Global Market Outlook for January and February. Trump and the markets.

January 13, 2017 Newsletter

Global Market Outlook for January and February. Trump and the markets. Vote for us as best blog and broker of the year on

January 13, 2017 - Issue #858

In This Issue

1. Vote For Us!
2. Jan/Feb 2017 Global Markets Preview: "Winter is Coming"
3. Economic Calendar

MLK Holiday Trading Schedule - Enjoy the Holiday!!

1. Cannon Trading is nominated for both "Broker of the Year" as well as "Best Blog"

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2. Jan/Feb 2017 Global Markets Preview: "Winter is Coming"

From our friends at

The poll-defying outcome of the US election has sent ripples across the markets for the last two months. Since November 8, the dollar index is up over five percent and bond yields have spiked, as investors sold assets to buy dollar-denominated ones, betting the new US government will enact measures that boost economic growth and inflation. This shift wiped out well over $1 trillion of value in the global bond markets, even as stock indices soared to new record highs.

In the same timeframe the other late-2016 surprise - OPEC actually agreeing to a produce cut scheme - has firmed up energy prices. That along with some long overdue signs of wage growth has given some central banks the cover they need to begin contemplating pausing or even reversing their expansive monetary stimulus programs.

For various reasons, the stock market has had three bad Januarys in a row, and January 2017 may fall prey to the same pattern. The market euphoria over a Republican sweep that helped lift the DJIA to nearly 20,000 by year end was in part due to investors waiting to sell their winners until 2017 when the presumption is that capital gains will be lower under the new Administration. That could translate into delayed portfolio rebalancing in early January, and that selling may be exacerbated by traders starting to consider potential policy missteps by the Trump Administration which don't appear to have been factored in over two months since the election. At the first sign that the Republican love fest in Washington has soured investors may turn tail and run.

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Jan/Feb Global Market Outlook

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3. Economic Calendar

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

Date Reports Expiration & Notice Dates
7:30 AM CST - Core PPI & PPI(Dec)
7:30 AM CST - Retail Sales(Dec)
7:30 AM CST - Retail Sales Ex-Auto(Dec)
9:00 AM CST - Business Inventories(Nov)
9:00 AM CST - Mich Sentiment(Jan)
LT: Jan Canola(CBT)
Jan Rough Rice(CBT)
Jan Soybeans,Soymeal,Soyoil(CBT)
Jan Mx Peso(CME)
Jan Lumber(CME)
Jan Eurodollar Options(CME)
Feb Coffee Options(ICE)
LT: Jan Eurodollar(CME)
11:00 AM CST - NOPA Crush
FN: Jan Lumber(CME)
LT: Feb Crude Lt Options(NYM)
Feb Sugar-11 Options(ICE)
6:00 AM CST - MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
7:30 AM CST - Core CPI & CPI(Dec)
8:15 AM CST - Capacity Util & Industrial Prod(Dec)
1:00 PM CST - Fed's Beige Book(Jan)
3:00 PM CST - Net Long-Term TIC Flows(Jan)
3:30 PM CST - API Energy Stocks
LT: Feb Platinum Options(NYM)
Feb Palladium Options(NYM)

7:30 AM CST - Initial Claims-Weekly
7:30 AM CST - Building Permits & Housing Starts(Dec)
7:30 AM CST - Philadelphia Fed(Jan)
9:30 AM CST - EIA Natural Gas Report
10:00 AM CST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
2:00 PM CST - Dairy Products Sales

7:30 AM CST - USDA Weekly Export Sales
LT: Feb Crude Lt(NYM)
Jan Nikkei Options(CME)
Jan Russell Options(CME)
Feb Orange Juice Options(CME)


9:00 AM CST - Existing Home Sales(Dec)
2:00 PM CST - Cold Storage
2:00 PM CST - Milk Production
3:30 PM CST - API Energy Stocks
FN: Feb Crude Lt(NYM)
6:00 AM CST - MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
8:00 AM CST - FHFA Housing Price Index(Nov)
9:30 AM CST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
2:00 PM CST - Dairy Products Sales

7:30 AM CST - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CST - Initial Claims-Weekly
7:30 AM CST - Adv International Trade In Goods(Dec)
9:00 AM CST - New Home Sales(Dec)
9:30 AM CST - EIA Natural Gas Report
3:30 PM CST - Money Supply
LT: Jan Feeder Cattle(CME)
Jan Feeder Cattle Options(CME)
Feb Copper Options(CMX)
Feb Gold & Silver Options(CMX)
Feb Natural Gas Options(NYM)
Feb RBOB & ULSD Options(NYM)
FN=First Notice, OE=Option Expiration, LT=Last Trade

Disclaimer: This calendar is compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Moore Research Center, Inc. assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete. The release dates for certain economic reports may have been rescheduled.

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

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