Trading Levels and Reports for August 14, 2012
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
Jump to a section in this post:
1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Economic Reports for Tuesday August 14, 2012
Hello Traders,
In the last few weeks we witnessed “summer trading” with low volume which encouraged me to share the following with you on the different types of trading days:
- In my opinion there are 3 main types of trading days.
1. The most common day are two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.
2. Strong trending days, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend.
3. Slow and/or choppy trading days – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.
- A good question I’ve been asked is how can one asses what type of trading day we will have while the market is still trading….I have been doing some work in finding the answers and will be happy to hear feedback via email but here are some initial observations:
- Was the overnight session a wide, two sided trading range? If the answer is yes, good chances for similar trading day during the primary session (primary session is when the cash/stock market is open)
- Mondays have the highest chance for trending days
- The behavior of the first hour of trading can also suggests the type of action for the rest of the day.
- If the first 30 minutes of the trading day have good volume, better chances for type 1 or type 2 trading days.
- Low volume during the first 30 minutes can suggest a choppy (type 3 trading day)
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
2. Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
| Contract Sept. 2012 | SP500 (big & Mini) | Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) | Dow Jones (big & Mini) | Mini Russell | Dollar Index |
| Resistance 3 | 1411.33 | 2753.67 | 13247 | 812.67 | 83.24 |
| Resistance 2 | 1406.67 | 2740.33 | 13204 | 806.23 | 83.00 |
| Resistance 1 | 1403.33 | 2732.67 | 13165 | 801.17 | 82.76 |
| Pivot | 1398.67 | 2719.33 | 13122 | 794.73 | 82.52 |
| Support 1 | 1395.33 | 2711.67 | 13083 | 789.67 | 82.28 |
| Support 2 | 1390.67 | 2698.33 | 13040 | 783.23 | 82.04 |
| Support 3 | 1387.33 | 2690.67 | 13001 | 778.17 | 81.80 |
3. Support & Resistance Levels for Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, and U.S. T-Bonds
| Contract | Dec Gold | Sept. Euro | Sept. Crude Oil | Sept. Bonds | |
| Resistance 3 | 1642.4 | 1.2501 | 95.99 | 150 | |
| Resistance 2 | 1635.3 | 1.2439 | 95.06 | 149 20/32 | |
| Resistance 1 | 1623.9 | 1.2388 | 93.90 | 149 7/32 | |
| Pivot | 1616.8 | 1.2326 | 92.97 | 148 27/32 | |
| Support 1 | 1605.4 | 1.2275 | 91.81 | 148 14/32 | |
| Support 2 | 1598.3 | 1.2213 | 90.88 | 148 2/32 | |
| Support 3 | 1586.9 | 1.2162 | 89.72 | 147 21/32 |
4. Support & Resistance Levels for Corn, Wheat, Beans and Silver
| Contract | Dec. Corn | Sept. Wheat | Nov. Beans | Sept. Silver | |
| Resistance 3 | 810.8 | 876.5 | 1627.17 | 2851.3 | |
| Resistance 2 | 806.8 | 872.3 | 1621.58 | 2833.2 | |
| Resistance 1 | 799.5 | 864.5 | 1611.17 | 2804.8 | |
| Pivot | 795.5 | 860.3 | 1605.58 | 2786.7 | |
| Support 1 | 788.3 | 852.5 | 1595.2 | 2758.3 | |
| Support 2 | 784.3 | 848.3 | 1589.58 | 2740.2 | |
| Support 3 | 777.0 | 840.5 | 1579.17 | 2711.8 |
5. Economic Reports
source:http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)
| Date | 3:43pm | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Graph | |
| Tue
Aug 14
|
1:30am | EUR |
French Prelim GDP q/q
|
-0.1% | 0.0% | ||||
| 1:30am | EUR |
French CPI m/m
|
-0.2% | 0.0% | |||||
| 2:00am | EUR |
German Prelim GDP q/q
|
0.2% | 0.5% | |||||
| 2:45am | EUR |
French Prelim Non-Farm Payrolls q/q
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | |||||
| 5:00am | EUR |
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
|
-19.4 | -19.6 | |||||
| 5:00am | EUR |
Flash GDP q/q
|
-0.2% | 0.0% | |||||
| 5:00am | EUR |
Industrial Production m/m
|
-0.5% | 0.6% | |||||
| 5:00am | EUR |
ZEW Economic Sentiment
|
-19.1 | -22.3 | |||||
| 8:30am | USD |
Core Retail Sales m/m
|
0.4% | -0.4% | |||||
| 8:30am | USD |
PPI m/m
|
0.3% | 0.1% | |||||
| 8:30am | USD |
Retail Sales m/m
|
0.3% | -0.5% | |||||
| 8:30am | USD |
Core PPI m/m
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |||||
| 10:00am | USD |
Business Inventories m/m
|
0.2% | 0.3% | |||||
| 10:00am | USD |
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
|
47.4 | 47.0 |
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
