 16th, 2025

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rolling over

ROLLOVER Notice:

Don’t find yourself rolling over this one!

You should be rolling over to the December Stock indices Monday, the last trading day will be Friday September 19th.  The Next quarterly contract month will be December, the 4th quarter! Where has the year gone?!

The Symbol for Dec is “Z” for zebra. If you need instruction on changing your symbol from Sep. “U” to Dec. “Z”, I have provided a link to our YouTube channel for those using the CannonX, CQG Desktop, StoneX version of the free software.

Rolling Over from U to Z!

Please click here: Rolling Over Futures Contracts – A Step-By-Step Guide 

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December Coffee

December coffee resumed its rally into a new contract high. At this point, we are left with the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to aim for in the 486 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 16th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Cattle – Live & Feeder, Core PPI, Webinar TOMORROW MORNING!!! Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on Wednesday, September 10th, 2025

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Limit Dooooown Feeder Cattle today! Core PPI tomorrow morning.

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

cattle

Cattle futures fell for a sixth straight session on Tuesday on profit taking and technical selling following recent highs and as cattle has traded flat to lower at Plains feedlot markets this week.

October Cattle was down today $5.625 per CWT to 230.175 per CWT another way to look at the price is $2.30175 per pound. The Feeder market selloff was much more pronounced. After hitting a high of $3.69375 per pound on August 27th we closed today @ $3.49925 per pound Limit down.

Lower feedlot beef sale prices and expectations for seasonally slowing demand at the end of the summer outdoor grilling season further fueled the break, although losses were limited by historically tight cattle supplies and strong beef packer margins, analysts said. High Beef prices had been blamed on two factors, 1. blocking the Mexico/US border from Cattle imports do to an infestation south of the border of the New World Screwworm Fly in addition to 2. The smallest U.S. Heard since 1959.

If you are thinking your Flank or Hangar steak prices will be coming down soon at your local Piggly Wiggly, it will take plenty of time, perhaps a year or two for herds to rebuild. This is a start. If you are going to short the futures, Please consult with your Broker if you need a risk mitigation strategy. There are many ways to cover should the market recover.

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Webinar tomorrow!!

Decoding the Markets: A Dual-Analysis Approach to Futures Trading

Join CME Group host Ryan Gorman for a comprehensive webinar that explores how to navigate the futures markets

This is the first in a series of four episodes – see below for outline!

Date & Time

Sep 10, 2025 11:00 AM Central

This session will provide an in-depth look at how macroeconomic factors, supply and demand, and geopolitical events drive market fundamentals. We’ll then connect this knowledge with practical technical analysis techniques, including chart patterns, indicators, and more, to identify trends and potential trading opportunities.

Space is Limited – Register Today!

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October Live Cattle

The rally in October live cattle stalled out last month just short of its low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective. On the correction, the chart has activated downside counts. The first count projects a slide to the $231.350 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 10th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Webinar Wednesday – Decoding the Markets, November Lumber, Levels, Reports: Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 9th, 2025

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Webinar this Wednesday!!

Episode 1: Decoding the Markets: A Dual-Analysis Approach to Futures Trading

Date & Time

Sep 10, 2025 09:00 AM in Pacific Time (US and Canada)

Description

Join CME Group host Ryan Gorman for a comprehensive webinar that explores how to navigate the futures markets. This session will provide an in-depth look at how macroeconomic factors, supply and demand, and geopolitical events drive market fundamentals. We’ll then connect this knowledge with practical technical analysis techniques, including chart patterns, indicators, and more, to identify trends and potential trading opportunities.

 Register Now!

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November Lumber

November lumber satisfied its first downside PriceCount objective off the spring leg and corrected higher. If the chart can resume its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a possible slide to the $533 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 9th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Fed Announcements, CPI, PPI, WASDE, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of September 8th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1257

  • The Week Ahead – Fed Announcements, Blackout

  • Futures 101 – Trade and Risk Management

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

fed

OPEC+ Sunday meeting, U.S. CPI, PPI and WASDE will be featured next week as earnings reports lighten up and we have entered into the Fed Blackout period.

Analysts expect the OPEC+ meeting Sunday to consider another round of production increases reflecting a shift in focus where demand is projected to accelerate. Bearish development for crude prices as the EIA reported a surprise increase on the U.S. crude stockpiles Thursday. WTI Crude prices are currently trading at the lower end of a $60.00 bbl -$65.00 bbl price range @$62.06 basis the October futures contract.

There was a sudden change in rate change probability this morning for the next Fed Meeting hosted by Chair Jerome Powell. Sep. 17 is the next rate decision. This graph is from the CME FedWatch tool, and it tracks the movement, real-time, of the fed fund futures contracts.

First time the market is considering .50 rate reduction for the September meeting.

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  Markets have already priced in this probability so it’s important to watch these numbers to see how the markets react today to these probabilities changing, I am talking about precious metals (inflation), Bonds (long term rates following short term to varying degrees), the energy complex (cheaper capital higher demand), Equities (cheaper capital), Currencies (capital flows out of US dollar denominated assets to higher interest rate debentures)

The on again off again nature of Tariff and Russia/Ukraine war talks has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals, especially with China, India, Canada and Russia. Also, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Synopsys, GameStop
  • Wed.  Quiet
  • Thu. Adobe, Kroger
  • Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon.  Fed Blackout
  • Tues.  Period
  • Wed.  8 business days prior
  • Thu.    To the Fed
  • Fri.      Rate announcement

Economic Data week:

  • Mon.  Consumer Inflation Expectations, Consumer Credit
  • Tue.   NFIB Bus. Optimism Index,  Redbook Y o Y, NFP Annual Revision (prior yr. -818 jobs)
  • Wed.  Core PPI, EIA Crude Stocks, 17-week Bill auction
  • Thur.  CORE CPI,  EIA NAT GAS Storage, Fed Balance sheet,
  • Fri.   Mich. Consumer sentiment, World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates.

Trade and Risk Management

Course Overview 14 minutes

“If you have an approach that makes money, then money management can make the difference between success and failure…I try to be conservative in my risk management. I want to make sure I’ll be around to play tomorrow. Risk control is essential.” – Monroe Trout, Trout Trading

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Daily Levels for Sept. 8th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Labor Day Weekend 2025, Non Farm Payroll, December 10 Year Notes, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of September 1st, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1256

  • The Week Ahead – Labor Day Schedule, NFP

  • Futures 101 – Using Fundamental Analysis

  • Hot Market of the Week – December 10 year notes

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

Labor Day, Non Farm Payrolls

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Labor Day

Abbreviated Futures Market hours on Labor Day (Labor Day Schedule), Non Farm Payroll Friday, EIA Statistics for Crude and Natural Gas will be released Thursday due to the Holiday.

A heavy dose of economic data points will be released next week providing plenty of food for thought to chew on for the fed voting members as they continue to assess whether a freeze on Fed Funds or a reduction of .25 to .50 is the best medicine for the economy when they announce a rate decision September 20th.

CME FedWatch tool has the probability of a Fed Fund rate reduction on Sep 20th at 89.2 %, 10.8% chance of no reduction. This is a 30+ percentage point improvement from 1 month ago. The purpose of markets is to take in all information and adjust price according to that information.

Markets have already priced in this probability so it’s important to watch these numbers to see how the markets react today to these probabilities changing,  I am talking about Precious metals (inflation), Bonds (long term rates following short term to varying degrees), the energy complex (cheaper capital higher demand), Equities (cheaper capital), Currencies (capital flows out of US dollar denominated assets to higher interest rate debentures)

The on again off again nature of Tariff and Russia/Ukraine war talks has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others. (see gold commentary below)  Crude Oil is knocking on the ceiling of it’s range near $65.00 bbl.

Remember to zoom out when reading your intraday time frame charts to daily and weekly time frames. December Gold is still rangebound! High end of the range this week trading above $3500.00 for the first time since august 8th. Last week I wrote this:  This week, the psychological low was challenged in the 3350.00 area basis December and bounced, as of this writing, current price is 3420.00. Three weeks ago, I wrote this: Watch for the gold market to maintain its rangebound stance, close below 3350 (basis December) or above 3500 should denote a breakout, begin trading the December(Z) contract next week.

Two weeks ago, I wrote:  Dec gold traded below 3350 today and the past three days but never closed meaningfully below 3350.0 (3348.60 Thurs.) Today we have breached $3500.00 oz with a high in the $3543.00 area per oz. while currently trading @$3493.00 oz as of this writing. Look for a close above $3500.00 on successive days to again accumulate longs.

This may be the break from this range we are looking for. Manage your downside risk according to your account size, risk no more than 15-20% whether with options or futures.   Today, August 15th as of this writing that 3500.00 oz did not hold, always wait for confirmation prior to taking a position, several consecutive closes above or below a range is a start. We are teasing the bottom of the range today Dec gold in the 3380’s, I see psychological support @ 3350.00 

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals, especially with China, India, Canada and Russia. Also, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Labor Day

  • Tue.  Zscaler, Macy’s
  • Wed.  SalesForce, Hewlett-Packard, DollarTree
  • Thu. Broadcom, LuLuLemon
  • Fri.   Baba

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon.  (holiday trade)
  • Tues.  Quiet
  • Wed.  8:00 am, Musalem. 12:30 pm Kashkari (non vtg mbr)
  • Thu.    11:05 am Williams, 6:00 PM Goolsbee
  • Fri.       Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon.  Quiet (holiday trade)
  • Tue.    Redbook, Global PMI, ISM PMI , RCM/TIPP Optimism Index
  • Wed.  JOLTS, Beige Book, (EIA Crude Stocks moved due to L-Day Weekend), 17-week Bill auction
  • Thur. ADP, Balance of trade, Initial Jobless claims, ISM PMI, 7:30 am EIA NAT GAS Storage,  11:00     am EIA Crude Stocks, Fed Balance sheet,
  • Fri.   Non Farm Payroll

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Using Fundamental Analysis When Evaluating Trades

Course Overview

Fundamental analysis is the process of determining the model price of a futures contract, now and in the future, using factors like economic data and industry financial conditions. A trader using fundamental analysis to inform their decisions is looking at how supply and demand could move price, now and in the future. The type of information a trader will use to formulate their opinions will differ across products, in this course we’ll look at each class of products and cover some of the variables that could impact price.

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

December 10-Year Treasury Note

The December 10-Year treasury note has resumed its rally into a new high. If the trend can sustain further strength, the second upside PriceCount objective projects a potential run to the 113’21 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of Automated Systems?

Daily Levels for Sept. 2nd, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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PCE Tomorrow, Labor Day Weekend Trading Hours, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 29th, 2025

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PCE Tomorrow, Labor Day Hours!

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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PCE tomorrow along with a few other economic numbers/ data.

Labor Day ahead – make sure you are aware of modified schedule.

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December 10-Year Treasury Note

 

The December 10-Year treasury note has resumed its rally into a new high. If the trend can sustain further strength, the second upside PriceCount objective projects a potential run to the 113’21 area.

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Daily Levels for Aug. 29th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Labor Day 2025; Your Important Trading Calendar for the 3-Day Weekend

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Labor Day 2025 FULL SCHEDULE

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Los Angeles, CA 90025 US

Volatility, December Oats, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 19th, 2025

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Volatility

Quiet Start to the Week—Volatility Ahead with Powell & PMI

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️ Monday Market Brief – August 18, 2025

Low Volume, Calm Waters… Before the Storm?

Today’s trading session opened with notably light volume across major asset classes—a familiar rhythm for an August Monday. With many market participants still in vacation mode and key macro events on the horizon, it’s no surprise we’re seeing range-bound price action and muted volatility.

That calm won’t last long. By Thursday, the tempo is expected to shift dramatically as a wave of economic data hits the tape. PMI reports and the Philadelphia Fed survey will headline the day, offering fresh clues on growth and inflation trends. Then on Friday, all eyes will turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Jackson Hole symposium—a moment that often sets the tone for monetary policy heading into Q4.

 Trading Insight

Recognizing the type of day ahead—like today’s low-volatility, sideways grind—can dramatically improve your tactical edge. In environments like this, fading the extremes of volume or volatility bands (buying the lows, selling the highs) tends to outperform breakout strategies. Of course, it’s always easier to see the ideal play in hindsight—but developing that intraday awareness is a skill worth sharpening.

Stay nimble, stay curious, and keep your powder dry for the back half of the week.

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Joseph Easton, breaks down trading options in ten easy steps.

December Oats

December oats are showing some stability after satisfying their second downside PriceCount objective earlier this month. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible run to the $3.18 area which is consistent with a test of the contract low.

And that’s December Oats for you, Traders! Make it a great trading week!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 19th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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