Video on trading set ups using counter trend and trend following concepts with specific examples and a look at Kansas City Wheat futures grinding lower along with a chart for your review.
In This Issue
1. Trading Video: How I like to day-trade futures using either counter trend or trend following concepts
2. Hot Market Report: Kansas City Wheat Continues to Grind Lower
3. Economic Calendar
Click on image below to enlarge
Here is the July 2019 Kansas City Wheat Daily chart with a simple channel .
Today’s High was an opportunity to further Hedge if you are a producer or to sell what you’re holding to make room in your bins for the harvest in 5 to 10 weeks.
With plentiful global supplies and plenty of price competition, HRW should continue to work lower, bucking traditional seasonal trends. Farmers selling on rallies into the foreseeable future appears to be a given this year.
Daily chart of Euro Currency futures for your review from this morning ( May 10th 2019).
According to this week’s May 5th N.A.S.S. Kansas Crop Progress and condition release, better than 55% of the 2019 Kansas Winter Wheat crop is rated good to excellent. Winter Wheat was 80% jointed, ahead of last years 71% but behind the 5 year avg. of 87% at this time. Given the varied weather this spring that’s progress. Still watch for hail storms between now and harvest as a potential supply wrecker, but with global coffers as full as they are, I don’t see much upside price pressure.
Since the $5.11/bu price in early January, we’ve dropped over 22% . This price action has created a handsome channel . If todays price action as confirmation of a continued trend lower, (can’t break through to the upside) as an attempt to shake the monkey off it’s back soundly failed from its daily early morning high of 4.01 ¾ /Bu and is currently trading -10 ½ cents and probing the bottom of the channel above. Until the trend tells me different, I would sell rallys and always use protection.
Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.
| Date | Reports | Expiration & Notice Dates |
|---|---|---|
| 05/10 Fri |
7:30 AM CDT - Core CPI & CPI(Apr)
11:00 AM CDT - WASDE Report & Crop Production 1:00 PM CDT - Treasury Budget(Apr) |
LT: May Orange Juice(ICE)
May Eurodollar Options(CME) Jun Coffee Options(ICE) |
| 05/13 Mon |
|
LT: May Eurodollar(CME)
May Mx Peso(CME) |
| 05/14 Tue |
7:30 AM CDT - Export (ex-ag) & Import (ex-oil) Prices(Apr)
7:30 AM CDT - Export & Import Prices(Apr) 3:30 PM CDT - API Energy Stocks |
LT: May Canola(CBT)
May Wheat(CBT) May Corn(CBT) May Oats(CBT) May Rough Rice(CBT) May Soybeans,Soymeal,Soyoil(CBT) May Lean Hogs(CME) May Lean Hogs Options(CME) |
| 05/15 Wed |
6:00 AM CDT - MBA Mortgage Index
7:30 AM CDT - Empire State Manufacturing(May) 7:30 AM CDT - Retail Sales(Apr) 7:30 AM CDT - Retail Sales Ex-Auto(Apr) 7:30 AM CDT - Empire State Manufacturing(May) 8:15 AM CDT - Capacity Util & Industrial Prod(Apr) 9:00 AM CDT - Business Inventories(Mar) 9:30 AM CDT - EIA Petroleum Status Report 11:00 AM CDT - NOPA Crush 2:00 PM CDT - Dairy Products Sales 3:00 PM CDT - Net Long-term TIC Flows(Mar) |
LT: May Cocoa(ICE)
May Lumber(CME) Jun Platinum Options(NYM) Jun Palladium Options(NYM) Jun Sugar-11 Options(ICE) |
| 05/16 Thu |
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CDT - Building Permits & Housing Starts(Apr) 7:30 AM CDT - Intial Claims-Weekly 7:30 AM CDT - Philadelphia Fed Index(May) 9:30 AM CDT - EIA Natural Gas Report 3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply |
FN: May Lumber(CME)
LT: Jun Crude Lt Options(NYM) |
| 05/17 Fri |
9:00 AM CDT - Leading Indicators(Apr)
9:00 AM CDT - Univ of Mich Consumer Sent-Prelim(May) |
LT: May Nikkei Options(CME)
Jun Orange Juice Options(ICE) |
| 05/20 Mon |
|
|
| 05/21 Tue |
9:00 AM CDT - Existing Home Sales(Apr)
3:30 PM CDT - API Energy Stocks |
LT: Jun Crude Lt(NYM)
|
| 05/22 Wed |
6:00 AM CDT - MBA Mortgage Applications Index
9:30 AM CDT - EIA Petroleum Status Report 2:00 PM CDT - Cold Storage 2:00 PM CDT - Dairy Products Sales |
|
| 05/23 Thu |
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CDT - Initial Claims-Weekly 9:30 AM CDT - EIA Natural Gas Report 3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply |
FN: Jun Crude Lt(NYM)
LT: May Feeder Cattle(CME) May Feeder Cattle Options(CME) |
| FN=First Notice, OE=Option Expiration, LT=Last Trade | ||
* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.
** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!
