Knowing What You Don't Know in Trading Markets By Jim Wyckoff

Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Futures Trading Article by Jim Wyckoff & Levels 4.09.2014

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday April 9, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Knowing What You Don’t Know in Trading Marketsby Jim Wyckoff  


The headline of this educational feature may be a bit confusing, but I will explain what I mean shortly. First, I want to reiterate that trading futures, stock and FOREX markets is not an easy undertaking. It disgusts me that there are a few unsavory people in our industry that portray trading as an easy, get-rich-quick scheme, or as some endeavor for which there are “secrets” to be learned from those who hold “trading secrets.”Folks, the plain truth is that there are no trading secrets and no easy paths to quick success in trading markets. Beware of anyone who tries to tell (or sell) you such.One of the biggest obstacles to success in trading markets is a lack of knowledge and understanding of the process of trading. The “process of trading” includes understanding financial leverage, market behavior and trader psychology. Understanding the process of trading can be achieved with perseverance and a willingness to continue to learn.It’s not coincidental that trading markets is similar to most other human endeavors: Hard work and experience are required to achieve notable success. A person who enjoys classic automobiles would not attempt to tear down and successfully rebuild an engine without having some previous experience, or without having learned about the workings of an automobile engine-including knowing about the tools involved in the operation.I have written numerous times that learning about different trading tools, different markets and different trading strategies provides a solid foundation on the road to trading success.Ironically, I believe a major advantage of being an experienced trader is knowing what you don’t know about markets and trading. Yes, you heard that right: Knowing what you don’t know.

What do I mean by this? I mean that there are certain elements of futures trading about which I do not “know,” and never will.

I don’t “know” what markets are going to do in the future. Some may ask, “How can you be in this business and not know what markets are going to do? How can you be a successful trader and not know where market prices are going?” My answer is that market analysis and trading (at least the way I see it) is not a business of bold predictions, but one of exploring market probabilities based upon market knowledge, price history, human behavior and trading experience. The fact that I “know that I don’t know” exactly what a market will do gives me a trading edge. Why? Because I will exercise more caution and think about and plan for what could happen if a trade turns against me. I know that some trades will indeed turn against me and that I need to have the capital to trade another day, so I won’t “put all my eggs in one basket.”

I prudently place protective buy and sell stops on trades because I do not “know” what the markets will do. I would rather absorb a small trading loss and be termed “wrong” about that trade, as opposed to risking trading with no protective stops and seeing a small loser turn into a big loser–all in the “hope” the market will turn around so I can be proven “right.”

(Do you see what I mean when I discuss human behavior? Most of us don’t like to be “wrong,” and will make decisions so that we are not wrong. In trading, sometimes the decisions traders make to avoid being “wrong” are not prudent decisions for those wanting to be successful traders in the long run.)

One sure fire clue I get that a trader does not have much trading and market experience (and needs more!) is when the trader tells me he or she “knows” a market is going to do something. What can be even worse is when a trader thinks he or she “knows” what the market is going to do, and then makes a trade that turns out to be a winner. That type of psychological reinforcement of a flawed trading characteristic only sets up the trader for a bigger disappointment at some point in the future-likely sooner rather than later.

Traders absolutely must respect the markets. Only the markets are 100% right. Traders who think they “know” exactly what a market will do are not showing the markets respect.

That’s it for now. Next time, we’ll examine another important issue on your road to trading success.

Jim Wyckoff is the proprietor of the analytical, educational and trading advisory service, “Jim Wyckoff on the Markets.” He has a website at and his email address is


If you like the information we share? We would appreciate your positive reviews on our new yelp!!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

If you like Our Futures Trading Daily Support and Resistance Levels, Please share!

Futures Trading Levels

Contract June 2014  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 1871.50 3593.83 16361 1169.23 80.73
Resistance 2 1860.25 3564.92 16294 1157.87 80.54
Resistance 1 1853.25 3548.33 16242 1148.93 80.18
Pivot 1842.00 3519.42 16175 1137.57 79.99
Support 1 1835.00 3502.83 16123 1128.63 79.63
Support 2 1823.75 3473.92 16056 1117.27 79.44
Support 3 1816.75 3457.33 16004 1108.33 79.08
Contract June Gold May Silver May Crude Oil June Bonds  June Euro
Resistance 3 1334.5 2049.2 105.26 134 18/32 1.3900
Resistance 2 1324.6 2033.3 103.99 134  6/32 1.3855
Resistance 1 1316.6 2016.7 103.23 133 29/32 1.3825
Pivot 1306.7 2000.8 101.96 133 17/32 1.3780
Support 1 1298.7 1984.2 101.20 133  8/32 1.3750
Support 2 1288.8 1968.3 99.93 132 28/32 1.3705
Support 3 1280.8 1951.7 99.17 132 19/32 1.3675
Contract May Corn May Wheat May Beans May SoyMeal May bean Oil
Resistance 3 521.3 696.7 1504.67 488.47 43.44
Resistance 2 514.5 689.3 1493.83 484.63 42.80
Resistance 1 510.8 685.2 1488.17 481.37 42.45
Pivot 504.0 677.8 1477.33 477.53 41.81
Support 1 500.3 673.7 1471.7 474.3 41.5
Support 2 493.5 666.3 1460.83 470.43 40.82
Support 3 489.8 662.2 1455.17 467.17 40.47
For complete contract specifications for the futures markets listed above click here!

5. Economic Reports


All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

Date 4:23pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
WedApr 9  2:00am EUR German Trade Balance 18.0B 17.2B
10:00am USD Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.5% 0.6%
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.0M -2.4M
1:01pm USD 10-y Bond Auction 2.73|2.9
2:00pm USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
7:00pm USD FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

Click to rate this post!
[Total: 0 Average: 0]
Tags: > > > > > > Posted in: Future Trading News   | Futures Trading  

Comments are closed.

Trading Expertise As Featured In

Trading Tips You Can Use Right Away!

Watch 4 short videos on the topics of:
  • Using Bollinger Bands and Parabolics
  • Using range Bars for Day-Trading
  • The concept of Price Confirmation
  • How to Use Support & Resistance Levels
  • License 3 Broker at your Fingertips